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Notre Dame 34, Virginia 27
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Notre Dame | Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 64 | 68 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 33.2 | 21.0 | 29.7 |
| Possessions | 12 | 13 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
8 | 5 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.25 | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| Leverage Rate** | 70.3% | 69.1% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.666 | 0.614 | 0.584 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Notre Dame | Virginia | |
| Total | 44.2 | 39.8 | |
| Rushing | 24.5 | 12.2 | |
| Passing | 19.7 | 27.6 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Notre Dame | Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 39.1% | 41.2% | 41.3% |
| Rushing (close) | 43.8% | 34.5% | 42.5% |
| Passing (close) | 34.4% | 46.2% | 40.1% |
| Standard Downs | 35.6% | 44.7% | 46.8% |
| Passing Downs | 47.4% | 33.3% | 29.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Notre Dame | Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.77 | 1.42 | 1.27 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.75 | 1.22 | 1.06 |
| Passing (close) | 1.79 | 1.53 | 1.49 |
| Standard Downs | 1.87 | 1.27 | 1.10 |
| Passing Downs | 1.60 | 1.88 | 1.83 |
| Line Stats | Notre Dame | Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.84 | 2.64 | 2.80 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 18.2% | 0.0% | 6.6% |
| Turnovers | Notre Dame | Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 3.9 |
| Turnover Margin | Notre Dame +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Notre Dame +0.29 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Notre Dame +0.71 | |
| TO Points Margin | Notre Dame +3.9 points | |
| Situational | Notre Dame | Virginia |
| Q1 S&P | 0.598 | 0.429 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.531 | 0.755 |
| Q3 S&P | 1.065 | 0.549 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.621 | 0.651 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.702 | 0.615 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.703 | 0.703 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.796 | 0.446 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Notre Dame by 8.4 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Notre Dame by 7 | ||
It always cracks me up to take a game with twists and turns and injuries and plot twists and drama and a crazy ending and have the computer basically spit out a response of "Yeah, Notre Dame by 7 was about right."
Poor Virginia. This was a hell of a damn game. A beautiful, painful football game.
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