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Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

After a torrid start against the spread, the Week 1 F/+ picks kind of limped home on Saturday and finished just 20-17. That's 54%, which is pretty damn good over the course of a whole season, but ... starting out 10-3 or so certainly got my hopes up.

That said, the teams that were supposed to win, did. You're expected to get most of the head-to-head picks right in the early weeks, with so many FCS games in the mix, but still, going 74-11 (87%) is nice. And as we see here, a majority of those 11 losses game in virtual tossups.

Win Prob. Range Record Win%
50-59% 4-7 36.4%
60-69% 12-0 100.0%
70-79% 17-3 85.0%
80-89% 25-1 96.2%
90-99% 16-0 100.0%

So far, so good. On to this week's slate.

Thursday

Time
(ET)
TV Game Spread
(Home)
Proj. Winner Proj. Margin Win Prob. Pick
(Spread)
8:00 PM FS1 Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky +1 Western Kentucky (29.3-25.8) 3.4 57.9% Western Kentucky

I'll say this: I know college football basically forfeited the Thursday night slate because of the NFL, but ... this game could be awfully entertaining. Close and potentially high scoring? Sounds like the perfect Thursday night game to me!

Friday

Time
(ET)
TV Game Spread
(Home)
Proj. Winner Proj. Margin Win Prob. Pick
(Spread)
8:00 PM FS1 Miami-FL at Florida Atlantic +17.5 Miami-FL (36.3-21.0) 15.3 81.1% Florida Atlantic
9:00 PM ESPN2 Utah State at Utah -14 Utah (19.1-9.2) 9.9 71.7% Utah State

I'm curious about FAU  -- the Owls might actually be decent enough to hang around against Miami for a while. Meanwhile ... well ... if you like defense, Utah-USU is for you...

Saturday

Time
(ET)
TV Game Spread
(Home)
Proj. Winner Proj. Margin Win Prob. Pick
(Spread)
11:30 AM ESPN2 South Florida at Florida State -28 Florida State (44.0-9.5) 34.4 97.7% Florida State
12:00 PM CBSSN Army at Connecticut -7.5 Connecticut (39.5-30.7) 8.8 69.5% Connecticut
12:00 PM BTN Bowling Green at Maryland -7.5 Maryland (41.9-32.3) 9.6 71.1% Maryland
12:00 PM ESPN2 Buffalo at Penn State -21 Penn State (40.6-12.7) 27.8 94.6% Penn State
12:00 PM ESPNN Indiana State at Purdue Purdue (41.7-24.6) 17.1 83.9%
12:00 PM SECN Jacksonville State at Auburn Auburn (52.4-13.1) 39.3 98.8%
12:00 PM BTN Western Illinois at Illinois Illinois (27.4-6.7) 20.7 88.4%
12:00 PM ESPN3 Presbyterian at Charlotte Charlotte (29.6-18.3) 11.3 74.3%
12:00 PM ESPN3 Houston at Louisville -13 Louisville (42.9-25.7) 17.3 84.1% Louisville
12:00 PM FS1 Kansas State at UTSA +17 Kansas State (39.6-11.7) 27.9 94.6% Kansas State
12:00 PM ESPNU Miami-OH at Wisconsin -32 Wisconsin (47.6-14.4) 33.2 97.3% Wisconsin
12:00 PM ABC Oregon State at Michigan -16 Michigan (25.5-8.2) 17.3 84.1% Michigan
12:30 PM ESPN3 Appalachian State at Clemson -18 Clemson (40.2-15.3) 24.8 92.4% Clemson
12:30 PM ESPN3 Wake Forest at Syracuse -5 Syracuse (24.0-18.8) 5.2 61.8% Syracuse
1:00 PM ESPN3 Howard at Boston College Boston College (35.6-3.5) 32.1 96.8%
2:00 PM Pac-12 Sacramento State at Washington Washington (31.1-5.3) 25.8 93.2%
2:00 PM Pac-12 Massachusetts at Colorado -13 Colorado (32.8-20.4) 12.4 76.3% Massachusetts
3:00 PM Fox UTEP at Texas Tech -21 Texas Tech (52.3-31.7) 20.6 88.3% UTEP
3:00 PM Liberty at West Virginia West Virginia (42.3-13.3) 29.0 95.3%
3:00 PM ESPN3 Monmouth at Central Michigan Central Michigan (37.6-18.9) 18.6 85.9%
3:30 PM FS1 Stephen F. Austin at TCU TCU (47.4-5.8) 41.6 99.2%
3:30 PM ESPN3 Furman at Virginia Tech Virginia Tech (53.2-12.3) 41.0 99.1%
3:30 PM ESPN3 Murray State at Northern Illinois Northern Illinois (49.2-18.1) 31.1 96.4%
3:30 PM Austin Peay at Southern Miss Southern Miss (39.1-12.2) 26.8 94.0%
3:30 PM ESPN2 Fresno State at Ole Miss -29 Ole Miss (44.0-10.3) 33.7 97.4% Ole Miss
3:30 PM CBS Georgia at Vanderbilt +20.5 Georgia (37.8-15.3) 22.5 90.3% Georgia
3:30 PM BTN Hawaii at Ohio State -40 Ohio State (53.1-6.0) 47.1 99.7% Ohio State
3:30 PM CBSSN Minnesota at Colorado State +6 Minnesota (23.3-21.7) 1.6 53.7% Colorado State
3:30 PM ABC Notre Dame at Virginia +13 Notre Dame (35.3-25.0) 10.3 72.5% Virginia
3:30 PM ESPN3 Tulane at Georgia Tech -28.5 Georgia Tech (38.5-10.1) 28.4 95.0% Tulane
3:30 PM ESPNU Washington State at Rutgers -2 Washington State (33.8-32.4) 1.4 53.3% Washington State
4:00 PM Eastern Michigan at Wyoming -13.5 Wyoming (39.4-24.3) 15.2 81.0% Wyoming
4:00 PM ESPNN Eastern Illinois at Northwestern Northwestern (33.7-9.5) 24.1 91.9%
4:00 PM SECN Middle Tennessee at Alabama -35 Alabama (52.7-16.7) 36.0 98.1% Alabama
4:00 PM SECN+ Toledo vs. Arkansas -21.5 Arkansas (45.6-29.1) 16.5 82.9% Toledo
4:45 PM Fox Iowa at Iowa State +4 Iowa (21.2-17.0) 4.2 59.6% Iowa
5:00 PM Pac-12 San Diego State at California -13.5 California (24.0-16.3) 7.7 67.2% San Diego State
6:00 PM ESPN3 Eastern Kentucky at NC State NC State (47.2-20.3) 26.9 94.0%
6:00 PM ESPN3 NC A&T at North Carolina North Carolina (43.6-11.8) 31.8 96.7%
6:00 PM ESPN3 NC Central at Duke Duke (39.4-7.3) 32.1 96.8%
6:00 PM ESPN3 Delaware State at Kent State Kent State (32.0--1.1) 33.1 97.2%
6:00 PM ESPN Oklahoma at Tennessee +1 Oklahoma (35.6-35.6) 0.0 50.1% Tennessee
6:00 PM ESPN3 Pittsburgh at Akron +13 Pittsburgh (43.0-24.6) 18.4 85.6% Pittsburgh
6:00 PM ESPN3 Western Michigan at Georgia Southern +4.5 Georgia Southern (26.2-23.2) 3.0 56.9% Georgia Southern
7:00 PM ESPN3 Charleston Southern at Troy Troy (36.2-31.4) 4.8 61.0%
7:00 PM ESPN3 Northwestern State at UL-Lafayette UL-Lafayette (40.6-24.8) 15.8 82.0%
7:00 PM ESPN3 Prairie View A&M at Texas State Texas State (41.4-21.9) 19.5 87.0%
7:00 PM ESPN3 Nicholls State at UL-Monroe UL-Monroe (43.4-13.2) 30.3 96.0%
7:00 PM ESPN3 Marshall at Ohio +3.5 Marshall (39.3-26.6) 12.7 76.8% Marshall
7:00 PM CBSSN Arizona at Nevada +12 Arizona (36.0-25.4) 10.5 72.9% Nevada
7:00 PM ESPNU Ball State at Texas A&M -30 Texas A&M (39.6-17.3) 22.3 90.1% Ball State
7:00 PM ESPN2 East Carolina at Florida -20.5 Florida (41.1-29.3) 11.8 75.3% East Carolina
7:00 PM Norfolk State at Old Dominion Old Dominion (39.9-21.6) 18.3 85.5%
7:00 PM ESPN3 Memphis at Kansas +13.5 Memphis (37.5-25.5) 12.0 75.7% Kansas
7:00 PM ESPN3 Missouri at Arkansas State +10.5 Missouri (32.6-18.6) 14.0 79.0% Missouri
7:00 PM ESPN3 North Texas at SMU -4.5 SMU (37.6-29.8) 7.8 67.5% SMU
7:30 PM FSN Central Arkansas at Oklahoma State Oklahoma State (44.0-13.5) 30.4 96.1%
7:30 PM FSN Lamar at Baylor Baylor (59.2-11.8) 47.4 99.7%
7:30 PM SECN Kentucky at South Carolina -7.5 South Carolina (42.2-25.3) 16.9 83.5% South Carolina
8:00 PM Pac-12 Idaho at USC -43 USC (52.9-14.1) 38.8 98.8% Idaho
8:00 PM ABC Oregon at Michigan State -4 Oregon (40.4-39.7) 0.7 51.6% Oregon
8:00 PM LHN Rice at Texas -15.5 Texas (38.1-19.7) 18.5 85.7% Texas
8:00 PM BTN South Alabama at Nebraska -27 Nebraska (44.9-18.2) 26.7 93.9% South Alabama
8:00 PM BTN Florida International at Indiana -7.5 Indiana (42.9-34.4) 8.5 68.9% Indiana
8:00 PM ESPN3 Georgia State at New Mexico State -7 Georgia State (28.5-28.4) 0.1 50.3% Georgia State
8:00 PM ESPNN Temple at Cincinnati -7 Cincinnati (29.0-24.3) 4.7 60.7% Temple
8:00 PM ESPN3 Tulsa at New Mexico -4 Tulsa (23.6-23.3) 0.3 50.7% Tulsa
9:15 PM ESPN LSU at Mississippi State +5 LSU (27.3-23.2) 4.1 59.3% Mississippi State
10:15 PM ESPN2 Boise State at BYU +3 Boise State (25.4-20.7) 4.6 60.6% Boise State
10:15 PM ESPNU San Jose State at Air Force -6 Air Force (41.6-34.3) 7.2 66.2% Air Force
10:30 PM FS1 Central Florida at Stanford -19 Stanford (29.7-11.7) 18.0 85.1% Central Florida
10:30 PM CBSSN UCLA at UNLV +29 UCLA (54.5-20.6) 33.9 97.5% UCLA
11:00 PM Pac-12 Cal Poly at Arizona State Arizona State (43.4-4.3) 39.1 98.8%