:format(webp)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/47200186/usa-today-8797605.0.jpg)
Kentucky 26, South Carolina 22
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Kentucky | South Carolina | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 67 | 61 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 22.9 | 34.5 | 29.7 |
| Possessions | 11 | 11 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
5 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.80 | 3.29 | 4.80 |
| Leverage Rate** | 58.2% | 82.0% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.598 | 0.648 | 0.584 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
| EqPts (what's this?) | Kentucky | South Carolina | |
| Total | 37.2 | 38.2 | |
| Rushing | 20.4 | 19.1 | |
| Passing | 16.8 | 19.1 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Kentucky | South Carolina | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 40.3% | 49.2% | 41.3% |
| Rushing (close) | 48.7% | 56.3% | 42.5% |
| Passing (close) | 30.0% | 41.4% | 40.1% |
| Standard Downs | 51.3% | 56.0% | 46.8% |
| Passing Downs | 25.0% | 18.2% | 29.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Kentucky | South Carolina | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.38 | 1.27 | 1.27 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.13 | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Passing (close) | 1.87 | 1.59 | 1.49 |
| Standard Downs | 1.18 | 1.21 | 1.10 |
| Passing Downs | 1.93 | 2.20 | 1.83 |
| Line Stats | Kentucky | South Carolina | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 11.1% | 6.6% |
| Turnovers | Kentucky | South Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 5.9 | 3.3 |
| Turnover Margin | +0 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | South Carolina +0.58 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Kentucky +0.58 | |
| TO Points Margin | South Carolina +2.7 points | |
| Situational | Kentucky | South Carolina |
| Q1 S&P | 0.695 | 0.499 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.677 | 0.680 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.000 | 0.715 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.493 | 0.666 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.606 | 0.706 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.645 | 0.798 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.553 | 0.532 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: South Carolina by 3.7 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Kentucky by 4 | ||
Neither team covered itself in glory in this one, did they? More than 80 percent of South Carolina's snaps came on standard downs, but the Gamecocks still had to settle for four field goals (missing one).
Kentucky, meanwhile, ran the ball well but couldn't actually throw for yardage -- one pass to Jeff Badet went for 43 yards, and the other 20 completions gained just 149. (It's really hard to finish with a 72% completion rate and just a 30 percent passing success rate.)
In the end, SC's failures went deeper. It's hard to lose a game when you've got a nearly 12-yards-per-drive field position advantage, create two more scoring opportunities, and don't lose the turnovers battle, but they pulled it off. (And I guess it's only fair after the Gamecocks beat a UNC team that blew a bunch of chances the week before.)