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Minnesota 23, Colorado State 20
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Colorado State | Minnesota | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 73 | 86 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 30.7 | 23.8 | 29.7 |
| Possessions | 18 | 17 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
4 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.00 | 2.86 | 4.80 |
| Leverage Rate** | 60.3% | 69.8% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.501 | 0.526 | 0.584 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Colorado State | Minnesota | |
| Total | 28.5 | 36.5 | |
| Rushing | 15.8 | 15.7 | |
| Passing | 12.8 | 20.8 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Colorado State | Minnesota | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 30.1% | 37.2% | 41.3% |
| Rushing (close) | 37.5% | 37.5% | 42.5% |
| Passing (close) | 21.2% | 37.0% | 40.1% |
| Standard Downs | 29.6% | 36.7% | 46.8% |
| Passing Downs | 31.0% | 38.5% | 29.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Colorado State | Minnesota | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.30 | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.05 | 1.04 | 1.06 |
| Passing (close) | 1.82 | 1.22 | 1.49 |
| Standard Downs | 1.33 | 1.13 | 1.10 |
| Passing Downs | 1.25 | 1.15 | 1.83 |
| Line Stats | Colorado State | Minnesota | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.88 | 3.06 | 2.80 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 7.7% | 0.0% | 6.6% |
| Turnovers | Colorado State | Minnesota |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 4 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 11.0 | 9.8 |
| Turnover Margin | Minnesota +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Minnesota +1.39 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Minnesota +0.61 | |
| TO Points Margin | Minnesota +1.2 points | |
| Situational | Colorado State | Minnesota |
| Q1 S&P | 0.530 | 0.346 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.293 | 0.505 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.417 | 0.649 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.616 | 0.588 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.494 | 0.486 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.550 | 0.546 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.520 | 0.538 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Minnesota by 9.1 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Minnesota by 3 | ||
I didn't get to watch any of this one, so I was curious how it unfolded. Looks like Minnesota held the edge play-to-play -- better (but not great) success rates, more scoring opportunities -- but the Gophers blew said opportunities and didn't come up with much in the way of big plays. In the end, CSU converted better, won the field position battle, had a chance to steal the game ... and then didn't because of turnovers. Sloppy.