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2015 NC State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

NC State Wolfpack (ACC Atlantic)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.1 (0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 36
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep Troy 90 49-21 W 92% 11.4 85% 89% 40%
12-Sep Eastern Kentucky N/A 35-0 W 100% 39.8 79% 49% 95%
19-Sep at Old Dominion 110 38-14 W 99% 18.6 90% 70% 65%
26-Sep at South Alabama 103 63-13 W 100% 48.8 95% 99% 66%
3-Oct Louisville 28 13-20 L 26% -5.2 76% 23% 86%
9-Oct at Virginia Tech 59 13-28 L 5% -13.4 14% 26% 38%
24-Oct at Wake Forest 92 35-17 W 100% 35.6 83% 88% 86%
31-Oct Clemson 2 41-56 L 3% -15.2 31% 78% 20%
7-Nov at Boston College 67 24-8 W 100% 26.3 91% 89% 73%
14-Nov at Florida State 7 17-34 L 1% -18.4 19% 32% 52%
21-Nov Syracuse 71 42-29 W 61% 2.2 27% 60% 28%
28-Nov North Carolina 29 34-45 L 18% -7.4 39% 74% 44%
30-Dec vs. Mississippi State 16 28-51 L 3% -14.8 22% 63% 21%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 34.8 30 25.1 45
Points Per Game 33.2 42 25.8 52
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.32 35 1.39 110 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 41.5% 71 39.0% 46 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 32.5 19 27.8 27 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.27 23 4.73 70 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 7.65 16 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.52
ACTUAL 9 16
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 122.8 8 106.0 44 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 43.3% 57 36.6% 17 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.31 5 1.25 114 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 117.5 10 116 13 100.0
Opportunity Rate 42.3% 26 33.6% 17 38.9%
Power Success Rate 66.7% 58 52.4% 10 66.3%
Stuff Rate 18.3% 46 28.5% 3 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Matthew Dayes RB 5'9, 203 JR 134 865 12 6.5 7.6 40.3% 1 (1)
Jacoby Brissett QB 6'4, 235 SR 103 601 6 5.8 4.0 49.5% 4 (1)
Reggie Gallaspy II RB 5'11, 212 FR 66 316 4 4.8 3.6 39.4% 0 (0)
Jaylen Samuels TE 5'11, 236 SO 56 368 9 6.6 9.3 37.5% 2 (1)
Nyheim Hines WR 5'9, 190 FR 47 245 1 5.2 4.9 42.6% 0 (0)
Dakwa Nichols RB 5'9, 195 SO 43 201 1 4.7 4.2 32.6% 1 (1)
Shadrach Thornton RB 6'1, 218 SR 30 203 3 6.8 4.9 53.3% 0 (0)
Johnathan Alston WR 6'0, 203 JR 4 68 0 17.0 10.0 100.0% 0 (0)
Jalan McClendon QB 6'5, 212 FR 4 12 0 3.0 1.4 75.0% 1 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 100.9 65 92.6 90 100.0
Passing Success Rate 39.6% 72 41.6% 74 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.34 101 1.53 85 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 75 105 103.5 57 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Jacoby Brissett 6'4, 235 SR 237 395 2662 20 6 60.0% 37 8.6% 5.6
Jalan McClendon 6'5, 212 FR 8 14 69 0 0 57.1% 1 6.7% 4.5

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Jaylen Samuels TE 5'11, 236 SO 80 65 597 7 9.2 7.5 81.2% 46.2% 20.5%
Jumichael Ramos WR 6'2, 200 JR 53 34 457 3 13.4 8.6 64.2% 58.5% 13.6%
Nyheim Hines WR 5'9, 190 FR 42 20 256 1 12.8 6.1 47.6% 33.3% 10.8%
Bra'Lon Cherry WR 5'11, 191 JR 39 23 324 0 14.1 8.3 59.0% 51.3% 10.0%
David J. Grinnage TE 6'5, 265 JR 39 25 290 3 11.6 7.4 64.1% 53.8% 10.0%
Johnathan Alston WR 6'0, 203 JR 37 18 167 1 9.3 4.5 48.6% 29.7% 9.5%
Matthew Dayes RB 5'9, 203 JR 30 24 172 0 7.2 5.7 80.0% 50.0% 7.7%
Maurice Trowell WR 5'11, 191 FR 29 12 210 2 17.5 7.2 41.4% 31.0% 7.4%
Cole Cook TE 6'6, 250 SO 10 6 61 0 10.2 6.1 60.0% 60.0% 2.6%
Gavin Locklear WR 5'10, 186 SO 9 7 75 0 10.7 8.3 77.8% 77.8% 2.3%
Benson Browne TE 6'6, 255 SR 6 4 18 2 4.5 3.0 66.7% 66.7% 1.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II RB 5'11, 212 FR 4 4 39 0 9.8 9.8 100.0% 75.0% 1.0%
Dakwa Nichols RB 5'9, 195 SO 3 1 4 0 4.0 1.3 33.3% 0.0% 0.8%
Maurice Morgan WR 6'3, 245 SR 2 2 21 0 10.5 10.5 100.0% 100.0% 0.5%
Stephen Morrison WR 5'11, 196 FR 2 1 3 0 3.0 1.5 50.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Pharoah McKever DE 6'6, 260 SO 1 1 82 1 82.0 82.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 117.8 15 96.8 80 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 48.4% 40 44.6% 51 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.24 15 1.30 120 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.26 20 2.51 17 2.90
SD Sack Rate 8.8% 119 6.7% 18 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 97.4 77 107.1 48 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 28.0% 88 27.1% 31 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.62 96 1.73 62 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.27 63 2.63 14 3.20
PD Sack Rate 11.2% 115 8.0% 53 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 132.7 5 98.3 67
Q2 S&P+ 119.1 24 101.7 72
Q3 S&P+ 104.6 60 112.9 32
Q4 S&P+ 90.9 103 110.8 30
1st Down S&P+ 111.2 33 97.8 76
2nd Down S&P+ 109.3 47 112.9 33
3rd Down S&P+ 108.1 51 110.4 39
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 60.4% 65 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 34.5% 54 34.0%
Adj. Pace +1.8 41 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 70.6% 101 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 57.6% 93 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 36.0% 49 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 18.0% 32 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 8.8% 4 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 2.3% 119 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 6.6% 55 6.3%
PD to INC 27.6% 108 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Airius Moore LB 6'0, 232 SO 54.5 8.9% 8.0 0.5 0 1 0 0
Hakim Jones S 6'2, 205 SR 49.5 8.1% 2.5 0.0 2 2 1 0
Bradley Chubb DE 6'4, 260 SO 49.0 8.0% 11.0 5.5 1 1 3 0
Josh Jones S 6'2, 215 SO 48.5 7.9% 2.5 0.5 1 2 1 0
Mike Rose DE 6'3, 270 SR 41.0 6.7% 15.0 10.5 0 0 2 0
B.J. Hill DT 6'4, 300 SO 36.5 5.9% 11.0 3.5 0 3 0 0
Dravious Wright DB 5'10, 208 JR 34.5 5.6% 4.5 2.0 0 1 1 0
Juston Burris CB 6'1, 207 SR 33.5 5.5% 3.0 0.0 1 7 1 0
Jerod Fernandez LB 6'0, 231 SO 30.0 4.9% 3.0 0.5 2 0 0 0
Justin Jones DT 6'2, 300 SO 25.0 4.1% 6.5 2.0 0 0 1 0
Germaine Pratt S 6'3, 234 SO 23.5 3.8% 1.5 0.0 1 1 3 0
Riley Nicholson LB 6'0, 229 FR 22.0 3.6% 3.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Niles Clark CB 5'11, 186 JR 21.5 3.5% 1.0 0.0 2 1 0 0
Kentavius Street DT 6'2, 290 SO 20.5 3.3% 3.0 0.5 0 2 1 0
Mike Stevens CB 5'11, 190 SO 19.5 3.2% 0.5 0.0 1 5 0 0
Jack Tocho CB 6'0, 198 JR 17.5 2.9% 0.0 0.0 1 3 0 0
Darian Roseboro DE 6'4, 287 FR 12.5 2.0% 5.0 4.0 1 3 0 0
Shawn Boone S 5'10, 194 SO 10.0 1.6% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
M.J. Salahuddin LB 6'2, 227 JR 9.0 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Josh Sessoms WR 6'2, 198 JR 7.0 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Monty Nelson DT 6'2, 310 JR 6.0 1.0% 1.0 0.5 0 0 0 0
Eurndraus Bryant DT 6'1, 350 FR 5.0 0.8% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 1
Ford Howell LB 6'1, 240 SO 4.5 0.7% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Freddie Phillips, Jr. DB 6'1, 200 FR 4.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jackson Maples PK 5'10, 195 FR 4.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.7 94
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.59 122
Punt Success Rate 63.1% 28
Kickoff Success Rate 68.9% 75
Punt Return Success Rate 50.0% 58
Kick Return Success Rate 57.5% 15
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Kyle Bambard 5'8, 190 FR 54-56 7-14 50.0%
Jackson Maples 5'10, 195 FR 1-1 0-0 #DIV/0!
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
A.J. Cole III 6'4, 238 FR 66 41.7 6 26 25 77.3%
Kyle Bambard 5'8, 190 FR 1 49.0 0 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Jackson Maples 5'10, 195 FR 73 61.9 39 53.4% 3 5 5 0
Kyle Bambard 5'8, 190 FR 1 60.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Bra'Lon Cherry 5'11, 191 JR 27 13.3 1 21 0 (0)
Gavin Locklear 5'10, 186 SO 1 5.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Nyheim Hines 5'9, 190 FR 35 26.3 1 0 0 (0)
Bra'Lon Cherry 5'11, 191 JR 4 30.0 0 0 0 (0)
Jaylen Samuels 5'11, 236 SO 2 6.5 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics