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2016 NC State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

NC State Wolfpack (ACC Atlantic)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 8.5 (1.5) | S&P+ Rk: 25
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
1-Sep William & Mary N/A 48-14 W 100% 23.4 91% 79% 63%
10-Sep at East Carolina 100 30-33 L 82% 7.1 65% 59% 41%
17-Sep Old Dominion 73 49-22 W 99% 19.5 93% 92% 83%
1-Oct Wake Forest 60 33-16 W 100% 20.3 91% 94% 43%
8-Oct Notre Dame 26 10-3 W 88% 9.1 88% 3% 100%
15-Oct at Clemson 2 17-24 L 12% -9.2 72% 56% 89%
22-Oct at Louisville 12 13-54 L 0% -53.4 10% 5% 32%
29-Oct Boston College 86 14-21 L 64% 2.9 61% 50% 47%
5-Nov Florida State 6 20-24 L 20% -6.6 71% 58% 60%
12-Nov at Syracuse 76 35-20 W 99% 18.3 86% 47% 75%
19-Nov Miami-FL 14 13-27 L 8% -11.1 56% 46% 63%
25-Nov at North Carolina 21 28-21 W 83% 7.5 85% 78% 66%
26-Dec vs. Vanderbilt 71 41-17 W 97% 15.2 85% 67% 72%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 31.5 55 19.5 11
Points Per Game 27.0 75 22.8 27
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.25 75 1.24 57 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 43.4% 48 36.7% 20 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.8 63 30.9 99 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.00 107 4.20 40 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 2.77 47 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.30
ACTUAL 2 47
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 101.8 69 122.7 12 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 43.7% 63 34.4% 7 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.96 113 1.11 78 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 105.9 50 119.2 11 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.2% 84 35.4% 33 39.7%
Power Success Rate 61.7% 103 60.5% 21 67.9%
Stuff Rate 18.4% 59 22.5% 26 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Matthew Dayes RB 5'9, 203 SR 249 1166 10 4.7 4.0 39.0% 3 (3)
Ryan Finley QB 6'4, 200 SO 59 193 1 3.3 2.7 39.0% 7 (1)
Reggie Gallaspy II RB 5'11, 225 SO 51 231 2 4.5 4.5 33.3% 0 (0)
Jalan McClendon QB 6'5, 212 SO 34 161 2 4.7 4.9 32.4% 2 (0)
Jaylen Samuels TE 5'11, 223 JR 33 189 6 5.7 5.0 42.4% 0 (0)
Dakwa Nichols RB 5'9, 195 JR 19 98 1 5.2 2.1 52.6% 0 (0)
Johnny Frasier RB 5'10, 224 FR 18 64 1 3.6 2.0 38.9% 0 (0)
Nyheim Hines RB 5'9, 197 SO 13 44 0 3.4 4.0 38.5% 3 (2)
Brady Bodine RB 5'10, 200 SO 3 14 0 4.7 3.5 33.3% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 113.8 31 117.8 15 100.0
Passing Success Rate 43.1% 39 38.4% 39 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.55 39 1.33 12 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 199.3 10 109.8 44 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Ryan Finley 6'4, 200 SO 243 402 3055 18 8 60.4% 15 3.6% 7.1
Jalan McClendon 6'5, 212 SO 16 30 176 1 4 53.3% 2 6.3% 5.1
Jakobi Meyers 6'2, 188 FR 1 2 27 0 0 50.0% 0 0.0% 13.5

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Jaylen Samuels TE 5'11, 223 JR 81 55 565 7 10.3 7.0 67.9% 42.0% 19.4%
Stephen Louis WR 6'2, 215 SO 70 35 678 2 19.4 9.7 50.0% 42.9% 16.7%
Nyheim Hines RB 5'9, 197 SO 60 43 525 0 12.2 8.8 71.7% 58.3% 14.4%
Bra'Lon Cherry WR 5'11, 191 SR 55 30 434 3 14.5 7.9 54.5% 40.0% 13.2%
Kelvin Harmon WR 6'3, 196 FR 45 27 462 5 17.1 10.3 60.0% 53.3% 10.8%
Matthew Dayes RB 5'9, 203 SR 41 32 267 0 8.3 6.5 78.0% 43.9% 9.8%
Jakobi Meyers QB 6'2, 188 FR 19 13 158 0 12.2 8.3 68.4% 57.9% 4.5%
Maurice Trowell WR 5'11, 191 SO 14 9 149 1 16.6 10.6 64.3% 50.0% 3.3%
Thaddeus Moss TE 6'4, 247 FR 13 6 49 1 8.2 3.8 46.2% 38.5% 3.1%
Cole Cook TE 6'6, 250 JR 5 4 49 1 12.3 9.8 80.0% 80.0% 1.2%
Reggie Gallaspy II RB 5'11, 225 SO 5 5 9 0 1.8 1.8 100.0% 20.0% 1.2%
Gavin Locklear WR 5'10, 186 JR 3 2 15 0 7.5 5.0 66.7% 66.7% 0.7%
Dakwa Nichols RB 5'9, 195 JR 2 2 23 0 11.5 11.5 100.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Pharoah McKever TE 6'6, 260 JR 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Stephen Morrison WR 5'11, 201 SO 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Dravious Wright DB 5'10, 208 SR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 100.0 73 122.6 8 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 46.7% 78 41.4% 18 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.15 53 1.07 43 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.86 88 2.27 6 2.98
SD Sack Rate 3.6% 36 7.5% 13 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 127.9 11 114.6 26 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 36.5% 16 28.7% 39 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.52 120 1.66 36 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.37 55 3.05 47 3.24
PD Sack Rate 3.7% 8 6.5% 85 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 107.9 51 114.4 27
Q2 S&P+ 113.4 36 133.9 8
Q3 S&P+ 109.1 43 115.6 22
Q4 S&P+ 100.5 69 106.5 44
1st Down S&P+ 94.1 95 136.8 2
2nd Down S&P+ 120.6 18 102.4 58
3rd Down S&P+ 125.3 15 116.0 26
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.4% 59 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 29.7% 94 34.6%
Adj. Pace +0.8 55 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 74.4% 59 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 47.4% 125 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 36.3% 50 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 18.5% 21 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 7.9% 12 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 3.5% 84 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 6.8% 42 6.4%
PD to INC 31.3% 84 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Josh Jones S 6'2, 215 JR 85.5 12.5% 3.5 1.0 3 8 1
Airius Moore LB 6'0, 237 JR 71.0 10.4% 13.0 2.5 0 5 1
Jerod Fernandez LB 6'0, 220 JR 60.5 8.8% 5.0 0.0 1 3 1
Dravious Wright DB 5'10, 208 SR 51.5 7.5% 1.0 0.0 0 5 4
Shawn Boone S 5'10, 201 JR 50.0 7.3% 0.0 0.0 0 2 1
Bradley Chubb DE 6'4, 275 JR 45.0 6.6% 21.5 10.0 0 1 3
Jack Tocho CB 6'0, 200 SR 35.0 5.1% 2.0 1.0 2 9 0
Justin Jones DT 6'2, 312 JR 32.0 4.7% 6.5 3.0 0 1 0
Mike Stevens CB 5'11, 190 JR 29.5 4.3% 1.0 1.0 1 4 0
B.J. Hill DT 6'4, 300 JR 27.5 4.0% 2.0 1.0 0 3 1
Niles Clark DB 5'11, 186 SR 23.5 3.4% 2.0 0.0 1 3 1
Kentavius Street DE 6'2, 290 JR 22.0 3.2% 9.5 5.5 0 1 0
Darian Roseboro DE 6'4, 280 SO 21.0 3.1% 11.5 7.0 0 0 0
Monty Nelson DT 6'2, 315 SR 19.0 2.8% 2.0 1.0 0 1 0
Nick McCloud CB 6'2, 175 FR 13.5 2.0% 0.0 0.0 0 3 0
Eurndraus Bryant DT 6'1, 325 SO 11.0 1.6% 3.0 1.0 0 0 0
Jarius Morehead S 6'1, 213 FR 10.5 1.5% 0.0 0.0 1 1 0
Riley Nicholson LB 6'0, 229 SO 10.0 1.5% 1.5 0.5 0 0 1
James Smith-Williams DE 6'4, 235 FR 9.5 1.4% 0.5 0.5 0 1 0
Dexter Wright S 6'2, 232 SO 8.5 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Tyrone Riley DE 6'6, 285 FR 8.0 1.2% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0
Freddie Phillips, Jr. CB 6'1, 200 SO 5.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Ford Howell LB 6'1, 240 JR 4.0 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Trae Meadows DB 6'1, 185 FR 3.0 0.4% 0.0 0.0 1 0 0
Sean Paul CB 5'11, 192 JR 2.5 0.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.4 116
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.66 123
Punt Success Rate 54.7% 77
Kickoff Success Rate 55.9% 111
Punt Return Success Rate 46.7% 78
Kick Return Success Rate 51.4% 31
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Kyle Bambard 5'8, 190 SO 25-28 5-10 50.0%
Connor Haskins 5'8, 176 SR 17-17 4-7 57.1%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
A.J. Cole III 6'4, 230 SO 51 41.3 5 20 16 70.6%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Kyle Bambard 5'8, 190 SO 46 61.7 10 21.7% 0 2 0 0
Jackson Maples 5'10, 195 SO 22 61.0 6 27.3% 0 3 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Bra'Lon Cherry 5'11, 191 SR 14 7.6 0 18 1 (1)
Pharoah McKever 6'6, 260 JR 1 9.0 0 0 0 (0)
Dexter Wright 6'2, 232 SO 0 0.0 1 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Nyheim Hines 5'9, 197 SO 32 24.4 1 0 1 (0)
Bra'Lon Cherry 5'11, 191 SR 3 16.7 0 1 0 (0)
Dakwa Nichols 5'9, 195 JR 1 22.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics