Updated on 1/13/2017
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
Got position corrections? Note them here.
Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.
2015 | 2016
NC State Wolfpack (ACC Atlantic)
2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 8.5 (1.5) | S&P+ Rk: 25 | |||||||||
Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
1-Sep | William & Mary | N/A | 48-14 | W | 100% | 23.4 | 91% | 79% | 63% |
10-Sep | at East Carolina | 100 | 30-33 | L | 82% | 7.1 | 65% | 59% | 41% |
17-Sep | Old Dominion | 73 | 49-22 | W | 99% | 19.5 | 93% | 92% | 83% |
1-Oct | Wake Forest | 60 | 33-16 | W | 100% | 20.3 | 91% | 94% | 43% |
8-Oct | Notre Dame | 26 | 10-3 | W | 88% | 9.1 | 88% | 3% | 100% |
15-Oct | at Clemson | 2 | 17-24 | L | 12% | -9.2 | 72% | 56% | 89% |
22-Oct | at Louisville | 12 | 13-54 | L | 0% | -53.4 | 10% | 5% | 32% |
29-Oct | Boston College | 86 | 14-21 | L | 64% | 2.9 | 61% | 50% | 47% |
5-Nov | Florida State | 6 | 20-24 | L | 20% | -6.6 | 71% | 58% | 60% |
12-Nov | at Syracuse | 76 | 35-20 | W | 99% | 18.3 | 86% | 47% | 75% |
19-Nov | Miami-FL | 14 | 13-27 | L | 8% | -11.1 | 56% | 46% | 63% |
25-Nov | at North Carolina | 21 | 28-21 | W | 83% | 7.5 | 85% | 78% | 66% |
26-Dec | vs. Vanderbilt | 71 | 41-17 | W | 97% | 15.2 | 85% | 67% | 72% |
Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
S&P+ | 31.5 | 55 | 19.5 | 11 |
Points Per Game | 27.0 | 75 | 22.8 | 27 |
Five Factors
Offense | Defense | |||||
Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.25 | 75 | 1.24 | 57 | 1.27 |
EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 43.4% | 48 | 36.7% | 20 | 40.9% |
FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 29.8 | 63 | 30.9 | 99 | 29.7 |
FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.00 | 107 | 4.20 | 40 | 4.47 |
TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | 2.77 | 47 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -0.30 |
||
ACTUAL | 2 | 47 |
Rushing
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Rushing S&P+ | 101.8 | 69 | 122.7 | 12 | 100.0 |
Rushing Success Rate | 43.7% | 63 | 34.4% | 7 | 43.1% |
Rushing IsoPPP | 0.96 | 113 | 1.11 | 78 | 1.08 |
Adj. Line Yards | 105.9 | 50 | 119.2 | 11 | 100.0 |
Opportunity Rate | 38.2% | 84 | 35.4% | 33 | 39.7% |
Power Success Rate | 61.7% | 103 | 60.5% | 21 | 67.9% |
Stuff Rate | 18.4% | 59 | 22.5% | 26 | 18.9% |
Individual Rushing Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
Matthew Dayes | RB | 5'9, 203 | SR | 249 | 1166 | 10 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 39.0% | 3 (3) |
Ryan Finley | QB | 6'4, 200 | SO | 59 | 193 | 1 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 39.0% | 7 (1) |
Reggie Gallaspy II | RB | 5'11, 225 | SO | 51 | 231 | 2 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 33.3% | 0 (0) |
Jalan McClendon | QB | 6'5, 212 | SO | 34 | 161 | 2 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 32.4% | 2 (0) |
Jaylen Samuels | TE | 5'11, 223 | JR | 33 | 189 | 6 | 5.7 | 5.0 | 42.4% | 0 (0) |
Dakwa Nichols | RB | 5'9, 195 | JR | 19 | 98 | 1 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 52.6% | 0 (0) |
Johnny Frasier | RB | 5'10, 224 | FR | 18 | 64 | 1 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 38.9% | 0 (0) |
Nyheim Hines | RB | 5'9, 197 | SO | 13 | 44 | 0 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 38.5% | 3 (2) |
Brady Bodine | RB | 5'10, 200 | SO | 3 | 14 | 0 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 33.3% | 0 (0) |
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. |
Passing
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Passing S&P+ | 113.8 | 31 | 117.8 | 15 | 100.0 |
Passing Success Rate | 43.1% | 39 | 38.4% | 39 | 40.9% |
Passing IsoPPP | 1.55 | 39 | 1.33 | 12 | 1.49 |
Adj. Sack Rate | 199.3 | 10 | 109.8 | 44 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
Ryan Finley | 6'4, 200 | SO | 243 | 402 | 3055 | 18 | 8 | 60.4% | 15 | 3.6% | 7.1 |
Jalan McClendon | 6'5, 212 | SO | 16 | 30 | 176 | 1 | 4 | 53.3% | 2 | 6.3% | 5.1 |
Jakobi Meyers | 6'2, 188 | FR | 1 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 50.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 13.5 |
Individual Receiving Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
Jaylen Samuels | TE | 5'11, 223 | JR | 81 | 55 | 565 | 7 | 10.3 | 7.0 | 67.9% | 42.0% | 19.4% |
Stephen Louis | WR | 6'2, 215 | SO | 70 | 35 | 678 | 2 | 19.4 | 9.7 | 50.0% | 42.9% | 16.7% |
Nyheim Hines | RB | 5'9, 197 | SO | 60 | 43 | 525 | 0 | 12.2 | 8.8 | 71.7% | 58.3% | 14.4% |
Bra'Lon Cherry | WR | 5'11, 191 | SR | 55 | 30 | 434 | 3 | 14.5 | 7.9 | 54.5% | 40.0% | 13.2% |
Kelvin Harmon | WR | 6'3, 196 | FR | 45 | 27 | 462 | 5 | 17.1 | 10.3 | 60.0% | 53.3% | 10.8% |
Matthew Dayes | RB | 5'9, 203 | SR | 41 | 32 | 267 | 0 | 8.3 | 6.5 | 78.0% | 43.9% | 9.8% |
Jakobi Meyers | QB | 6'2, 188 | FR | 19 | 13 | 158 | 0 | 12.2 | 8.3 | 68.4% | 57.9% | 4.5% |
Maurice Trowell | WR | 5'11, 191 | SO | 14 | 9 | 149 | 1 | 16.6 | 10.6 | 64.3% | 50.0% | 3.3% |
Thaddeus Moss | TE | 6'4, 247 | FR | 13 | 6 | 49 | 1 | 8.2 | 3.8 | 46.2% | 38.5% | 3.1% |
Cole Cook | TE | 6'6, 250 | JR | 5 | 4 | 49 | 1 | 12.3 | 9.8 | 80.0% | 80.0% | 1.2% |
Reggie Gallaspy II | RB | 5'11, 225 | SO | 5 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 100.0% | 20.0% | 1.2% |
Gavin Locklear | WR | 5'10, 186 | JR | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 0.7% |
Dakwa Nichols | RB | 5'9, 195 | JR | 2 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 11.5 | 11.5 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 0.5% |
Pharoah McKever | TE | 6'6, 260 | JR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% |
Stephen Morrison | WR | 5'11, 201 | SO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
Dravious Wright | DB | 5'10, 208 | SR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
Standard Downs
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Standard Downs S&P+ | 100.0 | 73 | 122.6 | 8 | 100.0 |
Standard Downs Success Rate | 46.7% | 78 | 41.4% | 18 | 47.3% |
Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.15 | 53 | 1.07 | 43 | 1.12 |
SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.86 | 88 | 2.27 | 6 | 2.98 |
SD Sack Rate | 3.6% | 36 | 7.5% | 13 | 5.1% |
Passing Downs
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Passing Downs S&P+ | 127.9 | 11 | 114.6 | 26 | 100.0 |
Passing Downs Success Rate | 36.5% | 16 | 28.7% | 39 | 31.1% |
Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.52 | 120 | 1.66 | 36 | 1.76 |
PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.37 | 55 | 3.05 | 47 | 3.24 |
PD Sack Rate | 3.7% | 8 | 6.5% | 85 | 7.9% |
Situational
Offense | Defense | |||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
Q1 S&P+ | 107.9 | 51 | 114.4 | 27 |
Q2 S&P+ | 113.4 | 36 | 133.9 | 8 |
Q3 S&P+ | 109.1 | 43 | 115.6 | 22 |
Q4 S&P+ | 100.5 | 69 | 106.5 | 44 |
1st Down S&P+ | 94.1 | 95 | 136.8 | 2 |
2nd Down S&P+ | 120.6 | 18 | 102.4 | 58 |
3rd Down S&P+ | 125.3 | 15 | 116.0 | 26 |
Offensive Footprint
Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
Std. Downs Run Rate | 61.4% | 59 | 60.2% |
Pass Downs Run Rate | 29.7% | 94 | 34.6% |
Adj. Pace | +0.8 | 55 | +0.0 |
% of Solo Tackles | 74.4% | 59 | 74.2% |
Defensive Footprint
Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
Std. Downs Run Rate | 47.4% | 125 | 60.2% |
Pass. Downs Run Rate | 36.3% | 50 | 34.5% |
Overall Havoc Rate | 18.5% | 21 | 15.8% |
DL Havoc Rate | 7.9% | 12 | 5.0% |
LB Havoc Rate | 3.5% | 84 | 4.3% |
DB Havoc Rate | 6.8% | 42 | 6.4% |
PD to INC | 31.3% | 84 | 33.1% |
Individual Defensive Stats
Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF |
Josh Jones | S | 6'2, 215 | JR | 85.5 | 12.5% | 3.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
Airius Moore | LB | 6'0, 237 | JR | 71.0 | 10.4% | 13.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
Jerod Fernandez | LB | 6'0, 220 | JR | 60.5 | 8.8% | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Dravious Wright | DB | 5'10, 208 | SR | 51.5 | 7.5% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
Shawn Boone | S | 5'10, 201 | JR | 50.0 | 7.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Bradley Chubb | DE | 6'4, 275 | JR | 45.0 | 6.6% | 21.5 | 10.0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Jack Tocho | CB | 6'0, 200 | SR | 35.0 | 5.1% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Justin Jones | DT | 6'2, 312 | JR | 32.0 | 4.7% | 6.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Mike Stevens | CB | 5'11, 190 | JR | 29.5 | 4.3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
B.J. Hill | DT | 6'4, 300 | JR | 27.5 | 4.0% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Niles Clark | DB | 5'11, 186 | SR | 23.5 | 3.4% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Kentavius Street | DE | 6'2, 290 | JR | 22.0 | 3.2% | 9.5 | 5.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Darian Roseboro | DE | 6'4, 280 | SO | 21.0 | 3.1% | 11.5 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Monty Nelson | DT | 6'2, 315 | SR | 19.0 | 2.8% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Nick McCloud | CB | 6'2, 175 | FR | 13.5 | 2.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Eurndraus Bryant | DT | 6'1, 325 | SO | 11.0 | 1.6% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jarius Morehead | S | 6'1, 213 | FR | 10.5 | 1.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Riley Nicholson | LB | 6'0, 229 | SO | 10.0 | 1.5% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
James Smith-Williams | DE | 6'4, 235 | FR | 9.5 | 1.4% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Dexter Wright | S | 6'2, 232 | SO | 8.5 | 1.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Tyrone Riley | DE | 6'6, 285 | FR | 8.0 | 1.2% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Freddie Phillips, Jr. | CB | 6'1, 200 | SO | 5.0 | 0.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ford Howell | LB | 6'1, 240 | JR | 4.0 | 0.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Trae Meadows | DB | 6'1, 185 | FR | 3.0 | 0.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Sean Paul | CB | 5'11, 192 | JR | 2.5 | 0.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Special Teams
Rating | Rank | |
Special Teams S&P+ | -1.4 | 116 |
Category | Rate | Rank |
FG Value (per kick) | -0.66 | 123 |
Punt Success Rate | 54.7% | 77 |
Kickoff Success Rate | 55.9% | 111 |
Punt Return Success Rate | 46.7% | 78 |
Kick Return Success Rate | 51.4% | 31 |
Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
Kyle Bambard | 5'8, 190 | SO | 25-28 | 5-10 | 50.0% |
Connor Haskins | 5'8, 176 | SR | 17-17 | 4-7 | 57.1% |
Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
A.J. Cole III | 6'4, 230 | SO | 51 | 41.3 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 70.6% |
Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
Kyle Bambard | 5'8, 190 | SO | 46 | 61.7 | 10 | 21.7% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Jackson Maples | 5'10, 195 | SO | 22 | 61.0 | 6 | 27.3% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
Bra'Lon Cherry | 5'11, 191 | SR | 14 | 7.6 | 0 | 18 | 1 (1) |
Pharoah McKever | 6'6, 260 | JR | 1 | 9.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Dexter Wright | 6'2, 232 | SO | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
Nyheim Hines | 5'9, 197 | SO | 32 | 24.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 (0) |
Bra'Lon Cherry | 5'11, 191 | SR | 3 | 16.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 (0) |
Dakwa Nichols | 5'9, 195 | JR | 1 | 22.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics