clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

2015 Syracuse advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

Syracuse Orange (ACC Atlantic)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 4-8 | Second-order wins (diff.): 4.6 (0.6) | S&P+ Rk: 71
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
4-Sep Rhode Island N/A 47-0 W 100% 47.5 81% 19% 97%
12-Sep Wake Forest 92 30-17 W 75% 5.4 75% 58% 29%
19-Sep Central Michigan 78 30-27 W 95% 12.9 91% 92% 49%
26-Sep LSU 9 24-34 L 10% -10.2 76% 31% 59%
10-Oct at South Florida 50 24-45 L 0% -23.3 21% 51% 14%
17-Oct at Virginia 73 38-44 L 40% -2.1 19% 5% 64%
24-Oct Pittsburgh 40 20-23 L 56% 1.2 50% 62% 49%
31-Oct at Florida State 7 21-45 L 0% -20.9 18% 60% 20%
7-Nov at Louisville 28 17-41 L 0% -27.1 12% 32% 9%
14-Nov Clemson 2 27-37 L 24% -5.5 68% 79% 68%
21-Nov at NC State 36 29-42 L 39% -2.2 43% 66% 50%
28-Nov Boston College 67 20-17 W 17% -7.5 20% 57% 43%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 28.8 66 28.3 66
Points Per Game 25.0 93 32.7 97
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.28 56 1.23 56 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 38.2% 103 46.8% 114 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 31.9 29 29.5 61 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.27 22 4.89 89 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -8.1 117 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.21
ACTUAL -11 113
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 107.8 41 92.6 90 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 40.1% 93 46.9% 108 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.13 37 1.04 57 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 107.4 39 101.7 52 100.0
Opportunity Rate 39.1% 63 43.0% 117 38.9%
Power Success Rate 62.5% 86 61.9% 39 66.3%
Stuff Rate 16.6% 25 17.8% 93 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Mike Warren RB 6'0, 200 FR 227 1339 5 5.6 7.8 33.6% 1 (0)
Joshua Thomas RB 5'11, 224 FR 75 295 7 5.7 5.1 49.4% 8 (5)
Joel Lanning QB 6'2, 232 SO 70 457 4 4.9 4.8 42.4% 1 (0)
Sam Richardson QB 6'2, 217 SR 29 115 1 5.7 4.7 48.8% 1 (1)
Tyler Brown RB 5'11, 188 SO 24 94 0 2.9 1.7 28.6% 0 (0)
Trever Ryen RB 5'11, 190 SO 17 71 1 5.5 5.7 47.1% 4 (2)
Mitchell Harger RB 5'10, 200 JR 6 34 0 3.9 5.4 33.3% 0 (0)
Jauan Wesley WR 5'11, 181 SO 3 7 0 3.8 2.7 33.3% 0 (0)
Allen Lazard WR 6'5, 223 SO 2 17 0 2.8 3.2 33.3% 1 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 97.4 78 86.6 111 100.0
Passing Success Rate 35.8% 104 46.8% 117 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.51 56 1.43 56 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 62.2 122 119.5 35 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Sam Richardson 6'2, 217 SR 128 213 1443 8 8 60.1% 18 7.8% 5.8
Joel Lanning 6'2, 232 SO 107 193 1246 10 4 55.4% 24 11.1% 5.2

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Allen Lazard WR 6'5, 223 SO 92 58 879 6 15.2 9.6 63.0% 59.0% 23.5%
Quenton Bundrage WR 6'2, 198 SR 70 41 548 4 13.4 7.8 58.6% 36.0% 17.9%
Jauan Wesley WR 5'11, 181 SO 51 30 298 2 9.9 5.8 58.8% 34.1% 13.0%
D'Vario Montgomery WR 6'6, 213 JR 50 27 335 3 12.4 6.7 54.0% 31.2% 12.8%
Dondre Daley WR 6'2, 191 JR 36 24 244 2 10.2 6.8 66.7% 50.0% 9.2%
Trever Ryen RB 5'11, 190 SO 25 18 191 1 10.6 7.6 72.0% 36.8% 6.4%
Mike Warren RB 6'0, 200 FR 22 14 70 0 5.0 3.2 63.6% 28.6% 5.6%
Carson Epps WR 6'1, 195 FR 15 8 42 0 5.3 2.8 53.3% 44.4% 3.8%
Joshua Thomas RB 5'11, 224 FR 9 4 18 0 4.5 2.0 44.4% 33.3% 2.3%
Ben Boesen TE 6'5, 249 SR 8 4 22 0 5.5 2.8 50.0% 16.7% 2.0%
Tyler Brown RB 5'11, 188 SO 4 4 24 0 6.0 6.0 100.0% 33.3% 1.0%
Justin Chandler TE 6'4, 266 JR 2 2 49 0 24.5 24.5 100.0% 100.0% 0.5%
Mitchell Harger RB 5'10, 200 JR 2 2 27 0 13.5 13.5 100.0% 25.0% 0.5%
Cameron MacPherson TE 6'3, 248 JR 3 2 13 0 6.5 4.3 66.7% 0.0% 1.0%
Darius Lee-Campbell WR 6'2, 214 FR 1 1 8 0 8.0 8.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Kane Seeley LB 6'2, 239 JR 1 1 5 0 5.0 5.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 109.8 33 89.1 109 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 44.9% 91 53.6% 120 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.21 23 1.05 46 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.09 33 3.17 105 2.90
SD Sack Rate 7.7% 112 6.3% 24 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 82.4 111 90.9 95 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 24.4% 116 32.4% 87 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.55 113 1.86 91 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.61 29 2.65 17 3.20
PD Sack Rate 14.3% 126 9.4% 25 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 107.2 56 88.0 105
Q2 S&P+ 98.1 78 93.6 87
Q3 S&P+ 106.6 52 97.3 77
Q4 S&P+ 99.0 78 87.3 112
1st Down S&P+ 122.0 14 89.5 108
2nd Down S&P+ 81.4 116 90.2 102
3rd Down S&P+ 86.7 110 102.2 61
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 67.7% 23 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 36.4% 43 34.0%
Adj. Pace +3.9 28 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 84.5% 8 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 60.9% 58 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 29.2% 107 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 15.7% 67 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 6.3% 37 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 3.2% 96 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 6.1% 75 6.3%
PD to INC 29.2% 97 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Brian Peavy DB 5'9, 184 FR 68.0 9.5% 3.5 1.0 2 10 1 0
Qujuan Floyd DB 6'0, 202 SR 65.0 9.1% 0.5 0.5 1 2 0 0
Jordan Harris LB 6'0, 233 JR 53.0 7.4% 5.0 1.0 1 0 0 0
Willie Harvey LB 6'0, 222 FR 45.0 6.3% 3.0 2.0 0 1 0 0
Jarnor Jones LB 6'3, 209 JR 38.0 5.3% 7.0 2.0 0 6 0 0
Levi Peters LB 5'11, 218 JR 37.0 5.2% 6.0 4.0 0 0 3 0
Brian Mills LB 5'10, 226 SO 34.5 4.8% 3.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Jomal Wiltz DB 5'10, 174 JR 34.5 4.8% 0.0 0.0 0 8 0 0
Kamari Cotton-Moya DB 6'1, 197 SO 33.0 4.6% 2.5 0.0 0 1 0 0
Nigel Tribune DB 5'11, 184 JR 33.0 4.6% 1.0 0.0 0 7 2 0
Dale Pierson DE 6'2, 249 SR 31.5 4.4% 12.5 8.5 1 2 1 0
Darian Cotton DB 5'11, 200 SR 30.0 4.2% 2.5 0.0 0 2 2 0
Reggan Northrup LB 6'1, 191 FR 24.0 3.4% 2.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
Demond Tucker DL 6'0, 296 JR 23.0 3.2% 13.0 6.0 0 0 1 0
Kane Seeley LB 6'2, 239 JR 17.5 2.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
J.D. Waggoner DE 6'3, 250 SO 17.0 2.4% 3.0 1.0 0 1 0 0
Luke Knott LB 6'1, 215 JR 16.5 2.3% 3.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Pierre Aka DL 6'4, 293 JR 15.0 2.1% 0.5 0.0 0 0 1 0
Rodney Williams S 5'10, 196 FR 15.0 2.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Wayne Morgan CB 5'11, 190 JR 14.0 2.1% 0.5 0.0 0 2 0 0
Kayton Samuels NT 6'0, 300 FR 11.5 1.7% 2.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Daivon Ellison S 5'8, 168 FR 6.0 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 1 1 0
Kenterius Womack WR 6'1, 170 FR 6.0 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Oliver Vigille LB 6'2, 235 SR 4.5 0.7% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 1
Rony Charles NT 6'2, 312 SR 4.0 0.6% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.9 32
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.02 67
Punt Success Rate 74.6% 5
Kickoff Success Rate 73.3% 58
Punt Return Success Rate 52.9% 50
Kick Return Success Rate 43.6% 71
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Cole Murphy 6'3, 188 SO 37-37 16-22 72.7%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Riley Dixon 6'5, 219 SR 65 43.7 5 28 24 80.0%
Eric Dungey 6'3, 202 FR 1 28.0 0 0 1 100.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Ryan Norton 5'11, 188 SR 60 62.7 22 36.7% 1 1 3 1
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Brisly Estime 5'9, 178 JR 15 18.1 2 18 0 (0)
Jacob Hill 5'6, 165 FR 1 -1.0 0 0 0 (0)
Ervin Philips 5'11, 181 SO 1 0.0 0 2 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Brisly Estime 5'9, 178 JR 30 22.2 0 0 1 (0)
Dontae Strickland 5'11, 194 FR 4 20.5 0 0 0 (0)
Jordan Fredericks 5'10, 208 FR 2 21.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics