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2015 Florida State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/20/2016

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2015 | 2016

Florida State Seminoles (ACC Atlantic)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 10-3 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.9 (0.9) | S&P+ Rk: 7
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep Texas State 112 59-16 W 100% 29.7 91% 76% 79%
12-Sep South Florida 50 34-14 W 96% 14.0 94% 77% 90%
18-Sep at Boston College 67 14-0 W 95% 12.9 93% 59% 83%
3-Oct at Wake Forest 92 24-16 W 93% 11.8 83% 66% 42%
10-Oct Miami-FL 51 29-24 W 95% 13.1 82% 89% 45%
17-Oct Louisville 28 41-21 W 94% 12.3 80% 96% 39%
24-Oct at Georgia Tech 68 16-22 L 70% 4.3 33% 35% 72%
31-Oct Syracuse 71 45-21 W 100% 20.9 83% 82% 70%
7-Nov at Clemson 2 13-23 L 21% -6.4 63% 67% 82%
14-Nov NC State 36 34-17 W 99% 18.4 86% 73% 89%
21-Nov Chattanooga N/A 52-13 W 100% 34.3 70% 82% 71%
28-Nov at Florida 18 27-2 W 100% 26.7 91% 82% 96%
31-Dec vs. Houston 44 24-38 L 31% -4.0 59% 60% 69%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 38.1 22 18.1 10
Points Per Game 31.7 47 17.5 9
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.39 18 1.12 10 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 42.8% 52 35.4% 14 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.4 78 26.5 8 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.15 32 4.73 69 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 2.93 43 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.13
ACTUAL 0 66
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 121.2 11 116.0 24 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 42.3% 70 38.3% 34 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.32 3 0.99 37 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 108.8 31 95.8 84 100.0
Opportunity Rate 39.8% 54 37.7% 61 38.9%
Power Success Rate 56.2% 114 67.7% 78 66.3%
Stuff Rate 23.1% 107 18.1% 91 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Dalvin Cook RB 5'11, 202 SO 231 1683 19 7.3 10.1 41.1% 3 (1)
Jacques Patrick RB 6'2, 235 FR 63 314 5 5.0 3.5 44.4% 1 (1)
Mario Pender RB 5'10, 196 JR 30 140 1 4.7 5.3 33.3% 0 (0)
Everett Golson QB 6'0, 199 SR 30 124 0 4.1 3.8 40.0% 3 (1)
Johnathan Vickers RB 6'1, 226 SO 23 111 1 4.8 5.4 34.8% 0 (0)
Kermit Whitfield WR 5'8, 184 JR 5 29 0 5.8 5.6 40.0% 1 (1)
Steven Williams RB 5'8, 160 JR 4 10 0 2.5 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
Jesus Wilson WR 5'10, 185 JR 3 11 0 3.7 0.5 33.3% 0 (0)
Freddie Stevenson FB 6'1, 241 JR 3 9 0 3.0 1.0 33.3% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 109.8 39 130.8 5 100.0
Passing Success Rate 43.1% 42 32.5% 7 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.45 78 1.28 11 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 120.9 39 104.3 55 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Everett Golson 6'0, 199 SR 147 219 1778 11 3 67.1% 18 7.6% 6.8
Sean Maguire 6'3, 221 JR 112 189 1520 11 6 59.3% 6 3.1% 7.4
J.J. Cosentino 6'4, 239 FR 5 10 27 0 0 50.0% 2 16.7% 1.3

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Travis Rudolph WR 6'1, 186 SO 93 59 916 7 15.5 9.9 63.4% 50.5% 23.4%
Jesus Wilson WR 5'10, 185 JR 86 58 629 3 10.8 7.3 67.4% 47.7% 21.6%
Kermit Whitfield WR 5'8, 184 JR 70 57 791 6 13.9 11.3 81.4% 61.4% 17.6%
Dalvin Cook RB 5'11, 202 SO 34 24 244 1 10.2 7.2 70.6% 50.0% 8.5%
Ryan Izzo TE 6'5, 241 FR 24 14 210 2 15.0 8.8 58.3% 50.0% 6.0%
Ermon Lane WR 6'3, 205 SO 19 6 50 0 8.3 2.6 31.6% 31.6% 4.8%
Freddie Stevenson FB 6'1, 241 JR 11 9 64 0 7.1 5.8 81.8% 45.5% 2.8%
Jacques Patrick RB 6'2, 235 FR 11 6 62 0 10.3 5.6 54.5% 36.4% 2.8%
Mavin Saunders TE 6'5, 248 FR 11 6 52 0 8.7 4.7 54.5% 27.3% 2.8%
Ja'Vonn Harrison WR 6'2, 202 SO 9 6 129 1 21.5 14.3 66.7% 55.6% 2.3%
Nyqwan Murray WR 5'11, 171 FR 7 6 65 0 10.8 9.3 85.7% 57.1% 1.8%
George Campbell WR 6'4, 202 FR 7 3 42 0 14.0 6.0 42.9% 42.9% 1.8%
Johnathan Vickers RB 6'1, 226 SO 5 5 39 1 7.8 7.8 100.0% 20.0% 1.3%
Jalen Ramsey DB 6'1, 202 JR 5 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 1.3%
Mario Pender RB 5'10, 196 JR 4 3 34 0 11.3 8.5 75.0% 75.0% 1.0%
Jeremy Kerr TE 6'6, 266 SO 1 1 1 1 1.0 1.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 106.0 45 125.8 3 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 45.5% 82 39.9% 11 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.21 21 0.99 12 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.80 75 3.01 85 2.90
SD Sack Rate 4.2% 49 7.4% 9 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 136.9 8 115.5 24 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 37.5% 14 27.0% 28 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.81 56 1.49 6 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.07 80 3.37 81 3.20
PD Sack Rate 7.6% 74 7.8% 57 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 125.9 11 135.2 5
Q2 S&P+ 111.9 35 115.8 24
Q3 S&P+ 125.4 15 132.5 11
Q4 S&P+ 122.8 9 102.7 60
1st Down S&P+ 123.8 10 123.8 7
2nd Down S&P+ 126.0 10 120.7 16
3rd Down S&P+ 108.9 49 105.0 52
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 56.7% 83 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 23.6% 117 34.0%
Adj. Pace -7.5 121 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 75.6% 56 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.3% 75 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 32.3% 79 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 15.1% 80 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 6.2% 38 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 2.5% 117 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 6.3% 65 6.3%
PD to INC 29.3% 94 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Derwin James DB 6'3, 212 FR 71.5 10.2% 9.5 4.5 0 4 2 1
Reggie Northrup LB 6'1, 231 SR 69.5 9.9% 1.0 0.0 0 3 0 0
Lamarcus Brutus DB 6'0, 207 SR 57.0 8.1% 0.0 0.0 3 1 0 0
Terrance Smith LB 6'4, 230 SR 49.5 7.0% 4.5 1.0 0 0 1 0
Jalen Ramsey DB 6'1, 202 JR 44.5 6.3% 3.5 1.0 0 10 0 1
DeMarcus Walker DE 6'3, 281 JR 42.0 6.0% 15.5 10.5 1 5 4 0
Ro'Derrick Hoskins LB 6'2, 238 SO 41.5 5.9% 6.5 0.0 0 2 0 0
Javien Elliott DB 5'11, 176 SR 33.0 4.7% 4.0 1.0 1 3 2 0
Derrick Nnadi DT 6'1, 301 SO 31.5 4.5% 2.0 2.0 0 0 0 0
Josh Sweat DE 6'5, 237 FR 31.0 4.4% 5.0 2.0 1 2 0 1
Nile Lawrence-Stample DT 6'1, 302 SR 29.5 4.2% 3.5 2.5 0 1 0 0
Jacob Pugh LB 6'4, 239 SO 25.0 3.6% 3.0 3.0 0 1 0 0
Marquez White DB 6'0, 184 JR 22.5 3.2% 2.0 0.0 1 2 0 0
Nate Andrews DB 6'0, 206 JR 21.0 3.0% 3.0 1.0 0 3 1 0
Tyler Hunter DB 5'11, 198 SR 18.5 2.6% 0.5 0.0 1 0 0 0
Trey Marshall DB 6'0, 207 SO 17.5 2.5% 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 0
Giorgio Newberry DT 6'6, 295 SR 14.0 2.0% 3.0 2.0 0 6 0 0
Demarcus Christmas DT 6'4, 301 FR 11.5 1.6% 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 0
Lorenzo Phillips LB 6'2, 225 JR 9.0 1.3% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Keelin Smith DB 6'3, 190 SR 8.5 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Tyrell Lyons DB 6'1, 219 SO 7.0 1.0% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Chris Casher DE 6'4, 256 JR 5.5 0.8% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Rick Leonard DE 6'7, 281 SO 4.5 0.6% 2.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Fredrick Jones DT 6'2, 304 FR 4.5 0.6% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Tarvarus McFadden DB 6'2, 197 FR 4.0 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 1.5 1
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.22 40
Punt Success Rate 77.0% 2
Kickoff Success Rate 89.3% 8
Punt Return Success Rate 45.5% 77
Kick Return Success Rate 56.0% 21
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Roberto Aguayo 6'1, 204 JR 49-49 21-26 80.8%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Cason Beatty 6'3, 214 SR 61 45.2 4 22 21 70.5%
Jonathan Hernandez 6'4, 216 SO 1 37.0 0 0 1 100.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Roberto Aguayo 6'1, 204 JR 84 62.8 47 56.0% 0 4 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jesus Wilson 5'10, 185 JR 26 4.5 0 25 0 (0)
Nyqwan Murray 5'11, 171 FR 3 3.7 0 0 0 (0)
Marquez White 6'0, 184 JR 2 0.0 0 0 1 (1)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Kermit Whitfield 5'8, 184 JR 19 26.7 0 0 1 (1)
Freddie Stevenson 6'1, 241 JR 2 9.0 0 0 0 (0)
Jalen Ramsey 6'1, 202 JR 2 27.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics