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2015 Louisville advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/20/2016

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2015 | 2016

Louisville Cardinals (ACC Atlantic)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 8-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 8.2 (0.2) | S&P+ Rk: 28
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy		 Adj. Scoring
Margin		 Percentile
Performance		 Off.
Percentile		 Def.
Percentile
5-Sep vs. Auburn 35 24-31 L 17% -7.5 67% 37% 34%
12-Sep Houston 44 31-34 L 76% 5.7 98% 75% 82%
17-Sep Clemson 2 17-20 L 1% -17.9 84% 33% 74%
26-Sep Samford N/A 45-3 W 100% 50.9 87% 84% 92%
3-Oct at NC State 36 20-13 W 74% 5.2 89% 32% 92%
17-Oct at Florida State 7 21-41 L 6% -12.3 33% 90% 16%
24-Oct Boston College 67 17-14 W 82% 7.5 62% 59% 74%
30-Oct at Wake Forest 92 20-19 W 74% 5.2 27% 25% 64%
7-Nov Syracuse 71 41-17 W 100% 27.1 88% 82% 90%
14-Nov Virginia 73 38-31 W 85% 8.3 46% 69% 44%
21-Nov at Pittsburgh 40 34-45 L 13% -8.9 14% 47% 22%
28-Nov at Kentucky 95 38-24 W 99% 18.5 71% 71% 73%
30-Dec vs. Texas A&M 42 27-21 W 91% 10.6 72% 88% 55%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 32.0 49 21.1 24
Points Per Game 28.7 65 24.1 39
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.34 29 1.19 28 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.8% 75 37.6% 26 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.7 47 29.7 64 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.55 85 5.05 101 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -1.37 83 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.14
ACTUAL -1 74
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 114.8 21 120.7 12 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 42.6% 64 38.0% 31 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.21 18 0.97 23 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 111.7 18 114.9 15 100.0
Opportunity Rate 41.6% 31 35.3% 33 38.9%
Power Success Rate 68.6% 46 61.8% 37 66.3%
Stuff Rate 23.3% 110 20.7% 51 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry		 Hlt Yds/
Opp.		 Opp.
Rate		 Fumbles
(Lost)
Brandon Radcliff RB 5'9, 214 JR 139 634 7 4.6 6.4 31.7% 2 (1)
Lamar Jackson QB 6'3, 196 FR 138 1143 11 8.3 7.6 55.8% 8 (2)
Jeremy Smith RB 6'2, 225 SO 60 270 3 4.5 4.7 35.0% 3 (3)
Reggie Bonnafon QB 6'3, 209 SO 39 216 0 5.5 4.7 41.0% 1 (1)
L.J. Scott RB 6'0, 226 SO 39 180 2 4.6 6.3 30.8% 0 (0)
Corvin Lamb RB 5'9, 208 SR 7 18 0 2.6 2.5 28.6% 1 (0)
Traveon Samuel WR 5'7, 175 FR 5 62 0 12.4 8.3 80.0% 1 (0)
Kyle Bolin QB 6'2, 208 SO 4 20 0 5.0 2.7 75.0% 4 (2)
James Quick WR 6'1, 191 JR 1 8 0 8.0 2.0 100.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 104.9 55 104.4 51 100.0
Passing Success Rate 39.0% 78 37.2% 34 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.48 65 1.41 44 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 67.5 116 123.2 31 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate		 Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Lamar Jackson 6'3, 196 FR 135 247 1840 12 8 54.7% 26 9.5% 6.1
Kyle Bolin 6'2, 208 SO 78 137 1154 7 6 56.9% 12 8.1% 7.2
Reggie Bonnafon 6'3, 209 SO 14 24 192 2 1 58.3% 6 20.0% 5.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch		 Yds/
Target		 Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
James Quick WR 6'1, 191 JR 71 39 624 5 16.0 8.8 54.9% 43.7% 18.4%
Jaylen Smith WR 6'4, 184 FR 61 29 376 1 13.0 6.2 47.5% 36.1% 15.8%
Jamari Staples WR 6'4, 195 JR 57 37 638 3 17.2 11.2 64.9% 59.6% 14.8%
Traveon Samuel WR 5'7, 175 FR 29 19 187 1 9.8 6.5 65.5% 48.3% 7.5%
Cole Hikutini TE 6'5, 240 JR 26 19 348 3 18.3 13.4 73.1% 53.8% 6.7%
Devonte Peete WR 6'6, 203 FR 24 12 166 1 13.8 6.9 50.0% 41.7% 6.2%
Micky Crum TE 6'4, 257 FR 22 14 163 3 11.6 7.4 63.6% 54.5% 5.7%
Ja'Quay Savage WR 6'3, 214 SR 22 12 135 1 11.3 6.1 54.5% 45.5% 5.7%
Keith Towbridge TE 6'5, 261 JR 16 10 154 3 15.4 9.6 62.5% 43.8% 4.1%
Javonte Bagley WR 6'3, 192 SO 13 7 88 0 12.6 6.8 53.8% 30.8% 3.4%
Reggie Bonnafon QB 6'3, 209 SO 12 10 105 0 10.5 8.8 83.3% 66.7% 3.1%
Charles Standberry TE 6'3, 226 SO 11 6 71 0 11.8 6.5 54.5% 45.5% 2.8%
L.J. Scott RB 6'0, 226 SO 7 7 95 0 13.6 13.6 100.0% 71.4% 1.8%
Brandon Radcliff RB 5'9, 214 JR 7 4 20 0 5.0 2.9 57.1% 28.6% 1.8%
Jeremy Smith RB 6'2, 225 SO 3 2 19 0 9.5 6.3 66.7% 66.7% 0.8%
Emonee Spence WR 6'3, 194 FR 2 1 7 0 7.0 3.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 106.5 42 112.7 24 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 44.7% 94 42.0% 23 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.20 25 1.05 45 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.89 65 2.61 25 2.90
SD Sack Rate 10.9% 127 6.0% 35 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 115.9 34 106.4 50 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 33.6% 44 29.7% 55 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.68 85 1.53 16 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.20 69 2.86 36 3.20
PD Sack Rate 9.9% 105 11.4% 13 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 110.5 44 122.9 18
Q2 S&P+ 115.5 30 110.1 44
Q3 S&P+ 115.1 28 110.8 40
Q4 S&P+ 112.0 29 117.4 21
1st Down S&P+ 111.2 32 122.1 9
2nd Down S&P+ 114.8 30 116.8 23
3rd Down S&P+ 112.4 36 97.8 79
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 55.3% 90 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 39.2% 31 34.0%
Adj. Pace -2.8 84 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 76.0% 52 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 60.3% 65 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 30.0% 102 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 19.7% 13 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.1% 111 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 9.0% 3 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 7.2% 32 6.3%
PD to INC 35.7% 38 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Keith Kelsey LB 6'1, 236 JR 82.0 11.7% 12.0 3.5 0 3 1 1
James Burgess LB 6'0, 229 SR 72.0 10.2% 9.0 0.0 1 4 0 2
Josh Harvey-Clemons S 6'5, 230 JR 69.0 9.8% 2.0 1.0 3 3 1 0
Devonte Fields LB 6'4, 245 JR 54.5 7.8% 22.5 11.0 0 3 2 0
Trumaine Washington CB 5'10, 183 SO 52.0 7.4% 7.0 2.0 4 6 3 0
Chucky Williams S 6'2, 204 SO 49.5 7.0% 2.0 0.0 3 7 1 0
Sheldon Rankins DE 6'2, 303 SR 43.0 6.1% 13.0 6.0 0 1 0 1
Jermaine Reve S 6'0, 192 SR 31.0 4.4% 0.5 0.0 1 1 2 0
DeAngelo Brown DT 6'1, 308 JR 30.0 4.3% 6.5 2.0 0 0 0 0
Trevon Young LB 6'4, 229 SR 26.0 3.7% 10.0 8.5 1 2 2 0
Keith Brown LB 6'1, 237 JR 24.5 3.5% 2.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
Shaq Wiggins CB 5'10, 171 SO 24.0 3.4% 0.5 0.0 2 11 0 0
Stacy Thomas LB 6'1, 225 SO 24.0 3.4% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Pio Vatuvei DE 6'2, 296 SR 18.0 2.6% 3.5 1.0 0 1 1 0
Jaire Alexander CB 5'11, 170 FR 16.5 2.3% 0.0 0.0 1 2 0 0
Zykiesis Cannon CB 6'0, 195 SO 13.5 1.9% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
James Hearns LB 6'3, 257 SO 10.5 1.5% 3.5 2.5 0 0 0 0
De'Eric Culver CB 6'0, 186 SO 9.0 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Drew Bailey DL 6'5, 285 JR 5.5 0.8% 1.0 0.5 0 0 0 0
Isaac Stewart LB 6'2, 236 FR 5.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Kyle Shortridge DT 6'2, 305 SO 4.5 0.6% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Gio Pascascio WR 6'3, 185 JR 4.5 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Dee Smith S 6'1, 200 FR 4.5 0.6% 0.0 0.0 1 0 0 0
Lamar Atkins LB 5'11, 236 JR 4.0 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Devonte Peete WR 6'6, 203 FR 3.5 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

 Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.3 58
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.07 59
Punt Success Rate 59.4% 40
Kickoff Success Rate 80.0% 31
Punt Return Success Rate 40.0% 97
Kick Return Success Rate 32.3% 112
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
John Wallace 6'0, 190 SR 46-47 15-21 71.4%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Joshua Appleby 6'3, 222 SR 69 40.4 3 40 27 97.1%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches		 Onside
Att		 Onside
Success
John Wallace 6'0, 190 SR 73 62.7 28 38.4% 0 0 1 0
Jon Brown 5'10, 202 SO 1 65.0 1 100.0% 0 0 0 0
Joshua Appleby 6'3, 222 SR 1 46.0 0 0.0% 1 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jaire Alexander 5'11, 170 FR 23 9.7 0 14 2 (0)
Cornelius Sturghill 5'11, 186 FR 4 -0.3 0 0 1 (1)
Alphonso Carter 6'3, 205 SO 3 -3.3 0 7 1 (1)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Corvin Lamb 5'9, 208 SR 16 17.3 0 0 1 (0)
Traveon Samuel 5'7, 175 FR 12 26.8 1 0 0 (0)
Jeremy Smith 6'2, 225 SO 2 8.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics