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2015 Wake Forest advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (ACC Atlantic)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.3 (0.3) | S&P+ Rk: 92
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy		 Adj. Scoring
Margin		 Percentile
Performance		 Off.
Percentile		 Def.
Percentile
3-Sep Elon N/A 41-3 W 100% 29.6 64% 55% 31%
12-Sep at Syracuse 71 17-30 L 25% -5.4 63% 43% 25%
19-Sep at Army 123 17-14 W 71% 4.4 78% 5% 62%
26-Sep Indiana 60 24-31 L 13% -9.1 64% 4% 67%
3-Oct Florida State 7 16-24 L 7% -11.8 90% 60% 51%
10-Oct at Boston College 67 3-0 W 28% -4.7 27% 33% 76%
17-Oct at North Carolina 29 14-50 L 0% -26.9 12% 25% 13%
24-Oct NC State 36 17-35 L 0% -35.6 10% 13% 23%
30-Oct Louisville 28 19-20 L 26% -5.2 37% 31% 78%
14-Nov at Notre Dame 8 7-28 L 2% -15.8 15% 23% 58%
21-Nov at Clemson 2 13-33 L 0% -31.6 14% 12% 43%
28-Nov Duke 75 21-27 L 55% 1.0 50% 70% 42%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 22.9 107 27.8 61
Points Per Game 17.4 120 24.6 43
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.22 90 1.31 88 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 34.7% 119 39.9% 55 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 26.9 118 29.0 48 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.54 124 4.76 72 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -6.08 112 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-2.88
ACTUAL -13 120
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 81.8 118 114.8 26 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 33.1% 126 37.9% 30 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.00 96 1.14 92 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 99.8 73 109.6 34 100.0
Opportunity Rate 30.8% 125 34.2% 26 38.9%
Power Success Rate 75.9% 16 65.5% 59 66.3%
Stuff Rate 23.2% 109 19.2% 80 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry		 Hlt Yds/
Opp.		 Opp.
Rate		 Fumbles
(Lost)
Tyler Bell RB 5'11, 205 FR 131 446 1 3.4 4.2 24.4% 1 (1)
Kendall Hinton QB 6'0, 185 FR 76 478 7 6.3 5.7 48.7% 4 (2)
Matt Colburn TB 5'10, 195 FR 66 239 1 3.6 4.6 22.7% 1 (1)
John Wolford QB 6'1, 205 SO 51 261 3 5.1 6.2 37.3% 5 (1)
Isaiah Robinson TB 5'10, 215 SO 39 120 0 3.1 3.0 25.6% 0 (0)
Dezmond Wortham TB 6'0, 205 SO 9 21 0 2.3 0.9 22.2% 0 (0)
Tabari Hines WR 5'10, 165 FR 3 -13 0 -4.3 0.0 0.0% 2 (1)
Charles Argenzio FB 6'0, 230 JR 1 6 0 6.0 1.0 100.0% 0 (0)
Chuck Wade WR 6'0, 200 FR 1 -1 0 -1.0 0.0 0.0% 1 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 88.8 98 93.4 85 100.0
Passing Success Rate 35.9% 102 42.6% 84 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.38 92 1.51 79 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 69.8 114 120.1 33 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate		 Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
John Wolford 6'1, 205 SO 142 234 1791 9 11 60.7% 23 8.9% 6.2
Kendall Hinton 6'0, 185 FR 93 178 929 4 5 52.2% 17 8.7% 4.3

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch		 Yds/
Target		 Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Cortez Lewis WR 6'1, 200 FR 91 47 611 4 13.0 6.7 51.6% 36.3% 23.5%
K.J. Brent WR 6'4, 190 SR 78 42 583 1 13.9 7.5 53.8% 46.2% 20.1%
Cam Serigne TE 6'3, 245 SO 70 46 562 4 12.2 8.0 65.7% 47.1% 18.0%
Tabari Hines WR 5'10, 165 FR 51 32 366 3 11.4 7.2 62.7% 39.2% 13.1%
Chuck Wade WR 6'0, 200 FR 47 33 348 1 10.6 7.4 70.2% 46.8% 12.1%
Tyler Bell RB 5'11, 205 FR 24 18 127 0 7.1 5.3 75.0% 37.5% 6.2%
Isaiah Robinson TB 5'10, 215 SO 7 6 57 0 9.5 8.1 85.7% 42.9% 1.8%
Alex Bachman WR 6'0, 175 FR 5 1 8 0 8.0 1.6 20.0% 20.0% 1.3%
Steve Donatell TE 6'6, 230 JR 4 3 31 0 10.3 7.8 75.0% 75.0% 1.0%
Tyree Harris WR 6'3, 185 SO 4 2 15 0 7.5 3.8 50.0% 50.0% 1.0%
P.J. Howard IV WR 6'1, 190 SR 3 3 11 0 3.7 3.7 100.0% 66.7% 0.8%
Dezmond Wortham TB 6'0, 205 SO 1 1 13 0 13.0 13.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Maddox Stamey WR 6'2, 180 JR 1 1 6 0 6.0 6.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Charles Argenzio FB 6'0, 230 JR 1 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Jonathan Williams WR 6'3, 185 JR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 87.0 113 101.6 56 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 38.7% 123 44.2% 45 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.08 78 1.21 105 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.50 118 2.72 39 2.90
SD Sack Rate 8.8% 119 5.7% 42 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 88.2 97 106.8 49 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 27.5% 92 31.1% 67 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.56 111 1.60 26 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.98 88 2.91 39 3.20
PD Sack Rate 9.6% 99 9.2% 30 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 79.6 119 95.7 81
Q2 S&P+ 97.9 79 107.3 55
Q3 S&P+ 80.9 116 118.8 20
Q4 S&P+ 96.2 91 122.3 12
1st Down S&P+ 83.0 117 110.2 31
2nd Down S&P+ 97.0 85 108.4 43
3rd Down S&P+ 86.9 108 107.4 46
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 51.1% 111 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 33.5% 58 34.0%
Adj. Pace -3.3 90 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 74.0% 76 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.9% 21 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 40.6% 12 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 15.2% 79 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 4.4% 76 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 4.1% 71 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 6.6% 54 6.3%
PD to INC 33.3% 57 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Brandon Chubb LB 6'1, 245 SR 79.5 12.4% 8.5 0.5 0 2 0 0
Brad Watson DB 6'0, 190 JR 59.5 9.3% 2.5 1.0 2 16 1 0
Marquel Lee LB 6'3, 235 JR 54.0 8.4% 10.0 3.0 0 1 0 0
Ryan Janvion DB 5'11, 190 JR 54.0 8.4% 1.0 0.0 0 1 1 0
Zach Dancel DB 6'0, 200 SR 50.0 7.8% 3.0 1.0 0 2 3 0
Hunter Williams LB 6'0, 220 SR 46.0 7.2% 7.5 2.0 1 0 0 0
Cameron Glenn DB 6'1, 200 FR 31.0 4.8% 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 0
Wendell Dunn DL 6'3, 250 SO 26.5 4.1% 7.5 1.0 0 0 1 0
Duke Ejiofor DL 6'4, 275 SO 20.5 3.2% 7.5 4.5 0 0 0 0
Thomas Brown DB 6'3, 220 JR 20.0 3.1% 3.0 2.0 0 1 0 0
Dionte Austin DB 6'0, 165 FR 19.0 3.0% 2.0 1.0 0 5 0 0
Josh Banks DL 6'4, 275 JR 17.5 2.7% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Chris Calhoun DL 6'4, 240 FR 15.5 2.4% 4.0 0.0 1 1 0 0
Demetrius Kemp DB 6'1, 205 FR 14.5 2.3% 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 0
Zeek Rodney DL 6'1, 295 SO 14.5 2.3% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Tylor Harris DL 6'4, 305 SR 13.5 2.1% 3.5 1.5 0 2 0 0
Josh Okonye DB 6'0, 200 SO 13.5 2.1% 1.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
Chris Stewart DL 6'3, 260 FR 12.0 1.9% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Grant Dawson LB 6'1, 225 SO 11.0 1.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Devin Gaulden DB 5'10, 190 SR 10.5 1.6% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Shelldon Lewinson DL 6'2, 260 JR 10.0 1.6% 0.5 0.5 0 1 0 0
Jaboree Williams LB 6'0, 240 SO 9.5 1.5% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Zack Wary LB 6'4, 225 FR 9.5 1.5% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Willie Yarbary DL 6'2, 280 FR 7.5 1.2% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Julian Jackson DL 6'4, 220 SO 4.0 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

 Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.7 93
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.28 110
Punt Success Rate 74.6% 4
Kickoff Success Rate 72.2% 61
Punt Return Success Rate 36.8% 106
Kick Return Success Rate 17.4% 127
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Mike Weaver 6'1, 180 SO 24-25 11-18 61.1%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Alexander Kinal 6'4, 205 SR 71 43.5 3 25 27 73.2%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches		 Onside
Att		 Onside
Success
Mike Weaver 6'1, 180 SO 44 62.9 20 45.5% 0 2 3 1
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Tabari Hines 5'10, 165 FR 23 4.0 0 21 1 (0)
Alex Bachman 6'0, 175 FR 1 -1.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Chuck Wade 6'0, 200 FR 17 18.5 0 0 1 (0)
Matt Colburn 5'10, 195 FR 4 16.0 0 0 0 (0)
John Armstrong 5'9, 165 JR 3 19.7 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics