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2015 South Alabama advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

South Alabama Jaguars (Sun Belt)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 5-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.9 (-1.1) | S&P+ Rk: 103
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep Gardner-Webb N/A 33-23 W 99% 19.4 30% 22% 27%
12-Sep at Nebraska 48 9-48 L 0% -29.8 14% 6% 6%
19-Sep at San Diego State 45 34-27 W 69% 3.9 93% 77% 81%
26-Sep NC State 36 13-63 L 0% -48.8 12% 35% 1%
3-Oct at Troy 90 24-18 W 83% 7.6 81% 39% 77%
13-Oct Arkansas State 79 31-49 L 7% -11.9 29% 23% 55%
24-Oct at Texas State 112 18-36 L 11% -9.9 12% 26% 21%
7-Nov Idaho 109 52-45 W 54% 0.8 22% 34% 31%
12-Nov UL-Lafayette 107 32-25 W 56% 1.2 31% 39% 46%
21-Nov at Georgia State 91 10-24 L 13% -9.2 23% 20% 50%
28-Nov at Georgia Southern 39 17-55 L 0% -46.0 15% 6% 20%
5-Dec Appalachian State 43 27-34 L 2% -16.5 35% 49% 51%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 23.6 100 35.0 106
Points Per Game 25.0 93 37.3 115
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.23 78 1.33 100 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 39.3% 95 42.3% 74 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.6 99 34.9 126 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.76 68 5.66 124 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -2.95 95 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.85
ACTUAL -5 98
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 98.1 82 91.3 94 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 41.3% 77 43.6% 80 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.03 83 1.23 112 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 102.7 60 98.2 75 100.0
Opportunity Rate 37.2% 86 40.3% 88 38.9%
Power Success Rate 65.0% 73 55.0% 15 66.3%
Stuff Rate 21.5% 93 19.7% 68 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Xavier Johnson RB 5'11, 180 SO 145 956 7 6.6 7.9 42.1% 1 (0)
Tyreis Thomas RB 5'10, 210 JR 113 552 2 4.9 3.2 41.6% 2 (1)
Cody Clements QB 6'2, 200 SR 61 266 3 4.4 3.0 45.9% 5 (1)
Terrance Timmons RB 5'7, 190 SR 60 280 1 4.7 5.7 30.0% 1 (0)
Dami Ayoola RB 5'10, 200 JR 38 107 0 2.8 1.9 23.7% 0 (0)
Dallas Davis QB 6'2, 210 FR 8 25 0 3.1 1.3 50.0% 1 (1)
Gerald Everett TE 6'4, 225 JR 8 7 4 0.9 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
D.J. Vinson WR 5'10, 205 SR 3 5 1 1.7 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
Claude Garrett WR 6'2, 210 SR 2 3 0 1.5 3.7 50.0% 1 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 86.0 104 101.5 61 100.0
Passing Success Rate 36.8% 98 40.5% 65 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.51 54 1.48 69 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 70.9 113 59.1 123 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Cody Clements 6'2, 200 SR 171 324 2272 13 15 52.8% 24 6.9% 6.1
Dallas Davis 6'2, 210 FR 11 23 108 1 1 47.8% 8 25.8% 1.7

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Gerald Everett TE 6'4, 225 JR 63 41 575 8 14.0 9.1 65.1% 54.0% 18.9%
Marvin Shinn WR 6'2, 215 SR 47 19 335 1 17.6 7.1 40.4% 38.3% 14.1%
Josh Magee WR 5'11, 170 JR 46 23 504 3 21.9 11.0 50.0% 30.4% 13.8%
D.J. Vinson WR 5'10, 205 SR 38 23 193 0 8.4 5.1 60.5% 44.7% 11.4%
Danny Woodson II WR 6'1, 215 SR 34 19 253 1 13.3 7.4 55.9% 41.2% 10.2%
Braedon Bowman TE 6'4, 240 SR 24 11 147 0 13.4 6.1 45.8% 29.2% 7.2%
Chris Lewis WR 5'7, 180 SR 20 10 96 0 9.6 4.8 50.0% 30.0% 6.0%
Kevin Kutchera WR 6'3, 195 JR 17 9 97 0 10.8 5.7 52.9% 47.1% 5.1%
Claude Garrett WR 6'2, 210 SR 11 6 26 0 4.3 2.4 54.5% 36.4% 3.3%
Xavier Johnson RB 5'11, 180 SO 10 9 82 1 9.1 8.2 90.0% 50.0% 3.0%
Tyreis Thomas RB 5'10, 210 JR 9 6 25 0 4.2 2.8 66.7% 22.2% 2.7%
Terrance Timmons RB 5'7, 190 SR 4 3 24 0 8.0 6.0 75.0% 25.0% 1.2%
Nathan Sassaman WR 5'10, 185 SR 2 1 12 0 12.0 6.0 50.0% 50.0% 0.6%
Cody Clements QB 6'2, 200 SR 2 1 7 1 7.0 3.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.6%
Tony Ray Parnell WR 5'7, 160 JR 2 1 0 0 0.0 0.0 50.0% 0.0% 0.6%
Dami Ayoola RB 5'10, 200 JR 2 1 0 0 0.0 0.0 50.0% 0.0% 0.6%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 87.3 112 100.0 60 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 44.2% 99 48.9% 89 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.06 90 1.11 72 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.76 85 2.90 70 2.90
SD Sack Rate 7.0% 103 3.7% 104 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 103.5 59 90.2 97 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 29.1% 79 28.5% 41 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.80 59 2.12 124 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.45 44 3.10 53 3.20
PD Sack Rate 9.5% 96 2.9% 124 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 97.1 85 92.8 91
Q2 S&P+ 76.0 124 102.5 70
Q3 S&P+ 84.5 111 97.7 76
Q4 S&P+ 100.0 76 83.2 121
1st Down S&P+ 84.9 114 92.6 98
2nd Down S&P+ 96.4 86 99.7 73
3rd Down S&P+ 96.3 83 86.8 113
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 67.5% 26 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 29.1% 85 34.0%
Adj. Pace -1.8 77 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 68.8% 110 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 66.2% 14 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 38.6% 24 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 13.7% 103 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.8% 96 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 2.8% 109 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 7.0% 37 6.3%
PD to INC 26.9% 117 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Blake Dees ILB 6'0, 235 SR 81.5 11.8% 3.0 0.0 0 1 3 0
Jeremy Reaves CB 5'11, 185 SO 80.5 11.6% 8.0 0.0 2 6 3 0
Kalen Jackson ILB 6'1, 200 JR 59.5 8.6% 8.5 0.0 2 1 1 0
Roman Buchanan S 6'2, 210 JR 52.0 7.5% 3.0 0.0 2 1 0 0
Devon Earl S 5'10, 190 JR 46.0 6.6% 1.5 0.0 0 1 3 2
DeMarion Harper DL 6'3, 290 SR 40.0 5.8% 7.0 2.0 0 1 0 0
Margo Reed CB 5'7, 175 SR 34.0 4.9% 1.5 0.0 1 0 0 0
E.J. May CB 5'10, 185 SR 30.0 4.3% 4.0 0.0 2 5 0 0
Tre Alford DL 5'10, 280 SO 27.0 3.9% 3.5 2.0 0 2 1 0
Akeem Lewis DE 6'2, 250 SR 24.0 3.5% 6.5 2.0 0 0 1 1
Bull Barge ILB 5'10, 225 FR 24.0 3.5% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jalen Thompson CB 6'0, 170 FR 23.5 3.4% 2.0 1.0 1 5 1 0
Antonio Carter S 5'8, 195 SR 21.0 3.0% 3.0 1.0 0 0 1 0
Demarius Rancifer ILB 6'4, 210 SR 19.5 2.8% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Dondre Chanet DL 6'1, 295 SR 13.5 2.0% 2.5 0.5 0 1 0 0
Nigel Green CB 6'1, 170 SR 12.0 1.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Caleb Butler DL 6'4, 260 SO 10.0 1.4% 1.5 1.0 0 1 0 0
Grant Powell ILB 6'2, 225 JR 8.0 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Deonta Moore RB 5'10, 195 FR 8.0 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Andrew Philon ILB 5'11, 225 SR 7.0 1.0% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jaylan Daniels DE 6'3, 205 SO 7.0 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
T'Qwan Robinson CB 6'1, 190 SO 7.0 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
DeMarrion Buford-Hughes TE 6'5, 230 SR 5.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Quinton Dent CB 6'3, 170 JR 5.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Sean Grayer DE 6'2, 240 FR 4.5 0.7% 1.0 0.5 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.5 53
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.41 15
Punt Success Rate 50.0% 96
Kickoff Success Rate 54.5% 117
Punt Return Success Rate 50.0% 58
Kick Return Success Rate 50.0% 42
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Aleem Sunanon 5'7, 170 JR 32-32 16-19 84.2%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Brandon McKee 6'1, 190 JR 36 40.2 6 9 5 38.9%
Aleem Sunanon 5'7, 170 JR 31 42.7 0 8 4 38.7%
Corliss Waitman 6'2, 185 FR 3 41.7 0 1 1 66.7%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Gavin Patterson 5'7, 200 FR 30 60.9 5 16.7% 0 0 0 0
Aleem Sunanon 5'7, 170 JR 23 49.9 1 4.3% 2 2 0 0
Corliss Waitman 6'2, 185 FR 10 62.1 2 20.0% 0 1 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Josh Magee 5'11, 170 JR 6 4.0 0 16 3 (2)
Chris Lewis 5'7, 180 SR 4 2.5 0 0 0 (0)
Jalen Thompson 6'0, 170 FR 3 10.0 0 2 2 (2)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Xavier Johnson 5'11, 180 SO 14 31.4 1 0 0 (0)
Claude Garrett 6'2, 210 SR 10 20.9 0 0 1 (0)
Terrance Timmons 5'7, 190 SR 6 22.3 0 0 1 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics