Updated on 8/20/2016
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2015 | 2016
North Carolina Tar Heels (ACC Coastal)
2015 Schedule & Results
| Record: 11-3 | Second-order wins (diff.): 11.0 (0.0) | S&P+ Rk: 29 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 3-Sep | vs. South Carolina | 88 | 13-17 | L | 36% | -2.8 | 50% | 30% | 40% |
| 12-Sep | NC A&T | N/A | 53-14 | W | 100% | 35.2 | 71% | 59% | 57% |
| 19-Sep | Illinois | 61 | 48-14 | W | 97% | 14.9 | 86% | 83% | 45% |
| 26-Sep | Delaware | N/A | 41-14 | W | 96% | 13.6 | 41% | 37% | 17% |
| 3-Oct | at Georgia Tech | 68 | 38-31 | W | 71% | 4.5 | 72% | 70% | 39% |
| 17-Oct | Wake Forest | 92 | 50-14 | W | 100% | 26.9 | 70% | 93% | 50% |
| 24-Oct | Virginia | 73 | 26-13 | W | 99% | 18.8 | 65% | 76% | 89% |
| 29-Oct | at Pittsburgh | 40 | 26-19 | W | 96% | 13.8 | 81% | 78% | 82% |
| 7-Nov | Duke | 75 | 66-31 | W | 100% | 24.6 | 89% | 97% | 38% |
| 14-Nov | Miami-FL | 51 | 59-21 | W | 99% | 19.4 | 85% | 78% | 84% |
| 21-Nov | at Virginia Tech | 59 | 30-27 | W | 83% | 7.5 | 55% | 71% | 62% |
| 28-Nov | at NC State | 36 | 45-34 | W | 82% | 7.4 | 59% | 84% | 53% |
| 5-Dec | vs. Clemson | 2 | 37-45 | L | 28% | -4.6 | 56% | 80% | 70% |
| 29-Dec | vs. Baylor | 14 | 38-49 | L | 11% | -10.0 | 36% | 91% | 36% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 39.1 | 17 | 28.6 | 70 |
| Points Per Game | 40.7 | 9 | 24.5 | 42 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.44 | 4 | 1.11 | 5 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 46.8% | 18 | 46.2% | 108 | 40.3% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 32.3 | 25 | 28.0 | 34 | 29.9 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 5.28 | 21 | 3.99 | 20 | 4.67 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | 3.11 | 41 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +1.39 |
||
| ACTUAL | 7 | 27 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 120.3 | 12 | 85.6 | 116 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 49.4% | 11 | 49.4% | 117 | 42.3% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 1.23 | 13 | 1.04 | 52 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 124 | 3 | 88 | 117 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 43.3% | 20 | 42.8% | 114 | 38.9% |
| Power Success Rate | 58.8% | 109 | 68.2% | 81 | 66.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 15.2% | 6 | 13.7% | 125 | 19.6% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Elijah Hood | TB | 6'0, 220 | SO | 219 | 1463 | 17 | 6.7 | 6.2 | 46.6% | 4 (1) |
| Marquise Williams | QB | 6'2, 225 | SR | 143 | 1052 | 13 | 7.4 | 7.6 | 46.2% | 9 (5) |
| T.J. Logan | TB | 5'10, 190 | JR | 67 | 400 | 5 | 6.0 | 7.4 | 35.8% | 3 (1) |
| Ty'Son Williams | TB | 6'0, 220 | FR | 19 | 57 | 0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 21.1% | 0 (0) |
| Mitch Trubisky | QB | 6'3, 220 | SO | 15 | 109 | 3 | 7.3 | 10.0 | 40.0% | 2 (1) |
| Khris Francis | TB | 5'9, 210 | JR | 11 | 37 | 0 | 3.4 | 4.6 | 18.2% | 0 (0) |
| Romar Morris | TB | 5'10, 190 | SR | 10 | 64 | 1 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 60.0% | 0 (0) |
| Charles Brunson | TB | 5'11, 205 | JR | 9 | 25 | 1 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 22.2% | 0 (0) |
| Caleb Henderson | QB | 6'3, 215 | FR | 5 | 53 | 0 | 10.6 | 6.4 | 80.0% | 1 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 117.8 | 24 | 104.1 | 55 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 43.8% | 38 | 41.5% | 72 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.70 | 12 | 1.23 | 6 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 150.9 | 27 | 85.3 | 91 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Marquise Williams | 6'2, 225 | SR | 219 | 357 | 3072 | 24 | 10 | 61.3% | 15 | 4.0% | 8.0 |
| Mitch Trubisky | 6'3, 220 | SO | 40 | 47 | 555 | 6 | 0 | 85.1% | 1 | 2.1% | 11.4 |
| Caleb Henderson | 6'3, 215 | FR | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Quinshad Davis | WR | 6'4, 220 | SR | 82 | 55 | 638 | 4 | 11.6 | 7.8 | 67.1% | 58.5% | 21.0% |
| Ryan Switzer | WR | 5'10, 185 | JR | 79 | 56 | 708 | 6 | 12.6 | 9.0 | 70.9% | 45.6% | 20.2% |
| Bug Howard | WR | 6'5, 210 | JR | 57 | 29 | 488 | 4 | 16.8 | 8.6 | 50.9% | 43.9% | 14.6% |
| Mack Hollins | WR | 6'4, 210 | JR | 51 | 30 | 745 | 8 | 24.8 | 14.6 | 58.8% | 52.9% | 13.0% |
| Brandon Fritts | TE | 6'4, 245 | FR | 21 | 16 | 203 | 4 | 12.7 | 9.7 | 76.2% | 66.7% | 5.4% |
| Kendrick Singleton | TE | 6'2, 215 | SR | 21 | 12 | 142 | 2 | 11.8 | 6.8 | 57.1% | 38.1% | 5.4% |
| T.J. Logan | TB | 5'10, 190 | JR | 16 | 11 | 151 | 1 | 13.7 | 9.4 | 68.8% | 43.8% | 4.1% |
| Elijah Hood | TB | 6'0, 220 | SO | 16 | 13 | 71 | 0 | 5.5 | 4.4 | 81.2% | 31.2% | 4.1% |
| Austin Proehl | WR | 5'10, 175 | SO | 14 | 12 | 225 | 1 | 18.8 | 16.1 | 85.7% | 78.6% | 3.6% |
| Damien Washington | WR | 6'1, 195 | SR | 11 | 8 | 115 | 0 | 14.4 | 10.5 | 72.7% | 72.7% | 2.8% |
| Romar Morris | TB | 5'10, 190 | SR | 9 | 9 | 54 | 0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 2.3% |
| Jordan Fieulleteau | WR | 6'3, 210 | SO | 7 | 6 | 100 | 0 | 16.7 | 14.3 | 85.7% | 57.1% | 1.8% |
| Dalton Stogner | WR | 6'4, 200 | JR | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% |
| Charles Brunson | TB | 5'11, 205 | JR | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% |
| Marquise Williams | QB | 6'2, 225 | SR | 1 | 1 | 37 | 1 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.3% |
| Shakeel Rashad | LB | 6'2, 235 | SR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 120.3 | 9 | 94.4 | 87 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 50.6% | 26 | 52.2% | 114 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.33 | 4 | 1.01 | 17 | 1.11 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.41 | 5 | 3.42 | 124 | 2.90 |
| SD Sack Rate | 3.6% | 35 | 5.0% | 65 | 5.0% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 117.3 | 28 | 98.5 | 75 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 36.7% | 20 | 30.0% | 57 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.82 | 55 | 1.60 | 25 | 1.77 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 4.06 | 5 | 3.60 | 104 | 3.20 |
| PD Sack Rate | 5.2% | 21 | 4.9% | 108 | 7.5% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 122.6 | 17 | 100.6 | 59 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 123.5 | 15 | 94.3 | 84 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 134.7 | 4 | 86.4 | 114 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 119.4 | 13 | 97.9 | 77 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 130.4 | 2 | 94.8 | 91 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 119.4 | 21 | 94.6 | 89 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 118.1 | 20 | 99.3 | 73 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 59.6% | 68 | 60.4% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 36.2% | 45 | 34.0% |
| Adj. Pace | -4.3 | 101 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 71.5% | 92 | 74.9% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 66.2% | 15 | 60.3% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 40.0% | 14 | 33.9% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 14.0% | 99 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 4.1% | 87 | 5.1% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 3.2% | 97 | 4.5% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 6.6% | 56 | 6.3% |
| PD to INC | 39.9% | 12 | 32.8% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
| Shakeel Rashad | LB | 6'2, 235 | SR | 104.0 | 12.0% | 8.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Donnie Miles | S | 5'11, 210 | SO | 102.0 | 11.8% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Jeff Schoettmer | LB | 6'2, 235 | SR | 72.0 | 8.3% | 6.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Des Lawrence | CB | 6'1, 185 | JR | 51.0 | 5.9% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| M.J. Stewart | CB | 5'11, 200 | SO | 48.0 | 5.5% | 2.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| Andre Smith | LB | 6'0, 235 | FR | 38.5 | 4.4% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sam Smiley | S | 5'11, 190 | SR | 36.5 | 4.2% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Dominquie Green | S | 5'11, 190 | JR | 33.5 | 3.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Cayson Collins | LB | 6'1, 235 | SO | 30.5 | 3.5% | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Malik Simmons | CB | 5'11, 190 | SR | 30.0 | 3.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Dajaun Drennon | DE | 6'4, 255 | SO | 29.5 | 3.4% | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nazair Jones | DT | 6'5, 295 | SO | 29.5 | 3.4% | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jeremiah Clarke | DT | 6'5, 315 | FR | 29.5 | 3.4% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Thomason | DT | 6'4, 295 | SR | 28.0 | 3.2% | 4.5 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Junior Gnonkonde | DE | 6'4, 260 | JR | 26.0 | 3.0% | 7.0 | 3.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jessie Rogers | DE | 6'4, 270 | SR | 25.0 | 2.9% | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mikey Bart | DE | 6'3, 270 | JR | 22.5 | 2.6% | 6.5 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Tyler Powell | DL | 6'4, 290 | SO | 16.0 | 1.8% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Dinkins | DT | 6'1, 270 | FR | 13.0 | 1.5% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Cole Holcomb | LB | 6'1, 215 | FR | 12.0 | 1.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Dalton | DE | 6'6, 280 | FR | 11.5 | 1.3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Brian Walker | CB | 5'11, 190 | JR | 10.5 | 1.2% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Hughes | CB | 5'11, 185 | FR | 10.5 | 1.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Malik Carney | DE | 6'3, 230 | FR | 8.0 | 0.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J.K. Britt | S | 6'0, 195 | FR | 6.0 | 0.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. | |||||||||||
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | 1.3 | 13 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | 0.49 | 4 |
| Punt Success Rate | 50.0% | 96 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 86.4% | 14 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 52.2% | 52 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 61.3% | 11 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Nick Weiler | 6'0, 190 | JR | 67-67 | 20-23 | 87.0% |
| Freeman Jones | 6'0, 200 | FR | 1-1 | 0-0 | #DIV/0! |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Joey Mangili | 6'3, 210 | JR | 24 | 40.8 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 70.8% |
| Corbin Daly | 6'3, 200 | FR | 13 | 37.9 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 53.8% |
| Hunter Lent | 6'5, 230 | FR | 6 | 37.5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 50.0% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Nick Weiler | 6'0, 190 | JR | 103 | 62.9 | 55 | 53.4% | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Freeman Jones | 6'0, 200 | FR | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Ryan Switzer | 5'10, 185 | JR | 22 | 13.7 | 2 | 14 | 2 (0) |
| Bug Howard | 6'5, 210 | JR | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Austin Proehl | 5'10, 175 | SO | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| T.J. Logan | 5'10, 190 | JR | 21 | 23.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 (0) |
| Dan Mastromatteo | 6'2, 235 | JR | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) |
| Mike Hughes | 5'11, 185 | FR | 3 | 35.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics