clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

2015 Boston College advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

Boston College Eagles (ACC Atlantic)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.9 (2.9) | S&P+ Rk: 67
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep Maine N/A 24-3 W 100% 30.6 60% 7% 90%
12-Sep Howard N/A 76-0 W 100% 107.7 81% 99% 94%
18-Sep Florida State 7 0-14 L 5% -12.9 80% 4% 97%
26-Sep Northern Illinois 69 17-14 W 95% 13.3 90% 22% 86%
3-Oct at Duke 75 7-9 L 72% 4.7 85% 38% 97%
10-Oct Wake Forest 92 0-3 L 72% 4.7 19% 3% 94%
17-Oct at Clemson 2 17-34 L 4% -13.6 29% 55% 64%
24-Oct at Louisville 28 14-17 L 18% -7.5 24% 13% 90%
31-Oct Virginia Tech 59 10-26 L 27% -4.9 23% 12% 83%
7-Nov NC State 36 8-24 L 0% -26.3 10% 14% 44%
21-Nov vs. Notre Dame 8 16-19 L 16% -8.0 22% 26% 85%
28-Nov at Syracuse 71 17-20 L 83% 7.5 37% 33% 93%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 15.4 124 14.0 3
Points Per Game 17.2 121 15.3 4
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.19 102 1.26 67 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 30.4% 128 29.1% 1 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.9 45 28.9 47 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.29 97 3.81 11 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -2.91 94 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+2.46
ACTUAL 3 46
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 86.6 111 151.8 2 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 33.5% 124 26.2% 1 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.14 33 1.12 86 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 88.4 115 144.4 1 100.0
Opportunity Rate 36.0% 100 26.6% 1 38.9%
Power Success Rate 61.5% 93 56.2% 19 66.3%
Stuff Rate 26.5% 127 31.3% 1 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Tyler Rouse RB 5'8, 194 JR 100 422 7 4.2 6.0 31.0% 2 (0)
Myles Willis RB 5'9, 194 JR 67 259 0 3.9 6.0 29.9% 0 (0)
Jeff Smith QB 6'1, 182 FR 64 504 6 7.9 9.9 48.4% 6 (2)
Marcus Outlow RB 5'10, 203 SO 53 241 1 4.5 4.3 37.7% 0 (0)
Jon Hilliman RB 6'0, 224 SO 51 198 2 3.9 2.9 37.3% 1 (1)
John Fadule QB 6'1, 215 FR 29 171 0 5.9 7.1 41.4% 2 (2)
Richard Wilson FB 5'10, 224 FR 25 73 1 2.9 3.1 24.0% 0 (0)
Darius Wade QB 6'0, 204 SO 18 103 0 5.7 5.0 44.4% 0 (0)
Troy Flutie QB 6'0, 182 FR 18 62 0 3.4 5.0 27.8% 2 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 55.8 127 119.9 14 100.0
Passing Success Rate 24.6% 128 32.1% 6 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.31 108 1.37 35 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 59.6 125 136.1 15 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Jeff Smith 6'1, 182 FR 27 82 253 2 3 32.9% 8 8.9% 2.3
John Fadule 6'1, 215 FR 38 73 464 1 4 52.1% 10 12.0% 4.7
Troy Flutie 6'0, 182 FR 24 49 382 3 1 49.0% 5 9.3% 6.5
Darius Wade 6'0, 204 SO 21 42 232 2 1 50.0% 4 8.7% 4.4

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Thadd Smith WR 5'9, 175 SO 33 17 233 2 13.7 7.1 51.5% 39.4% 15.7%
David Dudeck WR 5'11, 194 SR 30 15 127 0 8.5 4.2 50.0% 26.7% 14.3%
Elijah Robinson WR 6'2, 187 FR 29 11 111 0 10.1 3.8 37.9% 20.7% 13.8%
Charlie Callinan WR 6'4, 224 SO 25 14 192 2 13.7 7.7 56.0% 44.0% 11.9%
Tyler Rouse RB 5'8, 194 JR 15 11 186 0 16.9 12.4 73.3% 66.7% 7.1%
Sherman Alston WR 5'6, 163 SO 14 7 77 0 11.0 5.5 50.0% 35.7% 6.7%
Bobby Wolford FB 6'2, 248 SR 12 9 80 1 8.9 6.7 75.0% 58.3% 5.7%
Bobby Swigert WR 6'0, 199 SR 11 5 39 1 7.8 3.6 45.5% 36.4% 5.2%
Marcus Outlow RB 5'10, 203 SO 9 4 53 0 13.3 5.9 44.4% 22.2% 4.3%
Tommy Sweeney TE 6'5, 246 FR 8 5 68 0 13.6 8.5 62.5% 62.5% 3.8%
Harrison Jackson WR 6'2, 207 JR 5 2 43 0 21.5 8.6 40.0% 40.0% 2.4%
Michael Walker WR 6'0, 195 FR 4 2 41 0 20.5 10.3 50.0% 50.0% 1.9%
Myles Willis RB 5'9, 194 JR 3 1 36 0 36.0 12.0 33.3% 33.3% 1.4%
Jon Hilliman RB 6'0, 224 SO 3 3 33 0 11.0 11.0 100.0% 66.7% 1.4%
Drew Barksdale WR 5'11, 198 SO 3 3 20 0 6.7 6.7 100.0% 33.3% 1.4%
Louie Addazio TE 6'3, 252 SR 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 1.0%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 69.3 128 119.0 10 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 32.5% 128 35.7% 2 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.03 99 1.16 91 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.26 125 1.97 1 2.90
SD Sack Rate 10.3% 126 5.2% 59 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 79.4 114 159.2 1 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 27.1% 95 19.9% 1 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.48 123 1.52 11 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.95 93 1.99 2 3.20
PD Sack Rate 11.8% 120 12.0% 7 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 74.9 121 128.0 13
Q2 S&P+ 74.3 125 141.3 3
Q3 S&P+ 75.9 124 137.5 9
Q4 S&P+ 99.4 77 152.2 1
1st Down S&P+ 80.7 120 137.0 3
2nd Down S&P+ 92.0 96 138.5 3
3rd Down S&P+ 60.8 128 137.5 3
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 75.0% 9 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 49.4% 8 34.0%
Adj. Pace -7.2 120 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 81.6% 15 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.6% 48 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 35.1% 56 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 22.5% 2 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 8.6% 6 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 8.5% 4 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 5.4% 93 6.3%
PD to INC 25.5% 122 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Steven Daniels LB 6'0, 257 SR 66.5 11.1% 16.0 6.0 1 2 0 0
Connor Strachan LB 6'2, 230 SO 61.5 10.3% 12.5 2.0 2 1 0 0
Justin Simmons DB 6'3, 201 SR 58.0 9.7% 1.0 0.0 5 2 2 0
Matt Milano LB 6'1, 218 JR 54.0 9.0% 17.5 6.5 0 3 2 1
John Johnson DB 6'0, 198 JR 54.0 9.0% 1.5 0.5 3 3 2 0
Harold Landry DL 6'3, 245 SO 48.5 8.1% 14.5 4.5 0 0 3 1
Mehdi Abdesmad DL 6'7, 286 SR 42.0 7.0% 15.0 5.5 0 0 0 0
Connor Wujciak DL 6'3, 300 SR 27.5 4.6% 11.0 4.5 0 0 1 0
Gabriel McClary DB 6'3, 204 SO 25.5 4.3% 1.0 1.0 0 2 2 0
Kamrin Moore DB 5'11, 192 SO 23.0 3.8% 2.0 0.0 0 4 0 0
Truman Gutapfel DL 6'3, 281 JR 20.0 3.3% 7.5 2.0 0 1 0 0
William Harris DB 6'2, 193 FR 18.5 3.1% 0.0 0.0 1 1 1 0
Kevin Kavalec DE 6'2, 253 JR 16.5 2.8% 8.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Isaac Yiadom DB 6'1, 184 SO 16.5 2.8% 0.0 0.0 1 4 0 0
Ty Schwab LB 6'1, 222 SO 12.5 2.1% 2.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Taj-Amir Torres DB 5'10, 170 FR 9.5 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
Atem Ntantang DB 5'11, 193 SO 5.0 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Ray Smith DT 6'1, 264 FR 4.5 0.8% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Mike Strizak LB 6'2, 239 JR 4.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Tyler Rouse RB 5'8, 194 JR 4.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Wyatt Ray DE 6'3, 230 FR 3.5 0.6% 1.5 0.5 0 1 0 0
Kevin Bletzer LB 6'2, 217 FR 3.0 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Evan Kelly DL 6'1, 285 SR 3.0 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Colton Cardinal LB 6'3, 230 FR 2.0 0.3% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Leonard Skubal LS 5'10, 193 JR 2.0 0.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.0 106
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.65 125
Punt Success Rate 64.5% 25
Kickoff Success Rate 59.1% 108
Punt Return Success Rate 44.8% 81
Kick Return Success Rate 53.1% 28
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Colton Lichtenberg 5'10, 175 FR 6-6 3-6 50.0%
Mike Knoll 6'0, 207 SO 9-9 2-3 66.7%
Alex Howell 6'5, 214 SR 8-8 1-2 50.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Alex Howell 6'5, 214 SR 92 41.7 6 24 22 50.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Colton Lichtenberg 5'10, 175 FR 24 60.1 4 16.7% 0 3 0 0
Alex Howell 6'5, 214 SR 17 58.7 4 23.5% 0 0 1 0
Mike Knoll 6'0, 207 SO 3 63.3 1 33.3% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Sherman Alston 5'6, 163 SO 22 8.1 0 18 2 (1)
Thadd Smith 5'9, 175 SO 1 -1.0 0 11 0 (0)
Taj-Amir Torres 5'10, 170 FR 1 0.0 0 0 1 (1)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Michael Walker 6'0, 195 FR 24 28.6 0 0 1 (0)
Myles Willis 5'9, 194 JR 3 21.7 0 0 0 (0)
Sherman Alston 5'6, 163 SO 2 15.5 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics