Updated on 8/20/2016
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2015 | 2016
Mississippi State Bulldogs (SEC West)
2015 Schedule & Results
| Record: 9-4 | Second-order wins (diff.): 8.4 (-0.6) | S&P+ Rk: 16 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 5-Sep | at Southern Miss | 58 | 34-16 | W | 84% | 8.0 | 92% | 69% | 90% |
| 12-Sep | LSU | 9 | 19-21 | L | 8% | -11.4 | 76% | 35% | 50% |
| 19-Sep | Northwestern State | N/A | 62-13 | W | 100% | 45.7 | 81% | 91% | 30% |
| 26-Sep | at Auburn | 35 | 17-9 | W | 91% | 10.7 | 92% | 71% | 75% |
| 3-Oct | at Texas A&M | 42 | 17-30 | L | 1% | -17.6 | 43% | 36% | 24% |
| 10-Oct | Troy | 90 | 45-17 | W | 100% | 33.0 | 87% | 80% | 93% |
| 17-Oct | Louisiana Tech | 54 | 45-20 | W | 92% | 11.2 | 89% | 92% | 72% |
| 24-Oct | Kentucky | 95 | 42-16 | W | 100% | 26.1 | 84% | 96% | 55% |
| 5-Nov | at Missouri | 85 | 31-13 | W | 99% | 19.1 | 82% | 82% | 69% |
| 14-Nov | Alabama | 1 | 6-31 | L | 0% | -22.2 | 24% | 49% | 38% |
| 21-Nov | at Arkansas | 15 | 51-50 | W | 63% | 2.6 | 66% | 85% | 47% |
| 28-Nov | Ole Miss | 5 | 27-38 | L | 3% | -15.5 | 36% | 64% | 45% |
| 30-Dec | vs. NC State | 36 | 51-28 | W | 97% | 14.8 | 85% | 92% | 58% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 39.2 | 16 | 24.2 | 40 |
| Points Per Game | 34.4 | 33 | 23.2 | 36 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.27 | 63 | 1.19 | 29 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 46.2% | 20 | 42.6% | 77 | 40.3% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 29.6 | 74 | 28.3 | 39 | 29.9 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 5.45 | 8 | 4.38 | 40 | 4.67 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -5.54 | 111 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +0.59 |
||
| ACTUAL | -4 | 92 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 109.1 | 37 | 104.8 | 50 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 44.2% | 48 | 42.7% | 76 | 42.3% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 0.99 | 101 | 1.01 | 43 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 111.9 | 17 | 108 | 39 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 40.4% | 45 | 41.9% | 103 | 38.9% |
| Power Success Rate | 71.4% | 35 | 56.0% | 18 | 66.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.2% | 83 | 22.4% | 36 | 19.6% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Dak Prescott | QB | 6'2, 230 | SR | 131 | 780 | 10 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 40.5% | 9 (4) |
| Brandon Holloway | RB | 5'8, 160 | JR | 93 | 413 | 0 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 38.7% | 3 (2) |
| Ashton Shumpert | RB | 6'2, 218 | JR | 59 | 228 | 1 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 33.9% | 2 (2) |
| Aeris Williams | RB | 6'1, 205 | FR | 40 | 206 | 3 | 5.2 | 3.7 | 47.5% | 1 (1) |
| Nick Fitzgerald | QB | 6'5, 227 | FR | 23 | 127 | 3 | 5.5 | 5.1 | 43.5% | 1 (0) |
| Dontavian Lee | RB | 6'1, 227 | FR | 22 | 137 | 0 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 40.9% | 0 (0) |
| Malik Dear | WR | 5'9, 220 | FR | 11 | 110 | 1 | 10.0 | 14.9 | 45.5% | 0 (0) |
| Gabe Myles | WR | 6'0, 192 | SO | 7 | 11 | 1 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 28.6% | 0 (0) |
| Elijah Staley | QB | 6'6, 248 | FR | 3 | 18 | 0 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 66.7% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 125.8 | 12 | 107.0 | 43 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 47.6% | 11 | 42.6% | 86 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.45 | 79 | 1.36 | 30 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 104.4 | 56 | 116.4 | 38 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Dak Prescott | 6'2, 230 | SR | 316 | 477 | 3793 | 29 | 5 | 66.2% | 32 | 6.3% | 7.1 |
| Nick Fitzgerald | 6'5, 227 | FR | 11 | 14 | 235 | 3 | 0 | 78.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 16.8 |
| Elijah Staley | 6'6, 248 | FR | 3 | 5 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 60.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 10.2 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Fred Ross | WR | 6'2, 207 | JR | 121 | 88 | 1007 | 5 | 11.4 | 8.3 | 72.7% | 54.5% | 24.8% |
| De'Runnya Wilson | WR | 6'5, 215 | JR | 98 | 60 | 918 | 10 | 15.3 | 9.4 | 61.2% | 58.2% | 20.1% |
| Brandon Holloway | RB | 5'8, 160 | JR | 43 | 33 | 396 | 5 | 12.0 | 9.2 | 76.7% | 41.9% | 8.8% |
| Fred Brown | WR | 6'1, 196 | JR | 42 | 27 | 412 | 3 | 15.3 | 9.8 | 64.3% | 59.5% | 8.6% |
| Malik Dear | WR | 5'9, 220 | FR | 31 | 23 | 226 | 2 | 9.8 | 7.3 | 74.2% | 64.5% | 6.4% |
| Donald Gray | WR | 5'10, 193 | SO | 30 | 21 | 386 | 2 | 18.4 | 12.9 | 70.0% | 56.7% | 6.2% |
| Gus Walley | TE | 6'4, 242 | JR | 25 | 19 | 146 | 1 | 7.7 | 5.8 | 76.0% | 48.0% | 5.1% |
| Ashton Shumpert | RB | 6'2, 218 | JR | 21 | 13 | 109 | 0 | 8.4 | 5.2 | 61.9% | 33.3% | 4.3% |
| Gabe Myles | WR | 6'0, 192 | SO | 19 | 12 | 175 | 2 | 14.6 | 9.2 | 63.2% | 31.6% | 3.9% |
| Darrion Hutcherson | TE | 6'7, 260 | SR | 19 | 16 | 164 | 1 | 10.3 | 8.6 | 84.2% | 52.6% | 3.9% |
| Joe Morrow | WR | 6'4, 202 | SR | 13 | 6 | 100 | 1 | 16.7 | 7.7 | 46.2% | 46.2% | 2.7% |
| Aeris Williams | RB | 6'1, 205 | FR | 8 | 6 | 18 | 0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 75.0% | 25.0% | 1.6% |
| Justin Johnson | WR | 6'3, 229 | FR | 7 | 5 | 41 | 1 | 8.2 | 5.9 | 71.4% | 71.4% | 1.4% |
| Jesse Jackson | WR | 6'2, 210 | FR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% |
| Dontavian Lee | RB | 6'1, 227 | FR | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 0.4% |
| Jamoral Graham | DB | 5'10, 173 | SO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 116.0 | 16 | 102.4 | 55 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 51.7% | 18 | 49.5% | 98 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.10 | 70 | 1.04 | 39 | 1.11 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.91 | 62 | 2.86 | 64 | 2.90 |
| SD Sack Rate | 5.6% | 78 | 6.7% | 18 | 5.0% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 126.4 | 13 | 116.0 | 23 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 33.7% | 40 | 28.1% | 38 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.85 | 43 | 1.75 | 65 | 1.77 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.44 | 45 | 2.82 | 33 | 3.20 |
| PD Sack Rate | 7.4% | 64 | 7.0% | 74 | 7.5% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 129.7 | 7 | 109.5 | 37 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 124.5 | 13 | 108.6 | 49 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 114.3 | 30 | 105.0 | 50 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 138.4 | 1 | 105.5 | 48 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 118.4 | 18 | 106.7 | 39 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 139.2 | 3 | 105.1 | 54 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 119.6 | 18 | 112.4 | 34 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 44.1% | 127 | 60.4% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 32.9% | 60 | 34.0% |
| Adj. Pace | -1.2 | 71 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 67.3% | 114 | 74.9% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 57.9% | 88 | 60.3% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 33.6% | 69 | 33.9% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 17.9% | 33 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 6.4% | 33 | 5.1% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 4.9% | 48 | 4.5% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 6.5% | 57 | 6.3% |
| PD to INC | 40.7% | 7 | 32.8% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
| Richie Brown | LB | 6'2, 245 | JR | 80.0 | 10.2% | 13.0 | 6.5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Beniquez Brown | LB | 6'1, 238 | JR | 73.5 | 9.4% | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Kivon Coman | DB | 6'3, 196 | JR | 57.5 | 7.3% | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Bryant | DB | 5'11, 205 | FR | 54.5 | 6.9% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| J.T. Gray | LB | 6'0, 196 | SO | 46.0 | 5.9% | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A.J. Jefferson | DL | 6'3, 277 | JR | 37.0 | 4.7% | 13.5 | 5.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Tolando Cleveland | DB | 6'0, 190 | JR | 34.5 | 4.4% | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Gerri Green | LB | 6'4, 243 | FR | 34.5 | 4.4% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Zach Jackson | LB | 6'2, 212 | SR | 32.0 | 4.1% | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Taveze Calhoun | DB | 6'1, 180 | SR | 31.5 | 4.0% | 6.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Jones | DL | 6'6, 308 | JR | 30.0 | 3.8% | 7.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Deontay Evans | DB | 5'10, 204 | JR | 26.5 | 3.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Brown | DL | 6'6, 266 | SR | 26.0 | 3.3% | 8.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Will Redmond | DB | 6'0, 186 | SR | 21.5 | 2.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Johnathan Calvin | DL | 6'3, 263 | JR | 19.5 | 2.5% | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamoral Graham | DB | 5'10, 173 | SO | 19.5 | 2.5% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamal Peters | DB | 6'2, 206 | FR | 18.5 | 2.4% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Kendrick Market | DB | 5'10, 196 | SR | 18.0 | 2.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick James | DL | 6'5, 325 | JR | 17.5 | 2.2% | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nelson Adams | DL | 6'3, 310 | JR | 15.5 | 2.0% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark McLaurin | DB | 6'2, 210 | FR | 15.0 | 1.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Cedric Jiles | DB | 5'10, 182 | JR | 11.5 | 1.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Will Coleman | DL | 6'5, 250 | JR | 11.0 | 1.4% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| DeAndre Ward | LB | 6'1, 217 | JR | 11.0 | 1.4% | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Torrey Dale | DL | 6'6, 252 | JR | 7.5 | 1.0% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. | |||||||||||
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | 0.9 | 34 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | 0.23 | 39 |
| Punt Success Rate | 54.7% | 69 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 77.6% | 38 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 52.6% | 51 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 47.2% | 59 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Westin Graves | 6'0, 163 | SO | 52-54 | 15-18 | 83.3% |
| Devon Bell | 6'2, 190 | SR | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Logan Cooke | 6'5, 216 | SO | 44 | 42.2 | 7 | 20 | 15 | 79.5% |
| Devon Bell | 6'2, 190 | SR | 9 | 41.1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 66.7% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Devon Bell | 6'2, 190 | SR | 80 | 62.1 | 33 | 41.3% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Logan Cooke | 6'5, 216 | SO | 4 | 49.3 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Westin Graves | 6'0, 163 | SO | 1 | 71.0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Fred Ross | 6'2, 207 | JR | 15 | 10.5 | 1 | 25 | 2 (2) |
| Donald Gray | 5'10, 193 | SO | 1 | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Fred Brown | 6'1, 196 | JR | 1 | -2.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Brandon Holloway | 5'8, 160 | JR | 24 | 23.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 (1) |
| Malik Dear | 5'9, 220 | FR | 5 | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Gabe Myles | 6'0, 192 | SO | 2 | 22.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics