clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2015 Georgia State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

Georgia State Panthers (Sun Belt)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 6-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.3 (1.3) | S&P+ Rk: 91
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
4-Sep Charlotte 124 20-23 L 56% 1.2 44% 34% 30%
12-Sep at New Mexico State 116 34-32 W 45% -1.0 47% 37% 15%
19-Sep at Oregon 25 28-61 L 1% -18.5 33% 7% 44%
3-Oct Liberty N/A 33-41 L 72% 4.7 26% 76% 10%
10-Oct Appalachian State 43 3-37 L 0% -32.9 19% 19% 28%
17-Oct at Ball State 111 31-19 W 91% 10.7 28% 47% 47%
31-Oct at Arkansas State 79 34-48 L 7% -12.0 26% 54% 31%
7-Nov UL-Lafayette 107 21-23 L 52% 0.5 24% 20% 59%
14-Nov at Texas State 112 41-19 W 100% 22.4 69% 81% 51%
21-Nov South Alabama 103 24-10 W 87% 9.2 37% 38% 60%
27-Nov Troy 90 31-21 W 93% 11.6 57% 67% 66%
5-Dec at Georgia Southern 39 34-7 W 100% 22.0 91% 86% 87%
19-Dec vs. San Jose State 89 16-27 L 31% -4.0 23% 9% 66%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 25.4 89 29.9 78
Points Per Game 27.9 70 28.3 78
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.39 16 1.15 18 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 41.2% 73 42.3% 75 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 25.3 128 30.4 82 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.86 56 4.66 65 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -1.34 82 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.56
ACTUAL 0 66
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 76.0 126 109.7 38 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 36.5% 116 41.7% 64 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.93 117 1.01 41 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 85.9 120 95.9 83 100.0
Opportunity Rate 36.6% 90 40.8% 93 38.9%
Power Success Rate 60.7% 101 63.3% 47 66.3%
Stuff Rate 25.1% 120 20.5% 56 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Brandon Burks RB 5'10, 207 SR 201 1005 7 4.0 5.5 27.0% 1 (1)
Andre Flakes RB 5'8, 185 SO 66 243 3 3.9 4.0 25.0% 2 (1)
Dontreal Pruitt QB 5'10, 181 SR 30 130 1 4.3 3.9 32.0% 3 (3)
Brandon Silvers QB 6'3, 214 SO 30 104 2 5.1 3.5 51.0% 2 (1)
Josh Anderson RB 5'11, 253 SO 10 29 0 4.1 5.6 25.0% 2 (2)
Jordan Chunn RB 6'1, 227 JR 7 39 1 5.2 4.7 50.0% 1 (1)
KE'Marvin Pitts WR 5'6, 155 SO 7 4 0 3.2 0.8 33.3% 0 (0)
Dallas Tidwell QB 6'7, 227 SR 3 18 0 12.0 10.0 66.7% 0 (0)
Teddy Ruben WR 5'7, 161 SR 2 12 0 3.7 0.5 33.3% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 107.0 44 94.3 83 100.0
Passing Success Rate 44.3% 32 43.0% 93 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.64 20 1.32 20 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 133.3 33 128.6 25 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Brandon Silvers 6'3, 214 SO 202 330 2378 20 7 61.2% 11 3.2% 6.8
Dallas Tidwell 6'7, 227 SR 25 54 298 1 2 46.3% 1 1.8% 5.3
Dontreal Pruitt 5'10, 181 SR 20 31 160 0 2 64.5% 6 16.2% 3.4

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Teddy Ruben WR 5'7, 161 SR 85 63 879 9 14.0 10.3 74.1% 46.7% 21.3%
John Johnson WR 5'11, 189 SO 46 23 258 0 11.2 5.6 50.0% 50.0% 11.5%
Emanuel Thompson WR 6'1, 193 SO 45 28 299 3 10.7 6.6 62.2% 53.6% 11.3%
Brandon Burks RB 5'10, 207 SR 42 29 304 2 10.5 7.2 69.0% 71.7% 10.5%
Jarvis Bentley WR 6'5, 198 SR 41 22 325 3 14.8 7.9 53.7% 52.9% 10.3%
Bryan Holmes WR 5'10, 181 SR 37 19 295 3 15.5 8.0 51.4% 20.0% 9.3%
Deondre Douglas WR 6'1, 200 FR 34 21 172 0 8.2 5.1 61.8% 37.5% 8.5%
Clark Quisenberry WR 6'3, 220 JR 20 14 138 0 9.9 6.9 70.0% 57.1% 5.0%
K.D. Edenfield WR 6'0, 197 SR 14 9 60 1 6.7 4.3 64.3% 41.7% 3.5%
Ismail Saleem WR 5'8, 165 FR 13 7 63 0 9.0 4.9 53.8% 41.7% 3.3%
Andre Flakes RB 5'8, 185 SO 12 9 49 0 5.4 4.1 75.0% 70.0% 3.0%
Trey Page WR 5'8, 170 SR 3 2 19 0 9.5 6.3 66.7% 30.0% 0.8%
Nick McLaughlin RB 5'11, 225 JR 2 1 12 0 12.0 6.0 50.0% 57.1% 0.5%
Bill Teknipp TE 6'4, 235 SO 6 2 12 0 6.0 2.0 33.3% 33.3% 1.3%
Nyck Young WR 6'1, 200 JR 1 1 6 0 6.0 6.0 100.0% 25.0% 0.3%
Jordan Chunn RB 6'1, 227 JR 1 1 2 0 2.0 2.0 100.0% 33.3% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 91.4 106 97.8 73 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 42.4% 109 49.4% 95 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.31 5 1.04 40 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.47 119 3.16 103 2.90
SD Sack Rate 4.0% 44 8.3% 4 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 115.6 35 116.6 22 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 38.5% 10 24.6% 13 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.60 102 1.73 60 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.42 116 2.84 35 3.20
PD Sack Rate 4.6% 15 8.0% 53 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 96.5 88 97.2 75
Q2 S&P+ 107.0 48 103.4 65
Q3 S&P+ 106.3 54 99.3 70
Q4 S&P+ 80.5 122 101.0 67
1st Down S&P+ 94.1 97 98.0 75
2nd Down S&P+ 93.4 93 104.1 59
3rd Down S&P+ 113.0 33 100.3 67
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 48.9% 117 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 19.7% 125 34.0%
Adj. Pace -6.4 117 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 78.1% 40 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.8% 47 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 34.4% 62 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 15.4% 75 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.0% 116 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 4.7% 56 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 7.8% 18 6.3%
PD to INC 38.7% 19 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Montres Kitchens S 6'0, 180 SR 67.0 9.4% 2.5 0.0 2 2 2 0
William Lloyd LB 6'0, 214 JR 59.5 8.3% 9.0 3.5 0 0 1 0
Terris Lewis LB 6'2, 229 JR 52.5 7.4% 5.5 0.0 0 1 3 0
Tyler Roberts DE 6'2, 240 SR 51.5 7.2% 17.0 7.0 0 1 1 0
LaMarcus Farmer CB 6'0, 173 SR 42.5 6.0% 4.0 0.0 3 6 0 0
Mitchell Roland LB 6'1, 231 JR 37.0 5.2% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Demetrius Cain S 6'1, 215 JR 36.0 5.0% 2.0 1.0 0 4 0 2
Cedarius Rookard S 6'1, 206 FR 35.0 4.9% 0.0 0.0 0 1 1 0
Justin Lucas LB 5'10, 227 JR 32.0 4.5% 6.5 1.5 1 0 0 0
Jalen Harris CB 6'0, 182 SO 30.5 4.3% 2.0 1.0 0 1 0 0
JaQuadrian Lewis S 6'1, 192 JR 28.5 4.0% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jamal Stadom DE 6'2, 266 SO 27.0 3.8% 5.0 2.0 0 0 0 0
Trevon Sanders DT 6'0, 319 FR 24.5 3.4% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Rashad Dillard DE 6'1, 261 JR 24.0 3.4% 9.0 7.0 0 0 2 1
A.J. Smiley S 6'3, 203 FR 22.0 3.1% 1.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
Jalen Rountree CB 5'11, 171 JR 20.5 2.9% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Josh Marshall CB 5'11, 183 JR 17.5 2.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Seth Calloway DT 6'3, 267 SO 17.0 2.4% 5.0 2.5 0 0 0 0
Darrin Reddick S 6'0, 197 SR 15.0 2.1% 1.5 1.0 0 2 0 1
Lonnie Gosha NG 6'3, 306 SR 11.5 1.6% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Garrett Peek DE 6'3, 281 JR 11.0 1.5% 1.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
D.J. Johnson DT 6'5, 296 SR 10.0 1.4% 3.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Sam Lebbie DE 6'3, 251 SO 9.0 1.3% 2.0 0.5 0 0 0 0
Robert Johnson S 6'0, 189 FR 7.0 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
B.J. Clay CB 6'0, 180 SO 5.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.2 111
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.16 93
Punt Success Rate 54.4% 74
Kickoff Success Rate 75.4% 47
Punt Return Success Rate 10.0% 128
Kick Return Success Rate 23.1% 124
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Wil Lutz 6'0, 190 SR 42-43 12-19 63.2%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Wil Lutz 6'0, 190 SR 65 44.3 4 10 17 41.5%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Wil Lutz 6'0, 190 SR 65 63.1 35 53.8% 1 0 2 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Donovan Harden 5'11, 175 SR 6 -0.2 0 21 2 (0)
Kam Myers 5'8, 175 JR 2 4.0 0 3 0 (0)
Avery Sweeting 5'8, 160 SR 2 14.0 0 3 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Marquan Greene 5'10, 180 FR 16 24.3 1 0 0 (0)
Glenn Smith 6'1, 185 SO 7 21.6 0 0 0 (0)
Avery Sweeting 5'8, 160 SR 6 17.8 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics