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2015 Appalachian State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

Appalachian State Mountaineers (Sun Belt)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 11-2 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.5 (-0.5) | S&P+ Rk: 43
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep Howard N/A 49-0 W 100% 50.2 53% 75% 29%
12-Sep at Clemson 2 10-41 L 0% -26.2 43% 11% 75%
26-Sep at Old Dominion 110 49-0 W 100% 34.3 92% 82% 93%
3-Oct Wyoming 114 31-13 W 97% 15.6 76% 42% 60%
10-Oct at Georgia State 91 37-3 W 100% 32.9 93% 93% 96%
17-Oct at UL-Monroe 122 59-14 W 100% 30.1 73% 93% 41%
22-Oct Georgia Southern 39 31-13 W 99% 18.9 88% 87% 81%
31-Oct Troy 90 44-41 W 40% -2.0 25% 44% 48%
5-Nov Arkansas State 79 27-40 L 26% -5.1 34% 73% 34%
14-Nov at Idaho 109 47-20 W 97% 15.6 49% 70% 49%
28-Nov UL-Lafayette 107 28-7 W 100% 24.1 76% 62% 90%
5-Dec at South Alabama 103 34-27 W 98% 16.5 54% 54% 66%
19-Dec vs. Ohio 66 31-29 W 90% 10.2 61% 53% 89%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 32.3 46 24.6 41
Points Per Game 36.7 23 19.1 14
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.42 7 1.16 20 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 45.2% 25 37.9% 29 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.9 63 31.0 93 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.55 6 4.00 21 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -1.07 80 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+1.18
ACTUAL 2 51
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 110.1 31 107.5 42 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 45.0% 39 36.8% 19 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.26 9 1.03 49 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 109.9 28 100.1 61 100.0
Opportunity Rate 45.0% 10 36.0% 39 38.9%
Power Success Rate 62.5% 86 64.5% 56 66.3%
Stuff Rate 19.2% 65 20.6% 53 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Marcus Cox RB 5'10, 200 JR 243 1423 9 5.9 6.7 40.7% 4 (3)
Jalin Moore RB 5'11, 200 FR 99 731 5 7.4 7.4 46.5% 1 (1)
Terrence Upshaw RB 5'10, 210 SO 81 442 3 5.5 4.6 48.1% 1 (0)
Taylor Lamb QB 6'2, 200 SO 74 507 5 6.9 6.2 51.4% 3 (2)
Josh Boyd RB 5'10, 180 FR 41 155 0 3.8 2.2 41.5% 1 (1)
J.P. Caruso QB 6'1, 210 FR 17 125 0 7.4 7.4 47.1% 0 (0)
Ricky Fergerson RB 5'8, 170 SR 11 80 1 7.3 8.9 45.5% 1 (1)
Simms McElfresh WR 5'10, 180 SR 8 76 1 9.5 4.8 75.0% 1 (1)
Eric Davidson RB 5'10, 195 SR 6 12 0 2.0 1.5 16.7% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 117.5 25 104.3 52 100.0
Passing Success Rate 45.6% 20 39.1% 51 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.68 17 1.32 18 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 151.5 24 139.8 12 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Taylor Lamb 6'2, 200 SO 170 283 2387 31 9 60.1% 11 3.7% 7.9
J.P. Caruso 6'1, 210 FR 8 12 109 2 0 66.7% 0 0.0% 9.1

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Simms McElfresh WR 5'10, 180 SR 58 38 466 6 12.3 8.0 65.5% 51.7% 20.7%
Malachi Jones WR 6'2, 215 SR 44 25 463 3 18.5 10.5 56.8% 50.0% 15.7%
Shaedon Meadors WR 6'2, 180 SO 34 21 439 3 20.9 12.9 61.8% 50.0% 12.1%
Bobo Beathard WR 5'10, 190 SR 21 14 265 3 18.9 12.6 66.7% 57.1% 7.5%
Marcus Cox RB 5'10, 200 JR 21 18 160 2 8.9 7.6 85.7% 52.4% 7.5%
Barrett Burns TE 6'4, 245 JR 19 15 163 8 10.9 8.6 78.9% 68.4% 6.8%
Ike Lewis WR 5'10, 175 SO 18 11 158 1 14.4 8.8 61.1% 55.6% 6.4%
Montez McGuire WR 6'1, 225 SR 14 8 125 2 15.6 8.9 57.1% 57.1% 5.0%
Levi Duffield TE 6'2, 205 SO 11 7 52 1 7.4 4.7 63.6% 54.5% 3.9%
Terrence Upshaw RB 5'10, 210 SO 7 3 46 0 15.3 6.6 42.9% 28.6% 2.5%
Deltron Hopkins WR 5'8, 160 FR 7 4 27 0 6.8 3.9 57.1% 28.6% 2.5%
Jaylan Barbour WR 5'10, 180 FR 6 3 49 0 16.3 8.2 50.0% 50.0% 2.1%
Dante Jones WR 5'11, 185 SO 3 2 35 1 17.5 11.7 66.7% 33.3% 1.1%
Kennan Gilchrist OLB 6'2, 210 JR 3 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 1.1%
Josh Boyd RB 5'10, 180 FR 2 2 27 0 13.5 13.5 100.0% 100.0% 0.7%
Jaquil Capel WR 5'11, 190 JR 2 2 26 0 13.0 13.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.7%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 118.0 13 108.8 31 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 52.8% 14 42.0% 24 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.30 6 1.08 53 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.36 7 2.73 41 2.90
SD Sack Rate 4.2% 49 7.3% 11 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 96.0 84 105.5 53 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 27.1% 94 29.5% 54 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.98 20 1.42 2 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.00 86 2.64 16 3.20
PD Sack Rate 3.0% 6 10.6% 17 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 116.1 28 115.0 32
Q2 S&P+ 111.9 36 113.8 31
Q3 S&P+ 113.2 32 104.3 51
Q4 S&P+ 107.3 46 103.3 56
1st Down S&P+ 115.7 22 108.6 35
2nd Down S&P+ 102.5 64 112.0 35
3rd Down S&P+ 117.0 22 108.4 44
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 68.4% 19 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 47.3% 11 34.0%
Adj. Pace +0.0 60 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 67.1% 115 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 63.7% 34 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 36.6% 40 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 17.7% 39 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 5.7% 50 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 6.0% 20 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 6.0% 77 6.3%
PD to INC 34.4% 50 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Eric Boggs ILB 6'3, 235 SO 79.0 11.1% 7.5 4.0 3 1 0 0
John Law ILB 6'0, 230 JR 57.0 8.0% 9.5 4.0 2 1 0 0
Ronald Blair DL 6'4, 270 SR 56.5 7.9% 19.0 7.5 1 0 1 1
Kennan Gilchrist OLB 6'2, 210 JR 50.0 7.0% 3.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Devan Stringer OLB 5'11, 200 SO 47.5 6.7% 7.5 2.5 0 2 0 1
Alex Gray DB 6'3, 210 JR 43.0 6.0% 1.5 0.0 2 2 1 0
Doug Middleton DB 6'0, 210 SR 41.5 5.8% 1.0 0.5 0 3 0 0
Latrell Gibbs DB 5'10, 170 SO 39.5 5.5% 2.0 0.0 7 12 0 0
A.J. Howard DB 5'11, 190 SO 28.5 4.0% 5.0 0.5 0 1 0 0
Nate Norwood DL 6'2, 240 JR 27.5 3.9% 7.0 4.0 0 0 0 0
Mondo Williams DB 5'11, 175 JR 26.5 3.7% 2.0 0.0 2 4 0 0
Olawale Dada DL 6'0, 235 JR 25.0 3.5% 5.5 3.0 0 0 0 0
Osvaldo Sombo OLB 6'2, 240 SR 21.5 3.0% 6.0 2.0 0 1 0 0
Tyson Fernandez DL 6'2, 320 JR 18.5 2.6% 4.0 1.5 0 0 0 0
Tae Hayes DB 5'11, 175 FR 18.0 2.5% 1.0 0.0 1 4 0 0
Caleb Fuller ILB 6'0, 240 SO 17.0 2.4% 3.5 2.5 0 0 0 0
D.J. Ward ILB 5'11, 245 SR 11.0 1.5% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Stephen Burns DL 6'2, 270 SR 10.5 1.5% 4.0 1.5 0 1 0 0
Teh'Ron Fuller ILB 6'2, 225 FR 7.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Darian Small DL 6'2, 315 JR 7.0 1.0% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Anthony Flory ILB 6'2, 225 FR 7.0 1.0% 0.5 0.5 0 1 0 0
Antonious Sims DL 6'3, 250 JR 6.5 0.9% 2.5 0.0 0 0 1 0
Dustin Anderson OLB 5'10, 200 JR 5.5 0.8% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Josh Thomas DB 6'0, 205 FR 5.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Austin Exford DB 6'2, 195 FR 5.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 1.1 22
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.46 6
Punt Success Rate 51.0% 91
Kickoff Success Rate 75.3% 48
Punt Return Success Rate 33.3% 112
Kick Return Success Rate 56.8% 17
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Zach Matics 6'2, 195 SR 61-61 14-17 82.4%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Bentlee Critcher 6'1, 190 JR 51 43.4 6 14 11 49.0%
Taylor Lamb 6'2, 200 SO 1 23.0 0 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Zach Matics 6'2, 195 SR 81 62.0 40 49.4% 1 1 0 0
Bentlee Critcher 6'1, 190 JR 4 63.3 3 75.0% 0 0 0 0
Simms McElfresh 5'10, 180 SR 0 0.0 0 0.0% 0 0 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Bobo Beathard 5'10, 190 SR 12 5.3 0 16 0 (0)
Latrell Gibbs 5'10, 170 SO 8 6.0 0 13 1 (0)
Simms McElfresh 5'10, 180 SR 1 11.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Ricky Fergerson 5'8, 170 SR 21 21.9 0 0 1 (1)
Bobo Beathard 5'10, 190 SR 6 21.5 0 0 0 (0)
Ike Lewis 5'10, 175 SO 3 18.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics