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2015 Texas State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

Texas State Bobcats (Sun Belt)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.8 (0.8) | S&P+ Rk: 112
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy		 Adj. Scoring
Margin		 Percentile
Performance		 Off.
Percentile		 Def.
Percentile
5-Sep at Florida State 7 16-59 L 0% -29.7 32% 43% 9%
12-Sep Prairie View A&M N/A 63-24 W 100% 34.5 66% 84% 13%
19-Sep Southern Miss 58 50-56 L 17% -7.8 70% 89% 17%
26-Sep at Houston 44 14-59 L 0% -36.7 20% 35% 3%
10-Oct at UL-Lafayette 107 27-49 L 0% -20.9 8% 9% 14%
24-Oct South Alabama 103 36-18 W 89% 9.9 43% 61% 26%
29-Oct at Georgia Southern 39 13-37 L 0% -23.8 19% 20% 46%
7-Nov New Mexico State 116 21-31 L 46% -0.9 14% 18% 34%
14-Nov Georgia State 91 19-41 L 0% -22.4 11% 49% 3%
19-Nov UL-Monroe 122 16-3 W 98% 17.2 56% 26% 80%
28-Nov at Idaho 109 31-38 L 33% -3.6 13% 41% 6%
5-Dec at Arkansas State 79 17-55 L 0% -26.1 18% 38% 14%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 27.4 77 41.7 126
Points Per Game 26.9 80 39.2 120
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.28 54 1.32 93 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.6% 77 49.6% 125 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.8 95 29.0 50 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.61 81 5.28 115 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 0.78 60 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-3.24
ACTUAL -7 105
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 102.6 64 85.2 118 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 42.6% 66 49.9% 119 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.17 25 1.12 85 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 95.9 93 83.5 124 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.9% 66 42.8% 114 38.9%
Power Success Rate 62.8% 85 64.2% 54 66.3%
Stuff Rate 19.1% 59 14.4% 120 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry		 Hlt Yds/
Opp.		 Opp.
Rate		 Fumbles
(Lost)
Robert Lowe RB 5'10, 195 SR 175 915 7 5.2 5.6 38.3% 1 (1)
Tyler Jones QB 6'2, 205 JR 123 713 10 5.8 8.4 36.6% 4 (2)
Tyler Siudzinski RB 5'10, 185 JR 59 290 1 4.9 5.3 35.6% 0 (0)
Chris Nutall RB 5'8, 202 SR 35 176 4 5.0 3.3 45.7% 1 (1)
C.J. Best WR 5'10, 185 SR 20 105 1 5.3 4.8 60.0% 2 (2)
Connor White QB 6'5, 200 FR 14 78 0 5.6 3.7 42.9% 0 (0)
Stedman Mayberry RB 5'10, 189 FR 14 61 0 4.4 4.4 28.6% 0 (0)
Nick Bingham RB 5'11, 205 FR 5 12 1 2.4 3.6 20.0% 0 (0)
Stephan Johnson S 6'0, 190 SO 2 11 0 5.5 2.5 50.0% 1 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 88.8 99 76.0 126 100.0
Passing Success Rate 38.4% 84 49.1% 124 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.42 87 1.59 106 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 102.2 59 62.6 118 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate		 Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Tyler Jones 6'2, 205 JR 223 382 2517 14 10 58.4% 18 4.5% 6.0
Connor White 6'5, 200 FR 26 47 235 1 2 55.3% 2 4.1% 4.6

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch		 Yds/
Target		 Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
C.J. Best WR 5'10, 185 SR 86 58 594 1 10.2 6.9 67.4% 48.8% 21.7%
Jafus Gaines WR 5'11, 175 SR 68 42 518 2 12.3 7.6 61.8% 45.6% 17.2%
Brandon Smith WR 6'2, 170 SR 54 33 462 2 14.0 8.6 61.1% 48.1% 13.6%
Ryan Carden TE 6'4, 250 SR 31 25 243 0 9.7 7.8 80.6% 58.1% 7.8%
Demun Mercer WR 6'2, 197 SO 31 19 235 2 12.4 7.6 61.3% 38.7% 7.8%
Robert Lowe RB 5'10, 195 SR 31 18 145 3 8.1 4.7 58.1% 22.6% 7.8%
Ryan Garrey WR 5'11, 180 SR 27 15 137 0 9.1 5.1 55.6% 40.7% 6.8%
Lawrence White TE 6'7, 255 SR 26 15 169 3 11.3 6.5 57.7% 53.8% 6.6%
Chris Nutall RB 5'8, 202 SR 10 6 86 1 14.3 8.6 60.0% 40.0% 2.5%
Tyler Siudzinski RB 5'10, 185 JR 8 4 71 0 17.8 8.9 50.0% 37.5% 2.0%
Stedman Mayberry RB 5'10, 189 FR 8 5 26 0 5.2 3.3 62.5% 12.5% 2.0%
Chris French TE 6'4, 245 SO 5 4 24 1 6.0 4.8 80.0% 60.0% 1.3%
Kwamane Bowens WR 6'0, 196 SO 5 1 5 0 5.0 1.0 20.0% 0.0% 1.3%
Jack Rhoades WR 6'3, 201 SR 2 1 5 0 5.0 2.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Tim Gay RB 5'11, 248 SR 1 1 17 0 17.0 17.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Gabe Schrade TE 6'4, 227 SO 1 1 11 0 11.0 11.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 95.1 95 84.6 121 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 46.2% 72 53.0% 118 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.14 50 1.20 103 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.76 85 3.39 120 2.90
SD Sack Rate 3.8% 40 4.5% 85 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 97.0 79 76.7 127 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 29.7% 75 40.3% 126 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.73 74 1.74 63 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.12 76 3.68 110 3.20
PD Sack Rate 6.7% 52 3.6% 121 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 95.6 93 79.5 126
Q2 S&P+ 104.5 58 85.9 111
Q3 S&P+ 78.5 120 80.7 123
Q4 S&P+ 96.6 89 80.2 124
1st Down S&P+ 91.6 103 85.6 119
2nd Down S&P+ 97.9 80 81.9 118
3rd Down S&P+ 95.1 88 70.4 128
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 63.3% 41 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 32.0% 68 34.0%
Adj. Pace +3.4 30 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 86.5% 3 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.3% 28 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 39.8% 16 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 10.3% 127 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.9% 92 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 1.2% 128 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 5.0% 104 6.3%
PD to INC 22.8% 127 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Damani Alexcee S 6'2, 192 JR 70.0 9.8% 3.0 2.0 0 3 1 0
Trey McGowan LB 6'0, 247 SR 61.5 8.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Jerrid Jeter-Gilmon LB 6'1, 230 SR 54.0 7.6% 4.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
David Mims II CB 5'11, 198 SR 53.5 7.5% 4.0 1.0 0 5 0 0
Aaron Shaw DB 5'10, 196 SR 49.5 6.9% 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 0
Brandon McDowell CB 5'10, 183 SO 38.5 5.4% 2.5 0.0 0 6 0 0
Karee Berry DE 6'3, 225 SO 29.5 4.1% 5.5 3.0 0 1 1 0
Dallas McClarty DT 5'11, 275 JR 28.0 3.9% 1.5 0.5 0 0 0 0
Dila Rosemond DB 5'10, 175 SO 25.5 3.6% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Marcus Dallas, Jr. DE 6'4, 245 SR 24.5 3.4% 4.0 2.0 0 0 0 0
Ishmael Davis LB 6'3, 223 FR 22.5 3.2% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Stephen Smith LB 6'3, 221 JR 21.5 3.0% 1.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
Stephan Johnson S 6'0, 190 SO 21.0 2.9% 0.5 0.0 2 1 0 0
Donta Clanton CB 5'10, 185 SR 19.0 2.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Javante O'Roy CB 6'0, 180 JR 18.5 2.6% 1.5 0.0 0 1 1 0
Mershad Dillon DT 6'3, 300 SR 16.5 2.3% 3.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Camyron Brown S 5'11, 199 FR 15.5 2.2% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Easy Anyama S 6'3, 220 SO 15.0 2.1% 0.5 0.0 0 1 0 0
Tim Gay RB 5'11, 248 SR 14.0 2.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Dondre Elvoid DT 6'4, 305 SR 13.5 1.9% 3.5 1.5 0 0 0 0
Rusmin Nikocevic DT 6'4, 258 SR 12.0 1.7% 5.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Jeff Banks DE 6'5, 212 SO 9.5 1.3% 4.0 0.0 0 1 1 0
Demetrius Woodard S 6'2, 210 SR 9.5 1.3% 1.5 1.0 0 1 0 0
Herbert Gonzales DT 6'0, 297 SR 9.0 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Roosevelt Pearson DE 6'5, 255 JR 8.0 1.1% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

 Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.9 104
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.32 112
Punt Success Rate 57.8% 49
Kickoff Success Rate 77.4% 39
Punt Return Success Rate 60.0% 32
Kick Return Success Rate 38.1% 94
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Lumi Kaba 6'2, 182 JR 26-27 10-18 55.6%
James Sherman 5'10, 180 FR 6-10 1-1 100.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Lumi Kaba 6'2, 182 JR 65 44.3 4 16 16 49.2%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches		 Onside
Att		 Onside
Success
Lumi Kaba 6'2, 182 JR 62 63.8 43 69.4% 0 1 2 1
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Brandon McDowell 5'10, 183 SO 14 13.1 1 19 2 (1)
Tyler Watts 5'8, 150 FR 1 0.0 0 0 0 (0)
Dila Rosemond 5'10, 175 SO 0 0.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Brandon Smith 6'2, 170 SR 27 23.1 1 1 0 (0)
Jafus Gaines 5'11, 175 SR 8 15.1 0 0 0 (0)
Ryan Carden 6'4, 250 SR 3 8.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics