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2015 San Jose State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

SJSU Spartans (MWC West)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 6-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 6.3 (0.3) | S&P+ Rk: 89
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep New Hampshire N/A 43-13 W 100% 26.4 72% 86% 46%
12-Sep at Air Force 52 16-37 L 15% -8.2 66% 49% 56%
19-Sep at Oregon State 102 21-35 L 17% -7.5 16% 18% 15%
26-Sep Fresno State 100 49-23 W 97% 15.3 79% 64% 50%
3-Oct at Auburn 35 21-35 L 2% -16.1 32% 26% 15%
10-Oct at UNLV 106 33-27 W 90% 10.3 37% 45% 59%
17-Oct San Diego State 45 7-30 L 0% -42.3 19% 11% 17%
24-Oct New Mexico 101 31-21 W 58% 1.6 27% 57% 49%
6-Nov BYU 38 16-17 L 6% -12.7 19% 31% 53%
14-Nov at Nevada 99 34-37 L 62% 2.4 33% 61% 44%
21-Nov at Hawaii 118 42-23 W 100% 22.8 63% 89% 32%
27-Nov Boise State 41 23-40 L 9% -10.6 29% 77% 28%
19-Dec vs. Georgia State 91 27-16 W 69% 4.0 49% 28% 84%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 27.3 78 31.8 90
Points Per Game 27.9 69 27.2 64
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.19 100 1.22 52 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 45.0% 26 42.9% 82 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.2 106 31.6 105 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.78 65 4.78 76 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -0.15 70 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.87
ACTUAL -5 98
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 105.4 56 88.1 106 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 44.5% 45 45.7% 94 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.09 52 1.14 95 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 98.8 79 92.2 97 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.9% 66 39.9% 86 38.9%
Power Success Rate 69.1% 42 73.5% 104 66.3%
Stuff Rate 18.5% 48 16.3% 105 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Tyler Ervin RB 5'10, 177 SR 294 1601 13 5.4 6.0 38.1% 3 (2)
Kenny Potter QB 6'2, 212 JR 85 629 7 7.4 7.8 48.2% 4 (0)
Thomas Tucker RB 5'10, 197 SO 40 159 2 4.0 1.9 35.0% 2 (1)
Malik Roberson RB 5'8, 185 FR 24 92 0 3.8 3.4 29.2% 0 (0)
Jarrod Lawson RB 5'8, 201 JR 15 51 0 3.4 1.4 26.7% 1 (1)
Joe Gray QB 6'2, 207 SR 8 35 1 4.4 2.0 37.5% 0 (0)
Hansell Wilson WR 5'9, 183 SR 6 84 0 14.0 18.7 66.7% 3 (1)
Tim Crawley WR 5'7, 170 JR 6 13 1 2.2 4.5 33.3% 0 (0)
Darrion Hancock RB 5'9, 205 JR 4 12 0 3.0 0.5 25.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 97.8 75 106.3 45 100.0
Passing Success Rate 45.6% 21 38.5% 42 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.31 107 1.36 32 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 75.4 104 83.6 94 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Kenny Potter 6'2, 212 JR 182 270 1984 15 7 67.4% 30 10.0% 5.9
Joe Gray 6'2, 207 SR 73 105 839 6 4 69.5% 8 7.1% 7.0
Malik Watson 6'3, 208 JR 9 15 59 0 1 60.0% 0 0.0% 3.9

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Billy Freeman TE 6'3, 232 JR 75 48 586 6 12.2 7.8 64.0% 56.0% 19.9%
Tim Crawley WR 5'7, 170 JR 54 39 424 5 10.9 7.9 72.2% 50.0% 14.4%
Tyler Ervin RB 5'10, 177 SR 54 45 334 2 7.4 6.2 83.3% 48.1% 14.4%
Hansell Wilson WR 5'9, 183 SR 50 35 475 4 13.6 9.5 70.0% 56.0% 13.3%
Tyler Winston WR 6'2, 191 JR 49 35 368 2 10.5 7.5 71.4% 51.0% 13.0%
Justin Holmes WR 6'2, 214 FR 39 23 226 0 9.8 5.8 59.0% 38.5% 10.4%
Shane Smith RB 6'2, 238 JR 15 7 121 0 17.3 8.1 46.7% 40.0% 4.0%
Thomas Tucker RB 5'10, 197 SO 13 11 168 0 15.3 12.9 84.6% 69.2% 3.5%
Malik Roberson RB 5'8, 185 FR 7 5 70 0 14.0 10.0 71.4% 28.6% 1.9%
Chris Kearney WR 5'11, 198 SR 7 5 47 0 9.4 6.7 71.4% 42.9% 1.9%
Josh Oliver TE 6'5, 247 FR 4 4 36 1 9.0 9.0 100.0% 100.0% 1.1%
Jarrod Lawson RB 5'8, 201 JR 3 3 18 0 6.0 6.0 100.0% 33.3% 0.8%
Darrion Hancock RB 5'9, 205 JR 1 1 4 0 4.0 4.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Thai Cottrell WR 5'7, 172 FR 1 1 2 0 2.0 2.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Matt Spadaro TE 6'5, 253 FR 1 1 2 0 2.0 2.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Brad Kuh TE 6'2, 234 JR 1 1 1 1 1.0 1.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 95.1 94 91.7 96 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 48.0% 46 48.1% 83 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.02 102 1.12 77 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.78 81 3.22 111 2.90
SD Sack Rate 9.2% 122 2.0% 124 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 117.3 29 101.0 67 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 37.7% 12 31.3% 69 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.71 80 1.58 21 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.93 8 2.77 27 3.20
PD Sack Rate 6.0% 38 8.9% 36 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 108.2 48 97.5 74
Q2 S&P+ 101.6 72 99.8 78
Q3 S&P+ 101.4 75 102.8 60
Q4 S&P+ 105.9 51 85.4 115
1st Down S&P+ 95.9 91 91.7 102
2nd Down S&P+ 109.8 45 95.0 86
3rd Down S&P+ 113.4 31 108.5 43
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 65.6% 30 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 29.7% 80 34.0%
Adj. Pace -0.4 64 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 75.3% 61 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 70.3% 3 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 39.7% 17 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 13.1% 113 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.0% 114 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 2.9% 106 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 7.1% 33 6.3%
PD to INC 30.6% 81 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Christian Tago LB 6'1, 237 JR 96.5 14.6% 9.0 1.0 0 1 0 0
Maurice McKnight S 6'0, 181 SO 87.0 13.2% 5.0 0.5 1 2 2 0
Frank Ginda LB 6'0, 236 FR 61.0 9.2% 4.5 1.0 0 0 1 0
Vincenté Miles, Jr. S 6'1, 196 SR 52.5 7.9% 2.5 1.0 0 3 1 0
Jimmy Pruitt CB 6'0, 203 SR 49.5 7.5% 4.0 0.0 3 6 1 0
Cleveland Wallace III CB 5'11, 177 JR 37.5 5.7% 0.5 0.0 3 7 0 0
Andre Chachere CB 6'0, 193 SO 32.5 4.9% 2.0 1.0 2 8 1 0
Isaiah Irving DE 6'3, 239 JR 27.5 4.2% 5.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Nick Oreglia DT 6'3, 280 JR 27.0 4.1% 2.5 1.5 0 1 2 0
William Ossai LB 6'2, 225 SO 25.5 3.9% 2.0 0.0 0 2 1 0
Tony Popovich DT 6'2, 285 SR 24.0 3.6% 5.0 2.5 0 0 0 0
Keenan Sykes DT 6'3, 277 JR 19.5 3.0% 2.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
Dominic Barnes CB 5'11, 198 JR 13.5 2.0% 1.5 1.5 0 1 0 0
Eugene Taylor DE 6'3, 233 JR 12.0 1.8% 3.0 3.0 0 0 0 0
Epie Sona LB 5'11, 234 JR 12.0 1.8% 2.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Cedric Lousi DE 6'3, 261 SR 8.0 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Travis Miller DT 6'4, 291 SO 7.5 1.1% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Mark Amann LB 6'0, 220 JR 7.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Nate Falo DT 6'1, 255 SR 5.5 0.8% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Moses Saucedo LB 6'0, 220 SR 5.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Loni Fa DT 6'3, 291 JR 5.0 0.8% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Owen Roberts DT 6'2, 266 FR 4.5 0.7% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Bryson Bridges DT 6'2, 270 FR 4.5 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Chandler Hawkins DB 6'0, 187 FR 4.5 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Simon Connette S 5'11, 204 SR 4.0 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.8 99
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.39 115
Punt Success Rate 72.9% 7
Kickoff Success Rate 52.2% 120
Punt Return Success Rate 37.5% 104
Kick Return Success Rate 45.2% 66
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Austin Lopez 6'0, 209 SR 36-38 10-17 58.8%
Bryce Crawford 6'3, 220 FR 6-7 1-2 50.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Michael Carrizosa 5'10, 229 SO 48 47.5 6 10 16 54.2%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Austin Lopez 6'0, 209 SR 45 61.4 21 46.7% 0 5 2 0
Bryce Crawford 6'3, 220 FR 22 57.9 6 27.3% 0 1 1 0
Michael Carrizosa 5'10, 229 SO 2 46.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Tyler Ervin 5'10, 177 SR 7 15.0 1 32 1 (1)
Tim Crawley 5'7, 170 JR 1 7.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Tyler Ervin 5'10, 177 SR 25 23.9 0 0 0 (0)
Thomas Tucker 5'10, 197 SO 4 18.5 0 0 0 (0)
Tim Crawley 5'7, 170 JR 1 24.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics