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2015 Oregon advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/20/2016

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2015 | 2016

Oregon Ducks (Pac-12 North)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 9-4 | Second-order wins (diff.): 8.8 (-0.2) | S&P+ Rk: 25
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep Eastern Washington N/A 61-42 W 98% 16.2 75% 91% 22%
12-Sep at Michigan State 13 28-31 L 19% -7.1 84% 55% 41%
19-Sep Georgia State 91 61-28 W 99% 18.5 96% 86% 80%
26-Sep Utah 27 20-62 L 0% -31.5 17% 25% 0%
3-Oct at Colorado 98 41-24 W 98% 16.5 93% 79% 64%
10-Oct Washington State 63 38-45 L 52% 0.4 48% 77% 45%
17-Oct at Washington 12 26-20 W 76% 5.5 70% 87% 59%
29-Oct at Arizona State 57 61-55 W 48% -0.5 35% 76% 25%
7-Nov California 34 44-28 W 97% 14.7 83% 88% 72%
14-Nov at Stanford 10 38-36 W 57% 1.3 74% 83% 64%
21-Nov USC 17 48-28 W 100% 28.0 96% 99% 75%
27-Nov Oregon State 102 52-42 W 98% 16.1 45% 75% 13%
2-Jan vs. TCU 26 41-47 L 45% -1.0 64% 61% 76%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 41.9 9 30.4 82
Points Per Game 43.0 5 37.5 116
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.39 14 1.22 47 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 48.9% 8 45.5% 103 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 32.4 24 31.0 95 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.04 40 5.08 103 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 3.24 40 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.68
ACTUAL 5 32
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 128.1 2 87.4 108 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 50.6% 10 47.7% 113 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.19 22 1.10 82 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 117.5 10 92.4 94 100.0
Opportunity Rate 45.6% 3 42.6% 109 38.9%
Power Success Rate 61.0% 99 72.1% 100 66.3%
Stuff Rate 16.1% 16 17.2% 98 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Royce Freeman RB 5'11, 230 SO 284 1836 17 6.5 6.2 44.4% 2 (0)
Taj Griffin RB 5'10, 175 FR 77 570 3 7.4 12.3 37.7% 0 (0)
Vernon Adams Jr. QB 5'11, 201 SR 58 304 2 5.2 3.4 44.8% 4 (2)
Kani Benoit RB 6'0, 210 SO 52 364 3 7.0 7.1 46.2% 1 (1)
Tony Brooks-James RB 5'9, 185 FR 32 288 3 9.0 7.3 59.4% 0 (0)
Jeff Lockie QB 6'2, 205 JR 23 156 0 6.8 6.1 47.8% 3 (0)
Bralon Addison WR 5'10, 190 JR 16 96 2 6.0 2.5 62.5% 2 (1)
Taylor Alie QB 6'0, 185 SO 9 145 3 16.1 17.3 66.7% 0 (0)
Charles Nelson WR 5'8, 170 SO 6 115 1 19.2 20.9 66.7% 2 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 123.0 13 104.3 53 100.0
Passing Success Rate 46.6% 19 43.9% 100 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.70 13 1.31 16 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 73.3 109 104.8 53 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Vernon Adams 5'11, 201 SR 168 259 2643 26 6 64.9% 26 9.1% 8.7
Jeff Lockie 6'2, 205 JR 61 99 580 5 4 61.6% 11 10.0% 4.7
Taylor Alie 6'0, 185 SO 6 14 96 1 0 42.9% 1 6.7% 6.2

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Bralon Addison WR 5'10, 190 JR 98 63 804 10 12.8 8.2 64.3% 50.0% 27.2%
Darren Carrington WR 6'2, 195 SO 45 32 609 6 19.0 13.5 71.1% 53.3% 12.5%
Dwayne Stanford WR 6'5, 205 JR 44 30 463 5 15.4 10.5 68.2% 59.1% 12.2%
Royce Freeman RB 5'11, 230 SO 31 26 348 2 13.4 11.2 83.9% 67.7% 8.6%
Charles Nelson WR 5'8, 170 SO 31 17 270 3 15.9 8.7 54.8% 45.2% 8.6%
Evan Baylis TE 6'6, 250 JR 27 16 229 1 14.3 8.5 59.3% 44.4% 7.5%
Devon Allen WR 6'0, 185 SO 18 9 94 0 10.4 5.2 50.0% 44.4% 5.0%
Taj Griffin RB 5'10, 175 FR 14 10 162 1 16.2 11.6 71.4% 50.0% 3.9%
Byron Marshall WR 5'10, 200 SR 14 9 121 2 13.4 8.6 64.3% 50.0% 3.9%
Jalen Brown WR 6'1, 200 FR 12 7 89 1 12.7 7.4 58.3% 33.3% 3.3%
Johnny Mundt TE 6'4, 245 JR 9 5 39 1 7.8 4.3 55.6% 44.4% 2.5%
Kirk Merritt WR 5'11, 205 FR 7 5 61 0 12.2 8.7 71.4% 71.4% 1.9%
Tony Brooks-James RB 5'9, 185 FR 6 5 20 0 4.0 3.3 83.3% 16.7% 1.7%
Kani Benoit RB 6'0, 210 SO 3 2 49 1 24.5 16.3 66.7% 66.7% 0.8%
Koa Ka'ai TE 6'4, 240 SR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 126.1 5 99.1 66 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 53.8% 8 49.5% 99 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.26 12 1.10 63 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.46 4 3.16 103 2.90
SD Sack Rate 6.2% 88 6.1% 29 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 121.8 20 95.6 83 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 36.4% 21 35.6% 111 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.90 30 1.61 29 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.74 21 4.17 128 3.20
PD Sack Rate 12.4% 125 6.7% 79 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 128.3 9 104.7 44
Q2 S&P+ 137.2 3 106.3 60
Q3 S&P+ 120.8 27 90.1 104
Q4 S&P+ 110.1 34 91.2 105
1st Down S&P+ 125.0 7 95.5 87
2nd Down S&P+ 119.3 22 101.6 64
3rd Down S&P+ 127.8 10 99.1 76
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.5% 37 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 39.5% 27 34.0%
Adj. Pace +6.1 18 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 73.5% 80 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 51.5% 122 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 21.1% 128 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 16.2% 55 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 5.0% 61 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 5.2% 43 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 5.3% 97 6.3%
PD to INC 33.3% 57 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Joe Walker LB 6'2, 240 SR 66.5 8.8% 6.0 2.0 1 1 0 1
DeForest Buckner DL 6'7, 290 SR 64.0 8.5% 17.0 10.5 0 5 0 0
Rodney Hardrick LB 6'1, 245 SR 62.0 8.3% 6.0 2.0 1 1 1 0
Tyree Robinson SS 6'4, 205 SO 51.0 6.8% 1.5 1.0 3 5 0 0
Reggie Daniels DB 6'1, 205 JR 48.0 6.4% 2.5 0.0 0 10 0 0
Tyson Coleman LB 6'1, 235 SR 47.5 6.3% 12.0 4.5 0 3 3 0
Arrion Springs DB 5'11, 205 SO 44.0 5.9% 1.0 1.0 1 12 2 1
Charles Nelson WR 5'8, 170 SO 41.0 5.5% 1.0 0.0 2 4 0 0
Torrodney Prevot LB 6'3, 220 JR 35.0 4.7% 7.5 2.5 0 2 1 0
Alex Balducci DL 6'4, 310 SR 28.0 3.7% 7.5 3.5 0 0 0 0
Tui Talia DL 6'5, 285 SR 25.5 3.4% 6.0 2.0 0 0 0 0
Ugo Amadi CB 5'10, 185 FR 22.5 3.0% 2.0 0.0 2 3 0 0
Christian French LB 6'5, 250 SR 20.5 2.7% 5.0 2.0 0 0 0 0
Henry Mondeaux DL 6'5, 290 SO 19.0 2.5% 6.5 4.0 0 3 0 0
Khalil Oliver DB 6'0, 200 FR 19.0 2.5% 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 0
Danny Mattingly LB 6'5, 245 SO 18.5 2.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Juwaan Williams SS 6'0, 190 SO 17.5 2.3% 1.0 0.0 1 1 1 0
Johnny Ragin III LB 6'3, 225 JR 16.5 2.2% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Chris Seisay CB 6'1, 190 SO 16.0 2.1% 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 0
Glen Ihenacho DB 5'11, 185 FR 14.5 1.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jimmie Swain LB 6'2, 235 SO 10.5 1.4% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jalen Jelks DL 6'6, 268 FR 7.5 1.0% 3.0 3.0 0 1 1 0
Kirk Merritt WR 5'11, 205 FR 6.0 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Fotu Leiato DB 6'1, 200 FR 5.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Austin Maloata DL 6'1, 300 SO 4.5 0.6% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 1.2 21
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.45 8
Punt Success Rate 48.1% 105
Kickoff Success Rate 83.8% 21
Punt Return Success Rate 66.7% 12
Kick Return Success Rate 51.7% 36
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Aidan Schneider 6'4, 235 SO 67-67 22-24 91.7%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Ian Wheeler 6'0, 205 SO 50 39.8 2 15 11 52.0%
Matt Wogan 6'2, 210 JR 1 38.0 0 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Matt Wogan 6'2, 210 JR 98 63.8 62 63.3% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Bralon Addison 5'10, 190 JR 12 12.6 1 20 1 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Charles Nelson 5'8, 170 SO 33 26.5 1 1 2 (1)
Byron Marshall 5'10, 200 SR 14 27.5 0 0 0 (0)
Bralon Addison 5'10, 190 JR 8 21.4 0 2 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics