Updated on 1/13/2017
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
Got position corrections? Note them here.
Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.
2015 | 2016
Georgia State Panthers (Sun Belt)
2016 Schedule & Results
| Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 4.4 (1.4) | S&P+ Rk: 108 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 2-Sep | Ball State | 84 | 21-31 | L | 2% | -16.7 | 12% | 8% | 43% |
| 10-Sep | at Air Force | 62 | 14-48 | L | 1% | -19.2 | 15% | 23% | 25% |
| 17-Sep | at Wisconsin | 11 | 17-23 | L | 20% | -6.5 | 53% | 62% | 52% |
| 1-Oct | at Appalachian State | 40 | 3-17 | L | 2% | -16.7 | 25% | 17% | 82% |
| 8-Oct | Texas State | 128 | 41-21 | W | 99% | 17.1 | 39% | 58% | 27% |
| 15-Oct | at Troy | 63 | 21-31 | L | 21% | -6.4 | 37% | 55% | 57% |
| 22-Oct | UT-Martin | N/A | 31-6 | W | 94% | 12.2 | 49% | 7% | 74% |
| 29-Oct | at South Alabama | 93 | 10-13 | L | 13% | -8.7 | 23% | 7% | 85% |
| 3-Nov | Arkansas State | 80 | 16-31 | L | 42% | -1.5 | 42% | 32% | 86% |
| 12-Nov | UL-Monroe | 126 | 23-37 | L | 66% | 3.2 | 29% | 46% | 20% |
| 19-Nov | Georgia Southern | 91 | 30-24 | W | 49% | -0.2 | 39% | 59% | 36% |
| 3-Dec | at Idaho | 89 | 12-37 | L | 34% | -3.3 | 32% | 14% | 65% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 19.5 | 120 | 27.8 | 52 |
| Points Per Game | 19.9 | 120 | 26.6 | 54 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.35 | 31 | 1.07 | 1 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 35.6% | 122 | 43.0% | 71 | 40.9% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 26.2 | 126 | 34.1 | 126 | 29.7 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.08 | 100 | 3.69 | 13 | 4.47 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -0.22 | 71 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -1.99 |
||
| ACTUAL | -5 | 97 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 75.1 | 127 | 91.7 | 98 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 34.2% | 125 | 47.3% | 108 | 43.1% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 0.89 | 125 | 0.92 | 8 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 80.8 | 126 | 87 | 114 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 30.4% | 124 | 38.7% | 56 | 39.7% |
| Power Success Rate | 68.0% | 66 | 73.4% | 98 | 67.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 21.6% | 106 | 13.4% | 125 | 18.9% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Kyler Neal | RB | 5'11, 215 | JR | 75 | 314 | 2 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 28.0% | 1 (1) |
| Aaron Winchester | QB | 6'2, 190 | FR | 42 | 250 | 1 | 6.0 | 4.8 | 47.6% | 1 (0) |
| Glenn Smith | RB | 6'1, 200 | JR | 41 | 150 | 2 | 3.7 | 6.6 | 26.8% | 1 (1) |
| Darius Stubbs | RB | 5'10, 200 | FR | 39 | 144 | 1 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 23.1% | 0 (0) |
| Demarcus Kirk | RB | 6'0, 206 | FR | 36 | 104 | 1 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 19.4% | 1 (1) |
| Kendrick Dorn | RB | 6'0, 205 | JR | 31 | 110 | 1 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 29.0% | 0 (0) |
| Tra Barnett | RB | 5'10, 180 | FR | 22 | 107 | 0 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 45.5% | 0 (0) |
| Conner Manning | QB | 6'1, 205 | JR | 17 | 74 | 2 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 47.1% | 5 (3) |
| Todd Boyd | WR | 5'11, 185 | JR | 2 | 7 | 0 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 93.7 | 86 | 116.9 | 18 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 36.6% | 105 | 36.7% | 23 | 40.9% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.65 | 20 | 1.36 | 17 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 143.8 | 21 | 74.7 | 106 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Conner Manning | 6'1, 205 | JR | 207 | 373 | 2684 | 16 | 13 | 55.5% | 10 | 2.6% | 6.8 |
| Aaron Winchester | 6'2, 190 | FR | 24 | 45 | 271 | 1 | 2 | 53.3% | 7 | 13.5% | 4.3 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Robert Davis | WR | 6'3, 220 | SR | 122 | 67 | 968 | 5 | 14.5 | 7.9 | 54.9% | 40.2% | 30.7% |
| Todd Boyd | WR | 5'11, 185 | JR | 66 | 33 | 352 | 1 | 10.7 | 5.3 | 50.0% | 30.3% | 16.6% |
| Glenn Smith | RB | 6'1, 200 | JR | 65 | 40 | 547 | 3 | 13.7 | 8.4 | 61.5% | 44.6% | 16.4% |
| Keith Rucker | TE | 6'3, 245 | SR | 45 | 32 | 362 | 2 | 11.3 | 8.0 | 71.1% | 53.3% | 11.3% |
| Ari Werts | TE | 6'4, 225 | SO | 28 | 21 | 329 | 3 | 15.7 | 11.8 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 7.1% |
| Jawan Nobles | WR | 6'3, 180 | FR | 27 | 9 | 179 | 2 | 19.9 | 6.6 | 33.3% | 22.2% | 6.8% |
| Penny Hart | WR | 5'8, 180 | SO | 15 | 8 | 61 | 1 | 7.6 | 4.1 | 53.3% | 33.3% | 3.8% |
| Kendrick Dorn | RB | 6'0, 205 | JR | 14 | 11 | 66 | 0 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 78.6% | 35.7% | 3.5% |
| Kyler Neal | RB | 5'11, 215 | JR | 5 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 9.3 | 5.6 | 60.0% | 20.0% | 1.3% |
| Tra Barnett | RB | 5'10, 180 | FR | 4 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 9.7 | 7.3 | 75.0% | 75.0% | 1.0% |
| Darius Stubbs | RB | 5'10, 200 | FR | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 7.5 | 3.8 | 50.0% | 25.0% | 1.0% |
| Devin Gentry | WR | 5'10, 190 | FR | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.3% |
| Demarcus Kirk | RB | 6'0, 206 | FR | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 84.9 | 121 | 100.3 | 57 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 38.8% | 127 | 47.9% | 71 | 47.3% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.18 | 40 | 0.96 | 2 | 1.12 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.52 | 117 | 3.24 | 102 | 2.98 |
| SD Sack Rate | 2.5% | 13 | 2.7% | 112 | 5.1% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 96.1 | 87 | 107.4 | 45 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 30.3% | 74 | 30.2% | 52 | 31.1% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.71 | 75 | 1.53 | 7 | 1.76 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 1.29 | 128 | 3.40 | 85 | 3.24 |
| PD Sack Rate | 5.0% | 21 | 5.8% | 101 | 7.9% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 90.6 | 97 | 109.7 | 36 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 81.6 | 124 | 101.7 | 62 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 99.1 | 70 | 98.0 | 72 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 79.5 | 125 | 91.4 | 95 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 83.2 | 119 | 97.8 | 74 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 85.8 | 113 | 100.2 | 65 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 107.7 | 54 | 104.4 | 58 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 53.4% | 99 | 60.2% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 20.7% | 123 | 34.6% |
| Adj. Pace | -10.6 | 127 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 80.6% | 19 | 74.2% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 69.7% | 7 | 60.2% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 33.6% | 72 | 34.5% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 11.0% | 127 | 15.8% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 3.5% | 102 | 5.0% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 3.3% | 98 | 4.3% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 4.2% | 125 | 6.4% |
| PD to INC | 29.0% | 106 | 33.1% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF |
| Alonzo McGee | LB | 6'1, 230 | SR | 80.0 | 10.4% | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Bobby Baker | S | 6'2, 200 | SR | 69.5 | 9.1% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Michael Shaw | LB | 6'4, 230 | SO | 58.5 | 7.6% | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Trey Payne | LB | 6'0, 225 | JR | 52.0 | 6.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Bryan Williams | S | 6'3, 212 | SR | 49.5 | 6.5% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| Shawanye Lawrence | DE | 6'4, 275 | SR | 44.5 | 5.8% | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Jerome Smith | CB | 5'10, 180 | SO | 37.0 | 4.8% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Chandon Sullivan | CB | 5'11, 195 | JR | 37.0 | 4.8% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Chase Middleton | LB | 6'2, 235 | SO | 36.5 | 4.8% | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Marterious Allen | DE | 6'2, 270 | SO | 32.5 | 4.2% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kaleb Ringer | LB | 6'0, 235 | SR | 31.5 | 4.1% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Everett | OLB | 6'5, 240 | SR | 29.5 | 3.8% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mackendy Cheridor | DE | 6'5, 275 | JR | 27.5 | 3.6% | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Julien Laurent | DL | 6'4, 310 | JR | 21.5 | 2.8% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| James Traylor | LB | 6'3, 230 | JR | 18.0 | 2.3% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Lawrence | NG | 6'1, 285 | SR | 17.5 | 2.3% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Terry Thomas | DL | 6'3, 265 | FR | 13.5 | 1.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Cedric Stone | DB | 5'10, 185 | FR | 11.5 | 1.5% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Carnell Hopson | DE | 6'2, 245 | SR | 11.0 | 1.4% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jameel Spencer | LB | 6'1, 230 | SR | 10.5 | 1.4% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Antreal Allen | DB | 5'11, 190 | JR | 8.5 | 1.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B.J. Clay | CB | 6'0, 190 | JR | 7.5 | 1.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Cloves Campbell | DB | 6'1, 205 | SR | 7.0 | 0.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ari Werts | TE | 6'4, 225 | SO | 6.5 | 0.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tevin Jones | DE | 6'4, 270 | SR | 6.0 | 0.8% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -1.6 | 127 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.44 | 121 |
| Punt Success Rate | 33.8% | 127 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 72.5% | 68 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 28.6% | 122 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 34.4% | 102 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Rogier ten Lohuis | 6'3, 185 | SR | 25-28 | 8-15 | 53.3% |
| Brandon Wright | 5'10, 180 | FR | 1-2 | 1-2 | 50.0% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Brandon Wright | 5'10, 180 | FR | 61 | 39.8 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 34.4% |
| Oliver Holdenson | 6'1, 210 | FR | 6 | 37.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Brandon Wright | 5'10, 180 | FR | 45 | 62.7 | 12 | 26.7% | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Rogier ten Lohuis | 6'3, 185 | SR | 6 | 47.3 | 3 | 50.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Cedric Stone | 5'10, 185 | FR | 6 | 1.7 | 0 | 12 | 1 (1) |
| Penny Hart | 5'8, 180 | SO | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 (0) |
| Glenn Smith | 6'1, 200 | JR | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Glenn Smith | 6'1, 200 | JR | 16 | 24.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Tra Barnett | 5'10, 180 | FR | 13 | 24.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Kendrick Dorn | 6'0, 205 | JR | 2 | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics