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2016 Georgia State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Georgia State Panthers (Sun Belt)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 4.4 (1.4) | S&P+ Rk: 108
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep Ball State 84 21-31 L 2% -16.7 12% 8% 43%
10-Sep at Air Force 62 14-48 L 1% -19.2 15% 23% 25%
17-Sep at Wisconsin 11 17-23 L 20% -6.5 53% 62% 52%
1-Oct at Appalachian State 40 3-17 L 2% -16.7 25% 17% 82%
8-Oct Texas State 128 41-21 W 99% 17.1 39% 58% 27%
15-Oct at Troy 63 21-31 L 21% -6.4 37% 55% 57%
22-Oct UT-Martin N/A 31-6 W 94% 12.2 49% 7% 74%
29-Oct at South Alabama 93 10-13 L 13% -8.7 23% 7% 85%
3-Nov Arkansas State 80 16-31 L 42% -1.5 42% 32% 86%
12-Nov UL-Monroe 126 23-37 L 66% 3.2 29% 46% 20%
19-Nov Georgia Southern 91 30-24 W 49% -0.2 39% 59% 36%
3-Dec at Idaho 89 12-37 L 34% -3.3 32% 14% 65%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 19.5 120 27.8 52
Points Per Game 19.9 120 26.6 54
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.35 31 1.07 1 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 35.6% 122 43.0% 71 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 26.2 126 34.1 126 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.08 100 3.69 13 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -0.22 71 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.99
ACTUAL -5 97
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 75.1 127 91.7 98 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 34.2% 125 47.3% 108 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.89 125 0.92 8 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 80.8 126 87 114 100.0
Opportunity Rate 30.4% 124 38.7% 56 39.7%
Power Success Rate 68.0% 66 73.4% 98 67.9%
Stuff Rate 21.6% 106 13.4% 125 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Kyler Neal RB 5'11, 215 JR 75 314 2 4.2 5.1 28.0% 1 (1)
Aaron Winchester QB 6'2, 190 FR 42 250 1 6.0 4.8 47.6% 1 (0)
Glenn Smith RB 6'1, 200 JR 41 150 2 3.7 6.6 26.8% 1 (1)
Darius Stubbs RB 5'10, 200 FR 39 144 1 3.7 4.2 23.1% 0 (0)
Demarcus Kirk RB 6'0, 206 FR 36 104 1 2.9 3.5 19.4% 1 (1)
Kendrick Dorn RB 6'0, 205 JR 31 110 1 3.5 1.7 29.0% 0 (0)
Tra Barnett RB 5'10, 180 FR 22 107 0 4.9 2.2 45.5% 0 (0)
Conner Manning QB 6'1, 205 JR 17 74 2 4.4 2.7 47.1% 5 (3)
Todd Boyd WR 5'11, 185 JR 2 7 0 3.5 2.9 50.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 93.7 86 116.9 18 100.0
Passing Success Rate 36.6% 105 36.7% 23 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.65 20 1.36 17 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 143.8 21 74.7 106 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Conner Manning 6'1, 205 JR 207 373 2684 16 13 55.5% 10 2.6% 6.8
Aaron Winchester 6'2, 190 FR 24 45 271 1 2 53.3% 7 13.5% 4.3

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Robert Davis WR 6'3, 220 SR 122 67 968 5 14.5 7.9 54.9% 40.2% 30.7%
Todd Boyd WR 5'11, 185 JR 66 33 352 1 10.7 5.3 50.0% 30.3% 16.6%
Glenn Smith RB 6'1, 200 JR 65 40 547 3 13.7 8.4 61.5% 44.6% 16.4%
Keith Rucker TE 6'3, 245 SR 45 32 362 2 11.3 8.0 71.1% 53.3% 11.3%
Ari Werts TE 6'4, 225 SO 28 21 329 3 15.7 11.8 75.0% 50.0% 7.1%
Jawan Nobles WR 6'3, 180 FR 27 9 179 2 19.9 6.6 33.3% 22.2% 6.8%
Penny Hart WR 5'8, 180 SO 15 8 61 1 7.6 4.1 53.3% 33.3% 3.8%
Kendrick Dorn RB 6'0, 205 JR 14 11 66 0 6.0 4.7 78.6% 35.7% 3.5%
Kyler Neal RB 5'11, 215 JR 5 3 28 0 9.3 5.6 60.0% 20.0% 1.3%
Tra Barnett RB 5'10, 180 FR 4 3 29 0 9.7 7.3 75.0% 75.0% 1.0%
Darius Stubbs RB 5'10, 200 FR 4 2 15 0 7.5 3.8 50.0% 25.0% 1.0%
Devin Gentry WR 5'10, 190 FR 1 1 15 0 15.0 15.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Demarcus Kirk RB 6'0, 206 FR 1 1 4 0 4.0 4.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 84.9 121 100.3 57 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 38.8% 127 47.9% 71 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.18 40 0.96 2 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.52 117 3.24 102 2.98
SD Sack Rate 2.5% 13 2.7% 112 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 96.1 87 107.4 45 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 30.3% 74 30.2% 52 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.71 75 1.53 7 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 1.29 128 3.40 85 3.24
PD Sack Rate 5.0% 21 5.8% 101 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 90.6 97 109.7 36
Q2 S&P+ 81.6 124 101.7 62
Q3 S&P+ 99.1 70 98.0 72
Q4 S&P+ 79.5 125 91.4 95
1st Down S&P+ 83.2 119 97.8 74
2nd Down S&P+ 85.8 113 100.2 65
3rd Down S&P+ 107.7 54 104.4 58
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 53.4% 99 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 20.7% 123 34.6%
Adj. Pace -10.6 127 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 80.6% 19 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 69.7% 7 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 33.6% 72 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 11.0% 127 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 3.5% 102 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 3.3% 98 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 4.2% 125 6.4%
PD to INC 29.0% 106 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Alonzo McGee LB 6'1, 230 SR 80.0 10.4% 4.0 2.0 0 1 1
Bobby Baker S 6'2, 200 SR 69.5 9.1% 0.5 0.0 0 3 0
Michael Shaw LB 6'4, 230 SO 58.5 7.6% 12.0 3.0 1 0 1
Trey Payne LB 6'0, 225 JR 52.0 6.8% 0.0 0.0 1 1 0
Bryan Williams S 6'3, 212 SR 49.5 6.5% 1.5 0.0 0 6 1
Shawanye Lawrence DE 6'4, 275 SR 44.5 5.8% 4.5 1.0 0 3 2
Jerome Smith CB 5'10, 180 SO 37.0 4.8% 3.0 2.0 3 1 0
Chandon Sullivan CB 5'11, 195 JR 37.0 4.8% 1.0 0.0 3 4 1
Chase Middleton LB 6'2, 235 SO 36.5 4.8% 2.5 2.0 0 1 0
Marterious Allen DE 6'2, 270 SO 32.5 4.2% 1.5 1.0 0 1 0
Kaleb Ringer LB 6'0, 235 SR 31.5 4.1% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0
Andrew Everett OLB 6'5, 240 SR 29.5 3.8% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Mackendy Cheridor DE 6'5, 275 JR 27.5 3.6% 6.0 2.5 0 3 2
Julien Laurent DL 6'4, 310 JR 21.5 2.8% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0
James Traylor LB 6'3, 230 JR 18.0 2.3% 1.5 0.5 0 0 0
Jalen Lawrence NG 6'1, 285 SR 17.5 2.3% 2.0 0.0 0 1 0
Terry Thomas DL 6'3, 265 FR 13.5 1.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1
Cedric Stone DB 5'10, 185 FR 11.5 1.5% 1.0 1.0 0 2 0
Carnell Hopson DE 6'2, 245 SR 11.0 1.4% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Jameel Spencer LB 6'1, 230 SR 10.5 1.4% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0
Antreal Allen DB 5'11, 190 JR 8.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
B.J. Clay CB 6'0, 190 JR 7.5 1.0% 0.0 0.0 3 5 0
Cloves Campbell DB 6'1, 205 SR 7.0 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Ari Werts TE 6'4, 225 SO 6.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Tevin Jones DE 6'4, 270 SR 6.0 0.8% 1.0 1.0 0 3 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.6 127
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.44 121
Punt Success Rate 33.8% 127
Kickoff Success Rate 72.5% 68
Punt Return Success Rate 28.6% 122
Kick Return Success Rate 34.4% 102
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Rogier ten Lohuis 6'3, 185 SR 25-28 8-15 53.3%
Brandon Wright 5'10, 180 FR 1-2 1-2 50.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Brandon Wright 5'10, 180 FR 61 39.8 3 10 11 34.4%
Oliver Holdenson 6'1, 210 FR 6 37.5 1 0 1 16.7%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Brandon Wright 5'10, 180 FR 45 62.7 12 26.7% 3 2 2 0
Rogier ten Lohuis 6'3, 185 SR 6 47.3 3 50.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Cedric Stone 5'10, 185 FR 6 1.7 0 12 1 (1)
Penny Hart 5'8, 180 SO 1 0.0 0 1 0 (0)
Glenn Smith 6'1, 200 JR 0 0.0 0 8 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Glenn Smith 6'1, 200 JR 16 24.2 0 0 0 (0)
Tra Barnett 5'10, 180 FR 13 24.5 1 0 0 (0)
Kendrick Dorn 6'0, 205 JR 2 10.5 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics