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2015 Charlotte advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

Charlotte 49ers (Conference USA East)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 2-10 | Second-order wins (diff.): 2.4 (0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 124
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy		 Adj. Scoring
Margin		 Percentile
Performance		 Off.
Percentile		 Def.
Percentile
4-Sep at Georgia State 91 23-20 W 44% -1.2 74% 21% 76%
12-Sep Presbyterian N/A 34-10 W 100% 44.2 74% 26% 92%
19-Sep at Middle Tennessee 82 14-73 L 0% -56.9 14% 4% 3%
26-Sep Florida Atlantic 93 7-17 L 3% -15.5 24% 1% 97%
2-Oct Temple 49 3-37 L 0% -21.0 32% 26% 32%
17-Oct at Old Dominion 110 34-37 L 40% -2.1 17% 37% 23%
24-Oct Southern Miss 58 10-44 L 0% -34.7 18% 12% 40%
31-Oct Marshall 64 10-34 L 0% -33.2 17% 37% 9%
7-Nov at Florida International 108 31-48 L 3% -14.7 11% 33% 17%
14-Nov UTSA 113 27-30 L 49% -0.3 17% 12% 62%
21-Nov at Kentucky 95 10-58 L 0% -31.5 3% 2% 12%
28-Nov at Rice 119 7-27 L 4% -14.3 12% 6% 47%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 10.6 127 32.4 94
Points Per Game 17.5 119 36.3 110
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.10 125 1.38 109 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 34.4% 121 38.6% 39 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.7 96 34.8 125 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.56 123 4.83 85 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -3.67 101 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-3.89
ACTUAL -13 120
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 80.8 122 89.6 101 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 37.9% 108 40.3% 52 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.90 124 1.17 102 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 79.2 124 93.7 91 100.0
Opportunity Rate 34.6% 108 37.7% 61 38.9%
Power Success Rate 87.2% 3 62.0% 41 66.3%
Stuff Rate 19.3% 66 23.4% 22 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry		 Hlt Yds/
Opp.		 Opp.
Rate		 Fumbles
(Lost)
Kalif Phillips RB 5'10, 205 JR 190 961 5 5.1 4.9 38.9% 2 (2)
Andrew Buie RB 5'9, 190 SR 145 527 1 3.6 4.1 26.9% 1 (1)
Matt Johnson QB 6'3, 233 JR 84 356 1 4.2 2.7 36.9% 5 (3)
Garrison Duncan RB 6'2, 228 SO 23 78 0 3.4 1.2 34.8% 1 (0)
Brooks Barden QB 6'2, 205 FR 20 123 1 6.2 6.2 45.0% 1 (1)
Bradan Smith RB 5'11, 197 SO 20 122 0 6.1 6.9 45.0% 0 (0)
Lee McNeill QB 6'2, 200 JR 15 19 1 1.3 15.9 6.7% 4 (0)
Austin Duke WR 5'10, 161 JR 9 25 0 2.8 1.9 44.4% 2 (1)
Chris Montgomery WR 5'10, 158 SO 3 23 0 7.7 2.0 100.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 68.0 126 98.5 67 100.0
Passing Success Rate 30.4% 122 37.1% 32 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.39 90 1.58 102 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 61.4 123 75.3 106 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate		 Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Lee McNeill 6'2, 200 JR 100 189 878 1 10 52.9% 18 8.7% 3.7
Brooks Barden 6'2, 205 FR 49 99 440 4 5 49.5% 18 15.4% 2.9
Matt Johnson 6'3, 233 JR 47 87 771 7 8 54.0% 6 6.5% 8.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch		 Yds/
Target		 Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Austin Duke WR 5'10, 161 JR 92 53 534 5 10.1 5.8 57.6% 31.5% 26.3%
Trent Bostick WR 6'0, 205 JR 64 33 472 3 14.3 7.4 51.6% 42.2% 18.3%
T.L. Ford II WR 6'3, 186 SO 49 27 257 0 9.5 5.2 55.1% 40.8% 14.0%
Workpeh Kofa WR 6'2, 204 FR 25 17 177 0 10.4 7.1 68.0% 48.0% 7.1%
Richard Murphy HB 6'3, 242 SR 21 15 173 2 11.5 8.2 71.4% 61.9% 6.0%
Justin Bolus HB 6'3, 233 JR 19 9 95 0 10.6 5.0 47.4% 26.3% 5.4%
Andrew Buie RB 5'9, 190 SR 16 5 48 0 9.6 3.0 31.2% 18.8% 4.6%
Corey Nesmith Jr. WR 5'9, 190 JR 13 7 55 0 7.9 4.2 53.8% 30.8% 3.7%
Kyle Hoffman HB 6'4, 253 JR 12 7 93 0 13.3 7.8 58.3% 50.0% 3.4%
Kalif Phillips RB 5'10, 205 JR 12 9 79 0 8.8 6.6 75.0% 25.0% 3.4%
Uriah LeMay WR 6'2, 216 SO 10 6 71 0 11.8 7.1 60.0% 50.0% 2.9%
Chris Montgomery WR 5'10, 158 SO 7 4 25 0 6.3 3.6 57.1% 28.6% 2.0%
Zach Bumgarner HB 6'4, 270 JR 5 2 17 1 8.5 3.4 40.0% 40.0% 1.4%
Bradan Smith RB 5'11, 197 SO 4 3 11 1 3.7 2.8 75.0% 25.0% 1.1%
R.J. Tyler HB 6'4, 243 FR 1 1 12 0 12.0 12.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 80.0 121 91.4 97 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 41.6% 114 42.5% 31 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 0.96 123 1.28 117 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.78 81 2.79 48 2.90
SD Sack Rate 7.1% 106 2.7% 114 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 62.2 127 106.3 51 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 20.5% 128 30.7% 65 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.65 92 1.65 35 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 1.94 126 2.87 37 3.20
PD Sack Rate 10.6% 111 7.7% 61 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 80.6 116 85.5 111
Q2 S&P+ 73.4 126 108.3 51
Q3 S&P+ 78.5 121 95.8 86
Q4 S&P+ 80.4 123 94.1 91
1st Down S&P+ 78.6 123 95.8 86
2nd Down S&P+ 72.0 127 96.4 81
3rd Down S&P+ 85.6 113 96.3 88
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.2% 38 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 32.6% 63 34.0%
Adj. Pace +7.1 15 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 76.0% 51 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 58.0% 87 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 27.9% 116 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 17.3% 41 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 4.7% 67 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 7.1% 8 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 5.3% 96 6.3%
PD to INC 33.5% 55 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Nick Cook LB 6'1, 223 JR 61.5 9.0% 6.0 0.0 0 2 2 0
Caleb Clayton-Molby LB 6'2, 238 SR 54.5 8.0% 7.5 2.0 0 0 2 0
Larry Ogunjobi DL 6'3, 294 JR 49.5 7.3% 14.5 2.5 0 0 0 0
Terrance Winchester DB 6'1, 178 JR 45.5 6.7% 3.5 0.0 4 5 0 1
Tank Norman DB 5'11, 182 JR 44.5 6.5% 2.5 0.0 1 4 0 0
Karrington King LB 6'0, 231 SO 42.5 6.3% 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 0
Daquan Lucas LB 5'10, 221 JR 40.0 5.9% 10.0 2.5 1 7 1 0
Branden Dozier DB 6'0, 202 SR 39.5 5.8% 2.5 0.0 1 2 0 0
Devin Pearson DB 5'10, 189 SO 38.0 5.6% 1.0 0.0 2 3 2 0
Zach Duncan DL 6'4, 240 FR 26.0 3.8% 7.5 4.0 0 0 2 0
Brandon Banks DL 6'3, 280 JR 25.0 3.7% 2.5 1.0 0 3 0 0
Markevis Davis DB 6'2, 180 SO 20.5 3.0% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
Anthony Covington DB 5'11, 184 SO 20.0 2.9% 2.0 0.0 1 4 1 0
Jalen Holt LB 6'4, 248 JR 17.0 2.5% 4.5 1.5 0 1 1 0
Najee Tucker DB 6'2, 191 FR 17.0 2.5% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Desmond Floyd LB 6'5, 271 SR 15.0 2.2% 4.0 2.0 0 3 3 0
Devon Johnson DL 6'3, 307 SR 10.5 1.5% 3.5 2.0 0 1 0 0
James Middleton DL 6'4, 283 JR 10.5 1.5% 3.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Tanner Fleming DL 6'1, 298 JR 9.0 1.3% 3.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
DaQuavius Reid LB 6'2, 208 JR 8.0 1.2% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Nick Carroll DL 6'5, 240 SO 8.0 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jordan Starnes LB 6'3, 240 SO 7.5 1.1% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Cortezz Nixon DB 5'10, 182 SR 7.0 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Prince Mayela DB 5'10, 177 JR 5.5 0.8% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Greg Cunningham Jr. DB 6'2, 191 JR 5.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

 Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.6 134
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.51 119
Punt Success Rate 47.9% 107
Kickoff Success Rate 52.4% 119
Punt Return Success Rate 61.1% 29
Kick Return Success Rate 36.7% 100
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Blake Brewer 6'1, 220 JR 24-24 14-27 51.9%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Arthur Hart 6'2, 223 SO 70 38.5 3 35 19 77.1%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches		 Onside
Att		 Onside
Success
Blake Brewer 6'1, 220 JR 49 61.6 13 26.5% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Ardy Holmes 5'9, 199 SR 14 3.8 0 2 1 (0)
Corey Nesmith Jr. 5'9, 190 JR 3 9.3 0 1 0 (0)
Austin Duke 5'10, 161 JR 3 -2.7 0 4 1 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Anthony Covington 5'11, 184 SO 27 20.2 0 0 0 (0)
Chris Montgomery 5'10, 158 SO 13 20.2 0 0 0 (0)
Corey Nesmith Jr. 5'9, 190 JR 6 17.3 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics