Updated on 8/21/2016
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2015 | 2016
Charlotte 49ers (Conference USA East)
2015 Schedule & Results
| Record: 2-10 | Second-order wins (diff.): 2.4 (0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 124 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 4-Sep | at Georgia State | 91 | 23-20 | W | 44% | -1.2 | 74% | 21% | 76% |
| 12-Sep | Presbyterian | N/A | 34-10 | W | 100% | 44.2 | 74% | 26% | 92% |
| 19-Sep | at Middle Tennessee | 82 | 14-73 | L | 0% | -56.9 | 14% | 4% | 3% |
| 26-Sep | Florida Atlantic | 93 | 7-17 | L | 3% | -15.5 | 24% | 1% | 97% |
| 2-Oct | Temple | 49 | 3-37 | L | 0% | -21.0 | 32% | 26% | 32% |
| 17-Oct | at Old Dominion | 110 | 34-37 | L | 40% | -2.1 | 17% | 37% | 23% |
| 24-Oct | Southern Miss | 58 | 10-44 | L | 0% | -34.7 | 18% | 12% | 40% |
| 31-Oct | Marshall | 64 | 10-34 | L | 0% | -33.2 | 17% | 37% | 9% |
| 7-Nov | at Florida International | 108 | 31-48 | L | 3% | -14.7 | 11% | 33% | 17% |
| 14-Nov | UTSA | 113 | 27-30 | L | 49% | -0.3 | 17% | 12% | 62% |
| 21-Nov | at Kentucky | 95 | 10-58 | L | 0% | -31.5 | 3% | 2% | 12% |
| 28-Nov | at Rice | 119 | 7-27 | L | 4% | -14.3 | 12% | 6% | 47% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 10.6 | 127 | 32.4 | 94 |
| Points Per Game | 17.5 | 119 | 36.3 | 110 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.10 | 125 | 1.38 | 109 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 34.4% | 121 | 38.6% | 39 | 40.3% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 28.7 | 96 | 34.8 | 125 | 29.9 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 3.56 | 123 | 4.83 | 85 | 4.67 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -3.67 | 101 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -3.89 |
||
| ACTUAL | -13 | 120 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 80.8 | 122 | 89.6 | 101 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 37.9% | 108 | 40.3% | 52 | 42.3% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 0.90 | 124 | 1.17 | 102 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 79.2 | 124 | 93.7 | 91 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 34.6% | 108 | 37.7% | 61 | 38.9% |
| Power Success Rate | 87.2% | 3 | 62.0% | 41 | 66.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 19.3% | 66 | 23.4% | 22 | 19.6% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Kalif Phillips | RB | 5'10, 205 | JR | 190 | 961 | 5 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 38.9% | 2 (2) |
| Andrew Buie | RB | 5'9, 190 | SR | 145 | 527 | 1 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 26.9% | 1 (1) |
| Matt Johnson | QB | 6'3, 233 | JR | 84 | 356 | 1 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 36.9% | 5 (3) |
| Garrison Duncan | RB | 6'2, 228 | SO | 23 | 78 | 0 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 34.8% | 1 (0) |
| Brooks Barden | QB | 6'2, 205 | FR | 20 | 123 | 1 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 45.0% | 1 (1) |
| Bradan Smith | RB | 5'11, 197 | SO | 20 | 122 | 0 | 6.1 | 6.9 | 45.0% | 0 (0) |
| Lee McNeill | QB | 6'2, 200 | JR | 15 | 19 | 1 | 1.3 | 15.9 | 6.7% | 4 (0) |
| Austin Duke | WR | 5'10, 161 | JR | 9 | 25 | 0 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 44.4% | 2 (1) |
| Chris Montgomery | WR | 5'10, 158 | SO | 3 | 23 | 0 | 7.7 | 2.0 | 100.0% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 68.0 | 126 | 98.5 | 67 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 30.4% | 122 | 37.1% | 32 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.39 | 90 | 1.58 | 102 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 61.4 | 123 | 75.3 | 106 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Lee McNeill | 6'2, 200 | JR | 100 | 189 | 878 | 1 | 10 | 52.9% | 18 | 8.7% | 3.7 |
| Brooks Barden | 6'2, 205 | FR | 49 | 99 | 440 | 4 | 5 | 49.5% | 18 | 15.4% | 2.9 |
| Matt Johnson | 6'3, 233 | JR | 47 | 87 | 771 | 7 | 8 | 54.0% | 6 | 6.5% | 8.0 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Austin Duke | WR | 5'10, 161 | JR | 92 | 53 | 534 | 5 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 57.6% | 31.5% | 26.3% |
| Trent Bostick | WR | 6'0, 205 | JR | 64 | 33 | 472 | 3 | 14.3 | 7.4 | 51.6% | 42.2% | 18.3% |
| T.L. Ford II | WR | 6'3, 186 | SO | 49 | 27 | 257 | 0 | 9.5 | 5.2 | 55.1% | 40.8% | 14.0% |
| Workpeh Kofa | WR | 6'2, 204 | FR | 25 | 17 | 177 | 0 | 10.4 | 7.1 | 68.0% | 48.0% | 7.1% |
| Richard Murphy | HB | 6'3, 242 | SR | 21 | 15 | 173 | 2 | 11.5 | 8.2 | 71.4% | 61.9% | 6.0% |
| Justin Bolus | HB | 6'3, 233 | JR | 19 | 9 | 95 | 0 | 10.6 | 5.0 | 47.4% | 26.3% | 5.4% |
| Andrew Buie | RB | 5'9, 190 | SR | 16 | 5 | 48 | 0 | 9.6 | 3.0 | 31.2% | 18.8% | 4.6% |
| Corey Nesmith Jr. | WR | 5'9, 190 | JR | 13 | 7 | 55 | 0 | 7.9 | 4.2 | 53.8% | 30.8% | 3.7% |
| Kyle Hoffman | HB | 6'4, 253 | JR | 12 | 7 | 93 | 0 | 13.3 | 7.8 | 58.3% | 50.0% | 3.4% |
| Kalif Phillips | RB | 5'10, 205 | JR | 12 | 9 | 79 | 0 | 8.8 | 6.6 | 75.0% | 25.0% | 3.4% |
| Uriah LeMay | WR | 6'2, 216 | SO | 10 | 6 | 71 | 0 | 11.8 | 7.1 | 60.0% | 50.0% | 2.9% |
| Chris Montgomery | WR | 5'10, 158 | SO | 7 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 6.3 | 3.6 | 57.1% | 28.6% | 2.0% |
| Zach Bumgarner | HB | 6'4, 270 | JR | 5 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 8.5 | 3.4 | 40.0% | 40.0% | 1.4% |
| Bradan Smith | RB | 5'11, 197 | SO | 4 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 75.0% | 25.0% | 1.1% |
| R.J. Tyler | HB | 6'4, 243 | FR | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.3% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 80.0 | 121 | 91.4 | 97 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 41.6% | 114 | 42.5% | 31 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 0.96 | 123 | 1.28 | 117 | 1.11 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.78 | 81 | 2.79 | 48 | 2.90 |
| SD Sack Rate | 7.1% | 106 | 2.7% | 114 | 5.0% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 62.2 | 127 | 106.3 | 51 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 20.5% | 128 | 30.7% | 65 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.65 | 92 | 1.65 | 35 | 1.77 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 1.94 | 126 | 2.87 | 37 | 3.20 |
| PD Sack Rate | 10.6% | 111 | 7.7% | 61 | 7.5% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 80.6 | 116 | 85.5 | 111 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 73.4 | 126 | 108.3 | 51 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 78.5 | 121 | 95.8 | 86 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 80.4 | 123 | 94.1 | 91 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 78.6 | 123 | 95.8 | 86 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 72.0 | 127 | 96.4 | 81 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 85.6 | 113 | 96.3 | 88 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 64.2% | 38 | 60.4% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 32.6% | 63 | 34.0% |
| Adj. Pace | +7.1 | 15 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 76.0% | 51 | 74.9% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 58.0% | 87 | 60.3% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 27.9% | 116 | 33.9% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 17.3% | 41 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 4.7% | 67 | 5.1% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 7.1% | 8 | 4.5% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 5.3% | 96 | 6.3% |
| PD to INC | 33.5% | 55 | 32.8% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
| Nick Cook | LB | 6'1, 223 | JR | 61.5 | 9.0% | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Caleb Clayton-Molby | LB | 6'2, 238 | SR | 54.5 | 8.0% | 7.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Larry Ogunjobi | DL | 6'3, 294 | JR | 49.5 | 7.3% | 14.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terrance Winchester | DB | 6'1, 178 | JR | 45.5 | 6.7% | 3.5 | 0.0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Tank Norman | DB | 5'11, 182 | JR | 44.5 | 6.5% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Karrington King | LB | 6'0, 231 | SO | 42.5 | 6.3% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Daquan Lucas | LB | 5'10, 221 | JR | 40.0 | 5.9% | 10.0 | 2.5 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Branden Dozier | DB | 6'0, 202 | SR | 39.5 | 5.8% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Devin Pearson | DB | 5'10, 189 | SO | 38.0 | 5.6% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Zach Duncan | DL | 6'4, 240 | FR | 26.0 | 3.8% | 7.5 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Brandon Banks | DL | 6'3, 280 | JR | 25.0 | 3.7% | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Markevis Davis | DB | 6'2, 180 | SO | 20.5 | 3.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Covington | DB | 5'11, 184 | SO | 20.0 | 2.9% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Jalen Holt | LB | 6'4, 248 | JR | 17.0 | 2.5% | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Najee Tucker | DB | 6'2, 191 | FR | 17.0 | 2.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Desmond Floyd | LB | 6'5, 271 | SR | 15.0 | 2.2% | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Devon Johnson | DL | 6'3, 307 | SR | 10.5 | 1.5% | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| James Middleton | DL | 6'4, 283 | JR | 10.5 | 1.5% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tanner Fleming | DL | 6'1, 298 | JR | 9.0 | 1.3% | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| DaQuavius Reid | LB | 6'2, 208 | JR | 8.0 | 1.2% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Carroll | DL | 6'5, 240 | SO | 8.0 | 1.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Starnes | LB | 6'3, 240 | SO | 7.5 | 1.1% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cortezz Nixon | DB | 5'10, 182 | SR | 7.0 | 1.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Prince Mayela | DB | 5'10, 177 | JR | 5.5 | 0.8% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Greg Cunningham Jr. | DB | 6'2, 191 | JR | 5.5 | 0.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. | |||||||||||
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -1.6 | 134 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.51 | 119 |
| Punt Success Rate | 47.9% | 107 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 52.4% | 119 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 61.1% | 29 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 36.7% | 100 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Blake Brewer | 6'1, 220 | JR | 24-24 | 14-27 | 51.9% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Arthur Hart | 6'2, 223 | SO | 70 | 38.5 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 77.1% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Blake Brewer | 6'1, 220 | JR | 49 | 61.6 | 13 | 26.5% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Ardy Holmes | 5'9, 199 | SR | 14 | 3.8 | 0 | 2 | 1 (0) |
| Corey Nesmith Jr. | 5'9, 190 | JR | 3 | 9.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 (0) |
| Austin Duke | 5'10, 161 | JR | 3 | -2.7 | 0 | 4 | 1 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Anthony Covington | 5'11, 184 | SO | 27 | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Chris Montgomery | 5'10, 158 | SO | 13 | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Corey Nesmith Jr. | 5'9, 190 | JR | 6 | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics