Updated on 8/21/2016
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2015 | 2016
NMSU Aggies (Sun Belt)
2015 Schedule & Results
| Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.8 (0.8) | S&P+ Rk: 116 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 5-Sep | at Florida | 18 | 13-61 | L | 0% | -32.8 | 20% | 38% | 2% |
| 12-Sep | Georgia State | 91 | 32-34 | L | 55% | 1.0 | 83% | 80% | 29% |
| 19-Sep | UTEP | 126 | 47-50 | L | 63% | 2.7 | 63% | 67% | 4% |
| 3-Oct | at New Mexico | 101 | 29-38 | L | 52% | 0.4 | 70% | 51% | 54% |
| 10-Oct | at Ole Miss | 5 | 3-52 | L | 0% | -49.2 | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| 17-Oct | at Georgia Southern | 39 | 26-56 | L | 0% | -47.1 | 15% | 21% | 9% |
| 24-Oct | Troy | 90 | 7-52 | L | 0% | -32.6 | 11% | 14% | 9% |
| 31-Oct | Idaho | 109 | 55-48 | W | 65% | 3.0 | 26% | 50% | 17% |
| 7-Nov | at Texas State | 112 | 31-21 | W | 54% | 0.9 | 24% | 30% | 49% |
| 21-Nov | at UL-Lafayette | 107 | 37-34 | W | 55% | 1.1 | 30% | 47% | 40% |
| 28-Nov | Arkansas State | 79 | 28-52 | L | 3% | -15.0 | 25% | 57% | 23% |
| 5-Dec | at UL-Monroe | 122 | 35-42 | L | 27% | -4.9 | 12% | 19% | 34% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 25.6 | 88 | 41.4 | 124 |
| Points Per Game | 28.6 | 66 | 45.0 | 126 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.48 | 2 | 1.43 | 119 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 35.8% | 113 | 45.5% | 104 | 40.3% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 27.9 | 110 | 32.4 | 115 | 29.9 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.70 | 74 | 5.19 | 110 | 4.67 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -4.41 | 106 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +2.25 |
||
| ACTUAL | 1 | 58 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 109.6 | 34 | 85.3 | 117 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 42.5% | 68 | 43.9% | 82 | 42.3% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 1.29 | 6 | 1.25 | 115 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 107.2 | 40 | 88.2 | 114 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 40.8% | 38 | 40.7% | 92 | 38.9% |
| Power Success Rate | 67.4% | 55 | 70.0% | 93 | 66.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 22.4% | 103 | 16.1% | 107 | 19.6% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Larry Rose III | RB | 5'11, 184 | SO | 240 | 1651 | 14 | 6.9 | 8.9 | 40.4% | 4 (3) |
| Andrew Allen | WR | 6'1, 205 | SO | 57 | 301 | 0 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 47.4% | 4 (2) |
| Xavier Hall | RB | 5'8, 181 | JR | 48 | 165 | 1 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 29.2% | 0 (0) |
| Tyler Rogers | QB | 6'3, 213 | JR | 19 | 122 | 1 | 6.4 | 5.8 | 52.6% | 0 (0) |
| Nick Jeanty | QB | 6'2, 200 | FR | 17 | 88 | 0 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 35.3% | 2 (0) |
| Jermichael Selders | RB | 5'11, 200 | SR | 14 | 70 | 0 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 57.1% | 0 (0) |
| OJ Clark | WR | 5'7, 147 | FR | 2 | 13 | 0 | 6.5 | 6.7 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
| Teldrick Morgan | WR | 6'0, 195 | JR | 1 | 9 | 0 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 100.0% | 0 (0) |
| Rayvean Moore | WR | 5'10, 180 | JR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 76.8 | 117 | 80.3 | 124 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 30.2% | 123 | 47.4% | 121 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.71 | 10 | 1.62 | 108 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 66.8 | 117 | 69.7 | 111 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Tyler Rogers | 6'3, 213 | JR | 72 | 135 | 974 | 7 | 3 | 53.3% | 10 | 6.9% | 6.3 |
| Nick Jeanty | 6'2, 200 | FR | 54 | 101 | 531 | 3 | 2 | 53.5% | 7 | 6.5% | 4.6 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Teldrick Morgan | WR | 6'0, 195 | JR | 75 | 45 | 551 | 4 | 12.2 | 7.4 | 60.0% | 36.0% | 17.7% |
| Tyrain Taylor | WR | 5'9, 162 | JR | 62 | 40 | 690 | 4 | 17.3 | 11.1 | 64.5% | 51.6% | 14.7% |
| Jordan Bergstrom | WR | 5'11, 185 | SR | 60 | 27 | 437 | 7 | 16.2 | 7.3 | 45.0% | 40.0% | 14.2% |
| Gregory Hogan | WR | 6'1, 190 | SO | 51 | 24 | 370 | 5 | 15.4 | 7.3 | 47.1% | 37.3% | 12.1% |
| Larry Rose III | RB | 5'11, 184 | SO | 44 | 30 | 283 | 2 | 9.4 | 6.4 | 68.2% | 22.7% | 10.4% |
| Royce Caldwell | WR | 5'8, 175 | FR | 42 | 22 | 272 | 1 | 12.4 | 6.5 | 52.4% | 33.3% | 9.9% |
| Joshua Bowen | WR | 5'10, 174 | SR | 42 | 29 | 239 | 2 | 8.2 | 5.7 | 69.0% | 31.0% | 9.9% |
| Rayvean Moore | WR | 5'10, 180 | JR | 14 | 9 | 84 | 0 | 9.3 | 6.0 | 64.3% | 50.0% | 3.3% |
| Xavier Hall | RB | 5'8, 181 | JR | 13 | 8 | 53 | 0 | 6.6 | 4.1 | 61.5% | 15.4% | 3.1% |
| Clayton Granch | TE | 6'3, 247 | JR | 5 | 3 | 34 | 1 | 11.3 | 6.8 | 60.0% | 60.0% | 1.2% |
| Orryn Clark | WR | 5'7, 147 | FR | 5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7.0 | 1.4 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 1.2% |
| Ty Atencio | TE | 6'4, 215 | JR | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 50.0% | 25.0% | 0.9% |
| Tymon Locklin | WR | 6'2, 187 | FR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.7% |
| Abram Holland | OL | 6'2, 300 | JR | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.2% |
| Cassius Corley | WR | 6'1, 209 | SO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Jermichael Selders | RB | 5'11, 200 | SR | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | -1.0 | -1.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 91.0 | 107 | 87.0 | 117 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 41.4% | 118 | 49.4% | 97 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.30 | 7 | 1.32 | 123 | 1.11 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.13 | 27 | 3.06 | 91 | 2.90 |
| SD Sack Rate | 6.4% | 94 | 4.5% | 85 | 5.0% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 96.4 | 82 | 79.1 | 122 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 26.2% | 103 | 36.0% | 115 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.98 | 19 | 1.80 | 74 | 1.77 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.08 | 78 | 3.06 | 49 | 3.20 |
| PD Sack Rate | 11.2% | 115 | 2.9% | 124 | 7.5% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 95.8 | 91 | 78.6 | 128 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 85.4 | 116 | 83.8 | 113 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 79.0 | 118 | 91.5 | 101 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 113.0 | 27 | 83.5 | 119 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 95.2 | 93 | 86.8 | 113 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 85.0 | 109 | 80.4 | 121 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 99.5 | 77 | 85.5 | 116 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 52.0% | 106 | 60.4% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 34.6% | 53 | 34.0% |
| Adj. Pace | +1.7 | 44 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 76.6% | 48 | 74.9% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 58.8% | 77 | 60.3% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 37.8% | 29 | 33.9% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 11.1% | 125 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 3.0% | 117 | 5.1% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 3.4% | 92 | 4.5% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 4.2% | 121 | 6.3% |
| PD to INC | 25.2% | 123 | 32.8% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
| Derek Ibekwe | LB | 6'0, 233 | SO | 67.0 | 9.5% | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jacob Nwangwa | DB | 6'0, 210 | SO | 63.5 | 9.0% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Terrill Hanks | DB | 6'3, 217 | FR | 60.5 | 8.6% | 6.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jaden Wright | DB | 6'0, 210 | SO | 54.5 | 7.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Lewis Hill | DB | 5'10, 183 | SR | 53.0 | 7.5% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Dalton Herrington | LB | 6'2, 220 | SO | 47.5 | 6.8% | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Winston Rose | DB | 6'0, 180 | SR | 44.5 | 6.3% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Rodney Butler | LB | 6'1, 235 | JR | 42.5 | 6.1% | 4.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Stephen Meredith | DL | 6'3, 246 | SR | 29.5 | 4.2% | 6.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Noah Brown | DE | 6'1, 230 | JR | 21.0 | 3.0% | 7.0 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Alexander Trujillo | DL | 6'2, 302 | SR | 20.5 | 2.9% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Hood | LB | 6'0, 202 | FR | 19.0 | 2.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Benegas | DL | 6'1, 290 | SO | 18.0 | 2.6% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stody Bradley | DL | 6'2, 245 | SO | 17.0 | 2.4% | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jassavia Reese | DE | 6'4, 244 | FR | 16.5 | 2.4% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Javahn Fergurson | LB | 6'1, 220 | FR | 16.5 | 2.4% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| DeMarcus Owens | DB | 5'10, 187 | FR | 14.5 | 2.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kourtland Busby | DL | 6'3, 275 | SO | 12.5 | 1.8% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Wagner | LB | 6'1, 236 | JR | 9.5 | 1.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kawe Johnson | DB | 5'8, 180 | JR | 8.5 | 1.2% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jerrion Burton | DB | 5'11, 171 | SO | 8.0 | 1.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Drew James | DL | 6'2, 292 | JR | 6.5 | 0.9% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrain Taylor | WR | 5'9, 162 | JR | 6.0 | 0.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Josh Gibbs | DE | 6'5, 290 | SR | 5.5 | 0.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Will Clement | LB | 6'3, 211 | FR | 5.5 | 0.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. | |||||||||||
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -1.6 | 129 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.23 | 102 |
| Punt Success Rate | 44.3% | 114 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 65.7% | 88 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 47.1% | 70 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 24.2% | 121 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Parker Davidson | 5'11, 150 | FR | 37-43 | 10-17 | 58.8% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Anthony Torres | 6'0, 185 | SR | 66 | 40.6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 34.8% |
| Greg Hutchins | 6'3, 200 | FR | 3 | 35.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 33.3% |
| Tyler Rogers | 6'3, 213 | JR | 2 | 27.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50.0% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Parker Davidson | 5'11, 150 | FR | 67 | 62.4 | 33 | 49.3% | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Teldrick Morgan | 6'0, 195 | JR | 7 | 8.4 | 0 | 6 | 0 (0) |
| Joshua Bowen | 5'10, 174 | SR | 5 | 8.6 | 0 | 3 | 1 (0) |
| Tyrain Taylor | 5'9, 162 | JR | 3 | 9.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Royce Caldwell | 5'8, 175 | FR | 19 | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Tyrain Taylor | 5'9, 162 | JR | 6 | 25.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Gregory Hogan | 6'1, 190 | SO | 3 | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics