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2015 New Mexico State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

NMSU Aggies (Sun Belt)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.8 (0.8) | S&P+ Rk: 116
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep at Florida 18 13-61 L 0% -32.8 20% 38% 2%
12-Sep Georgia State 91 32-34 L 55% 1.0 83% 80% 29%
19-Sep UTEP 126 47-50 L 63% 2.7 63% 67% 4%
3-Oct at New Mexico 101 29-38 L 52% 0.4 70% 51% 54%
10-Oct at Ole Miss 5 3-52 L 0% -49.2 13% 13% 14%
17-Oct at Georgia Southern 39 26-56 L 0% -47.1 15% 21% 9%
24-Oct Troy 90 7-52 L 0% -32.6 11% 14% 9%
31-Oct Idaho 109 55-48 W 65% 3.0 26% 50% 17%
7-Nov at Texas State 112 31-21 W 54% 0.9 24% 30% 49%
21-Nov at UL-Lafayette 107 37-34 W 55% 1.1 30% 47% 40%
28-Nov Arkansas State 79 28-52 L 3% -15.0 25% 57% 23%
5-Dec at UL-Monroe 122 35-42 L 27% -4.9 12% 19% 34%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 25.6 88 41.4 124
Points Per Game 28.6 66 45.0 126
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.48 2 1.43 119 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 35.8% 113 45.5% 104 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 27.9 110 32.4 115 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.70 74 5.19 110 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -4.41 106 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+2.25
ACTUAL 1 58
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 109.6 34 85.3 117 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 42.5% 68 43.9% 82 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.29 6 1.25 115 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 107.2 40 88.2 114 100.0
Opportunity Rate 40.8% 38 40.7% 92 38.9%
Power Success Rate 67.4% 55 70.0% 93 66.3%
Stuff Rate 22.4% 103 16.1% 107 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Larry Rose III RB 5'11, 184 SO 240 1651 14 6.9 8.9 40.4% 4 (3)
Andrew Allen WR 6'1, 205 SO 57 301 0 5.3 3.5 47.4% 4 (2)
Xavier Hall RB 5'8, 181 JR 48 165 1 3.4 3.0 29.2% 0 (0)
Tyler Rogers QB 6'3, 213 JR 19 122 1 6.4 5.8 52.6% 0 (0)
Nick Jeanty QB 6'2, 200 FR 17 88 0 5.2 5.6 35.3% 2 (0)
Jermichael Selders RB 5'11, 200 SR 14 70 0 5.0 2.9 57.1% 0 (0)
OJ Clark WR 5'7, 147 FR 2 13 0 6.5 6.7 50.0% 0 (0)
Teldrick Morgan WR 6'0, 195 JR 1 9 0 9.0 2.5 100.0% 0 (0)
Rayvean Moore WR 5'10, 180 JR 1 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 76.8 117 80.3 124 100.0
Passing Success Rate 30.2% 123 47.4% 121 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.71 10 1.62 108 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 66.8 117 69.7 111 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Tyler Rogers 6'3, 213 JR 72 135 974 7 3 53.3% 10 6.9% 6.3
Nick Jeanty 6'2, 200 FR 54 101 531 3 2 53.5% 7 6.5% 4.6

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Teldrick Morgan WR 6'0, 195 JR 75 45 551 4 12.2 7.4 60.0% 36.0% 17.7%
Tyrain Taylor WR 5'9, 162 JR 62 40 690 4 17.3 11.1 64.5% 51.6% 14.7%
Jordan Bergstrom WR 5'11, 185 SR 60 27 437 7 16.2 7.3 45.0% 40.0% 14.2%
Gregory Hogan WR 6'1, 190 SO 51 24 370 5 15.4 7.3 47.1% 37.3% 12.1%
Larry Rose III RB 5'11, 184 SO 44 30 283 2 9.4 6.4 68.2% 22.7% 10.4%
Royce Caldwell WR 5'8, 175 FR 42 22 272 1 12.4 6.5 52.4% 33.3% 9.9%
Joshua Bowen WR 5'10, 174 SR 42 29 239 2 8.2 5.7 69.0% 31.0% 9.9%
Rayvean Moore WR 5'10, 180 JR 14 9 84 0 9.3 6.0 64.3% 50.0% 3.3%
Xavier Hall RB 5'8, 181 JR 13 8 53 0 6.6 4.1 61.5% 15.4% 3.1%
Clayton Granch TE 6'3, 247 JR 5 3 34 1 11.3 6.8 60.0% 60.0% 1.2%
Orryn Clark WR 5'7, 147 FR 5 1 7 0 7.0 1.4 20.0% 20.0% 1.2%
Ty Atencio TE 6'4, 215 JR 4 2 11 0 5.5 2.8 50.0% 25.0% 0.9%
Tymon Locklin WR 6'2, 187 FR 3 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.7%
Abram Holland OL 6'2, 300 JR 1 1 7 0 7.0 7.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Cassius Corley WR 6'1, 209 SO 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Jermichael Selders RB 5'11, 200 SR 1 1 -1 0 -1.0 -1.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 91.0 107 87.0 117 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 41.4% 118 49.4% 97 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.30 7 1.32 123 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.13 27 3.06 91 2.90
SD Sack Rate 6.4% 94 4.5% 85 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 96.4 82 79.1 122 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 26.2% 103 36.0% 115 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.98 19 1.80 74 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.08 78 3.06 49 3.20
PD Sack Rate 11.2% 115 2.9% 124 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 95.8 91 78.6 128
Q2 S&P+ 85.4 116 83.8 113
Q3 S&P+ 79.0 118 91.5 101
Q4 S&P+ 113.0 27 83.5 119
1st Down S&P+ 95.2 93 86.8 113
2nd Down S&P+ 85.0 109 80.4 121
3rd Down S&P+ 99.5 77 85.5 116
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 52.0% 106 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 34.6% 53 34.0%
Adj. Pace +1.7 44 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 76.6% 48 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 58.8% 77 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 37.8% 29 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 11.1% 125 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.0% 117 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 3.4% 92 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 4.2% 121 6.3%
PD to INC 25.2% 123 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Derek Ibekwe LB 6'0, 233 SO 67.0 9.5% 6.5 1.0 0 3 1 0
Jacob Nwangwa DB 6'0, 210 SO 63.5 9.0% 1.5 0.0 3 1 0 0
Terrill Hanks DB 6'3, 217 FR 60.5 8.6% 6.5 1.0 3 1 1 0
Jaden Wright DB 6'0, 210 SO 54.5 7.8% 0.0 0.0 2 1 1 1
Lewis Hill DB 5'10, 183 SR 53.0 7.5% 1.0 0.0 0 4 1 0
Dalton Herrington LB 6'2, 220 SO 47.5 6.8% 5.5 0.0 0 4 0 0
Winston Rose DB 6'0, 180 SR 44.5 6.3% 2.0 0.0 0 6 0 0
Rodney Butler LB 6'1, 235 JR 42.5 6.1% 4.5 1.0 1 2 0 0
Stephen Meredith DL 6'3, 246 SR 29.5 4.2% 6.5 2.5 0 0 0 1
Noah Brown DE 6'1, 230 JR 21.0 3.0% 7.0 3.5 0 0 1 0
Alexander Trujillo DL 6'2, 302 SR 20.5 2.9% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jonathan Hood LB 6'0, 202 FR 19.0 2.7% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Jacob Benegas DL 6'1, 290 SO 18.0 2.6% 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 0
Stody Bradley DL 6'2, 245 SO 17.0 2.4% 3.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
Jassavia Reese DE 6'4, 244 FR 16.5 2.4% 2.5 0.0 0 1 0 0
Javahn Fergurson LB 6'1, 220 FR 16.5 2.4% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
DeMarcus Owens DB 5'10, 187 FR 14.5 2.1% 0.0 0.0 1 0 0 0
Kourtland Busby DL 6'3, 275 SO 12.5 1.8% 3.0 2.0 0 0 0 0
Robert Wagner LB 6'1, 236 JR 9.5 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Kawe Johnson DB 5'8, 180 JR 8.5 1.2% 0.5 0.0 0 0 1 0
Jerrion Burton DB 5'11, 171 SO 8.0 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Drew James DL 6'2, 292 JR 6.5 0.9% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Tyrain Taylor WR 5'9, 162 JR 6.0 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Josh Gibbs DE 6'5, 290 SR 5.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Will Clement LB 6'3, 211 FR 5.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 1
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.6 129
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.23 102
Punt Success Rate 44.3% 114
Kickoff Success Rate 65.7% 88
Punt Return Success Rate 47.1% 70
Kick Return Success Rate 24.2% 121
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Parker Davidson 5'11, 150 FR 37-43 10-17 58.8%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Anthony Torres 6'0, 185 SR 66 40.6 3 4 19 34.8%
Greg Hutchins 6'3, 200 FR 3 35.7 0 1 0 33.3%
Tyler Rogers 6'3, 213 JR 2 27.5 1 0 1 50.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Parker Davidson 5'11, 150 FR 67 62.4 33 49.3% 0 7 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Teldrick Morgan 6'0, 195 JR 7 8.4 0 6 0 (0)
Joshua Bowen 5'10, 174 SR 5 8.6 0 3 1 (0)
Tyrain Taylor 5'9, 162 JR 3 9.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Royce Caldwell 5'8, 175 FR 19 14.9 0 0 0 (0)
Tyrain Taylor 5'9, 162 JR 6 25.3 0 0 0 (0)
Gregory Hogan 6'1, 190 SO 3 15.7 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics