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2015 South Florida advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

USF Bulls (American East)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 8-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.9 (-0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 50
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep Florida A&M N/A 51-3 W 100% 59.8 71% 38% 61%
12-Sep at Florida State 7 14-34 L 4% -14.0 76% 43% 58%
19-Sep at Maryland 65 17-35 L 3% -14.7 22% 8% 28%
2-Oct Memphis 55 17-24 L 14% -8.5 59% 50% 50%
10-Oct Syracuse 71 45-24 W 100% 23.3 80% 86% 70%
17-Oct at Connecticut 87 28-20 W 60% 2.0 32% 82% 17%
24-Oct SMU 104 38-14 W 100% 20.8 52% 31% 80%
31-Oct at Navy 20 17-29 L 16% -7.9 43% 40% 88%
7-Nov at East Carolina 76 22-17 W 80% 6.7 50% 35% 84%
14-Nov Temple 49 44-23 W 99% 19.0 87% 90% 84%
20-Nov Cincinnati 74 65-27 W 100% 38.4 91% 96% 94%
26-Nov at Central Florida 125 44-3 W 100% 30.4 63% 72% 65%
21-Dec vs. Western Kentucky 11 35-45 L 18% -7.3 48% 80% 52%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 31.6 50 25.1 46
Points Per Game 33.6 41 22.9 35
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.38 21 1.29 79 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 43.8% 40 39.0% 44 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 31.5 36 30.5 84 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.86 57 3.82 12 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 5.79 20 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+1.62
ACTUAL 10 13
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 115.7 18 103.7 54 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 45.6% 36 38.7% 39 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.19 21 1.10 75 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 108.8 31 102.4 48 100.0
Opportunity Rate 43.6% 18 35.9% 38 38.9%
Power Success Rate 63.0% 82 68.9% 88 66.3%
Stuff Rate 17.2% 32 24.5% 13 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Marlon Mack RB 6'0, 205 SO 210 1381 8 6.6 6.7 44.8% 3 (0)
Quinton Flowers QB 6'0, 210 SO 173 1077 12 6.2 5.7 45.7% 3 (1)
Darius Tice RB 5'10, 206 JR 88 460 4 5.2 4.9 39.8% 2 (1)
D'Ernest Johnson RB 5'10, 208 SO 71 307 1 4.3 3.1 39.4% 1 (1)
Rodney Adams WR 6'1, 190 JR 11 87 1 7.9 8.4 45.5% 2 (2)
Steven Bench QB 6'2, 215 SR 8 65 2 8.1 4.9 62.5% 1 (0)
Marlon Pope TE 6'4, 260 SR 2 71 0 35.5 63.5 50.0% 0 (0)
Corian Hamilton FB 6'0, 238 SR 1 4 0 4.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
Chris Barr WR 5'10, 175 FR 1 -3 0 -3.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 103.9 58 103.0 59 100.0
Passing Success Rate 40.7% 62 39.2% 53 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.75 8 1.49 71 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 92.9 73 125.8 27 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Quinton Flowers 6'0, 210 SO 162 275 2290 22 8 58.9% 19 6.5% 7.5
Steven Bench 6'2, 215 SR 14 22 177 2 1 63.6% 1 4.3% 7.6

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Rodney Adams WR 6'1, 190 JR 69 44 816 9 18.6 11.8 63.8% 49.3% 24.0%
Chris Barr WR 5'10, 175 FR 40 23 200 1 8.7 5.0 57.5% 40.0% 13.9%
Ryeshene Bronson WR 6'3, 200 SO 36 17 258 1 15.2 7.2 47.2% 38.9% 12.5%
D'Ernest Johnson RB 5'10, 208 SO 33 25 346 4 13.8 10.5 75.8% 51.5% 11.5%
Sean Price TE 6'3, 252 SR 28 20 306 5 15.3 10.9 71.4% 67.9% 9.8%
Marlon Mack RB 6'0, 205 SO 20 16 111 1 6.9 5.6 80.0% 35.0% 7.0%
Elkanah Dillon TE 6'5, 245 FR 17 9 208 2 23.1 12.2 52.9% 47.1% 5.9%
A.J. Legree WR 6'1, 195 JR 12 7 53 1 7.6 4.4 58.3% 33.3% 4.2%
Tyre McCants WR 5'11, 210 FR 10 6 162 1 27.0 16.2 60.0% 50.0% 3.5%
Darius Tice RB 5'10, 206 JR 7 5 10 0 2.0 1.4 71.4% 0.0% 2.4%
Marlon Pope TE 6'4, 260 SR 6 2 42 0 21.0 7.0 33.3% 33.3% 2.1%
Jordan Reed WR 5'10, 170 FR 5 4 18 1 4.5 3.6 80.0% 20.0% 1.7%
Alex Mut WR 6'3, 195 JR 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.7%
Austin Aikens WR 6'0, 184 JR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Chase Whitehead WR 5'9, 175 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 109.9 32 99.7 63 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 49.4% 30 45.7% 59 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.22 18 1.11 68 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.20 21 2.61 25 2.90
SD Sack Rate 4.7% 62 6.8% 14 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 102.2 64 113.3 27 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 31.1% 61 25.8% 23 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.94 27 1.91 106 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.80 15 2.96 44 3.20
PD Sack Rate 6.7% 52 8.7% 38 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 107.9 50 121.9 21
Q2 S&P+ 105.3 55 114.2 29
Q3 S&P+ 121.9 23 87.5 109
Q4 S&P+ 105.5 53 104.2 51
1st Down S&P+ 116.6 21 106.0 42
2nd Down S&P+ 108.2 48 109.0 41
3rd Down S&P+ 92.2 97 100.3 70
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 71.2% 13 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 47.8% 10 34.0%
Adj. Pace -0.7 68 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 84.6% 7 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 62.1% 43 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 32.8% 75 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 17.7% 38 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 7.3% 15 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 2.6% 111 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 7.7% 20 6.3%
PD to INC 29.6% 88 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Auggie Sanchez LB 6'2, 244 SO 94.0 12.2% 8.5 0.5 0 1 0 0
Jamie Byrd DB 5'11, 185 SR 74.5 9.7% 11.0 5.0 3 4 2 0
Deatrick Nichols CB 5'10, 189 SO 55.0 7.1% 8.5 1.0 4 5 2 0
Nate Godwin DB 5'10, 204 JR 54.5 7.1% 1.0 0.0 0 3 0 0
Devin Abraham S 5'9, 186 SO 46.0 6.0% 2.0 1.0 3 3 0 0
Eric Lee DE 6'3, 260 SR 40.5 5.2% 12.0 5.0 1 4 2 0
Deadrin Senat DT 6'1, 305 SO 36.5 4.7% 5.5 0.0 0 0 1 0
Nigel Harris LB 6'0, 231 JR 36.0 4.7% 4.5 1.5 1 0 1 0
Tajee Fullwood CB 6'2, 203 SO 34.0 4.4% 1.0 0.0 0 2 2 0
Tashon Whitehurst LB 6'3, 220 SR 29.0 3.8% 1.5 1.5 0 0 0 0
Johnny Ward DB 6'0, 178 JR 26.5 3.4% 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 0
James Hamilton DT 6'2, 308 SR 26.0 3.4% 6.5 3.0 0 0 0 0
Zack Bullock LB 6'3, 245 SR 24.0 3.1% 4.5 1.0 0 2 0 0
Ronnie Hoggins CB 5'8, 167 FR 24.0 3.1% 1.5 0.0 2 6 0 0
Demetrius Hill DE 6'3, 270 SR 21.5 2.8% 7.5 3.0 1 3 1 0
Daniel Awoleke DE 6'5, 283 SR 18.5 2.4% 4.0 2.0 0 0 0 0
Bruce Hector DT 6'2, 295 SO 16.5 2.1% 7.0 5.0 0 1 1 0
Mazzi Wilkins CB 6'0, 170 FR 16.0 2.1% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Khalid McGee S 5'10, 201 FR 15.5 2.0% 3.0 0.0 0 0 0 1
Kevin Bronson DE 6'4, 271 FR 11.5 1.5% 3.5 2.5 1 3 1 0
Danny Thomas LB 6'1, 225 FR 8.0 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Mike Love DE 6'4, 266 SO 7.0 0.9% 1.5 1.0 0 1 0 0
C.J. Garye LB 6'3, 231 SR 7.0 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jaymon Thomas S 6'3, 185 FR 4.5 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jalen Spencer DB 6'0, 186 JR 4.5 0.6% 0.0 0.0 1 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.6 92
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.11 85
Punt Success Rate 54.7% 71
Kickoff Success Rate 43.9% 126
Punt Return Success Rate 38.1% 103
Kick Return Success Rate 65.0% 9
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Emilio Nadelman 5'6, 173 SO 53-54 15-23 65.2%
Michael Hill 5'9, 180 SR 1-1 0-0 #DIV/0!
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Mattias Ciabatti 6'0, 200 SR 57 43.2 4 12 13 43.9%
Brent Gordon 6'3, 190 FR 7 39.6 0 4 1 71.4%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Michael Hill 5'9, 180 SR 61 55.6 2 3.3% 0 2 0 0
Emilio Nadelman 5'6, 173 SO 20 56.7 5 25.0% 0 2 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Tajee Fullwood 6'2, 203 SO 19 10.4 0 25 3 (0)
D'Ernest Johnson 5'10, 208 SO 1 25.0 0 2 0 (0)
Jordan Reed 5'10, 170 FR 1 6.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
D'Ernest Johnson 5'10, 208 SO 21 26.8 0 0 0 (0)
Rodney Adams 6'1, 190 JR 16 29.1 1 0 1 (1)
Tyre McCants 5'11, 210 FR 2 21.5 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics