Updated on 8/21/2016
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2015 | 2016
USF Bulls (American East)
2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 8-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.9 (-0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 50 | |||||||||
Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
5-Sep | Florida A&M | N/A | 51-3 | W | 100% | 59.8 | 71% | 38% | 61% |
12-Sep | at Florida State | 7 | 14-34 | L | 4% | -14.0 | 76% | 43% | 58% |
19-Sep | at Maryland | 65 | 17-35 | L | 3% | -14.7 | 22% | 8% | 28% |
2-Oct | Memphis | 55 | 17-24 | L | 14% | -8.5 | 59% | 50% | 50% |
10-Oct | Syracuse | 71 | 45-24 | W | 100% | 23.3 | 80% | 86% | 70% |
17-Oct | at Connecticut | 87 | 28-20 | W | 60% | 2.0 | 32% | 82% | 17% |
24-Oct | SMU | 104 | 38-14 | W | 100% | 20.8 | 52% | 31% | 80% |
31-Oct | at Navy | 20 | 17-29 | L | 16% | -7.9 | 43% | 40% | 88% |
7-Nov | at East Carolina | 76 | 22-17 | W | 80% | 6.7 | 50% | 35% | 84% |
14-Nov | Temple | 49 | 44-23 | W | 99% | 19.0 | 87% | 90% | 84% |
20-Nov | Cincinnati | 74 | 65-27 | W | 100% | 38.4 | 91% | 96% | 94% |
26-Nov | at Central Florida | 125 | 44-3 | W | 100% | 30.4 | 63% | 72% | 65% |
21-Dec | vs. Western Kentucky | 11 | 35-45 | L | 18% | -7.3 | 48% | 80% | 52% |
Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
S&P+ | 31.6 | 50 | 25.1 | 46 |
Points Per Game | 33.6 | 41 | 22.9 | 35 |
Five Factors
Offense | Defense | |||||
Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.38 | 21 | 1.29 | 79 | 1.27 |
EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 43.8% | 40 | 39.0% | 44 | 40.3% |
FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 31.5 | 36 | 30.5 | 84 | 29.9 |
FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.86 | 57 | 3.82 | 12 | 4.67 |
TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | 5.79 | 20 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +1.62 |
||
ACTUAL | 10 | 13 |
Rushing
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Rushing S&P+ | 115.7 | 18 | 103.7 | 54 | 100.0 |
Rushing Success Rate | 45.6% | 36 | 38.7% | 39 | 42.3% |
Rushing IsoPPP | 1.19 | 21 | 1.10 | 75 | 1.08 |
Adj. Line Yards | 108.8 | 31 | 102.4 | 48 | 100.0 |
Opportunity Rate | 43.6% | 18 | 35.9% | 38 | 38.9% |
Power Success Rate | 63.0% | 82 | 68.9% | 88 | 66.3% |
Stuff Rate | 17.2% | 32 | 24.5% | 13 | 19.6% |
Individual Rushing Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
Marlon Mack | RB | 6'0, 205 | SO | 210 | 1381 | 8 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 44.8% | 3 (0) |
Quinton Flowers | QB | 6'0, 210 | SO | 173 | 1077 | 12 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 45.7% | 3 (1) |
Darius Tice | RB | 5'10, 206 | JR | 88 | 460 | 4 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 39.8% | 2 (1) |
D'Ernest Johnson | RB | 5'10, 208 | SO | 71 | 307 | 1 | 4.3 | 3.1 | 39.4% | 1 (1) |
Rodney Adams | WR | 6'1, 190 | JR | 11 | 87 | 1 | 7.9 | 8.4 | 45.5% | 2 (2) |
Steven Bench | QB | 6'2, 215 | SR | 8 | 65 | 2 | 8.1 | 4.9 | 62.5% | 1 (0) |
Marlon Pope | TE | 6'4, 260 | SR | 2 | 71 | 0 | 35.5 | 63.5 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
Corian Hamilton | FB | 6'0, 238 | SR | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
Chris Barr | WR | 5'10, 175 | FR | 1 | -3 | 0 | -3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. |
Passing
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Passing S&P+ | 103.9 | 58 | 103.0 | 59 | 100.0 |
Passing Success Rate | 40.7% | 62 | 39.2% | 53 | 40.3% |
Passing IsoPPP | 1.75 | 8 | 1.49 | 71 | 1.49 |
Adj. Sack Rate | 92.9 | 73 | 125.8 | 27 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
Quinton Flowers | 6'0, 210 | SO | 162 | 275 | 2290 | 22 | 8 | 58.9% | 19 | 6.5% | 7.5 |
Steven Bench | 6'2, 215 | SR | 14 | 22 | 177 | 2 | 1 | 63.6% | 1 | 4.3% | 7.6 |
Individual Receiving Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
Rodney Adams | WR | 6'1, 190 | JR | 69 | 44 | 816 | 9 | 18.6 | 11.8 | 63.8% | 49.3% | 24.0% |
Chris Barr | WR | 5'10, 175 | FR | 40 | 23 | 200 | 1 | 8.7 | 5.0 | 57.5% | 40.0% | 13.9% |
Ryeshene Bronson | WR | 6'3, 200 | SO | 36 | 17 | 258 | 1 | 15.2 | 7.2 | 47.2% | 38.9% | 12.5% |
D'Ernest Johnson | RB | 5'10, 208 | SO | 33 | 25 | 346 | 4 | 13.8 | 10.5 | 75.8% | 51.5% | 11.5% |
Sean Price | TE | 6'3, 252 | SR | 28 | 20 | 306 | 5 | 15.3 | 10.9 | 71.4% | 67.9% | 9.8% |
Marlon Mack | RB | 6'0, 205 | SO | 20 | 16 | 111 | 1 | 6.9 | 5.6 | 80.0% | 35.0% | 7.0% |
Elkanah Dillon | TE | 6'5, 245 | FR | 17 | 9 | 208 | 2 | 23.1 | 12.2 | 52.9% | 47.1% | 5.9% |
A.J. Legree | WR | 6'1, 195 | JR | 12 | 7 | 53 | 1 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 58.3% | 33.3% | 4.2% |
Tyre McCants | WR | 5'11, 210 | FR | 10 | 6 | 162 | 1 | 27.0 | 16.2 | 60.0% | 50.0% | 3.5% |
Darius Tice | RB | 5'10, 206 | JR | 7 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 71.4% | 0.0% | 2.4% |
Marlon Pope | TE | 6'4, 260 | SR | 6 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 2.1% |
Jordan Reed | WR | 5'10, 170 | FR | 5 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 80.0% | 20.0% | 1.7% |
Alex Mut | WR | 6'3, 195 | JR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.7% |
Austin Aikens | WR | 6'0, 184 | JR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
Chase Whitehead | WR | 5'9, 175 | FR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
Standard Downs
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Standard Downs S&P+ | 109.9 | 32 | 99.7 | 63 | 100.0 |
Standard Downs Success Rate | 49.4% | 30 | 45.7% | 59 | 46.5% |
Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.22 | 18 | 1.11 | 68 | 1.11 |
SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.20 | 21 | 2.61 | 25 | 2.90 |
SD Sack Rate | 4.7% | 62 | 6.8% | 14 | 5.0% |
Passing Downs
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Passing Downs S&P+ | 102.2 | 64 | 113.3 | 27 | 100.0 |
Passing Downs Success Rate | 31.1% | 61 | 25.8% | 23 | 30.7% |
Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.94 | 27 | 1.91 | 106 | 1.77 |
PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.80 | 15 | 2.96 | 44 | 3.20 |
PD Sack Rate | 6.7% | 52 | 8.7% | 38 | 7.5% |
Situational
Offense | Defense | |||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
Q1 S&P+ | 107.9 | 50 | 121.9 | 21 |
Q2 S&P+ | 105.3 | 55 | 114.2 | 29 |
Q3 S&P+ | 121.9 | 23 | 87.5 | 109 |
Q4 S&P+ | 105.5 | 53 | 104.2 | 51 |
1st Down S&P+ | 116.6 | 21 | 106.0 | 42 |
2nd Down S&P+ | 108.2 | 48 | 109.0 | 41 |
3rd Down S&P+ | 92.2 | 97 | 100.3 | 70 |
Offensive Footprint
Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
Std. Downs Run Rate | 71.2% | 13 | 60.4% |
Pass Downs Run Rate | 47.8% | 10 | 34.0% |
Adj. Pace | -0.7 | 68 | +0.0 |
% of Solo Tackles | 84.6% | 7 | 74.9% |
Defensive Footprint
Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
Std. Downs Run Rate | 62.1% | 43 | 60.3% |
Pass. Downs Run Rate | 32.8% | 75 | 33.9% |
Overall Havoc Rate | 17.7% | 38 | 16.0% |
DL Havoc Rate | 7.3% | 15 | 5.1% |
LB Havoc Rate | 2.6% | 111 | 4.5% |
DB Havoc Rate | 7.7% | 20 | 6.3% |
PD to INC | 29.6% | 88 | 32.8% |
Individual Defensive Stats
Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
Auggie Sanchez | LB | 6'2, 244 | SO | 94.0 | 12.2% | 8.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Jamie Byrd | DB | 5'11, 185 | SR | 74.5 | 9.7% | 11.0 | 5.0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
Deatrick Nichols | CB | 5'10, 189 | SO | 55.0 | 7.1% | 8.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
Nate Godwin | DB | 5'10, 204 | JR | 54.5 | 7.1% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Devin Abraham | S | 5'9, 186 | SO | 46.0 | 6.0% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Eric Lee | DE | 6'3, 260 | SR | 40.5 | 5.2% | 12.0 | 5.0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
Deadrin Senat | DT | 6'1, 305 | SO | 36.5 | 4.7% | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Nigel Harris | LB | 6'0, 231 | JR | 36.0 | 4.7% | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Tajee Fullwood | CB | 6'2, 203 | SO | 34.0 | 4.4% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Tashon Whitehurst | LB | 6'3, 220 | SR | 29.0 | 3.8% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Johnny Ward | DB | 6'0, 178 | JR | 26.5 | 3.4% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
James Hamilton | DT | 6'2, 308 | SR | 26.0 | 3.4% | 6.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Zack Bullock | LB | 6'3, 245 | SR | 24.0 | 3.1% | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Ronnie Hoggins | CB | 5'8, 167 | FR | 24.0 | 3.1% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
Demetrius Hill | DE | 6'3, 270 | SR | 21.5 | 2.8% | 7.5 | 3.0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Daniel Awoleke | DE | 6'5, 283 | SR | 18.5 | 2.4% | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Bruce Hector | DT | 6'2, 295 | SO | 16.5 | 2.1% | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Mazzi Wilkins | CB | 6'0, 170 | FR | 16.0 | 2.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Khalid McGee | S | 5'10, 201 | FR | 15.5 | 2.0% | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Kevin Bronson | DE | 6'4, 271 | FR | 11.5 | 1.5% | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Danny Thomas | LB | 6'1, 225 | FR | 8.0 | 1.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mike Love | DE | 6'4, 266 | SO | 7.0 | 0.9% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
C.J. Garye | LB | 6'3, 231 | SR | 7.0 | 0.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jaymon Thomas | S | 6'3, 185 | FR | 4.5 | 0.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jalen Spencer | DB | 6'0, 186 | JR | 4.5 | 0.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. |
Special Teams
Rating | Rank | |
Special Teams S&P+ | -0.6 | 92 |
Category | Rate | Rank |
FG Value (per kick) | -0.11 | 85 |
Punt Success Rate | 54.7% | 71 |
Kickoff Success Rate | 43.9% | 126 |
Punt Return Success Rate | 38.1% | 103 |
Kick Return Success Rate | 65.0% | 9 |
Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
Emilio Nadelman | 5'6, 173 | SO | 53-54 | 15-23 | 65.2% |
Michael Hill | 5'9, 180 | SR | 1-1 | 0-0 | #DIV/0! |
Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
Mattias Ciabatti | 6'0, 200 | SR | 57 | 43.2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 43.9% |
Brent Gordon | 6'3, 190 | FR | 7 | 39.6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 71.4% |
Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
Michael Hill | 5'9, 180 | SR | 61 | 55.6 | 2 | 3.3% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Emilio Nadelman | 5'6, 173 | SO | 20 | 56.7 | 5 | 25.0% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
Tajee Fullwood | 6'2, 203 | SO | 19 | 10.4 | 0 | 25 | 3 (0) |
D'Ernest Johnson | 5'10, 208 | SO | 1 | 25.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 (0) |
Jordan Reed | 5'10, 170 | FR | 1 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
D'Ernest Johnson | 5'10, 208 | SO | 21 | 26.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Rodney Adams | 6'1, 190 | JR | 16 | 29.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 (1) |
Tyre McCants | 5'11, 210 | FR | 2 | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics