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2015 Central Florida advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

UCF Golden Knights (American East)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 0-12 | Second-order wins (diff.): 1.1 (1.1) | S&P+ Rk: 125
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep Florida International 108 14-15 L 60% 2.0 65% 37% 52%
12-Sep at Stanford 10 7-31 L 0% -32.5 27% 2% 75%
19-Sep Furman N/A 15-16 L 27% -4.9 9% 3% 53%
26-Sep at South Carolina 88 14-31 L 7% -11.5 24% 14% 23%
3-Oct at Tulane 120 31-45 L 1% -19.3 15% 8% 18%
10-Oct Connecticut 87 13-40 L 1% -20.1 10% 19% 11%
17-Oct at Temple 49 16-30 L 0% -24.1 14% 9% 71%
24-Oct Houston 44 10-59 L 0% -30.0 12% 39% 9%
31-Oct at Cincinnati 74 7-52 L 0% -42.0 8% 9% 4%
7-Nov at Tulsa 94 30-45 L 11% -9.8 8% 8% 47%
19-Nov East Carolina 76 7-44 L 0% -25.4 5% 9% 7%
26-Nov South Florida 50 3-44 L 0% -30.4 17% 23% 23%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 14.0 126 36.4 112
Points Per Game 13.9 126 37.7 118
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.01 127 1.34 103 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 34.2% 122 44.7% 98 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.4 80 31.8 108 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.63 121 5.32 119 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -10.48 122 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-3.97
ACTUAL -20 127
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 67.9 128 88.3 105 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 33.7% 122 44.3% 85 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.78 128 1.13 91 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 78.5 125 88.3 113 100.0
Opportunity Rate 30.9% 124 37.2% 53 38.9%
Power Success Rate 56.5% 113 63.4% 49 66.3%
Stuff Rate 23.7% 112 22.1% 38 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
C.J. Jones RB 5'10, 216 FR 93 339 1 3.6 5.1 24.7% 2 (2)
Taj McGowan RB 6'1, 198 FR 85 262 1 3.1 2.2 28.2% 0 (0)
Dontravious Wilson RB 5'10, 217 JR 44 147 0 3.3 3.4 27.3% 0 (0)
Justin Holman QB 6'4, 213 JR 36 185 0 5.1 2.0 58.3% 4 (0)
Nick Patti WR 5'11, 206 JR 30 106 2 3.5 2.4 30.0% 0 (0)
Michael Willett RB 5'9, 197 SO 15 53 0 3.5 1.4 46.7% 0 (0)
William Stanback RB 6'1, 228 JR 12 11 0 0.9 2.7 8.3% 1 (1)
Bo Schneider QB 6'3, 225 FR 6 13 0 2.2 0.9 33.3% 1 (1)
Tristan Payton WR 6'0, 185 FR 4 4 0 1.0 6.1 25.0% 1 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 73.3 122 87.0 108 100.0
Passing Success Rate 34.6% 110 45.2% 112 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.19 125 1.58 101 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 108.7 48 62.6 118 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Justin Holman 6'4, 213 JR 127 250 1379 7 14 50.8% 10 3.8% 5.1
Bo Schneider 6'3, 225 FR 54 105 534 2 7 51.4% 10 8.7% 4.0
Tyler Harris 6'4, 228 FR 26 61 308 4 2 42.6% 3 4.7% 4.1

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Tre'Quan Smith WR 6'1, 201 FR 95 52 724 4 13.9 7.6 54.7% 46.3% 24.1%
Tristan Payton WR 6'0, 185 FR 41 21 264 1 12.6 6.4 51.2% 39.0% 10.4%
Jordan Franks WR 6'3, 225 SO 32 20 246 2 12.3 7.7 62.5% 40.6% 8.1%
Nick Patti WR 5'11, 206 JR 27 13 104 1 8.0 3.9 48.1% 37.0% 6.8%
D'erren Wilson WR 6'3, 175 FR 26 8 118 3 14.8 4.5 30.8% 26.9% 6.6%
Cam Stewart WR 6'3, 188 FR 26 11 90 0 8.2 3.5 42.3% 30.8% 6.6%
Chris Johnson WR 5'10, 182 SO 24 14 187 0 13.4 7.8 58.3% 54.2% 6.1%
Jordan Akins WR 6'3, 237 SO 24 14 152 2 10.9 6.3 58.3% 41.7% 6.1%
C.J. Jones RB 5'10, 216 FR 20 11 65 0 5.9 3.3 55.0% 30.0% 5.1%
Cedric Thompson HB 6'0, 235 SR 14 7 31 0 4.4 2.2 50.0% 14.3% 3.5%
Taylor Oldham WR 6'2, 193 JR 13 7 42 0 6.0 3.2 53.8% 30.8% 3.3%
Blake Tiralosi WR 5'11, 194 JR 11 8 45 0 5.6 4.1 72.7% 54.5% 2.8%
Michael Willett RB 5'9, 197 SO 10 7 89 0 12.7 8.9 70.0% 70.0% 2.5%
Dontravious Wilson RB 5'10, 217 JR 9 6 33 0 5.5 3.7 66.7% 44.4% 2.3%
Aaron Cochran HB 6'2, 260 FR 6 4 22 0 5.5 3.7 66.7% 50.0% 1.5%
Cal Bloom TE 6'3, 264 JR 6 3 19 0 6.3 3.2 50.0% 33.3% 1.5%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 71.0 127 89.5 108 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 39.5% 121 48.7% 88 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 0.82 128 1.15 88 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.37 124 2.79 48 2.90
SD Sack Rate 2.5% 19 5.4% 54 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 74.6 121 84.1 112 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 24.8% 111 36.6% 118 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.55 115 1.84 87 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.30 121 3.76 118 3.20
PD Sack Rate 7.6% 74 2.2% 127 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 79.7 118 84.7 114
Q2 S&P+ 65.4 128 88.3 102
Q3 S&P+ 72.2 125 81.4 120
Q4 S&P+ 84.0 118 107.8 41
1st Down S&P+ 77.7 124 95.1 89
2nd Down S&P+ 78.8 122 87.9 106
3rd Down S&P+ 65.1 126 81.2 123
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 57.0% 78 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 22.8% 120 34.0%
Adj. Pace -8.4 125 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 69.0% 109 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 62.1% 44 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 37.0% 36 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 13.4% 109 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.9% 90 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 3.6% 82 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 5.6% 82 6.3%
PD to INC 32.5% 69 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Domenic Spencer LB 5'10, 229 SR 76.5 11.2% 9.5 1.0 0 0 1 0
Drico Johnson DB 6'1, 207 JR 51.5 7.5% 4.0 0.0 0 1 0 1
Chequan Burkett LB 6'2, 228 SO 44.0 6.4% 6.5 3.0 1 4 2 0
Shaquill Griffin DB 6'1, 192 JR 44.0 6.4% 0.5 0.0 2 13 0 0
Tre Neal DB 6'1, 200 FR 42.5 6.2% 0.5 0.0 0 3 0 0
Jerod Boykins DB 6'3, 213 JR 33.0 4.8% 1.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
Jamiyus Pittman DL 6'0, 300 SO 32.0 4.7% 7.0 4.5 0 2 0 0
Pat Jasinski LB 6'1, 209 FR 30.0 4.4% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
D.J. Killings DB 6'0, 186 JR 28.0 4.1% 4.0 0.0 0 1 1 0
Thomas Niles DL 6'2, 266 SR 28.0 4.1% 3.0 1.0 0 1 0 0
T.J. Mutcherson DB 5'11, 191 SR 26.0 3.8% 4.0 1.0 0 2 1 0
Lance McDowdell DL 6'4, 302 SR 24.0 3.5% 4.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Luke Adams DL 6'4, 251 JR 23.0 3.4% 2.5 1.0 0 1 0 0
Tony Guerad DL 6'3, 298 SO 20.5 3.0% 5.0 2.0 0 1 0 0
Kyle Gibson DB 5'11, 186 FR 19.0 2.8% 2.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Maurice Russell LB 5'11, 239 JR 19.0 2.8% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Demeitre Brim LB 6'3, 225 JR 17.5 2.6% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jeremy Boykins DB 6'2, 194 JR 16.5 2.4% 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 0
Brendin Straubel DB 5'9, 194 SR 13.5 2.0% 0.0 0.0 1 0 1 0
Mark Rucker LB 5'9, 213 JR 12.0 1.8% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Monte Taylor DL 6'3, 270 JR 9.5 1.4% 3.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
Seyvon Lowry DL 6'3, 252 SO 8.5 1.2% 0.5 0.5 0 0 0 0
Quintin Hampton LB 5'11, 240 FR 8.5 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Joey Connors DL 6'1, 283 FR 7.5 1.1% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Shaquem Griffin DB 6'1, 205 SO 7.0 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 1.4 10
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.16 45
Punt Success Rate 66.2% 19
Kickoff Success Rate 75.6% 45
Punt Return Success Rate 66.7% 12
Kick Return Success Rate 60.0% 12
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Matthew Wright 6'1, 179 FR 17-17 13-17 76.5%
Donald Delahaye 5'9, 170 FR 1-1 0-0 #DIV/0!
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Caleb Houston 6'1, 210 JR 65 44.2 2 31 23 83.1%
Mac Loudermilk 6'1, 224 FR 9 50.4 1 2 1 33.3%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Donald Delahaye 5'9, 170 FR 33 63.1 11 33.3% 0 3 4 1
Matthew Wright 6'1, 179 FR 8 63.3 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Chris Johnson 5'10, 182 SO 6 6.8 0 11 2 (1)
Blake Tiralosi 5'11, 194 JR 3 4.3 0 9 1 (1)
Jordan Akins 6'3, 237 SO 2 7.5 0 4 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Tristan Payton 6'0, 185 FR 30 24.2 0 0 1 (1)
Hayden Jones 5'10, 173 JR 12 18.5 0 0 0 (0)
Blake Tiralosi 5'11, 194 JR 7 22.4 0 0 1 (1)

Stats via SportSource Analytics