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2015 Western Kentucky advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/20/2016

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2015 | 2016

WKU Hilltoppers (Conference USA East)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 12-2 | Second-order wins (diff.): 11.3 (-0.7) | S&P+ Rk: 11
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep at Vanderbilt 83 14-12 W 39% -2.2 59% 41% 38%
10-Sep Louisiana Tech 54 41-38 W 63% 2.7 90% 90% 52%
19-Sep at Indiana 60 35-38 L 56% 1.1 85% 84% 25%
26-Sep Miami-OH 117 56-14 W 100% 46.4 88% 96% 84%
3-Oct at Rice 119 49-10 W 100% 34.8 89% 86% 67%
10-Oct Middle Tennessee 82 58-28 W 100% 29.1 87% 96% 60%
15-Oct at North Texas 128 55-28 W 100% 25.7 54% 85% 12%
24-Oct at LSU 9 20-48 L 5% -13.2 15% 49% 32%
31-Oct at Old Dominion 110 55-30 W 100% 23.9 78% 95% 46%
7-Nov Florida Atlantic 93 35-19 W 100% 21.8 87% 92% 43%
21-Nov at Florida International 108 63-7 W 100% 53.6 87% 94% 96%
27-Nov Marshall 64 49-28 W 100% 22.9 92% 96% 91%
5-Dec Southern Miss 58 45-28 W 82% 7.3 74% 75% 85%
21-Dec vs. South Florida 50 45-35 W 82% 7.3 72% 92% 44%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 43.5 4 26.0 53
Points Per Game 44.3 3 25.9 53
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.41 9 1.31 92 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 52.3% 1 40.5% 61 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 31.8 31 28.9 46 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.39 13 4.32 35 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 9.73 8 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+1.53
ACTUAL 14 4
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 110.8 30 103.1 55 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 51.2% 7 41.5% 60 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.92 120 1.07 64 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 109.2 30 99.5 65 100.0
Opportunity Rate 43.9% 14 39.4% 79 38.9%
Power Success Rate 69.8% 38 61.8% 37 66.3%
Stuff Rate 17.1% 27 21.2% 49 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
D'Andre Ferby RB 6'1, 240 FR 164 650 11 4.0 3.1 33.5% 0 (0)
Anthony Wales RB 5'10, 195 JR 155 1091 9 7.0 5.1 55.5% 1 (0)
Darmontre Warr RB 5'9, 195 JR 35 124 2 3.5 2.0 40.0% 0 (0)
Leon Allen RB 6'0, 235 SR 27 137 2 5.1 4.6 48.1% 0 (0)
Anthony Davis RB 5'9, 205 SR 25 102 1 4.1 3.7 36.0% 3 (1)
Brandon Doughty QB 6'3, 220 SR 12 2 1 0.2 4.7 16.7% 5 (1)
Taywan Taylor WR 6'1, 195 JR 7 -9 0 -1.3 5.1 28.6% 1 (0)
Nicholas Norris WR 5'9, 175 JR 6 63 1 10.5 5.3 83.3% 0 (0)
Antwane Grant WR 6'1, 205 SR 3 65 1 21.7 26.3 66.7% 1 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 141.8 4 97.6 73 100.0
Passing Success Rate 52.9% 1 39.5% 57 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.71 9 1.57 98 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 254.6 6 65.7 117 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Brandon Doughty 6'3, 220 SR 388 540 5055 48 9 71.9% 15 2.7% 8.9
Nelson Fishback 6'2, 215 JR 7 8 70 0 0 87.5% 0 0.0% 8.8
Drew Eckels 6'4, 210 FR 1 1 10 0 0 100.0% 1 50.0% 2.5

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Taywan Taylor WR 6'1, 195 JR 115 86 1467 17 17.1 12.8 74.8% 59.1% 21.3%
Jared Dangerfield WR 6'3, 215 SR 111 82 844 8 10.3 7.6 73.9% 55.9% 20.5%
Nicholas Norris WR 5'9, 175 JR 89 63 971 6 15.4 10.9 70.8% 50.6% 16.5%
Antwane Grant WR 6'1, 205 SR 85 55 701 7 12.8 8.3 64.7% 51.8% 15.7%
Tyler Higbee TE 6'6, 250 SR 49 38 563 8 14.8 11.5 77.6% 69.4% 9.1%
Anthony Wales RB 5'10, 195 JR 30 27 225 2 8.3 7.5 90.0% 53.3% 5.5%
Nacarius Fant WR 5'9, 185 SO 17 13 159 0 12.2 9.4 76.5% 52.9% 3.1%
Tim Gorski TE 6'6, 255 SR 13 10 119 1 11.9 9.2 76.9% 69.2% 2.4%
D'Andre Ferby RB 6'1, 240 FR 12 9 33 0 3.7 2.8 75.0% 25.0% 2.2%
Leon Allen RB 6'0, 235 SR 7 5 72 0 14.4 10.3 71.4% 28.6% 1.3%
Devin Scott TE 6'4, 250 SR 5 3 14 0 4.7 2.8 60.0% 20.0% 0.9%
Darmontre Warr RB 5'9, 195 JR 2 2 16 0 8.0 8.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.4%
Will Bush WR 5'11, 195 FR 2 1 8 0 8.0 4.0 50.0% 50.0% 0.4%
Anthony Davis RB 5'9, 205 SR 2 2 5 0 2.5 2.5 100.0% 0.0% 0.4%
Brandon Doughty QB 6'3, 220 SR 1 1 7 1 7.0 7.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
George Fant TE 6'6, 270 SR 1 1 7 0 7.0 7.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 130.7 1 103.6 52 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 56.8% 2 45.5% 57 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.27 9 1.11 73 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.19 23 2.78 45 2.90
SD Sack Rate 1.0% 4 2.5% 119 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 136.6 9 94.7 88 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 40.1% 5 31.2% 68 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.94 26 1.87 95 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.06 82 3.35 79 3.20
PD Sack Rate 5.2% 21 5.2% 102 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 120.6 22 122.1 20
Q2 S&P+ 143.4 2 102.5 69
Q3 S&P+ 127.6 10 103.3 58
Q4 S&P+ 120.9 11 84.4 118
1st Down S&P+ 130.3 3 113.1 27
2nd Down S&P+ 121.6 20 96.4 82
3rd Down S&P+ 133.2 5 91.1 104
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 46.4% 123 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 18.4% 127 34.0%
Adj. Pace -0.5 67 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 77.7% 44 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 57.5% 95 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 38.7% 23 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 16.7% 48 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 4.5% 73 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 5.2% 41 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 6.9% 40 6.3%
PD to INC 33.5% 56 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
TJ McCollum LB 6'3, 230 SO 87.5 11.0% 11.5 3.0 1 3 1 0
Branden Leston DB 6'3, 205 JR 83.0 10.4% 3.0 0.0 1 3 0 1
Nick Holt LB 6'1, 230 SR 72.5 9.1% 7.5 4.0 3 4 2 0
Dejon Brown LB 6'3, 250 SR 52.5 6.6% 7.0 2.0 0 2 2 1
Marcus Ward DB 6'3, 210 JR 47.0 5.9% 7.5 2.0 1 8 2 0
Derik Overstreet DL 6'2, 250 SO 39.5 5.0% 9.0 2.0 0 1 1 0
Prince Charles Iworah DB 5'11, 190 SR 38.5 4.8% 1.0 0.0 4 11 0 0
Wonderful Terry DB 5'10, 190 SR 32.0 4.0% 1.0 0.0 2 5 1 0
Joe Brown DB 5'10, 190 SO 30.5 3.8% 1.5 0.0 1 9 0 0
Gavin Rocker DL 6'2, 255 SR 29.5 3.7% 6.0 2.5 0 1 0 0
Jontavius Morris DL 6'2, 305 SR 25.0 3.1% 5.0 2.0 0 3 0 0
Omarius Bryant DL 6'3, 310 JR 23.5 2.9% 3.5 1.5 0 0 0 0
Nick Newton LB 6'4, 245 SR 18.5 2.3% 2.5 1.0 1 1 1 0
Masai Whyte LB 6'0, 218 FR 17.0 2.1% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Joel Iyiegbuniwe LB 6'2, 220 FR 16.5 2.1% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Ge'Monee Brown DL 6'2, 305 SR 15.0 1.9% 2.5 0.5 0 0 0 0
Drew Davis LB 6'1, 225 JR 15.0 1.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
De'Andre Simmons DB 5'11, 185 SO 14.5 1.8% 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 0
Leverick Johnson DB 6'1, 185 SO 14.0 1.8% 1.0 1.0 1 0 0 0
Tanner Reeves DL 6'4, 240 SO 13.5 1.7% 4.5 1.5 0 0 1 0
Shaquille Johnson TE 6'4, 235 JR 12.5 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Bryan Shorter DL 6'2, 280 SR 12.0 1.5% 2.0 1.0 0 1 0 0
Daeshawn Bertram LB 5'11, 220 SO 11.5 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
DeAndre Farris DB 5'10, 190 FR 11.0 1.4% 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 0
Drell Greene DB 6'1, 190 FR 10.5 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 1.4 11
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.61 1
Punt Success Rate 64.0% 27
Kickoff Success Rate 50.9% 121
Punt Return Success Rate 55.6% 42
Kick Return Success Rate 51.3% 38
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Garrett Schwettman 5'11, 175 SR 79-80 15-16 93.8%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Jake Collins 6'0, 190 FR 37 41.7 1 5 12 45.9%
Joseph Occhipinti 6'3, 190 JR 15 37.9 1 2 3 33.3%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Ryan Nuss 5'10, 190 FR 64 57.2 8 12.5% 0 1 1 1
Jake Collins 6'0, 190 FR 44 56.8 2 4.5% 0 1 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Kylen Towner 5'8, 175 SO 14 7.1 0 21 3 (3)
Nacarius Fant 5'9, 185 SO 4 9.3 0 7 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Kylen Towner 5'8, 175 SO 32 23.7 1 0 1 (1)
Anthony Davis 5'9, 205 SR 4 12.0 0 0 1 (1)
Devin Scott 6'4, 250 SR 1 0.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics