Updated on 8/20/2016
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2015 | 2016
Navy Midshipmen (American West)
2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 11-2 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.8 (-0.2) | S&P+ Rk: 20 | |||||||||
Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
5-Sep | Colgate | N/A | 48-10 | W | 100% | 35.7 | 72% | 68% | 51% |
19-Sep | East Carolina | 76 | 45-21 | W | 98% | 16.2 | 94% | 96% | 71% |
26-Sep | at Connecticut | 87 | 28-18 | W | 99% | 19.2 | 90% | 90% | 57% |
3-Oct | Air Force | 52 | 33-11 | W | 98% | 16.3 | 95% | 68% | 97% |
10-Oct | at Notre Dame | 8 | 24-41 | L | 6% | -12.2 | 14% | 46% | 43% |
24-Oct | Tulane | 120 | 31-14 | W | 77% | 5.9 | 31% | 42% | 41% |
31-Oct | South Florida | 50 | 29-17 | W | 84% | 7.9 | 71% | 69% | 85% |
7-Nov | at Memphis | 55 | 45-20 | W | 100% | 24.1 | 87% | 88% | 79% |
14-Nov | SMU | 104 | 55-14 | W | 100% | 27.5 | 65% | 53% | 78% |
21-Nov | at Tulsa | 94 | 44-21 | W | 100% | 22.8 | 86% | 81% | 92% |
27-Nov | at Houston | 44 | 31-52 | L | 37% | -2.7 | 53% | 95% | 21% |
12-Dec | vs. Army | 123 | 21-17 | W | 97% | 15.3 | 58% | 66% | 58% |
28-Dec | vs. Pittsburgh | 40 | 44-28 | W | 88% | 9.5 | 71% | 86% | 45% |
Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
S&P+ | 38.3 | 20 | 25.3 | 49 |
Points Per Game | 36.8 | 22 | 21.8 | 26 |
Five Factors
Offense | Defense | |||||
Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.28 | 55 | 1.19 | 32 | 1.27 |
EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 48.1% | 14 | 42.1% | 71 | 40.3% |
FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 32.9 | 14 | 27.4 | 20 | 29.9 |
FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 5.56 | 5 | 4.37 | 39 | 4.67 |
TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | 12.8 | 3 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +2.38 |
||
ACTUAL | 19 | 3 |
Rushing
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Rushing S&P+ | 121.2 | 10 | 112.4 | 31 | 100.0 |
Rushing Success Rate | 50.6% | 9 | 40.2% | 51 | 42.3% |
Rushing IsoPPP | 1.14 | 34 | 0.97 | 29 | 1.08 |
Adj. Line Yards | 127.4 | 1 | 96.7 | 79 | 100.0 |
Opportunity Rate | 43.3% | 20 | 38.4% | 68 | 38.9% |
Power Success Rate | 89.3% | 1 | 66.0% | 65 | 66.3% |
Stuff Rate | 12.4% | 1 | 16.5% | 103 | 19.6% |
Individual Rushing Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
Keenan Reynolds | QB | 5'11, 205 | SR | 251 | 1480 | 24 | 5.9 | 6.5 | 40.2% | 4 (1) |
Chris Swain | FB | 6'1, 245 | SR | 211 | 1023 | 10 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 35.5% | 3 (3) |
Quentin Ezell | FB | 6'1, 253 | SR | 62 | 317 | 6 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 35.5% | 0 (0) |
DeBrandon Sanders | SB | 5'7, 160 | SR | 42 | 313 | 0 | 7.5 | 5.1 | 59.5% | 1 (0) |
Dishan Romine | SB | 5'11, 178 | JR | 36 | 378 | 0 | 10.5 | 9.0 | 61.1% | 1 (1) |
Demond Brown | SB | 5'9, 201 | SR | 32 | 231 | 5 | 7.2 | 5.1 | 59.4% | 0 (0) |
Tago Smith | QB | 5'10, 201 | JR | 27 | 126 | 1 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 37.0% | 1 (0) |
Shawn White | FB | 6'1, 255 | JR | 19 | 84 | 1 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 52.6% | 1 (0) |
Calvin Cass Jr. | SB | 5'10, 206 | JR | 16 | 140 | 1 | 8.8 | 5.5 | 68.8% | 1 (1) |
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. |
Passing
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Passing S&P+ | 106.2 | 48 | 102.0 | 60 | 100.0 |
Passing Success Rate | 34.5% | 111 | 44.1% | 102 | 40.3% |
Passing IsoPPP | 2.41 | 2 | 1.39 | 41 | 1.49 |
Adj. Sack Rate | 78.3 | 99 | 75.9 | 103 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
Keenan Reynolds | 5'11, 205 | SR | 61 | 115 | 1203 | 8 | 1 | 53.0% | 14 | 10.9% | 8.5 |
Tago Smith | 5'10, 201 | JR | 2 | 3 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 66.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 10.0 |
Individual Receiving Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
Jamir Tillman | WR | 6'4, 206 | JR | 45 | 29 | 597 | 5 | 20.6 | 13.3 | 64.4% | 46.7% | 39.1% |
DeBrandon Sanders | SB | 5'7, 160 | SR | 17 | 9 | 250 | 1 | 27.8 | 14.7 | 52.9% | 52.9% | 14.8% |
Thomas Wilson | WR | 6'1, 201 | SR | 9 | 5 | 88 | 1 | 17.6 | 9.8 | 55.6% | 44.4% | 7.8% |
Demond Brown | SB | 5'9, 201 | SR | 7 | 3 | 41 | 0 | 13.7 | 5.9 | 42.9% | 28.6% | 6.1% |
Tyler Carmona | WR | 6'4, 205 | SO | 6 | 3 | 64 | 1 | 21.3 | 10.7 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 5.2% |
Dishan Romine | SB | 5'11, 178 | JR | 6 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 5.2% |
Craig Scott | WR | 6'2, 184 | SO | 6 | 2 | 38 | 0 | 19.0 | 6.3 | 33.3% | 16.7% | 5.2% |
Calvin Cass Jr. | SB | 5'10, 206 | JR | 6 | 3 | 34 | 1 | 11.3 | 5.7 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 5.2% |
Chris Swain | FB | 6'1, 245 | SR | 4 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 3.5% |
Chad Lewellyn | WR | 6'4, 195 | SO | 3 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 16.0 | 5.3 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 2.6% |
Toneo Gulley | SB | 5'8, 196 | JR | 2 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 1.7% |
Shawn White | FB | 6'1, 255 | JR | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 1.7% |
Keenan Reynolds | QB | 5'11, 205 | SR | 1 | 1 | 47 | 0 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.9% |
Brandon Colon | WR | 6'4, 218 | SO | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% |
Standard Downs
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Standard Downs S&P+ | 110.6 | 31 | 107.5 | 38 | 100.0 |
Standard Downs Success Rate | 54.5% | 5 | 46.3% | 62 | 46.5% |
Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.12 | 55 | 0.98 | 8 | 1.11 |
SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.54 | 3 | 2.94 | 77 | 2.90 |
SD Sack Rate | 6.7% | 99 | 5.3% | 58 | 5.0% |
Passing Downs
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Passing Downs S&P+ | 104.3 | 56 | 92.7 | 91 | 100.0 |
Passing Downs Success Rate | 27.8% | 91 | 32.6% | 88 | 30.7% |
Passing Downs IsoPPP | 2.28 | 2 | 1.87 | 96 | 1.77 |
PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.70 | 24 | 3.23 | 66 | 3.20 |
PD Sack Rate | 10.2% | 108 | 5.1% | 104 | 7.5% |
Situational
Offense | Defense | |||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
Q1 S&P+ | 115.4 | 31 | 101.3 | 55 |
Q2 S&P+ | 124.6 | 12 | 101.6 | 73 |
Q3 S&P+ | 102.3 | 71 | 92.7 | 92 |
Q4 S&P+ | 104.5 | 60 | 103.2 | 58 |
1st Down S&P+ | 105.7 | 49 | 101.3 | 61 |
2nd Down S&P+ | 110.5 | 42 | 99.8 | 72 |
3rd Down S&P+ | 121.4 | 17 | 95.3 | 92 |
Offensive Footprint
Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
Std. Downs Run Rate | 89.5% | 2 | 60.4% |
Pass Downs Run Rate | 67.2% | 4 | 34.0% |
Adj. Pace | +0.9 | 53 | +0.0 |
% of Solo Tackles | 79.6% | 34 | 74.9% |
Defensive Footprint
Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
Std. Downs Run Rate | 56.3% | 109 | 60.3% |
Pass. Downs Run Rate | 36.9% | 38 | 33.9% |
Overall Havoc Rate | 14.9% | 83 | 16.0% |
DL Havoc Rate | 4.0% | 88 | 5.1% |
LB Havoc Rate | 5.2% | 42 | 4.5% |
DB Havoc Rate | 5.6% | 83 | 6.3% |
PD to INC | 37.5% | 27 | 32.8% |
Individual Defensive Stats
Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
Lorentez Barbour | S | 6'1, 194 | SR | 63.0 | 9.0% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
Quincy Adams | CB | 5'11, 200 | SR | 59.0 | 8.5% | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Micah Thomas | LB | 6'1, 249 | SO | 56.5 | 8.1% | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Daniel Gonzales | LB | 6'2, 240 | JR | 52.5 | 7.5% | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Will Anthony | DE | 6'1, 254 | SR | 49.0 | 7.0% | 11.5 | 7.5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Brendon Clements | CB | 5'11, 188 | JR | 47.5 | 6.8% | 5.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
Daiquan Thomasson | S | 6'0, 195 | JR | 37.0 | 5.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
Amos Mason | DE | 6'1, 250 | JR | 35.5 | 5.1% | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
D.J. Palmore | OLB | 6'3, 227 | SO | 28.5 | 4.1% | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Bernard Sarra | NG | 6'1, 297 | SR | 28.0 | 4.0% | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Josiah Powell | OLB | 6'3, 215 | JR | 23.5 | 3.4% | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Ted Colburn | OLB | 6'3, 223 | JR | 20.5 | 2.9% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Tyler Goble | LB | 6'2, 222 | SR | 19.5 | 2.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mike Kelly | OLB | 6'1, 220 | JR | 18.0 | 2.6% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kwazel Bertrand | S | 6'0, 192 | SR | 15.0 | 2.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kevin McCoy | OLB | 6'4, 205 | SO | 13.5 | 1.9% | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Brandon Jones | OLB | 6'4, 205 | SO | 13.0 | 1.9% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ryan Harris | LB | 5'11, 213 | JR | 13.0 | 1.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Elijah Merchant | CB | 5'10, 196 | SO | 12.0 | 1.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Sean Williams | CB | 6'1, 190 | FR | 11.0 | 1.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Myer Krah | OLB | 5'11, 206 | SR | 8.0 | 1.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
David Gordeuk | DE | 6'4, 247 | SR | 8.0 | 1.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Patrick Forrestal | NG | 6'4, 296 | JR | 7.0 | 1.0% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Justin Norton | S | 6'2, 185 | SO | 6.0 | 0.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Jarvis Polu | DE | 6'3, 270 | FR | 5.0 | 0.7% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. |
Special Teams
Rating | Rank | |
Special Teams S&P+ | 0.7 | 45 |
Category | Rate | Rank |
FG Value (per kick) | 0.31 | 28 |
Punt Success Rate | 52.4% | 83 |
Kickoff Success Rate | 61.4% | 102 |
Punt Return Success Rate | 72.7% | 3 |
Kick Return Success Rate | 50.0% | 42 |
Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
Austin Grebe | 6'0, 192 | SR | 58-61 | 12-14 | 85.7% |
Nick Sloan | 6'0, 190 | SR | 1-1 | 1-1 | 100.0% |
Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
Alex Barta | 6'3, 213 | JR | 40 | 41.6 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 42.5% |
Gavin Jernigan | 6'3, 208 | SR | 2 | 37.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 50.0% |
Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
Austin Grebe | 6'0, 192 | SR | 79 | 61.3 | 20 | 25.3% | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Gavin Jernigan | 6'3, 208 | SR | 8 | 58.6 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
DeBrandon Sanders | 5'7, 160 | SR | 6 | 7.3 | 0 | 5 | 1 (0) |
Calvin Cass Jr. | 5'10, 206 | JR | 5 | 4.6 | 0 | 10 | 0 (0) |
Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
Dishan Romine | 5'11, 178 | JR | 24 | 27.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 (1) |
Toneo Gulley | 5'8, 196 | JR | 4 | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) |
Demond Brown | 5'9, 201 | SR | 2 | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics