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2015 Navy advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/20/2016

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2015 | 2016

Navy Midshipmen (American West)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 11-2 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.8 (-0.2) | S&P+ Rk: 20
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep Colgate N/A 48-10 W 100% 35.7 72% 68% 51%
19-Sep East Carolina 76 45-21 W 98% 16.2 94% 96% 71%
26-Sep at Connecticut 87 28-18 W 99% 19.2 90% 90% 57%
3-Oct Air Force 52 33-11 W 98% 16.3 95% 68% 97%
10-Oct at Notre Dame 8 24-41 L 6% -12.2 14% 46% 43%
24-Oct Tulane 120 31-14 W 77% 5.9 31% 42% 41%
31-Oct South Florida 50 29-17 W 84% 7.9 71% 69% 85%
7-Nov at Memphis 55 45-20 W 100% 24.1 87% 88% 79%
14-Nov SMU 104 55-14 W 100% 27.5 65% 53% 78%
21-Nov at Tulsa 94 44-21 W 100% 22.8 86% 81% 92%
27-Nov at Houston 44 31-52 L 37% -2.7 53% 95% 21%
12-Dec vs. Army 123 21-17 W 97% 15.3 58% 66% 58%
28-Dec vs. Pittsburgh 40 44-28 W 88% 9.5 71% 86% 45%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 38.3 20 25.3 49
Points Per Game 36.8 22 21.8 26
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.28 55 1.19 32 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 48.1% 14 42.1% 71 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 32.9 14 27.4 20 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.56 5 4.37 39 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 12.8 3 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+2.38
ACTUAL 19 3
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 121.2 10 112.4 31 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 50.6% 9 40.2% 51 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.14 34 0.97 29 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 127.4 1 96.7 79 100.0
Opportunity Rate 43.3% 20 38.4% 68 38.9%
Power Success Rate 89.3% 1 66.0% 65 66.3%
Stuff Rate 12.4% 1 16.5% 103 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Keenan Reynolds QB 5'11, 205 SR 251 1480 24 5.9 6.5 40.2% 4 (1)
Chris Swain FB 6'1, 245 SR 211 1023 10 4.8 3.6 35.5% 3 (3)
Quentin Ezell FB 6'1, 253 SR 62 317 6 5.1 4.6 35.5% 0 (0)
DeBrandon Sanders SB 5'7, 160 SR 42 313 0 7.5 5.1 59.5% 1 (0)
Dishan Romine SB 5'11, 178 JR 36 378 0 10.5 9.0 61.1% 1 (1)
Demond Brown SB 5'9, 201 SR 32 231 5 7.2 5.1 59.4% 0 (0)
Tago Smith QB 5'10, 201 JR 27 126 1 4.7 3.7 37.0% 1 (0)
Shawn White FB 6'1, 255 JR 19 84 1 4.4 2.2 52.6% 1 (0)
Calvin Cass Jr. SB 5'10, 206 JR 16 140 1 8.8 5.5 68.8% 1 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 106.2 48 102.0 60 100.0
Passing Success Rate 34.5% 111 44.1% 102 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 2.41 2 1.39 41 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 78.3 99 75.9 103 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Keenan Reynolds 5'11, 205 SR 61 115 1203 8 1 53.0% 14 10.9% 8.5
Tago Smith 5'10, 201 JR 2 3 30 1 1 66.7% 0 0.0% 10.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Jamir Tillman WR 6'4, 206 JR 45 29 597 5 20.6 13.3 64.4% 46.7% 39.1%
DeBrandon Sanders SB 5'7, 160 SR 17 9 250 1 27.8 14.7 52.9% 52.9% 14.8%
Thomas Wilson WR 6'1, 201 SR 9 5 88 1 17.6 9.8 55.6% 44.4% 7.8%
Demond Brown SB 5'9, 201 SR 7 3 41 0 13.7 5.9 42.9% 28.6% 6.1%
Tyler Carmona WR 6'4, 205 SO 6 3 64 1 21.3 10.7 50.0% 50.0% 5.2%
Dishan Romine SB 5'11, 178 JR 6 2 42 0 21.0 7.0 33.3% 33.3% 5.2%
Craig Scott WR 6'2, 184 SO 6 2 38 0 19.0 6.3 33.3% 16.7% 5.2%
Calvin Cass Jr. SB 5'10, 206 JR 6 3 34 1 11.3 5.7 50.0% 33.3% 5.2%
Chris Swain FB 6'1, 245 SR 4 1 12 0 12.0 3.0 25.0% 0.0% 3.5%
Chad Lewellyn WR 6'4, 195 SO 3 1 16 0 16.0 5.3 33.3% 33.3% 2.6%
Toneo Gulley SB 5'8, 196 JR 2 2 30 0 15.0 15.0 100.0% 50.0% 1.7%
Shawn White FB 6'1, 255 JR 2 2 16 0 8.0 8.0 100.0% 0.0% 1.7%
Keenan Reynolds QB 5'11, 205 SR 1 1 47 0 47.0 47.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.9%
Brandon Colon WR 6'4, 218 SO 1 1 5 0 5.0 5.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.9%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 110.6 31 107.5 38 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 54.5% 5 46.3% 62 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.12 55 0.98 8 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.54 3 2.94 77 2.90
SD Sack Rate 6.7% 99 5.3% 58 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 104.3 56 92.7 91 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 27.8% 91 32.6% 88 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 2.28 2 1.87 96 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.70 24 3.23 66 3.20
PD Sack Rate 10.2% 108 5.1% 104 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 115.4 31 101.3 55
Q2 S&P+ 124.6 12 101.6 73
Q3 S&P+ 102.3 71 92.7 92
Q4 S&P+ 104.5 60 103.2 58
1st Down S&P+ 105.7 49 101.3 61
2nd Down S&P+ 110.5 42 99.8 72
3rd Down S&P+ 121.4 17 95.3 92
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 89.5% 2 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 67.2% 4 34.0%
Adj. Pace +0.9 53 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 79.6% 34 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 56.3% 109 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 36.9% 38 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.9% 83 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 4.0% 88 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 5.2% 42 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 5.6% 83 6.3%
PD to INC 37.5% 27 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Lorentez Barbour S 6'1, 194 SR 63.0 9.0% 0.5 0.0 3 3 2 0
Quincy Adams CB 5'11, 200 SR 59.0 8.5% 3.5 0.0 0 7 1 0
Micah Thomas LB 6'1, 249 SO 56.5 8.1% 4.5 2.5 0 2 0 0
Daniel Gonzales LB 6'2, 240 JR 52.5 7.5% 4.0 0.0 1 1 1 0
Will Anthony DE 6'1, 254 SR 49.0 7.0% 11.5 7.5 0 2 3 0
Brendon Clements CB 5'11, 188 JR 47.5 6.8% 5.0 0.0 4 6 1 0
Daiquan Thomasson S 6'0, 195 JR 37.0 5.3% 0.0 0.0 2 4 1 0
Amos Mason DE 6'1, 250 JR 35.5 5.1% 5.0 2.0 0 4 1 0
D.J. Palmore OLB 6'3, 227 SO 28.5 4.1% 5.0 2.0 0 1 0 0
Bernard Sarra NG 6'1, 297 SR 28.0 4.0% 3.0 0.5 0 0 0 0
Josiah Powell OLB 6'3, 215 JR 23.5 3.4% 4.0 1.0 0 3 0 0
Ted Colburn OLB 6'3, 223 JR 20.5 2.9% 2.0 1.0 0 2 1 0
Tyler Goble LB 6'2, 222 SR 19.5 2.8% 0.0 0.0 1 0 0 0
Mike Kelly OLB 6'1, 220 JR 18.0 2.6% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Kwazel Bertrand S 6'0, 192 SR 15.0 2.1% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Kevin McCoy OLB 6'4, 205 SO 13.5 1.9% 3.5 2.5 0 0 3 1
Brandon Jones OLB 6'4, 205 SO 13.0 1.9% 2.0 0.5 0 0 0 0
Ryan Harris LB 5'11, 213 JR 13.0 1.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Elijah Merchant CB 5'10, 196 SO 12.0 1.7% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Sean Williams CB 6'1, 190 FR 11.0 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Myer Krah OLB 5'11, 206 SR 8.0 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
David Gordeuk DE 6'4, 247 SR 8.0 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Patrick Forrestal NG 6'4, 296 JR 7.0 1.0% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Justin Norton S 6'2, 185 SO 6.0 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Jarvis Polu DE 6'3, 270 FR 5.0 0.7% 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.7 45
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.31 28
Punt Success Rate 52.4% 83
Kickoff Success Rate 61.4% 102
Punt Return Success Rate 72.7% 3
Kick Return Success Rate 50.0% 42
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Austin Grebe 6'0, 192 SR 58-61 12-14 85.7%
Nick Sloan 6'0, 190 SR 1-1 1-1 100.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Alex Barta 6'3, 213 JR 40 41.6 7 7 10 42.5%
Gavin Jernigan 6'3, 208 SR 2 37.0 0 1 0 50.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Austin Grebe 6'0, 192 SR 79 61.3 20 25.3% 0 2 1 0
Gavin Jernigan 6'3, 208 SR 8 58.6 0 0.0% 0 1 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
DeBrandon Sanders 5'7, 160 SR 6 7.3 0 5 1 (0)
Calvin Cass Jr. 5'10, 206 JR 5 4.6 0 10 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Dishan Romine 5'11, 178 JR 24 27.3 0 0 1 (1)
Toneo Gulley 5'8, 196 JR 4 21.0 0 0 1 (0)
Demond Brown 5'9, 201 SR 2 15.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics