clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

2015 Memphis advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

Memphis Tigers (American West)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 9-4 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.6 (-1.4) | S&P+ Rk: 55
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep Missouri State N/A 63-7 W 100% 52.7 70% 74% 93%
12-Sep at Kansas 127 55-23 W 100% 26.6 78% 82% 23%
19-Sep at Bowling Green 19 44-41 W 33% -3.5 82% 80% 39%
24-Sep Cincinnati 74 53-46 W 45% -1.1 73% 85% 21%
2-Oct at South Florida 50 24-17 W 86% 8.5 91% 83% 71%
17-Oct Ole Miss 5 37-24 W 56% 1.1 71% 79% 74%
23-Oct at Tulsa 94 66-42 W 90% 10.5 58% 89% 17%
31-Oct Tulane 120 41-13 W 100% 26.0 76% 88% 47%
7-Nov Navy 20 20-45 L 0% -24.1 14% 49% 9%
14-Nov at Houston 44 34-35 L 52% 0.4 66% 73% 70%
21-Nov at Temple 49 12-31 L 1% -20.0 16% 27% 35%
28-Nov SMU 104 63-0 W 100% 60.5 85% 76% 99%
30-Dec vs. Auburn 35 10-31 L 0% -27.6 7% 1% 30%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 35.1 27 29.3 73
Points Per Game 40.2 11 27.3 67
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.31 43 1.29 82 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 44.4% 34 42.8% 81 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 31.0 44 26.3 7 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.44 9 4.93 93 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 4.02 31 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+1.53
ACTUAL 8 22
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 95.3 96 105.0 48 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 42.1% 72 42.2% 69 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.97 107 0.97 24 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 94.9 98 109.8 33 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.2% 78 36.0% 39 38.9%
Power Success Rate 72.0% 32 46.9% 3 66.3%
Stuff Rate 20.1% 82 22.0% 40 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Doroland Dorceus RB 5'10, 215 SO 155 659 8 4.3 3.3 37.4% 4 (2)
Jarvis Cooper RB 6'1, 245 SO 91 389 5 4.3 2.7 35.2% 0 (0)
Sam Craft ATH 6'0, 210 JR 82 333 5 4.1 4.0 36.6% 2 (1)
Paxton Lynch QB 6'7, 245 JR 70 358 2 5.1 3.4 41.4% 0 (0)
Jamarius Henderson RB 5'11, 210 FR 60 320 4 5.3 5.0 43.3% 2 (2)
Mose Frazier WR 5'11, 190 SR 17 119 2 7.0 16.1 29.4% 3 (1)
Darius Lee RB 5'9, 175 SR 10 34 0 3.4 2.1 40.0% 0 (0)
Anthony Miller WR 5'11, 190 SO 9 54 2 6.0 3.5 55.6% 1 (0)
Tevin Jones WR 6'2, 225 SR 9 45 1 5.0 6.0 44.4% 1 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 116.5 28 92.5 92 100.0
Passing Success Rate 46.6% 18 43.6% 98 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.60 29 1.64 110 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 145.8 28 93.9 76 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Paxton Lynch 6'7, 245 JR 296 444 3778 28 4 66.7% 17 3.7% 7.9
Clay Holgorsen 6'1, 195 FR 14 20 177 1 1 70.0% 0 0.0% 8.9

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Mose Frazier WR 5'11, 190 SR 95 71 833 4 11.7 8.8 74.7% 50.5% 21.0%
Phil Mayhue WR 6'3, 210 SO 79 51 670 1 13.1 8.5 64.6% 54.4% 17.5%
Anthony Miller WR 5'11, 190 SO 66 47 694 5 14.8 10.5 71.2% 54.5% 14.6%
Tevin Jones WR 6'2, 225 SR 41 22 316 4 14.4 7.7 53.7% 43.9% 9.1%
Alan Cross TE 6'1, 235 SR 41 25 229 3 9.2 5.6 61.0% 43.9% 9.1%
Roderick Proctor WR 5'11, 175 SO 29 25 335 0 13.4 11.6 86.2% 58.6% 6.4%
Jae'Lon Oglesby WR 5'11, 175 FR 25 20 167 1 8.4 6.7 80.0% 44.0% 5.5%
Doroland Dorceus RB 5'10, 215 SO 17 11 217 3 19.7 12.8 64.7% 52.9% 3.8%
Daniel Montiel TE 6'3, 240 JR 14 10 155 3 15.5 11.1 71.4% 64.3% 3.1%
Sam Craft ATH 6'0, 210 JR 14 8 114 2 14.3 8.1 57.1% 28.6% 3.1%
Jamarius Henderson RB 5'11, 210 FR 8 7 90 2 12.9 11.3 87.5% 62.5% 1.8%
Daniel Hurd WR 6'2, 220 JR 7 5 84 1 16.8 12.0 71.4% 71.4% 1.5%
Frank Wims WR 5'7, 180 JR 4 3 57 1 19.0 14.3 75.0% 75.0% 0.9%
Greg McKillion WR 6'5, 230 JR 4 3 29 0 9.7 7.3 75.0% 75.0% 0.9%
Jarvis Cooper RB 6'1, 245 SO 4 3 29 0 9.7 7.3 75.0% 75.0% 0.9%
Devonte Howard WR 5'9, 170 FR 1 1 14 0 14.0 14.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 107.3 41 96.0 83 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 49.2% 35 47.1% 73 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.19 31 1.16 93 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.71 96 2.56 20 2.90
SD Sack Rate 1.6% 8 4.7% 76 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 105.0 51 104.3 57 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 34.1% 34 32.8% 91 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.66 91 1.72 59 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.42 47 3.22 64 3.20
PD Sack Rate 6.9% 56 6.3% 86 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 108.6 46 102.7 53
Q2 S&P+ 108.2 45 113.9 30
Q3 S&P+ 109.8 39 100.3 66
Q4 S&P+ 97.3 88 105.5 47
1st Down S&P+ 107.2 46 95.9 84
2nd Down S&P+ 104.3 59 100.8 66
3rd Down S&P+ 106.4 57 133.5 6
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 55.6% 89 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 35.2% 49 34.0%
Adj. Pace +7.5 13 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 80.9% 19 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.4% 53 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 32.8% 76 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 13.6% 105 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.6% 99 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 4.2% 66 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 5.5% 89 6.3%
PD to INC 27.7% 107 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Leonard Pegues LB 5'11, 240 SR 62.5 8.5% 7.0 1.0 1 0 1 1
Shareef White LB 6'1, 235 SO 57.0 7.8% 7.0 1.0 0 0 1 0
Wynton McManis LB 6'1, 225 SR 57.0 7.8% 5.5 2.5 0 0 0 0
Reggis Ball DB 5'11, 210 SR 50.5 6.9% 2.5 0.0 5 5 0 1
Genard Avery LB 6'1, 255 SO 47.5 6.5% 6.5 3.0 0 0 0 0
Dontrell Nelson DB 6'1, 180 JR 44.5 6.1% 1.0 1.0 2 1 0 0
Chris Morley DB 5'11, 195 JR 41.5 5.6% 1.0 0.0 1 4 0 0
Chauncey Lanier DB 5'10, 185 JR 36.5 5.0% 2.0 1.0 0 5 1 0
Arthur Maulet DB 5'11, 190 JR 36.5 5.0% 0.0 0.0 2 7 0 1
Jackson Dillon LB 6'6, 245 JR 30.5 4.1% 6.0 0.0 0 0 0 1
Donald Pennington DL 6'2, 295 JR 30.0 4.1% 5.0 2.0 0 1 1 0
Dion Witty DB 5'10, 190 SR 28.5 3.9% 1.5 0.0 1 5 1 0
DeMarco Montgomery DE 6'3, 245 JR 23.0 3.1% 5.5 2.0 0 0 0 1
DaShaughn Terry DB 6'0, 190 JR 21.5 2.9% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
Noah Robinson LB 6'4, 225 SO 20.5 2.8% 0.0 0.0 0 3 1 0
Christian Johnson DE 6'5, 255 SO 20.0 2.7% 6.5 4.0 0 1 0 0
Ricky Hunter DL 6'3, 290 SR 20.0 2.7% 3.5 2.0 0 1 1 0
Michael Edwards DL 6'2, 295 JR 15.0 2.0% 2.0 0.5 0 0 1 0
Ernest Suttles DL 6'5, 265 SO 14.0 1.9% 2.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
Curtis Akins LB 6'2, 230 FR 12.0 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Latarius Brady DE 6'2, 280 JR 10.5 1.4% 2.0 1.0 0 0 1 0
Jared Gentry DL 6'2, 325 FR 7.5 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jamil Collins DB 5'11, 170 SO 6.5 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Phillip Sumpter DB 5'11, 200 SO 6.0 0.8% 3.0 2.0 0 0 0 0
Ty Northern DB 6'1, 190 JR 4.5 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 1.5 4
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.38 19
Punt Success Rate 64.3% 26
Kickoff Success Rate 91.9% 2
Punt Return Success Rate 60.7% 31
Kick Return Success Rate 43.2% 73
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Jake Elliott 5'10, 165 JR 63-63 23-28 82.1%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Spencer Smith 6'1, 195 SO 43 47.1 4 11 8 44.2%
Nick Jacobs 6'1, 195 SO 14 36.0 3 6 11 121.4%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Jake Elliott 5'10, 165 JR 99 64.5 74 74.7% 0 3 1 1
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Roderick Proctor 5'11, 175 SO 19 7.4 1 15 2 (0)
Mose Frazier 5'11, 190 SR 4 7.0 0 9 1 (0)
Anthony Miller 5'11, 190 SO 3 9.3 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jae'Lon Oglesby 5'11, 175 FR 25 23.5 0 0 1 (0)
Sam Craft 6'0, 210 JR 11 19.8 0 0 1 (0)
Anthony Miller 5'11, 190 SO 4 26.3 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics