Updated on 1/13/2017
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2015 | 2016
USF Bulls (American East)
2016 Schedule & Results
| Record: 11-2 | Second-order wins (diff.): 9.6 (-1.4) | S&P+ Rk: 55 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 3-Sep | Towson | N/A | 56-20 | W | 100% | 24.2 | 69% | 55% | 59% |
| 10-Sep | Northern Illinois | 77 | 48-17 | W | 100% | 27.3 | 90% | 98% | 94% |
| 17-Sep | at Syracuse | 76 | 45-20 | W | 97% | 14.7 | 67% | 67% | 40% |
| 24-Sep | Florida State | 6 | 35-55 | L | 0% | -21.2 | 26% | 73% | 3% |
| 1-Oct | at Cincinnati | 85 | 45-20 | W | 89% | 9.6 | 59% | 90% | 46% |
| 8-Oct | East Carolina | 100 | 38-22 | W | 99% | 19.7 | 73% | 77% | 64% |
| 15-Oct | Connecticut | 123 | 42-27 | W | 96% | 13.7 | 52% | 85% | 23% |
| 21-Oct | at Temple | 32 | 30-46 | L | 3% | -14.8 | 28% | 82% | 7% |
| 28-Oct | Navy | 52 | 52-45 | W | 64% | 2.8 | 54% | 98% | 21% |
| 12-Nov | at Memphis | 44 | 49-42 | W | 66% | 3.3 | 60% | 89% | 12% |
| 19-Nov | at SMU | 90 | 35-27 | W | 94% | 12.5 | 63% | 83% | 26% |
| 26-Nov | Central Florida | 75 | 48-31 | W | 92% | 10.9 | 67% | 91% | 31% |
| 29-Dec | vs. South Carolina | 79 | 46-39 | W | 56% | 1.1 | 37% | 71% | 17% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 39.7 | 8 | 36.4 | 110 |
| Points Per Game | 43.8 | 4 | 31.6 | 92 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.51 | 1 | 1.20 | 31 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 45.8% | 25 | 44.9% | 98 | 40.9% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 31.3 | 31 | 28.2 | 39 | 29.7 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 5.52 | 1 | 4.86 | 101 | 4.47 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | 3.75 | 37 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +2.02 |
||
| ACTUAL | 9 | 14 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 121.5 | 9 | 90.0 | 106 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 46.5% | 31 | 45.9% | 92 | 43.1% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 1.37 | 3 | 0.98 | 23 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 111.6 | 25 | 92.6 | 98 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 46.3% | 4 | 39.8% | 73 | 39.7% |
| Power Success Rate | 81.0% | 5 | 63.8% | 36 | 67.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 16.7% | 33 | 16.7% | 101 | 18.9% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Quinton Flowers | QB | 6'0, 210 | JR | 185 | 1609 | 18 | 8.7 | 7.9 | 56.8% | 3 (0) |
| Marlon Mack | RB | 6'0, 210 | JR | 174 | 1187 | 15 | 6.8 | 9.3 | 39.7% | 4 (3) |
| D'Ernest Johnson | RB | 5'10, 208 | JR | 111 | 543 | 8 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 44.1% | 1 (0) |
| Darius Tice | RB | 5'10, 210 | SR | 30 | 169 | 1 | 5.6 | 6.1 | 33.3% | 0 (0) |
| Rodney Adams | WR | 6'1, 190 | SR | 23 | 231 | 5 | 10.0 | 12.5 | 52.2% | 6 (3) |
| Trevon Sands | RB | 5'11, 201 | FR | 8 | 26 | 0 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 12.5% | 0 (0) |
| Chris Barr | WR | 5'10, 175 | SO | 3 | 8 | 0 | 2.7 | 8.9 | 33.3% | 0 (0) |
| Brett Kean | QB | 6'1, 209 | FR | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 1 (0) |
| Tyre McCants | WR | 5'11, 219 | SO | 2 | 12 | 0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 100.0% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 115.6 | 26 | 92.5 | 93 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 44.8% | 28 | 44.1% | 97 | 40.9% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.73 | 12 | 1.40 | 32 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 121.8 | 35 | 94.6 | 71 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Quinton Flowers | 6'0, 210 | JR | 207 | 331 | 2812 | 24 | 7 | 62.5% | 13 | 3.8% | 7.9 |
| Brett Kean | 6'1, 209 | FR | 18 | 26 | 129 | 2 | 1 | 69.2% | 2 | 7.1% | 4.1 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Rodney Adams | WR | 6'1, 190 | SR | 95 | 68 | 834 | 5 | 12.3 | 8.8 | 71.6% | 47.4% | 27.6% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | WR | 6'5, 207 | JR | 41 | 22 | 415 | 5 | 18.9 | 10.1 | 53.7% | 46.3% | 11.9% |
| Marlon Mack | RB | 6'0, 210 | JR | 39 | 28 | 227 | 0 | 8.1 | 5.8 | 71.8% | 53.8% | 11.3% |
| Tyre McCants | WR | 5'11, 219 | SO | 36 | 25 | 384 | 4 | 15.4 | 10.7 | 69.4% | 58.3% | 10.5% |
| D'Ernest Johnson | RB | 5'10, 208 | JR | 30 | 28 | 293 | 5 | 10.5 | 9.8 | 93.3% | 53.3% | 8.7% |
| Ryeshene Bronson | WR | 6'3, 200 | JR | 26 | 10 | 188 | 1 | 18.8 | 7.2 | 38.5% | 34.6% | 7.6% |
| Mitchell Wilcox | TE | 6'4, 248 | FR | 20 | 12 | 278 | 2 | 23.2 | 13.9 | 60.0% | 55.0% | 5.8% |
| Elkanah Dillon | TE | 6'5, 256 | SO | 19 | 8 | 177 | 2 | 22.1 | 9.3 | 42.1% | 42.1% | 5.5% |
| Deangelo Antoine | WR | 5'10, 185 | FR | 10 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 80.0% | 40.0% | 2.9% |
| Chris Barr | WR | 5'10, 175 | SO | 9 | 6 | 59 | 1 | 9.8 | 6.6 | 66.7% | 33.3% | 2.6% |
| Darnell Salomon | WR | 6'3, 215 | FR | 4 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 1.2% |
| Darius Tice | RB | 5'10, 210 | SR | 3 | 2 | 54 | 1 | 27.0 | 18.0 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 0.9% |
| Stanley Clerveaux | WR | 6'3, 207 | SO | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 8.0 | 2.7 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.9% |
| Deatrick Nichols | CB | 5'10, 189 | JR | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Reed | WR | 5'10, 170 | SO | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% |
| Alex Mut | WR | 6'3, 195 | SR | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 0.6% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 122.0 | 7 | 87.1 | 120 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 51.1% | 24 | 50.5% | 104 | 47.3% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.46 | 1 | 1.11 | 63 | 1.12 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.53 | 3 | 3.06 | 83 | 2.98 |
| SD Sack Rate | 3.4% | 32 | 4.6% | 74 | 5.1% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 103.7 | 63 | 111.7 | 31 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 33.2% | 38 | 30.5% | 58 | 31.1% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.69 | 83 | 1.59 | 15 | 1.76 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.26 | 71 | 2.60 | 18 | 3.24 |
| PD Sack Rate | 6.7% | 48 | 8.6% | 44 | 7.9% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 135.1 | 6 | 96.1 | 80 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 116.7 | 28 | 86.4 | 110 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 111.3 | 36 | 91.1 | 100 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 114.4 | 21 | 91.2 | 97 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 126.4 | 5 | 83.2 | 125 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 106.5 | 48 | 90.8 | 102 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 108.3 | 52 | 119.0 | 21 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 62.9% | 47 | 60.2% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 54.1% | 6 | 34.6% |
| Adj. Pace | +1.0 | 53 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 83.2% | 11 | 74.2% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 54.8% | 110 | 60.2% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 27.2% | 120 | 34.5% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 13.3% | 103 | 15.8% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 4.8% | 65 | 5.0% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 2.7% | 112 | 4.3% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 5.6% | 90 | 6.4% |
| PD to INC | 24.5% | 126 | 33.1% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF |
| Auggie Sanchez | LB | 6'2, 245 | JR | 92.0 | 10.7% | 8.0 | 6.0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Nigel Harris | LB | 6'0, 225 | SR | 63.0 | 7.4% | 9.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Nate Godwin | DB | 5'10, 210 | SR | 60.0 | 7.0% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Tajee Fullwood | CB | 6'2, 210 | JR | 56.0 | 6.5% | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Jaymon Thomas | S | 6'3, 195 | SO | 49.0 | 5.7% | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ronnie Hoggins | CB | 5'8, 175 | SO | 46.0 | 5.4% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Khalid McGee | S | 5'10, 198 | SO | 43.0 | 5.0% | 4.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Deatrick Nichols | CB | 5'10, 189 | JR | 43.0 | 5.0% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| Deadrin Senat | DT | 6'1, 305 | JR | 41.5 | 4.8% | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Daniel Awoleke | DT | 6'5, 295 | SR | 30.5 | 3.6% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Devin Abraham | S | 5'9, 189 | JR | 30.5 | 3.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Bruce Hector | DT | 6'2, 296 | JR | 26.5 | 3.1% | 8.0 | 6.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Johnny Ward | DB | 6'0, 183 | SR | 26.0 | 3.0% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Cecil Cherry | LB | 6'0, 240 | FR | 24.5 | 2.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Love | DE | 6'4, 266 | JR | 23.5 | 2.7% | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Kirk Livingstone | DE | 6'4, 266 | FR | 23.5 | 2.7% | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kevin Bronson | DE | 6'4, 275 | SO | 23.0 | 2.7% | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Danny Thomas | LB | 6'1, 215 | SO | 20.5 | 2.4% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vincent Jackson | DE | 6'3, 256 | SO | 17.5 | 2.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hassan Childs | DB | 6'0, 185 | JR | 15.5 | 1.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nico Sawtelle | LB | 6'2, 245 | FR | 13.5 | 1.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Juwuan Brown | DE | 6'2, 255 | SO | 12.0 | 1.4% | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Mazzi Wilkins | CB | 6'0, 176 | SO | 8.0 | 0.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nate Ferguson | CB | 5'9, 180 | SO | 7.5 | 0.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D'Ernest Johnson | RB | 5'10, 208 | JR | 6.5 | 0.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | 0.3 | 55 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | 0.06 | 55 |
| Punt Success Rate | 55.4% | 70 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 64.3% | 92 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 45.8% | 81 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 59.1% | 11 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Emilio Nadelman | 5'6, 173 | JR | 52-53 | 7-7 | 100.0% |
| Brandon Behr | 5'11, 187 | SR | 23-23 | 3-6 | 50.0% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Jonathan Hernandez | 6'4, 241 | SO | 63 | 41.2 | 1 | 23 | 24 | 74.6% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Emilio Nadelman | 5'6, 173 | JR | 68 | 61.8 | 20 | 29.4% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Brandon Behr | 5'11, 187 | SR | 30 | 60.7 | 6 | 20.0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| D'Ernest Johnson | 5'10, 208 | JR | 18 | 11.8 | 1 | 13 | 1 (0) |
| Tajee Fullwood | 6'2, 210 | JR | 4 | 5.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 (0) |
| Hassan Childs | 6'0, 185 | JR | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 (1) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Rodney Adams | 6'1, 190 | SR | 22 | 24.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 (1) |
| D'Ernest Johnson | 5'10, 208 | JR | 8 | 28.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Mitchell Wilcox | 6'4, 248 | FR | 6 | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics