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2016 South Florida advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

USF Bulls (American East)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 11-2 | Second-order wins (diff.): 9.6 (-1.4) | S&P+ Rk: 55
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep Towson N/A 56-20 W 100% 24.2 69% 55% 59%
10-Sep Northern Illinois 77 48-17 W 100% 27.3 90% 98% 94%
17-Sep at Syracuse 76 45-20 W 97% 14.7 67% 67% 40%
24-Sep Florida State 6 35-55 L 0% -21.2 26% 73% 3%
1-Oct at Cincinnati 85 45-20 W 89% 9.6 59% 90% 46%
8-Oct East Carolina 100 38-22 W 99% 19.7 73% 77% 64%
15-Oct Connecticut 123 42-27 W 96% 13.7 52% 85% 23%
21-Oct at Temple 32 30-46 L 3% -14.8 28% 82% 7%
28-Oct Navy 52 52-45 W 64% 2.8 54% 98% 21%
12-Nov at Memphis 44 49-42 W 66% 3.3 60% 89% 12%
19-Nov at SMU 90 35-27 W 94% 12.5 63% 83% 26%
26-Nov Central Florida 75 48-31 W 92% 10.9 67% 91% 31%
29-Dec vs. South Carolina 79 46-39 W 56% 1.1 37% 71% 17%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 39.7 8 36.4 110
Points Per Game 43.8 4 31.6 92
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.51 1 1.20 31 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 45.8% 25 44.9% 98 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 31.3 31 28.2 39 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.52 1 4.86 101 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 3.75 37 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+2.02
ACTUAL 9 14
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 121.5 9 90.0 106 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 46.5% 31 45.9% 92 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.37 3 0.98 23 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 111.6 25 92.6 98 100.0
Opportunity Rate 46.3% 4 39.8% 73 39.7%
Power Success Rate 81.0% 5 63.8% 36 67.9%
Stuff Rate 16.7% 33 16.7% 101 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Quinton Flowers QB 6'0, 210 JR 185 1609 18 8.7 7.9 56.8% 3 (0)
Marlon Mack RB 6'0, 210 JR 174 1187 15 6.8 9.3 39.7% 4 (3)
D'Ernest Johnson RB 5'10, 208 JR 111 543 8 4.9 3.3 44.1% 1 (0)
Darius Tice RB 5'10, 210 SR 30 169 1 5.6 6.1 33.3% 0 (0)
Rodney Adams WR 6'1, 190 SR 23 231 5 10.0 12.5 52.2% 6 (3)
Trevon Sands RB 5'11, 201 FR 8 26 0 3.3 2.7 12.5% 0 (0)
Chris Barr WR 5'10, 175 SO 3 8 0 2.7 8.9 33.3% 0 (0)
Brett Kean QB 6'1, 209 FR 3 6 0 2.0 0.0 0.0% 1 (0)
Tyre McCants WR 5'11, 219 SO 2 12 0 6.0 1.0 100.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 115.6 26 92.5 93 100.0
Passing Success Rate 44.8% 28 44.1% 97 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.73 12 1.40 32 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 121.8 35 94.6 71 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Quinton Flowers 6'0, 210 JR 207 331 2812 24 7 62.5% 13 3.8% 7.9
Brett Kean 6'1, 209 FR 18 26 129 2 1 69.2% 2 7.1% 4.1

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Rodney Adams WR 6'1, 190 SR 95 68 834 5 12.3 8.8 71.6% 47.4% 27.6%
Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR 6'5, 207 JR 41 22 415 5 18.9 10.1 53.7% 46.3% 11.9%
Marlon Mack RB 6'0, 210 JR 39 28 227 0 8.1 5.8 71.8% 53.8% 11.3%
Tyre McCants WR 5'11, 219 SO 36 25 384 4 15.4 10.7 69.4% 58.3% 10.5%
D'Ernest Johnson RB 5'10, 208 JR 30 28 293 5 10.5 9.8 93.3% 53.3% 8.7%
Ryeshene Bronson WR 6'3, 200 JR 26 10 188 1 18.8 7.2 38.5% 34.6% 7.6%
Mitchell Wilcox TE 6'4, 248 FR 20 12 278 2 23.2 13.9 60.0% 55.0% 5.8%
Elkanah Dillon TE 6'5, 256 SO 19 8 177 2 22.1 9.3 42.1% 42.1% 5.5%
Deangelo Antoine WR 5'10, 185 FR 10 8 24 0 3.0 2.4 80.0% 40.0% 2.9%
Chris Barr WR 5'10, 175 SO 9 6 59 1 9.8 6.6 66.7% 33.3% 2.6%
Darnell Salomon WR 6'3, 215 FR 4 1 8 0 8.0 2.0 25.0% 25.0% 1.2%
Darius Tice RB 5'10, 210 SR 3 2 54 1 27.0 18.0 66.7% 66.7% 0.9%
Stanley Clerveaux WR 6'3, 207 SO 3 1 8 0 8.0 2.7 33.3% 33.3% 0.9%
Deatrick Nichols CB 5'10, 189 JR 2 1 6 0 6.0 3.0 50.0% 50.0% 0.6%
Jordan Reed WR 5'10, 170 SO 2 2 3 0 1.5 1.5 100.0% 0.0% 0.6%
Alex Mut WR 6'3, 195 SR 2 2 3 0 1.5 1.5 100.0% 50.0% 0.6%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 122.0 7 87.1 120 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 51.1% 24 50.5% 104 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.46 1 1.11 63 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.53 3 3.06 83 2.98
SD Sack Rate 3.4% 32 4.6% 74 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 103.7 63 111.7 31 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 33.2% 38 30.5% 58 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.69 83 1.59 15 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.26 71 2.60 18 3.24
PD Sack Rate 6.7% 48 8.6% 44 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 135.1 6 96.1 80
Q2 S&P+ 116.7 28 86.4 110
Q3 S&P+ 111.3 36 91.1 100
Q4 S&P+ 114.4 21 91.2 97
1st Down S&P+ 126.4 5 83.2 125
2nd Down S&P+ 106.5 48 90.8 102
3rd Down S&P+ 108.3 52 119.0 21
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 62.9% 47 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 54.1% 6 34.6%
Adj. Pace +1.0 53 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 83.2% 11 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 54.8% 110 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 27.2% 120 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 13.3% 103 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 4.8% 65 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 2.7% 112 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 5.6% 90 6.4%
PD to INC 24.5% 126 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Auggie Sanchez LB 6'2, 245 JR 92.0 10.7% 8.0 6.0 1 3 1
Nigel Harris LB 6'0, 225 SR 63.0 7.4% 9.5 2.0 2 1 0
Nate Godwin DB 5'10, 210 SR 60.0 7.0% 1.0 0.0 1 5 0
Tajee Fullwood CB 6'2, 210 JR 56.0 6.5% 3.0 0.0 2 2 2
Jaymon Thomas S 6'3, 195 SO 49.0 5.7% 5.0 2.0 0 1 2
Ronnie Hoggins CB 5'8, 175 SO 46.0 5.4% 1.0 0.0 2 3 1
Khalid McGee S 5'10, 198 SO 43.0 5.0% 4.5 1.0 1 0 1
Deatrick Nichols CB 5'10, 189 JR 43.0 5.0% 2.0 0.0 4 7 0
Deadrin Senat DT 6'1, 305 JR 41.5 4.8% 7.0 1.0 0 1 1
Daniel Awoleke DT 6'5, 295 SR 30.5 3.6% 3.0 2.0 0 1 1
Devin Abraham S 5'9, 189 JR 30.5 3.6% 0.0 0.0 1 2 0
Bruce Hector DT 6'2, 296 JR 26.5 3.1% 8.0 6.0 0 1 0
Johnny Ward DB 6'0, 183 SR 26.0 3.0% 1.0 0.0 1 2 0
Cecil Cherry LB 6'0, 240 FR 24.5 2.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Mike Love DE 6'4, 266 JR 23.5 2.7% 7.0 3.0 0 2 1
Kirk Livingstone DE 6'4, 266 FR 23.5 2.7% 5.5 2.0 0 1 0
Kevin Bronson DE 6'4, 275 SO 23.0 2.7% 6.0 1.0 0 1 0
Danny Thomas LB 6'1, 215 SO 20.5 2.4% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Vincent Jackson DE 6'3, 256 SO 17.5 2.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Hassan Childs DB 6'0, 185 JR 15.5 1.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Nico Sawtelle LB 6'2, 245 FR 13.5 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Juwuan Brown DE 6'2, 255 SO 12.0 1.4% 4.0 2.5 0 1 0
Mazzi Wilkins CB 6'0, 176 SO 8.0 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Nate Ferguson CB 5'9, 180 SO 7.5 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
D'Ernest Johnson RB 5'10, 208 JR 6.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.3 55
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.06 55
Punt Success Rate 55.4% 70
Kickoff Success Rate 64.3% 92
Punt Return Success Rate 45.8% 81
Kick Return Success Rate 59.1% 11
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Emilio Nadelman 5'6, 173 JR 52-53 7-7 100.0%
Brandon Behr 5'11, 187 SR 23-23 3-6 50.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Jonathan Hernandez 6'4, 241 SO 63 41.2 1 23 24 74.6%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Emilio Nadelman 5'6, 173 JR 68 61.8 20 29.4% 0 0 1 0
Brandon Behr 5'11, 187 SR 30 60.7 6 20.0% 0 0 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
D'Ernest Johnson 5'10, 208 JR 18 11.8 1 13 1 (0)
Tajee Fullwood 6'2, 210 JR 4 5.5 0 1 0 (0)
Hassan Childs 6'0, 185 JR 2 1.5 0 1 1 (1)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Rodney Adams 6'1, 190 SR 22 24.3 0 0 1 (1)
D'Ernest Johnson 5'10, 208 JR 8 28.9 0 0 0 (0)
Mitchell Wilcox 6'4, 248 FR 6 10.3 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics