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2015 SMU advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

SMU Mustangs (American West)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 2-10 | Second-order wins (diff.): 2.6 (0.6) | S&P+ Rk: 104
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
4-Sep Baylor 14 21-56 L 0% -26.9 55% 55% 24%
12-Sep North Texas 128 31-13 W 99% 18.3 82% 18% 71%
19-Sep at TCU 26 37-56 L 0% -24.3 43% 70% 9%
26-Sep James Madison N/A 45-48 L 17% -7.8 4% 59% 8%
3-Oct East Carolina 76 23-49 L 0% -22.1 23% 22% 6%
8-Oct at Houston 44 28-49 L 1% -18.4 22% 56% 23%
24-Oct at South Florida 50 14-38 L 0% -20.8 23% 24% 51%
31-Oct Tulsa 94 31-40 L 40% -2.0 24% 21% 59%
6-Nov Temple 49 40-60 L 2% -17.0 20% 77% 0%
14-Nov at Navy 20 14-55 L 0% -27.5 14% 14% 34%
21-Nov Tulane 120 49-21 W 99% 18.2 70% 77% 41%
28-Nov at Memphis 55 0-63 L 0% -60.5 9% 1% 17%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 27.1 79 39.2 119
Points Per Game 27.8 73 45.7 127
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.31 41 1.43 116 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 39.9% 89 49.1% 124 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.5 102 34.0 123 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.90 54 5.59 123 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -10.36 121 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.15
ACTUAL -10 112
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 104.7 59 79.6 125 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 42.5% 67 53.2% 125 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.08 55 1.12 88 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 102.8 59 85.5 121 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.7% 72 45.9% 124 38.9%
Power Success Rate 60.5% 102 72.6% 102 66.3%
Stuff Rate 19.7% 75 15.1% 116 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Xavier Jones RB 5'10, 193 FR 151 632 10 4.2 4.4 34.4% 5 (2)
Matt Davis QB 6'0, 212 JR 148 1038 10 7.0 7.2 51.4% 11 (7)
Braeden West RB 5'10, 170 FR 62 326 2 5.3 5.3 37.1% 5 (3)
Prescott Line RB 6'0, 237 JR 60 186 1 3.1 3.2 21.7% 0 (0)
Darrel Colbert, Jr. QB 5'11, 207 FR 27 83 0 3.1 2.1 33.3% 1 (1)
Darius Durall RB 5'9, 184 SO 4 24 0 6.0 3.5 50.0% 0 (0)
Garrett Krstich QB 6'3, 220 SR 3 3 0 1.0 3.3 66.7% 1 (1)
Ajee Montes DB 6'0, 196 JR 1 2 0 2.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
Josh Williams K 5'11, 178 FR 1 -19 0 -19.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 90.7 93 82.0 120 100.0
Passing Success Rate 37.1% 93 42.9% 91 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.60 30 1.98 128 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 60.4 124 84.5 93 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Matt Davis 6'0, 212 JR 183 336 2263 16 7 54.5% 39 10.4% 5.3
Darrel Colbert, Jr. 5'11, 207 FR 15 21 203 1 0 71.4% 3 12.5% 7.7
Garrett Krstich 6'3, 220 SR 1 2 0 0 1 50.0% 0 0.0% 0.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Courtland Sutton WR 6'4, 215 FR 90 50 899 9 18.0 10.0 55.6% 46.7% 26.0%
Xavier Castille WR 5'11, 204 FR 41 23 254 2 11.0 6.2 56.1% 39.0% 11.8%
Jeremiah Gaines TE 6'2, 250 JR 38 16 249 4 15.6 6.6 42.1% 34.2% 11.0%
Ryheem Malone WR 5'9, 182 SO 36 23 258 2 11.2 7.2 63.9% 44.4% 10.4%
Xavier Jones RB 5'10, 193 FR 35 29 246 0 8.5 7.0 82.9% 45.7% 10.1%
Kevin Thomas WR 6'2, 190 FR 29 14 194 1 13.9 6.7 48.3% 34.5% 8.4%
Shelby Walker WR 6'0, 167 SO 20 11 170 0 15.5 8.5 55.0% 50.0% 5.8%
Braeden West RB 5'10, 170 FR 19 13 142 0 10.9 7.5 68.4% 36.8% 5.5%
Darius Joseph WR 5'11, 204 SR 12 8 132 1 16.5 11.0 66.7% 58.3% 3.5%
Prescott Line RB 6'0, 237 JR 8 6 51 0 8.5 6.4 75.0% 50.0% 2.3%
Derek Longoria LB 6'1, 233 SR 6 4 31 0 7.8 5.2 66.7% 50.0% 1.7%
Darius Durall RB 5'9, 184 SO 4 3 14 0 4.7 3.5 75.0% 25.0% 1.2%
Mitchell Kaufman TE 6'3, 220 FR 3 3 41 0 13.7 13.7 100.0% 100.0% 0.9%
Kevin Johnson DB 5'10, 166 FR 2 2 3 0 1.5 1.5 100.0% 50.0% 0.6%
Horace Richardson DB 6'0, 212 JR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Jonathan Yenga LB 6'1, 224 SR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 96.9 84 79.7 128 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 44.4% 96 55.0% 127 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.16 44 1.34 125 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.71 96 3.40 121 2.90
SD Sack Rate 7.3% 109 4.7% 76 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 97.0 78 88.8 103 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 31.5% 60 33.9% 103 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.72 77 1.79 72 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.69 25 3.95 125 3.20
PD Sack Rate 11.8% 120 5.7% 96 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 99.0 79 88.6 102
Q2 S&P+ 97.7 80 78.0 125
Q3 S&P+ 92.9 94 83.2 118
Q4 S&P+ 95.5 93 85.1 117
1st Down S&P+ 92.5 100 78.8 128
2nd Down S&P+ 97.2 82 86.6 110
3rd Down S&P+ 105.5 60 86.9 112
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 63.4% 40 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 31.5% 74 34.0%
Adj. Pace +0.8 54 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 86.9% 2 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 65.6% 18 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 44.8% 2 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 12.1% 121 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 4.8% 63 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 2.9% 105 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 4.3% 119 6.3%
PD to INC 29.9% 85 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Justin Lawler DE 6'4, 251 SO 53.5 8.3% 9.0 5.0 0 1 1 0
Darrion Richardson DB 6'0, 208 JR 50.0 7.8% 2.0 0.0 1 4 1 0
Jonathan Yenga LB 6'1, 224 SR 47.5 7.4% 0.5 0.0 0 1 0 0
Zach Wood DE 6'3, 282 SR 34.0 5.3% 9.5 3.5 0 2 0 0
Kyran Mitchell LB 6'0, 221 FR 34.0 5.3% 4.5 0.0 1 0 0 0
Shakiel Randolph DB 6'4, 216 SR 34.0 5.3% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jackson Mitchell LB 6'0, 224 JR 32.0 5.0% 4.0 0.0 0 0 2 0
Caleb Tuiasosopo LB 6'2, 233 SR 29.0 4.5% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
RC Cox LB 6'1, 216 SO 27.5 4.3% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Jordan Wyatt DB 6'0, 192 FR 27.5 4.3% 1.0 0.0 2 2 1 0
Andrew McCleneghen DL 6'5, 266 SR 27.0 4.2% 5.0 3.0 0 1 2 0
Anthony Rhone LB 6'0, 229 SO 24.0 3.7% 0.0 0.0 1 0 0 0
Horace Richardson DB 6'0, 212 JR 20.0 3.1% 0.0 0.0 2 3 0 0
Robert Seals LB 6'5, 236 SR 19.0 3.0% 5.0 0.5 0 0 1 0
Jarvis Pruitt DL 6'3, 255 JR 17.5 2.7% 4.5 2.0 0 0 0 0
David Johnson DB 5'11, 196 SR 17.0 2.7% 0.5 0.0 1 7 0 0
Troy Castle DB 5'11, 204 SR 17.0 2.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Mason Gentry DE 6'6, 296 SO 16.5 2.6% 2.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Deon Green DL 6'4, 293 JR 16.0 2.5% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
William Jeanlys DB 6'2, 190 FR 14.0 2.2% 0.0 0.0 0 5 1 0
Carlos Carroll LB 6'3, 228 SO 13.5 2.1% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Matt McNew LB 6'3, 222 FR 9.5 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jesse Montgomery DB 6'1, 176 SO 9.0 1.4% 0.0 0.0 1 1 0 0
Zelt Minor DE 6'2, 283 JR 7.5 1.2% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Ajee Montes DB 6'0, 196 JR 5.5 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.3 80
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.02 68
Punt Success Rate 30.6% 128
Kickoff Success Rate 88.5% 9
Punt Return Success Rate 61.5% 28
Kick Return Success Rate 52.7% 33
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Chad Hedlund 6'0, 181 SR 43-43 8-11 72.7%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Josh Williams 5'11, 178 FR 38 38.7 0 5 11 42.1%
Jackson Koonce 6'1, 175 SO 27 39.6 2 6 3 33.3%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Chad Hedlund 6'0, 181 SR 61 64.0 42 68.9% 0 0 0 0
Michael Armstrong 5'9, 182 FR 0 0.0 0 0.0% 0 0 3 1
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Darius Joseph 5'11, 204 SR 6 3.8 0 4 1 (0)
Braeden West 5'10, 170 FR 5 6.4 0 1 3 (1)
Courtland Sutton 6'4, 215 FR 1 -8.0 0 4 1 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Braeden West 5'10, 170 FR 27 23.5 1 0 0 (0)
Deion Sanders, Jr. 5'7, 178 JR 15 24.8 0 0 1 (1)
Kevin Johnson 5'10, 166 FR 7 20.7 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics