Updated on 8/21/2016
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2015 | 2016
Cincinnati Bearcats (American East)
2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.1 (0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 74 | |||||||||
Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
5-Sep | Alabama A&M | N/A | 52-10 | W | 100% | 35.7 | 34% | 41% | 18% |
12-Sep | Temple | 49 | 26-34 | L | 23% | -5.9 | 73% | 68% | 27% |
19-Sep | at Miami-OH | 117 | 37-33 | W | 42% | -1.6 | 45% | 49% | 15% |
24-Sep | at Memphis | 55 | 46-53 | L | 55% | 1.1 | 80% | 84% | 31% |
1-Oct | Miami-FL | 51 | 34-23 | W | 78% | 6.1 | 91% | 69% | 54% |
16-Oct | at BYU | 38 | 24-38 | L | 0% | -22.0 | 14% | 44% | 24% |
24-Oct | Connecticut | 87 | 37-13 | W | 100% | 22.9 | 79% | 88% | 72% |
31-Oct | Central Florida | 125 | 52-7 | W | 100% | 42.0 | 83% | 97% | 50% |
7-Nov | at Houston | 44 | 30-33 | L | 85% | 8.1 | 86% | 87% | 77% |
14-Nov | Tulsa | 94 | 49-38 | W | 92% | 11.3 | 59% | 85% | 29% |
20-Nov | at South Florida | 50 | 27-65 | L | 0% | -38.4 | 16% | 27% | 5% |
28-Nov | at East Carolina | 76 | 19-16 | W | 32% | -3.8 | 20% | 51% | 39% |
24-Dec | vs. San Diego State | 45 | 7-42 | L | 1% | -17.5 | 29% | 42% | 53% |
Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
S&P+ | 32.8 | 42 | 33.4 | 98 |
Points Per Game | 33.8 | 38 | 31.2 | 91 |
Five Factors
Offense | Defense | |||||
Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.25 | 72 | 1.33 | 98 | 1.27 |
EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 48.2% | 12 | 40.9% | 63 | 40.3% |
FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 26.8 | 120 | 30.3 | 76 | 29.9 |
FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.31 | 96 | 4.88 | 88 | 4.67 |
TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -4.83 | 108 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -5.45 |
||
ACTUAL | -19 | 126 |
Rushing
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Rushing S&P+ | 106.3 | 51 | 84.5 | 119 | 100.0 |
Rushing Success Rate | 47.6% | 20 | 42.2% | 67 | 42.3% |
Rushing IsoPPP | 0.92 | 121 | 1.14 | 94 | 1.08 |
Adj. Line Yards | 100.9 | 69 | 78.5 | 128 | 100.0 |
Opportunity Rate | 40.1% | 50 | 41.3% | 99 | 38.9% |
Power Success Rate | 74.5% | 25 | 60.5% | 31 | 66.3% |
Stuff Rate | 16.5% | 24 | 15.2% | 114 | 19.6% |
Individual Rushing Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
Tion Green | RB | 6'0, 230 | JR | 151 | 729 | 8 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 41.7% | 2 (2) |
Hosey Williams | RB | 5'9, 202 | SR | 138 | 777 | 4 | 5.6 | 4.9 | 40.6% | 1 (1) |
Mike Boone | RB | 5'10, 201 | SO | 104 | 749 | 9 | 7.2 | 7.5 | 45.2% | 1 (1) |
Hayden Moore | QB | 6'3, 203 | FR | 39 | 121 | 2 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 28.2% | 8 (4) |
Gunner Kiel | QB | 6'4, 215 | JR | 24 | 64 | 2 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 29.2% | 4 (3) |
Chad Banschbach | RB | 5'9, 200 | SO | 19 | 72 | 0 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 36.8% | 0 (0) |
Chris Moore | WR | 6'2, 190 | SR | 2 | 10 | 0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 1 (0) |
Luke Wright | QB | 6'4, 204 | FR | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
Andrew Gantz | K | 5'9, 170 | SO | 1 | -9 | 0 | -9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. |
Passing
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Passing S&P+ | 118.3 | 23 | 97.3 | 74 | 100.0 |
Passing Success Rate | 48.6% | 9 | 39.6% | 59 | 40.3% |
Passing IsoPPP | 1.50 | 62 | 1.55 | 91 | 1.49 |
Adj. Sack Rate | 126.9 | 36 | 50.8 | 127 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
Gunner Kiel | 6'4, 215 | JR | 206 | 316 | 2777 | 19 | 11 | 65.2% | 8 | 2.5% | 8.5 |
Hayden Moore | 6'3, 203 | FR | 133 | 225 | 1885 | 9 | 11 | 59.1% | 17 | 7.0% | 7.4 |
Luke Wright | 6'4, 204 | FR | 1 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 33.3% | 1 | 25.0% | 3.8 |
Individual Receiving Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
Shaq Washington | WR | 5'9, 179 | SR | 128 | 90 | 982 | 6 | 10.9 | 7.7 | 70.3% | 59.4% | 24.6% |
Chris Moore | WR | 6'2, 190 | SR | 70 | 41 | 905 | 7 | 22.1 | 12.9 | 58.6% | 57.1% | 13.5% |
Max Morrison | WR | 6'1, 182 | SR | 70 | 52 | 617 | 3 | 11.9 | 8.8 | 74.3% | 61.4% | 13.5% |
Alex Chisum | WR | 6'3, 200 | SR | 60 | 38 | 475 | 1 | 12.5 | 7.9 | 63.3% | 46.7% | 11.5% |
Mekale McKay | WR | 6'5, 210 | SR | 53 | 27 | 507 | 2 | 18.8 | 9.6 | 50.9% | 49.1% | 10.2% |
Johnny Holton | WR | 6'2, 191 | SR | 29 | 17 | 461 | 5 | 27.1 | 15.9 | 58.6% | 55.2% | 5.6% |
Nate Cole | WR | 6'1, 202 | JR | 26 | 19 | 262 | 1 | 13.8 | 10.1 | 73.1% | 61.5% | 5.0% |
Mike Boone | RB | 5'10, 201 | SO | 19 | 15 | 108 | 0 | 7.2 | 5.7 | 78.9% | 31.6% | 3.7% |
DJ Dowdy | TE | 6'4, 248 | JR | 18 | 12 | 104 | 3 | 8.7 | 5.8 | 66.7% | 33.3% | 3.5% |
Tion Green | RB | 6'0, 230 | JR | 15 | 13 | 101 | 0 | 7.8 | 6.7 | 86.7% | 40.0% | 2.9% |
Tshumbi Johnson | WR | 5'11, 183 | SO | 11 | 4 | 64 | 0 | 16.0 | 5.8 | 36.4% | 18.2% | 2.1% |
Hosey Williams | RB | 5'9, 202 | SR | 9 | 6 | 37 | 0 | 6.2 | 4.1 | 66.7% | 33.3% | 1.7% |
Kahlil Lewis | WR | 6'0, 197 | FR | 6 | 3 | 53 | 0 | 17.7 | 8.8 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1.2% |
Tyler Cogswell | TE | 6'5, 254 | SO | 5 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 5.5 | 4.4 | 80.0% | 80.0% | 1.0% |
Chad Banschbach | RB | 5'9, 200 | SO | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.2% |
Standard Downs
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Standard Downs S&P+ | 113.6 | 22 | 88.3 | 112 | 100.0 |
Standard Downs Success Rate | 53.7% | 10 | 47.2% | 76 | 46.5% |
Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.12 | 57 | 1.18 | 98 | 1.11 |
SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.09 | 33 | 3.14 | 99 | 2.90 |
SD Sack Rate | 3.3% | 30 | 2.0% | 124 | 5.0% |
Passing Downs
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Passing Downs S&P+ | 118.6 | 25 | 102.0 | 64 | 100.0 |
Passing Downs Success Rate | 35.3% | 28 | 27.3% | 32 | 30.7% |
Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.71 | 79 | 1.90 | 103 | 1.77 |
PD Line Yards per Carry | 1.92 | 127 | 3.60 | 104 | 3.20 |
PD Sack Rate | 6.8% | 54 | 4.8% | 109 | 7.5% |
Situational
Offense | Defense | |||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
Q1 S&P+ | 115.2 | 32 | 88.8 | 101 |
Q2 S&P+ | 127.9 | 9 | 92.1 | 92 |
Q3 S&P+ | 107.6 | 50 | 97.3 | 78 |
Q4 S&P+ | 129.6 | 3 | 90.6 | 106 |
1st Down S&P+ | 112.8 | 27 | 90.3 | 104 |
2nd Down S&P+ | 118.3 | 23 | 91.2 | 101 |
3rd Down S&P+ | 136.4 | 4 | 101.3 | 64 |
Offensive Footprint
Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
Std. Downs Run Rate | 50.6% | 112 | 60.4% |
Pass Downs Run Rate | 27.2% | 99 | 34.0% |
Adj. Pace | +8.5 | 10 | +0.0 |
% of Solo Tackles | 72.4% | 86 | 74.9% |
Defensive Footprint
Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
Std. Downs Run Rate | 59.5% | 74 | 60.3% |
Pass. Downs Run Rate | 36.1% | 47 | 33.9% |
Overall Havoc Rate | 13.0% | 116 | 16.0% |
DL Havoc Rate | 3.8% | 95 | 5.1% |
LB Havoc Rate | 2.2% | 122 | 4.5% |
DB Havoc Rate | 6.8% | 44 | 6.3% |
PD to INC | 30.6% | 80 | 32.8% |
Individual Defensive Stats
Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
Eric Wilson | LB | 6'2, 219 | JR | 78.5 | 10.9% | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Zach Edwards | S | 6'1, 200 | JR | 78.0 | 10.9% | 4.5 | 0.0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Bryce Jenkinson | LB | 6'1, 235 | FR | 44.5 | 6.2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Kevin Brown | LB | 6'1, 226 | SR | 42.0 | 5.9% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Tyrell Gilbert | S | 6'1, 195 | FR | 36.5 | 5.1% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
Leviticus Payne | CB | 5'10, 192 | SR | 35.5 | 5.0% | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Silverberry Mouhon | DL | 6'3, 255 | SR | 32.5 | 4.5% | 8.0 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Linden Stephens | CB | 6'0, 180 | SO | 31.0 | 4.3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Carter Jacobs | S | 6'1, 196 | SO | 27.0 | 3.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Jaylyin Minor | LB | 6'1, 241 | SO | 26.5 | 3.7% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Mike Tyson | S | 6'2, 206 | JR | 26.5 | 3.7% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Alex Pace | DT | 6'2, 295 | JR | 21.5 | 3.0% | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Cortez Broughton | DT | 6'2, 297 | FR | 20.0 | 2.8% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Malik Clements | S | 6'0, 193 | FR | 17.0 | 2.4% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Alex Thomas | CB | 6'1, 170 | FR | 16.5 | 2.3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Mark Wilson | DE | 6'3, 246 | SO | 16.0 | 2.2% | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Andre Jones | S | 6'1, 210 | JR | 15.5 | 2.2% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kevin Mouhon | LB | 6'1, 242 | FR | 15.0 | 2.1% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sione Tongamoa | DT | 6'1, 287 | JR | 14.5 | 2.0% | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Chris Burton | DT | 6'2, 290 | SO | 14.0 | 2.0% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
JJ Pinckney | CB | 6'3, 188 | FR | 13.0 | 1.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Kimoni Fitz | DE | 6'3, 243 | FR | 11.5 | 1.6% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Marquise Copeland | DE | 6'3, 260 | FR | 10.5 | 1.5% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jarred Evans | CB | 6'1, 190 | SR | 8.0 | 1.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Grant Coleman | CB | 6'0, 171 | JR | 7.5 | 1.0% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. |
Special Teams
Rating | Rank | |
Special Teams S&P+ | 1.2 | 18 |
Category | Rate | Rank |
FG Value (per kick) | 0.28 | 35 |
Punt Success Rate | 65.2% | 22 |
Kickoff Success Rate | 67.4% | 80 |
Punt Return Success Rate | 46.7% | 73 |
Kick Return Success Rate | 46.2% | 63 |
Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
Andrew Gantz | 5'9, 170 | SO | 49-50 | 21-27 | 77.8% |
Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
Sam Geraci | 6'4, 222 | SO | 44 | 46.3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 54.5% |
Gunner Kiel | 6'4, 215 | JR | 2 | 48.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 100.0% |
Hayden Moore | 6'3, 203 | FR | 1 | 48.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
Andrew Gantz | 5'9, 170 | SO | 85 | 63.0 | 31 | 36.5% | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Ryan Jones | 5'10, 170 | FR | 1 | 64.0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
Shaq Washington | 5'9, 179 | SR | 13 | 10.3 | 0 | 25 | 0 (0) |
Max Morrison | 6'1, 182 | SR | 2 | 3.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 (0) |
Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
Mike Boone | 5'10, 201 | SO | 17 | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Johnny Holton | 6'2, 191 | SR | 10 | 22.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Kahlil Lewis | 6'0, 197 | FR | 10 | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics