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2015 Cincinnati advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

Cincinnati Bearcats (American East)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.1 (0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 74
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep Alabama A&M N/A 52-10 W 100% 35.7 34% 41% 18%
12-Sep Temple 49 26-34 L 23% -5.9 73% 68% 27%
19-Sep at Miami-OH 117 37-33 W 42% -1.6 45% 49% 15%
24-Sep at Memphis 55 46-53 L 55% 1.1 80% 84% 31%
1-Oct Miami-FL 51 34-23 W 78% 6.1 91% 69% 54%
16-Oct at BYU 38 24-38 L 0% -22.0 14% 44% 24%
24-Oct Connecticut 87 37-13 W 100% 22.9 79% 88% 72%
31-Oct Central Florida 125 52-7 W 100% 42.0 83% 97% 50%
7-Nov at Houston 44 30-33 L 85% 8.1 86% 87% 77%
14-Nov Tulsa 94 49-38 W 92% 11.3 59% 85% 29%
20-Nov at South Florida 50 27-65 L 0% -38.4 16% 27% 5%
28-Nov at East Carolina 76 19-16 W 32% -3.8 20% 51% 39%
24-Dec vs. San Diego State 45 7-42 L 1% -17.5 29% 42% 53%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 32.8 42 33.4 98
Points Per Game 33.8 38 31.2 91
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.25 72 1.33 98 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 48.2% 12 40.9% 63 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 26.8 120 30.3 76 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.31 96 4.88 88 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -4.83 108 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-5.45
ACTUAL -19 126
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 106.3 51 84.5 119 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 47.6% 20 42.2% 67 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.92 121 1.14 94 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 100.9 69 78.5 128 100.0
Opportunity Rate 40.1% 50 41.3% 99 38.9%
Power Success Rate 74.5% 25 60.5% 31 66.3%
Stuff Rate 16.5% 24 15.2% 114 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Tion Green RB 6'0, 230 JR 151 729 8 4.8 3.9 41.7% 2 (2)
Hosey Williams RB 5'9, 202 SR 138 777 4 5.6 4.9 40.6% 1 (1)
Mike Boone RB 5'10, 201 SO 104 749 9 7.2 7.5 45.2% 1 (1)
Hayden Moore QB 6'3, 203 FR 39 121 2 3.1 3.9 28.2% 8 (4)
Gunner Kiel QB 6'4, 215 JR 24 64 2 2.7 2.4 29.2% 4 (3)
Chad Banschbach RB 5'9, 200 SO 19 72 0 3.8 3.0 36.8% 0 (0)
Chris Moore WR 6'2, 190 SR 2 10 0 5.0 1.0 50.0% 1 (0)
Luke Wright QB 6'4, 204 FR 1 4 0 4.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
Andrew Gantz K 5'9, 170 SO 1 -9 0 -9.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 118.3 23 97.3 74 100.0
Passing Success Rate 48.6% 9 39.6% 59 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.50 62 1.55 91 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 126.9 36 50.8 127 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Gunner Kiel 6'4, 215 JR 206 316 2777 19 11 65.2% 8 2.5% 8.5
Hayden Moore 6'3, 203 FR 133 225 1885 9 11 59.1% 17 7.0% 7.4
Luke Wright 6'4, 204 FR 1 3 16 0 0 33.3% 1 25.0% 3.8

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Shaq Washington WR 5'9, 179 SR 128 90 982 6 10.9 7.7 70.3% 59.4% 24.6%
Chris Moore WR 6'2, 190 SR 70 41 905 7 22.1 12.9 58.6% 57.1% 13.5%
Max Morrison WR 6'1, 182 SR 70 52 617 3 11.9 8.8 74.3% 61.4% 13.5%
Alex Chisum WR 6'3, 200 SR 60 38 475 1 12.5 7.9 63.3% 46.7% 11.5%
Mekale McKay WR 6'5, 210 SR 53 27 507 2 18.8 9.6 50.9% 49.1% 10.2%
Johnny Holton WR 6'2, 191 SR 29 17 461 5 27.1 15.9 58.6% 55.2% 5.6%
Nate Cole WR 6'1, 202 JR 26 19 262 1 13.8 10.1 73.1% 61.5% 5.0%
Mike Boone RB 5'10, 201 SO 19 15 108 0 7.2 5.7 78.9% 31.6% 3.7%
DJ Dowdy TE 6'4, 248 JR 18 12 104 3 8.7 5.8 66.7% 33.3% 3.5%
Tion Green RB 6'0, 230 JR 15 13 101 0 7.8 6.7 86.7% 40.0% 2.9%
Tshumbi Johnson WR 5'11, 183 SO 11 4 64 0 16.0 5.8 36.4% 18.2% 2.1%
Hosey Williams RB 5'9, 202 SR 9 6 37 0 6.2 4.1 66.7% 33.3% 1.7%
Kahlil Lewis WR 6'0, 197 FR 6 3 53 0 17.7 8.8 50.0% 50.0% 1.2%
Tyler Cogswell TE 6'5, 254 SO 5 4 22 1 5.5 4.4 80.0% 80.0% 1.0%
Chad Banschbach RB 5'9, 200 SO 1 1 16 0 16.0 16.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 113.6 22 88.3 112 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 53.7% 10 47.2% 76 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.12 57 1.18 98 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.09 33 3.14 99 2.90
SD Sack Rate 3.3% 30 2.0% 124 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 118.6 25 102.0 64 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 35.3% 28 27.3% 32 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.71 79 1.90 103 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 1.92 127 3.60 104 3.20
PD Sack Rate 6.8% 54 4.8% 109 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 115.2 32 88.8 101
Q2 S&P+ 127.9 9 92.1 92
Q3 S&P+ 107.6 50 97.3 78
Q4 S&P+ 129.6 3 90.6 106
1st Down S&P+ 112.8 27 90.3 104
2nd Down S&P+ 118.3 23 91.2 101
3rd Down S&P+ 136.4 4 101.3 64
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 50.6% 112 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 27.2% 99 34.0%
Adj. Pace +8.5 10 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 72.4% 86 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.5% 74 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 36.1% 47 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 13.0% 116 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.8% 95 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 2.2% 122 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 6.8% 44 6.3%
PD to INC 30.6% 80 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Eric Wilson LB 6'2, 219 JR 78.5 10.9% 3.5 0.0 0 2 1 1
Zach Edwards S 6'1, 200 JR 78.0 10.9% 4.5 0.0 3 8 1 0
Bryce Jenkinson LB 6'1, 235 FR 44.5 6.2% 3.0 1.0 1 1 1 0
Kevin Brown LB 6'1, 226 SR 42.0 5.9% 1.0 0.0 1 2 0 0
Tyrell Gilbert S 6'1, 195 FR 36.5 5.1% 1.0 0.0 1 6 0 0
Leviticus Payne CB 5'10, 192 SR 35.5 5.0% 3.5 0.0 0 3 1 1
Silverberry Mouhon DL 6'3, 255 SR 32.5 4.5% 8.0 4.5 0 0 0 0
Linden Stephens CB 6'0, 180 SO 31.0 4.3% 1.0 0.0 2 1 1 0
Carter Jacobs S 6'1, 196 SO 27.0 3.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Jaylyin Minor LB 6'1, 241 SO 26.5 3.7% 2.5 0.0 0 1 0 0
Mike Tyson S 6'2, 206 JR 26.5 3.7% 2.0 0.0 0 4 0 0
Alex Pace DT 6'2, 295 JR 21.5 3.0% 4.5 0.0 0 1 1 0
Cortez Broughton DT 6'2, 297 FR 20.0 2.8% 1.5 0.0 0 2 0 0
Malik Clements S 6'0, 193 FR 17.0 2.4% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 1
Alex Thomas CB 6'1, 170 FR 16.5 2.3% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Mark Wilson DE 6'3, 246 SO 16.0 2.2% 5.5 2.0 0 0 0 0
Andre Jones S 6'1, 210 JR 15.5 2.2% 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 0
Kevin Mouhon LB 6'1, 242 FR 15.0 2.1% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Sione Tongamoa DT 6'1, 287 JR 14.5 2.0% 3.5 3.0 0 0 0 0
Chris Burton DT 6'2, 290 SO 14.0 2.0% 2.0 0.5 0 0 0 0
JJ Pinckney CB 6'3, 188 FR 13.0 1.8% 0.0 0.0 0 4 0 0
Kimoni Fitz DE 6'3, 243 FR 11.5 1.6% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Marquise Copeland DE 6'3, 260 FR 10.5 1.5% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jarred Evans CB 6'1, 190 SR 8.0 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
Grant Coleman CB 6'0, 171 JR 7.5 1.0% 2.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 1.2 18
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.28 35
Punt Success Rate 65.2% 22
Kickoff Success Rate 67.4% 80
Punt Return Success Rate 46.7% 73
Kick Return Success Rate 46.2% 63
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Andrew Gantz 5'9, 170 SO 49-50 21-27 77.8%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Sam Geraci 6'4, 222 SO 44 46.3 5 10 14 54.5%
Gunner Kiel 6'4, 215 JR 2 48.0 0 0 2 100.0%
Hayden Moore 6'3, 203 FR 1 48.0 1 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Andrew Gantz 5'9, 170 SO 85 63.0 31 36.5% 1 3 1 0
Ryan Jones 5'10, 170 FR 1 64.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Shaq Washington 5'9, 179 SR 13 10.3 0 25 0 (0)
Max Morrison 6'1, 182 SR 2 3.5 0 2 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Mike Boone 5'10, 201 SO 17 16.4 0 0 0 (0)
Johnny Holton 6'2, 191 SR 10 22.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kahlil Lewis 6'0, 197 FR 10 19.9 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics