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2015 East Carolina advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

East Carolina Pirates (American East)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 5-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.9 (0.9) | S&P+ Rk: 76
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy		 Adj. Scoring
Margin		 Percentile
Performance		 Off.
Percentile		 Def.
Percentile
5-Sep Towson N/A 28-20 W 91% 10.5 48% 54% 34%
12-Sep at Florida 18 24-31 L 15% -8.2 66% 48% 43%
19-Sep at Navy 20 21-45 L 2% -16.2 72% 48% 43%
26-Sep Virginia Tech 59 35-28 W 74% 5.1 88% 81% 41%
3-Oct at SMU 104 49-23 W 100% 22.1 83% 64% 54%
10-Oct at BYU 38 38-45 L 24% -5.5 32% 83% 31%
17-Oct Tulsa 94 30-17 W 83% 7.6 45% 18% 97%
22-Oct Temple 49 14-24 L 8% -11.3 23% 39% 54%
30-Oct at Connecticut 87 13-31 L 3% -15.3 11% 21% 18%
7-Nov South Florida 50 17-22 L 20% -6.7 36% 40% 76%
19-Nov at Central Florida 125 44-7 W 100% 25.4 49% 79% 30%
28-Nov Cincinnati 74 16-19 L 68% 3.8 45% 54% 66%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 28.7 70 29.4 75
Points Per Game 27.4 76 26.0 54
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.16 116 1.17 25 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 42.8% 51 43.0% 84 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.7 71 27.4 18 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.70 73 4.46 48 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -0.29 72 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.13
ACTUAL -3 88
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 92.4 104 97.2 79 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 40.7% 85 44.5% 87 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.03 82 0.94 13 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 89.1 112 92.4 94 100.0
Opportunity Rate 36.1% 99 35.4% 34 38.9%
Power Success Rate 62.5% 86 82.0% 125 66.3%
Stuff Rate 25.1% 120 13.6% 126 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry		 Hlt Yds/
Opp.		 Opp.
Rate		 Fumbles
(Lost)
Chris Hairston RB 6'0, 205 SR 165 754 8 4.6 5.9 32.7% 2 (0)
James Summers QB 6'3, 210 JR 81 526 8 6.5 7.0 43.2% 2 (0)
Anthony Scott RB 5'9, 187 SO 49 207 1 4.2 4.4 36.7% 1 (1)
Blake Kemp QB 6'1, 207 JR 26 93 2 3.6 1.8 42.3% 6 (4)
Shawn Furlow RB 5'10, 187 FR 25 83 0 3.3 6.0 24.0% 0 (0)
Marquez Grayson RB 6'1, 189 SO 13 88 0 6.8 12.8 30.8% 0 (0)
Devin Anderson RB 5'9, 203 FR 5 45 0 9.0 4.8 80.0% 0 (0)
Quay Johnson WR 5'10, 177 SO 1 4 0 4.0 0.0 0.0% 2 (0)
Jason Connella QB 5'11, 200 FR 1 2 0 2.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 98.7 72 97.7 71 100.0
Passing Success Rate 44.4% 30 41.2% 70 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.24 120 1.49 74 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 101.1 60 77.7 101 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate		 Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Blake Kemp 6'1, 207 JR 260 375 2658 16 10 69.3% 13 3.4% 6.6
James Summers 6'3, 210 JR 60 94 683 5 2 63.8% 15 13.8% 5.5

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch		 Yds/
Target		 Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Isaiah Jones WR 6'1, 197 JR 125 98 1093 5 11.2 8.7 78.4% 60.0% 27.7%
Bryce Williams TE 6'6, 258 SR 77 58 602 4 10.4 7.8 75.3% 48.1% 17.1%
Trevon Brown WR 6'2, 210 SO 65 41 496 4 12.1 7.6 63.1% 53.8% 14.4%
Davon Grayson WR 6'2, 195 JR 57 33 448 3 13.6 7.9 57.9% 38.6% 12.6%
Chris Hairston RB 6'0, 205 SR 31 29 193 1 6.7 6.2 93.5% 41.9% 6.9%
Brandon Bishop WR 5'11, 184 JR 25 15 158 1 10.5 6.3 60.0% 52.0% 5.5%
Jimmy Williams WR 5'11, 189 JR 24 15 137 2 9.1 5.7 62.5% 50.0% 5.3%
Quay Johnson WR 5'10, 177 SO 19 17 164 1 9.7 8.6 89.5% 47.4% 4.2%
DaQuan Barnes WR 6'1, 187 JR 14 6 49 0 8.2 3.5 42.9% 28.6% 3.1%
Anthony Scott RB 5'9, 187 SO 6 4 18 0 4.5 3.0 66.7% 16.7% 1.3%
Stephen Baggett TE 6'5, 232 SO 5 5 40 0 8.0 8.0 100.0% 80.0% 1.1%
James Summers QB 6'3, 210 JR 1 1 7 0 7.0 7.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Chris Love DB 5'10, 169 SO 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Malik Gray WR 6'1, 199 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 95.2 93 97.6 76 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 47.7% 51 47.8% 79 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.02 101 1.03 34 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.51 116 3.09 94 2.90
SD Sack Rate 4.2% 49 5.8% 39 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 102.1 65 99.5 72 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 32.3% 53 31.4% 75 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.59 104 1.71 54 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.17 72 3.54 97 3.20
PD Sack Rate 8.6% 88 5.2% 102 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 100.8 71 98.3 69
Q2 S&P+ 105.1 56 101.2 75
Q3 S&P+ 96.4 86 116.2 24
Q4 S&P+ 103.1 68 94.1 90
1st Down S&P+ 98.7 79 99.9 68
2nd Down S&P+ 100.3 75 102.8 62
3rd Down S&P+ 104.7 64 99.2 74
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 51.1% 110 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 25.0% 111 34.0%
Adj. Pace -0.4 65 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 74.7% 66 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.3% 30 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 34.7% 59 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.2% 94 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.6% 98 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 5.6% 34 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 5.0% 103 6.3%
PD to INC 32.0% 72 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Zeek Bigger ILB 6'2, 216 SR 75.5 10.8% 6.5 1.5 0 1 0 0
Jordan Williams ILB 6'0, 230 SO 63.5 9.1% 6.0 2.0 1 0 1 0
Montese Overton OLB 6'3, 221 SR 55.0 7.9% 10.0 7.5 0 7 0 0
Travon Simmons DB 5'10, 185 SO 38.0 5.5% 1.0 0.0 0 9 0 0
Josh Hawkins DB 5'10, 185 SR 35.0 5.0% 0.0 0.0 2 4 0 0
Fred Presley DL 6'3, 271 JR 34.0 4.9% 4.0 0.0 0 0 2 0
Terrell Stanley DL 6'2, 268 SR 31.5 4.5% 6.5 3.0 0 1 1 0
Demetri McGill DL 6'1, 314 JR 28.5 4.1% 5.5 2.5 0 0 0 0
DaShaun Amos DB 6'1, 189 JR 28.5 4.1% 1.0 0.0 0 5 0 0
Joe Allely OLB 6'1, 230 SO 26.0 3.7% 2.0 1.5 0 1 1 0
Rocco Scarfone DB 5'11, 178 SR 25.5 3.7% 0.5 0.0 0 6 0 0
Terrell Richardson DB 6'0, 211 JR 25.5 3.7% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Johnathon White DL 6'4, 282 SR 24.0 3.4% 6.5 1.5 0 1 0 0
Domonique Lennon DB 6'2, 210 SR 23.5 3.4% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
DaShawn Benton DB 6'0, 191 JR 22.5 3.2% 1.0 0.0 2 2 1 0
Cam White ILB 5'11, 213 JR 21.0 3.0% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Bobby Fulp DB 6'4, 195 SO 15.5 2.2% 0.0 0.0 1 0 0 0
Pat Green OLB 6'2, 217 SO 14.0 2.0% 2.0 0.0 0 0 3 0
Demage Bailey DL 6'5, 316 SO 14.0 2.0% 1.5 0.0 0 0 1 0
Yiannis Bowden OLB 6'5, 225 FR 13.5 1.9% 3.5 3.5 1 1 0 0
Ray Tillman ILB 6'1, 206 SO 12.0 1.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Corey Seargent DB 6'0, 180 FR 11.0 1.6% 0.0 0.0 1 6 0 0
Devaris Brunson ILB 6'1, 220 JR 10.0 1.4% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Dayon Pratt OLB 6'4, 230 JR 8.0 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Darius Wright ILB 6'0, 220 JR 7.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

 Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.7 41
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.13 48
Punt Success Rate 65.1% 23
Kickoff Success Rate 69.7% 68
Punt Return Success Rate 52.2% 52
Kick Return Success Rate 36.8% 98
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Davis Plowman 5'10, 193 JR 37-39 10-12 83.3%
Connor Torruella 5'10, 184 JR 4-4 0-1 0.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Worth Gregory 6'3, 209 JR 60 43.1 6 13 29 70.0%
Davis Plowman 5'10, 193 JR 1 19.0 0 0 1 100.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches		 Onside
Att		 Onside
Success
Caleb Pratt 6'3, 190 FR 60 61.6 31 51.7% 0 3 0 0
Connor Torruella 5'10, 184 JR 5 63.0 1 20.0% 0 0 0 0
Worth Gregory 6'3, 209 JR 1 70.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Quay Johnson 5'10, 177 SO 19 9.0 0 15 1 (0)
Trevon Brown 6'2, 210 SO 2 6.5 0 2 1 (0)
Brandon Bishop 5'11, 184 JR 1 3.0 0 0 1 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Quay Johnson 5'10, 177 SO 27 20.1 0 0 0 (0)
Trevon Brown 6'2, 210 SO 10 19.3 0 0 0 (0)
Isaiah Jones 6'1, 197 JR 1 23.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics