clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2015 Northern Illinois advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

NIU Huskies (MAC West)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 8-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 8.1 (0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 69
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy		 Adj. Scoring
Margin		 Percentile
Performance		 Off.
Percentile		 Def.
Percentile
5-Sep UNLV 106 38-30 W 95% 13.5 83% 72% 39%
12-Sep Murray State N/A 57-26 W 100% 23.3 52% 56% 12%
19-Sep at Ohio State 3 13-20 L 11% -9.8 92% 12% 97%
26-Sep at Boston College 67 14-17 L 5% -13.3 38% 36% 54%
3-Oct at Central Michigan 78 19-29 L 27% -4.8 66% 11% 94%
10-Oct Ball State 111 59-41 W 97% 15.0 48% 90% 19%
17-Oct at Miami-OH 117 45-12 W 100% 33.9 79% 90% 66%
24-Oct Eastern Michigan 121 49-21 W 100% 20.9 65% 76% 65%
3-Nov at Toledo 21 32-27 W 78% 6.2 80% 74% 94%
11-Nov at Buffalo 96 41-30 W 83% 7.7 52% 73% 48%
18-Nov Western Michigan 53 27-19 W 76% 5.7 63% 61% 75%
24-Nov Ohio 66 21-26 L 41% -1.9 35% 43% 64%
4-Dec vs. Bowling Green 19 14-34 L 0% -34.1 15% 5% 60%
23-Dec vs. Boise State 41 7-55 L 0% -59.9 14% 4% 16%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 26.0 86 25.2 47
Points Per Game 31.1 52 27.6 73
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.22 86 1.17 22 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.6% 78 41.5% 65 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 31.5 37 32.2 114 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.01 45 3.95 16 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 1.66 55 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.12
ACTUAL 2 51
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 95.5 95 100.6 63 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 39.3% 98 42.4% 72 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.05 70 0.97 27 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 99.5 74 91.3 100 100.0
Opportunity Rate 36.4% 94 37.0% 51 38.9%
Power Success Rate 66.1% 63 80.6% 124 66.3%
Stuff Rate 19.8% 79 13.3% 128 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry		 Hlt Yds/
Opp.		 Opp.
Rate		 Fumbles
(Lost)
Joel Bouagnon TB 6'2, 226 JR 283 1286 18 4.5 4.4 33.2% 0 (0)
Drew Hare QB 6'1, 218 JR 89 332 1 3.7 2.9 38.2% 7 (3)
Jordan Huff TB 5'11, 218 SO 86 653 8 7.6 9.2 41.9% 2 (2)
Ryan Graham QB 6'1, 214 FR 56 228 0 4.1 3.7 35.7% 6 (4)
Aregeros Turner WR 5'11, 178 JR 24 152 1 6.3 7.0 45.8% 2 (2)
Tommy Fiedler QB 6'2, 192 FR 13 55 0 4.2 2.4 46.2% 0 (0)
D.J. Brown TB 5'9, 182 FR 12 63 1 5.3 4.6 41.7% 0 (0)
Kenny Golladay WR 6'4, 200 JR 9 14 1 1.6 2.6 11.1% 2 (2)
Marcus Jones TB 5'8, 197 FR 8 109 1 13.6 18.6 50.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 103.4 61 98.6 66 100.0
Passing Success Rate 42.4% 45 40.5% 64 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.43 84 1.39 39 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 84.6 88 88.7 84 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate		 Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Drew Hare 6'1, 218 JR 164 257 1962 14 4 63.8% 15 5.5% 6.9
Ryan Graham 6'1, 214 FR 55 102 691 6 3 53.9% 13 11.3% 4.9
Tommy Fiedler 6'2, 192 FR 21 45 265 2 3 46.7% 4 8.2% 5.1

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch		 Yds/
Target		 Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Kenny Golladay WR 6'4, 200 JR 129 73 1129 10 15.5 8.8 56.6% 45.7% 33.4%
Tommylee Lewis WR 5'7, 168 SR 54 34 398 3 11.7 7.4 63.0% 38.9% 14.0%
Aregeros Turner WR 5'11, 178 JR 54 39 343 1 8.8 6.4 72.2% 53.7% 14.0%
Juwan Brescacin WR 6'4, 230 SR 45 24 298 1 12.4 6.6 53.3% 37.8% 11.7%
Desroy Maxwell TE 6'2, 255 SR 29 20 221 3 11.1 7.6 69.0% 44.8% 7.5%
Chad Beebe WR 5'9, 184 JR 22 13 193 0 14.9 8.8 59.1% 50.0% 5.7%
Joel Bouagnon TB 6'2, 226 JR 19 13 131 0 10.1 6.9 68.4% 31.6% 4.9%
Shane Wimann TE 6'4, 254 SO 12 11 98 4 8.9 8.2 91.7% 83.3% 3.1%
Ezra Saffold WR 5'7, 168 SO 7 5 44 0 8.8 6.3 71.4% 42.9% 1.8%
Christian Blake WR 6'1, 182 SO 7 5 44 0 8.8 6.3 71.4% 57.1% 1.8%
Clayton Glasper WR 6'4, 228 JR 4 1 7 0 7.0 1.8 25.0% 25.0% 1.0%
Jordan Huff TB 5'11, 218 SO 3 2 12 0 6.0 4.0 66.7% 33.3% 0.8%
Ryan Stendler TE 6'4, 257 SO 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 97.8 82 97.7 75 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 45.9% 77 47.1% 74 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.07 84 1.02 29 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.61 108 3.01 85 2.90
SD Sack Rate 5.0% 70 3.6% 105 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 95.6 86 106.2 52 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 28.6% 82 29.2% 48 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.77 67 1.68 41 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.10 77 3.44 89 3.20
PD Sack Rate 7.4% 64 6.4% 85 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 95.1 95 98.3 68
Q2 S&P+ 90.9 99 106.4 59
Q3 S&P+ 102.3 72 90.7 103
Q4 S&P+ 108.6 42 125.4 8
1st Down S&P+ 97.9 84 103.1 53
2nd Down S&P+ 103.2 60 104.7 56
3rd Down S&P+ 88.0 107 97.5 81
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 66.9% 27 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 39.5% 28 34.0%
Adj. Pace +4.1 26 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 79.8% 28 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 57.4% 97 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 36.3% 45 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.6% 89 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.1% 113 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 3.9% 73 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 7.3% 30 6.3%
PD to INC 39.7% 14 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Boomer Mays LB 6'0, 244 SR 93.5 10.6% 5.0 0.5 1 4 1 0
Marlon Moore S 5'9, 197 SR 86.0 9.7% 1.5 0.0 2 7 2 0
Brandon Mayes S 5'11, 193 SO 74.0 8.4% 1.0 0.0 3 4 0 0
Sean Folliard LB 6'2, 231 JR 66.5 7.5% 8.5 1.0 1 4 1 0
Renard Cheren LB 6'0, 224 FR 51.5 5.8% 5.5 1.5 0 1 0 0
Bobby Jones IV LB 6'0, 222 SO 46.0 5.2% 4.0 2.0 0 1 0 0
Paris Logan CB 5'9, 195 SR 45.0 5.1% 2.0 0.0 1 11 0 0
Shawun Lurry CB 5'8, 178 SO 39.0 4.4% 0.5 0.0 9 15 0 0
Jamaal Payton LB 6'0, 226 JR 34.0 3.8% 4.5 1.0 0 1 0 0
Perez Ford DE 6'0, 227 SR 33.0 3.7% 6.5 5.0 0 0 1 0
Albert Smalls CB 6'1, 197 SO 33.0 3.7% 0.0 0.0 1 10 0 0
Cameron Clinton-Earl DE 6'1, 258 SR 30.0 3.4% 7.0 3.0 0 1 0 0
Ladell Fleming DE 6'0, 236 JR 24.5 2.8% 5.0 3.0 0 0 1 0
Jawuan Johnson S 5'11, 209 FR 24.0 2.7% 2.5 1.0 1 0 0 0
Corey Thomas DT 6'2, 306 JR 19.0 2.1% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
William Lee DT 6'2, 304 SO 18.5 2.1% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Ben Compton DE 6'4, 278 SR 18.0 2.0% 5.0 3.0 0 0 0 0
Mycial Allen S 5'11, 198 SO 17.0 1.9% 1.0 0.0 2 0 0 0
Anthony Brooks CB 5'11, 191 JR 14.0 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 4 0 0
Mario Jones DT 6'0, 286 JR 13.5 1.5% 1.5 0.5 0 1 0 0
Ruben Dunbar DE 6'3, 270 JR 12.5 1.4% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Alex Schwab LB 6'1, 223 SO 9.5 1.1% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Josh Corcoran LB 6'3, 221 FR 9.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Austin Smaha DE 6'1, 232 JR 7.5 0.8% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Clayton Glasper WR 6'4, 228 JR 6.5 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

 Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.1 74
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.25 36
Punt Success Rate 41.1% 122
Kickoff Success Rate 61.9% 100
Punt Return Success Rate 61.9% 27
Kick Return Success Rate 50.9% 41
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Christian Hagan 6'0, 189 SO 52-54 14-18 77.8%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Jacob Ambrose 5'10, 175 JR 74 37.9 3 26 15 55.4%
Ryan Graham 6'1, 214 FR 4 34.0 2 0 1 25.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches		 Onside
Att		 Onside
Success
Christian Hagan 6'0, 189 SO 53 59.4 13 24.5% 0 3 1 0
Josh Orne 6'0, 218 JR 30 53.7 3 10.0% 0 5 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Chad Beebe 5'9, 184 JR 14 8.5 0 17 2 (1)
Tommylee Lewis 5'7, 168 SR 3 5.3 0 4 0 (0)
Brandon Mayes 5'11, 193 SO 1 0.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Aregeros Turner 5'11, 178 JR 45 26.2 2 0 0 (0)
Paris Logan 5'9, 195 SR 3 23.3 0 0 0 (0)
D.J. Brown 5'9, 182 FR 3 17.7 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics