Updated on 8/21/2016
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2015 | 2016
Buffalo Bulls (MAC East)
2015 Schedule & Results
| Record: 5-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.1 (0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 96 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 5-Sep | Albany-NY | N/A | 51-14 | W | 100% | 25.6 | 50% | 48% | 23% |
| 12-Sep | at Penn State | 30 | 14-27 | L | 4% | -13.9 | 38% | 22% | 48% |
| 19-Sep | at Florida Atlantic | 93 | 33-15 | W | 19% | -7.1 | 46% | 29% | 42% |
| 26-Sep | Nevada | 99 | 21-24 | L | 24% | -5.5 | 49% | 50% | 17% |
| 3-Oct | Bowling Green | 19 | 22-28 | L | 12% | -9.3 | 66% | 69% | 34% |
| 17-Oct | at Central Michigan | 78 | 14-51 | L | 0% | -30.0 | 11% | 24% | 2% |
| 24-Oct | Ohio | 66 | 41-17 | W | 96% | 14.1 | 74% | 69% | 84% |
| 29-Oct | at Miami-OH | 117 | 29-24 | W | 97% | 14.9 | 44% | 58% | 49% |
| 5-Nov | at Kent State | 115 | 18-17 | W | 99% | 17.6 | 49% | 62% | 48% |
| 11-Nov | Northern Illinois | 69 | 30-41 | L | 17% | -7.7 | 21% | 60% | 31% |
| 21-Nov | at Akron | 80 | 21-42 | L | 5% | -13.3 | 20% | 61% | 18% |
| 27-Nov | Massachusetts | 97 | 26-31 | L | 38% | -2.4 | 14% | 42% | 28% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 25.0 | 92 | 32.2 | 91 |
| Points Per Game | 26.7 | 82 | 27.6 | 72 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.16 | 112 | 1.23 | 53 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 41.9% | 65 | 43.4% | 85 | 40.3% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 29.3 | 83 | 29.7 | 66 | 29.9 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 5.08 | 37 | 4.24 | 29 | 4.67 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | 3.28 | 39 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -1.37 |
||
| ACTUAL | 0 | 66 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 98.5 | 79 | 87.1 | 110 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 41.7% | 75 | 44.7% | 89 | 42.3% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 0.99 | 99 | 1.01 | 44 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 103.2 | 55 | 90.5 | 104 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 37.2% | 86 | 41.1% | 97 | 38.9% |
| Power Success Rate | 69.4% | 40 | 60.8% | 33 | 66.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 19.1% | 59 | 17.7% | 95 | 19.6% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Anthone Taylor | RB | 5'10, 210 | SR | 186 | 829 | 3 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 40.3% | 0 (0) |
| Jordan Johnson | RB | 6'0, 220 | JR | 172 | 811 | 12 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 35.5% | 2 (2) |
| Joe Licata | QB | 6'2, 210 | SR | 17 | 60 | 1 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 29.4% | 2 (0) |
| Johnathan Hawkins | RB | 5'10, 205 | FR | 15 | 53 | 0 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 26.7% | 1 (1) |
| Jacob Martinez | WR | 6'0, 190 | SO | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 33.3% | 0 (0) |
| Tony Daniel | QB | 6'5, 205 | SR | 2 | 9 | 1 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
| Malcolm Robinson | WR | 6'1, 205 | JR | 2 | 9 | 0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
| Devin Campbell | WR | 6'0, 205 | SR | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
| Marcus McGill | WR | 6'1, 220 | SR | 1 | 10 | 0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 100.0% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 103.3 | 62 | 86.4 | 112 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 42.1% | 49 | 41.9% | 78 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.30 | 113 | 1.49 | 73 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 189.8 | 12 | 79.5 | 98 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Joe Licata | 6'2, 210 | SR | 280 | 449 | 2969 | 16 | 15 | 62.4% | 16 | 3.4% | 6.1 |
| Tony Daniel | 6'5, 205 | SR | 3 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 60.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 5.0 |
| Chris Merchant | 6'2, 210 | FR | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Ron Willoughby | WR | 6'4, 210 | SR | 101 | 62 | 813 | 6 | 13.1 | 8.1 | 61.4% | 54.5% | 23.3% |
| Matt Weiser | TE | 6'5, 255 | SR | 86 | 63 | 625 | 3 | 9.9 | 7.3 | 73.3% | 50.0% | 19.8% |
| Marcus McGill | WR | 6'1, 220 | SR | 77 | 50 | 581 | 4 | 11.6 | 7.6 | 64.9% | 50.6% | 17.7% |
| Collin Lisa | WR | 5'10, 180 | SO | 44 | 31 | 325 | 2 | 10.5 | 7.4 | 70.5% | 47.7% | 10.1% |
| Mason Schreck | TE | 6'4, 250 | JR | 33 | 21 | 209 | 0 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 63.6% | 39.4% | 7.6% |
| Anthone Taylor | RB | 5'10, 210 | SR | 25 | 17 | 101 | 0 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 68.0% | 36.0% | 5.8% |
| Jacob Martinez | WR | 6'0, 190 | SO | 21 | 15 | 153 | 1 | 10.2 | 7.3 | 71.4% | 57.1% | 4.8% |
| Malcolm Robinson | WR | 6'1, 205 | JR | 15 | 6 | 69 | 0 | 11.5 | 4.6 | 40.0% | 13.3% | 3.5% |
| Brandon Smiley | WR | 6'1, 205 | FR | 15 | 6 | 42 | 0 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 40.0% | 20.0% | 3.5% |
| Jordan Johnson | RB | 6'0, 220 | JR | 12 | 9 | 69 | 0 | 7.7 | 5.8 | 75.0% | 33.3% | 2.8% |
| Kendall Patterson | FB | 6'1, 235 | SR | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% |
| Johnathan Hawkins | RB | 5'10, 205 | FR | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Kyril Threats | LB | 6'2, 230 | SR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Devin Campbell | WR | 6'0, 205 | SR | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | -2.0 | -2.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 105.2 | 48 | 88.7 | 110 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 47.6% | 54 | 47.9% | 80 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.04 | 94 | 1.08 | 55 | 1.11 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.93 | 59 | 2.95 | 78 | 2.90 |
| SD Sack Rate | 2.1% | 14 | 4.6% | 80 | 5.0% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 95.2 | 88 | 85.6 | 108 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 30.8% | 63 | 33.2% | 98 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.52 | 120 | 1.71 | 55 | 1.77 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.59 | 31 | 3.10 | 53 | 3.20 |
| PD Sack Rate | 4.6% | 15 | 4.8% | 109 | 7.5% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 99.6 | 78 | 86.3 | 109 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 89.7 | 105 | 81.6 | 119 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 106.2 | 55 | 103.7 | 56 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 109.8 | 35 | 93.8 | 92 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 99.3 | 77 | 96.1 | 82 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 104.3 | 58 | 77.7 | 124 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 92.2 | 98 | 92.9 | 101 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 52.0% | 105 | 60.4% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 32.0% | 67 | 34.0% |
| Adj. Pace | +0.5 | 57 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 75.6% | 58 | 74.9% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 61.5% | 50 | 60.3% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 35.4% | 54 | 33.9% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 16.8% | 46 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 4.1% | 84 | 5.1% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 6.4% | 14 | 4.5% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 6.1% | 71 | 6.3% |
| PD to INC | 42.3% | 2 | 32.8% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
| Nick Gilbo | LB | 6'0, 230 | SR | 90.0 | 13.0% | 12.0 | 3.5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Brandon Berry | LB | 6'0, 215 | JR | 82.5 | 11.9% | 11.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Okezie Alozie | LB | 6'0, 220 | SR | 65.5 | 9.4% | 10.5 | 5.0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Ryan Williamson | S | 6'0, 182 | SO | 65.5 | 9.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Marqus Baker | CB | 5'10, 185 | SR | 61.0 | 8.8% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| Boise Ross | CB | 6'0, 185 | JR | 41.0 | 5.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrews Dadeboe | S | 6'1, 205 | SO | 30.5 | 4.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Lewis | CB | 5'9, 185 | FR | 27.0 | 3.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Crawford | DL | 6'2, 285 | JR | 26.5 | 3.8% | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Chris Ford | DL | 6'2, 307 | SO | 22.0 | 3.2% | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Max Perisse | DL | 6'4, 285 | JR | 20.0 | 2.9% | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Demone Harris | DE | 6'4, 275 | SO | 17.0 | 2.4% | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Brandon Stanback | S | 5'11, 190 | FR | 16.0 | 2.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Brandon | DL | 6'0, 287 | FR | 11.0 | 1.6% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Travis Pitzonka | LB | 6'0, 225 | SR | 11.0 | 1.6% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Charles Harris | DE | 6'3, 250 | FR | 10.5 | 1.5% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Solomon Jackson | DE | 6'2, 250 | SO | 10.5 | 1.5% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Williams | CB | 5'10, 175 | FR | 10.5 | 1.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ishmael Hargrove | LB | 6'2, 215 | SO | 9.5 | 1.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C.J. Stancil | LB | 5'11, 208 | JR | 7.5 | 1.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Gusty Schwartzmeier | DL | 6'4, 280 | FR | 7.0 | 1.0% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyril Threats | LB | 6'2, 230 | SR | 7.0 | 1.0% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Randy Anyanwu | DE | 6'2, 245 | FR | 4.5 | 0.6% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Diamond Williams | S | 5'11, 205 | SO | 4.0 | 0.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthone Taylor | RB | 5'10, 210 | SR | 3.5 | 0.5% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. | |||||||||||
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -1.5 | 128 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.20 | 98 |
| Punt Success Rate | 50.0% | 96 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 58.2% | 110 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 50.0% | 58 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 22.9% | 125 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Adam Mitcheson | 6'1, 190 | FR | 31-36 | 13-19 | 68.4% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Tyler Grassman | 6'0, 195 | SR | 65 | 41.0 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 61.5% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Tyler Grassman | 6'0, 195 | SR | 67 | 59.2 | 25 | 37.3% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Collin Lisa | 5'10, 180 | SO | 8 | 3.8 | 0 | 28 | 1 (1) |
| Jacob Martinez | 6'0, 190 | SO | 1 | 86.0 | 1 | 3 | 0 (0) |
| Brandon Stanback | 5'11, 190 | FR | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Devin Campbell | 6'0, 205 | SR | 12 | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Jordan Johnson | 6'0, 220 | JR | 8 | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Jacob Martinez | 6'0, 190 | SO | 7 | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics