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2015 Buffalo advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

Buffalo Bulls (MAC East)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 5-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.1 (0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 96
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep Albany-NY N/A 51-14 W 100% 25.6 50% 48% 23%
12-Sep at Penn State 30 14-27 L 4% -13.9 38% 22% 48%
19-Sep at Florida Atlantic 93 33-15 W 19% -7.1 46% 29% 42%
26-Sep Nevada 99 21-24 L 24% -5.5 49% 50% 17%
3-Oct Bowling Green 19 22-28 L 12% -9.3 66% 69% 34%
17-Oct at Central Michigan 78 14-51 L 0% -30.0 11% 24% 2%
24-Oct Ohio 66 41-17 W 96% 14.1 74% 69% 84%
29-Oct at Miami-OH 117 29-24 W 97% 14.9 44% 58% 49%
5-Nov at Kent State 115 18-17 W 99% 17.6 49% 62% 48%
11-Nov Northern Illinois 69 30-41 L 17% -7.7 21% 60% 31%
21-Nov at Akron 80 21-42 L 5% -13.3 20% 61% 18%
27-Nov Massachusetts 97 26-31 L 38% -2.4 14% 42% 28%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 25.0 92 32.2 91
Points Per Game 26.7 82 27.6 72
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.16 112 1.23 53 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 41.9% 65 43.4% 85 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.3 83 29.7 66 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.08 37 4.24 29 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 3.28 39 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.37
ACTUAL 0 66
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 98.5 79 87.1 110 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 41.7% 75 44.7% 89 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.99 99 1.01 44 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 103.2 55 90.5 104 100.0
Opportunity Rate 37.2% 86 41.1% 97 38.9%
Power Success Rate 69.4% 40 60.8% 33 66.3%
Stuff Rate 19.1% 59 17.7% 95 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Anthone Taylor RB 5'10, 210 SR 186 829 3 4.5 2.7 40.3% 0 (0)
Jordan Johnson RB 6'0, 220 JR 172 811 12 4.7 5.2 35.5% 2 (2)
Joe Licata QB 6'2, 210 SR 17 60 1 3.5 2.0 29.4% 2 (0)
Johnathan Hawkins RB 5'10, 205 FR 15 53 0 3.5 2.9 26.7% 1 (1)
Jacob Martinez WR 6'0, 190 SO 3 6 0 2.0 0.9 33.3% 0 (0)
Tony Daniel QB 6'5, 205 SR 2 9 1 4.5 2.0 50.0% 0 (0)
Malcolm Robinson WR 6'1, 205 JR 2 9 0 4.5 1.5 50.0% 0 (0)
Devin Campbell WR 6'0, 205 SR 2 1 0 0.5 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
Marcus McGill WR 6'1, 220 SR 1 10 0 10.0 3.0 100.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 103.3 62 86.4 112 100.0
Passing Success Rate 42.1% 49 41.9% 78 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.30 113 1.49 73 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 189.8 12 79.5 98 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Joe Licata 6'2, 210 SR 280 449 2969 16 15 62.4% 16 3.4% 6.1
Tony Daniel 6'5, 205 SR 3 5 25 0 1 60.0% 0 0.0% 5.0
Chris Merchant 6'2, 210 FR 0 1 0 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Ron Willoughby WR 6'4, 210 SR 101 62 813 6 13.1 8.1 61.4% 54.5% 23.3%
Matt Weiser TE 6'5, 255 SR 86 63 625 3 9.9 7.3 73.3% 50.0% 19.8%
Marcus McGill WR 6'1, 220 SR 77 50 581 4 11.6 7.6 64.9% 50.6% 17.7%
Collin Lisa WR 5'10, 180 SO 44 31 325 2 10.5 7.4 70.5% 47.7% 10.1%
Mason Schreck TE 6'4, 250 JR 33 21 209 0 10.0 6.3 63.6% 39.4% 7.6%
Anthone Taylor RB 5'10, 210 SR 25 17 101 0 5.9 4.0 68.0% 36.0% 5.8%
Jacob Martinez WR 6'0, 190 SO 21 15 153 1 10.2 7.3 71.4% 57.1% 4.8%
Malcolm Robinson WR 6'1, 205 JR 15 6 69 0 11.5 4.6 40.0% 13.3% 3.5%
Brandon Smiley WR 6'1, 205 FR 15 6 42 0 7.0 2.8 40.0% 20.0% 3.5%
Jordan Johnson RB 6'0, 220 JR 12 9 69 0 7.7 5.8 75.0% 33.3% 2.8%
Kendall Patterson FB 6'1, 235 SR 2 1 6 0 6.0 3.0 50.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Johnathan Hawkins RB 5'10, 205 FR 1 1 3 0 3.0 3.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Kyril Threats LB 6'2, 230 SR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Devin Campbell WR 6'0, 205 SR 1 1 -2 0 -2.0 -2.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 105.2 48 88.7 110 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 47.6% 54 47.9% 80 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.04 94 1.08 55 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.93 59 2.95 78 2.90
SD Sack Rate 2.1% 14 4.6% 80 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 95.2 88 85.6 108 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 30.8% 63 33.2% 98 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.52 120 1.71 55 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.59 31 3.10 53 3.20
PD Sack Rate 4.6% 15 4.8% 109 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 99.6 78 86.3 109
Q2 S&P+ 89.7 105 81.6 119
Q3 S&P+ 106.2 55 103.7 56
Q4 S&P+ 109.8 35 93.8 92
1st Down S&P+ 99.3 77 96.1 82
2nd Down S&P+ 104.3 58 77.7 124
3rd Down S&P+ 92.2 98 92.9 101
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 52.0% 105 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 32.0% 67 34.0%
Adj. Pace +0.5 57 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 75.6% 58 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.5% 50 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 35.4% 54 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 16.8% 46 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 4.1% 84 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 6.4% 14 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 6.1% 71 6.3%
PD to INC 42.3% 2 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Nick Gilbo LB 6'0, 230 SR 90.0 13.0% 12.0 3.5 1 3 1 0
Brandon Berry LB 6'0, 215 JR 82.5 11.9% 11.5 1.0 1 2 1 0
Okezie Alozie LB 6'0, 220 SR 65.5 9.4% 10.5 5.0 2 7 2 0
Ryan Williamson S 6'0, 182 SO 65.5 9.4% 0.0 0.0 2 1 0 1
Marqus Baker CB 5'10, 185 SR 61.0 8.8% 2.5 0.0 0 12 0 0
Boise Ross CB 6'0, 185 JR 41.0 5.9% 0.0 0.0 2 18 1 0
Andrews Dadeboe S 6'1, 205 SO 30.5 4.4% 0.0 0.0 2 3 0 0
Cameron Lewis CB 5'9, 185 FR 27.0 3.9% 0.0 0.0 1 5 0 0
Brandon Crawford DL 6'2, 285 JR 26.5 3.8% 4.5 2.0 0 2 1 1
Chris Ford DL 6'2, 307 SO 22.0 3.2% 3.0 0.5 0 0 0 0
Max Perisse DL 6'4, 285 JR 20.0 2.9% 2.5 1.0 0 0 1 0
Demone Harris DE 6'4, 275 SO 17.0 2.4% 4.5 1.5 1 2 1 0
Brandon Stanback S 5'11, 190 FR 16.0 2.3% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Justin Brandon DL 6'0, 287 FR 11.0 1.6% 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 0
Travis Pitzonka LB 6'0, 225 SR 11.0 1.6% 0.5 0.5 0 0 0 1
Charles Harris DE 6'3, 250 FR 10.5 1.5% 3.0 1.5 0 0 0 0
Solomon Jackson DE 6'2, 250 SO 10.5 1.5% 3.0 2.0 0 0 0 0
Brandon Williams CB 5'10, 175 FR 10.5 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Ishmael Hargrove LB 6'2, 215 SO 9.5 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
C.J. Stancil LB 5'11, 208 JR 7.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Gusty Schwartzmeier DL 6'4, 280 FR 7.0 1.0% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Kyril Threats LB 6'2, 230 SR 7.0 1.0% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Randy Anyanwu DE 6'2, 245 FR 4.5 0.6% 1.5 1.5 0 0 1 0
Diamond Williams S 5'11, 205 SO 4.0 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Anthone Taylor RB 5'10, 210 SR 3.5 0.5% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.5 128
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.20 98
Punt Success Rate 50.0% 96
Kickoff Success Rate 58.2% 110
Punt Return Success Rate 50.0% 58
Kick Return Success Rate 22.9% 125
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Adam Mitcheson 6'1, 190 FR 31-36 13-19 68.4%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Tyler Grassman 6'0, 195 SR 65 41.0 6 21 19 61.5%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Tyler Grassman 6'0, 195 SR 67 59.2 25 37.3% 0 1 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Collin Lisa 5'10, 180 SO 8 3.8 0 28 1 (1)
Jacob Martinez 6'0, 190 SO 1 86.0 1 3 0 (0)
Brandon Stanback 5'11, 190 FR 1 0.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Devin Campbell 6'0, 205 SR 12 13.2 0 0 0 (0)
Jordan Johnson 6'0, 220 JR 8 21.4 0 0 0 (0)
Jacob Martinez 6'0, 190 SO 7 20.4 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics