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2015 Boise State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

Boise State Broncos (MWC Mountain)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 9-4 | Second-order wins (diff.): 9.2 (0.2) | S&P+ Rk: 41
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
4-Sep Washington 12 16-13 W 84% 7.9 91% 37% 96%
12-Sep at BYU 38 24-35 L 35% -3.1 73% 58% 57%
18-Sep Idaho State N/A 52-0 W 100% 39.2 67% 37% 75%
25-Sep at Virginia 73 56-14 W 98% 15.8 87% 66% 85%
3-Oct Hawaii 118 55-0 W 100% 63.8 91% 96% 96%
10-Oct at Colorado State 81 41-10 W 100% 31.8 90% 87% 95%
16-Oct at Utah State 46 26-52 L 0% -28.5 11% 7% 28%
24-Oct Wyoming 114 34-14 W 97% 15.3 29% 40% 60%
31-Oct at UNLV 106 55-27 W 97% 15.3 46% 82% 31%
14-Nov New Mexico 101 24-31 L 14% -8.7 10% 49% 28%
20-Nov Air Force 52 30-37 L 2% -16.8 19% 43% 32%
27-Nov at San Jose State 89 40-23 W 91% 10.6 55% 95% 39%
23-Dec vs. Northern Illinois 69 55-7 W 100% 59.9 92% 99% 97%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 30.9 52 23.2 33
Points Per Game 39.1 15 20.2 18
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.29 51 1.51 126 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 44.5% 31 33.0% 5 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 32.4 22 27.3 17 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.50 88 4.53 53 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 2.42 48 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+2.53
ACTUAL 9 16
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 103.4 63 121.7 7 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 45.8% 34 31.9% 3 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.08 60 1.19 107 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 94.2 100 122.9 5 100.0
Opportunity Rate 36.5% 92 29.5% 4 38.9%
Power Success Rate 76.8% 10 51.2% 9 66.3%
Stuff Rate 19.5% 70 27.7% 5 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Jeremy McNichols RB 5'9, 205 SO 240 1337 20 5.6 8.2 34.6% 4 (2)
Kelsey Young RB 5'10, 198 SR 101 511 8 5.1 4.9 33.7% 1 (1)
Devan Demas RB 5'8, 175 JR 29 171 2 5.9 6.0 48.3% 1 (1)
Ryan Wolpin RB 5'8, 191 SO 25 155 0 6.2 6.7 44.0% 0 (0)
Thomas Stuart QB 5'11, 196 SO 25 98 3 3.9 3.5 32.0% 1 (0)
Brett Rypien QB 6'2, 199 FR 21 50 1 2.4 2.2 23.8% 8 (3)
Cory Young RB 5'10, 200 FR 17 90 0 5.3 7.1 35.3% 0 (0)
Ryan Finley QB 6'4, 200 SO 16 74 0 4.6 1.9 43.8% 0 (0)
Shane Williams-Rhodes WR 5'6, 173 SR 13 102 1 7.8 6.9 53.8% 1 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 99.3 71 104.5 50 100.0
Passing Success Rate 43.5% 41 34.0% 16 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.46 72 1.80 126 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 105.4 52 110.7 47 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Brett Rypien 6'2, 199 FR 272 428 3350 20 8 63.6% 20 4.5% 7.2
Ryan Finley 6'4, 200 SO 46 70 485 1 4 65.7% 6 7.9% 6.0
Thomas Stuart 5'11, 196 SO 12 18 114 1 0 66.7% 5 21.7% 3.4

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Thomas Sperbeck WR 6'0, 175 JR 140 89 1431 8 16.1 10.2 63.6% 52.9% 27.7%
Shane Williams-Rhodes WR 5'6, 173 SR 83 62 521 0 8.4 6.3 74.7% 50.6% 16.4%
Chaz Anderson WR 5'10, 186 JR 79 42 581 3 13.8 7.4 53.2% 45.6% 15.6%
Jeremy McNichols RB 5'9, 205 SO 57 51 460 6 9.0 8.1 89.5% 56.1% 11.3%
Jake Roh TE 6'3, 229 SO 46 33 357 1 10.8 7.8 71.7% 54.3% 9.1%
Holden Huff TE 6'6, 226 SR 36 18 243 3 13.5 6.8 50.0% 38.9% 7.1%
A.J. Richardson WR 6'0, 205 FR 18 10 113 0 11.3 6.3 55.6% 44.4% 3.6%
Kelsey Young RB 5'10, 198 SR 10 8 65 0 8.1 6.5 80.0% 30.0% 2.0%
Terrell Johnson WR 5'9, 173 SR 8 4 9 0 2.3 1.1 50.0% 25.0% 1.6%
Sean Modster WR 5'11, 187 FR 6 3 39 0 13.0 6.5 50.0% 50.0% 1.2%
Jake Hardee TE 6'3, 239 SR 5 2 51 1 25.5 10.2 40.0% 40.0% 1.0%
David Lucero TE 6'5, 230 FR 4 4 63 0 15.8 15.8 100.0% 75.0% 0.8%
Akilian Butler WR 5'10, 175 FR 4 3 38 0 12.7 9.5 75.0% 50.0% 0.8%
Alec Dhaenens TE 6'3, 244 SO 3 2 22 1 11.0 7.3 66.7% 66.7% 0.6%
Devan Demas RB 5'8, 175 JR 3 2 8 0 4.0 2.7 66.7% 0.0% 0.6%
Austin Cottrell WR 6'2, 206 SO 2 1 37 0 37.0 18.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.4%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 103.9 52 115.0 18 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 49.2% 36 36.6% 4 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.20 29 1.25 114 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.74 90 2.10 3 2.90
SD Sack Rate 5.8% 83 6.8% 14 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 97.9 76 97.8 77 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 33.7% 40 26.8% 27 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.59 103 2.10 123 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.27 63 3.08 52 3.20
PD Sack Rate 5.7% 31 7.4% 64 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 109.6 45 130.8 9
Q2 S&P+ 98.7 76 99.1 79
Q3 S&P+ 110.9 36 144.4 3
Q4 S&P+ 109.1 40 108.1 39
1st Down S&P+ 111.4 30 126.0 5
2nd Down S&P+ 101.7 68 117.6 22
3rd Down S&P+ 96.3 82 115.5 26
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 53.6% 98 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 21.1% 122 34.0%
Adj. Pace +10.4 4 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 78.5% 39 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 58.2% 84 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 35.9% 50 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 21.5% 4 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 6.9% 22 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 2.0% 124 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 9.5% 4 6.3%
PD to INC 38.2% 24 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Darian Thompson S 6'2, 212 SR 51.0 7.8% 8.5 1.0 5 4 2 0
Ben Weaver WLB 6'0, 228 JR 51.0 7.8% 4.0 0.0 3 1 1 1
Tanner Vallejo MLB 6'1, 230 JR 44.5 6.8% 8.0 1.0 0 0 2 0
Chanceller James S 6'2, 216 JR 43.0 6.6% 5.0 2.0 1 6 0 0
Tyler Gray WLB 6'4, 232 SR 41.5 6.4% 8.0 3.0 0 3 2 0
Joe Martarano MLB 6'3, 228 SO 36.5 5.6% 2.5 0.0 1 0 0 0
Jonathan Moxey CB 5'10, 188 JR 34.0 5.2% 1.0 1.0 2 10 0 0
Donte Deayon CB 5'9, 155 SR 32.5 5.0% 3.0 0.0 4 7 1 0
Kamalei Correa DL 6'3, 248 JR 31.0 4.8% 11.0 7.0 0 0 3 0
Tyler Horn DT 6'5, 268 SR 29.0 4.5% 8.5 4.0 1 2 1 1
Mercy Maston CB 5'11, 208 SR 23.0 3.5% 1.0 0.0 1 2 1 0
Kameron Miles S 6'1, 215 SO 21.5 3.3% 0.5 0.0 0 3 2 0
Armand Nance DT 6'0, 306 SR 19.0 2.9% 7.5 3.5 0 0 0 0
Justin Taimatuia DT 6'0, 298 SR 18.5 2.8% 6.0 2.0 1 2 0 0
Darren Lee MLB 6'1, 229 JR 17.0 2.6% 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 0
Leighton Vander Esch WLB 6'4, 234 FR 17.0 2.6% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Jabril Frazier DE 6'4, 232 FR 14.0 2.2% 4.0 2.5 0 2 0 0
Raymond Ford CB 5'10, 183 JR 13.5 2.1% 1.0 0.0 2 2 0 0
Dylan Sumner-Gardner S 6'1, 201 SO 12.5 1.9% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Sam McCaskill DE 6'3, 257 JR 12.0 1.8% 1.5 0.5 0 1 0 0
Tyler Horton CB 5'11, 172 FR 11.0 1.7% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Elliot Hoyte DT 6'4, 271 JR 10.5 1.6% 1.5 0.5 0 0 0 0
Dereck Boles DT 6'2, 277 FR 8.5 1.3% 4.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Tutulupeatau Mataele DT 6'3, 296 SR 8.5 1.3% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jack Fields RB 5'9, 194 SR 7.5 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 1.3 15
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.42 14
Punt Success Rate 54.9% 68
Kickoff Success Rate 85.3% 18
Punt Return Success Rate 40.6% 96
Kick Return Success Rate 48.3% 54
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Tyler Rausa 5'9, 183 JR 59-61 25-30 83.3%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Sean Wale 6'2, 185 JR 53 42.1 5 20 21 77.4%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Tyler Rausa 5'9, 183 JR 95 62.9 56 58.9% 0 3 2 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Donte Deayon 5'9, 155 SR 16 3.3 0 19 0 (0)
Shane Williams-Rhodes 5'6, 173 SR 8 8.9 0 7 1 (0)
Akilian Butler 5'10, 175 FR 4 2.5 0 2 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Terrell Johnson 5'9, 173 SR 19 23.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kelsey Young 5'10, 198 SR 5 16.6 0 0 0 (0)
Jeremy McNichols 5'9, 205 SO 5 17.8 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics