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2015 Western Michigan advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

WMU Broncos (MAC West)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 8-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.5 (-0.5) | S&P+ Rk: 53
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy		 Adj. Scoring
Margin		 Percentile
Performance		 Off.
Percentile		 Def.
Percentile
4-Sep Michigan State 13 24-37 L 0% -22.8 35% 24% 16%
12-Sep at Georgia Southern 39 17-43 L 0% -26.0 41% 47% 24%
19-Sep Murray State N/A 52-20 W 100% 26.5 59% 72% 10%
26-Sep at Ohio State 3 12-38 L 1% -19.5 76% 70% 34%
10-Oct Central Michigan 78 41-39 W 70% 4.3 57% 89% 21%
17-Oct at Ohio 66 49-14 W 100% 27.9 93% 92% 85%
24-Oct Miami-OH 117 35-13 W 98% 17.2 60% 63% 52%
29-Oct at Eastern Michigan 121 58-28 W 100% 20.7 71% 95% 41%
5-Nov Ball State 111 54-7 W 100% 40.8 88% 94% 94%
11-Nov Bowling Green 19 27-41 L 11% -9.6 36% 58% 52%
18-Nov at Northern Illinois 69 19-27 L 24% -5.7 31% 62% 33%
27-Nov at Toledo 21 35-30 W 56% 1.3 72% 95% 36%
24-Dec vs. Middle Tennessee 82 45-31 W 90% 10.4 69% 83% 45%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 37.5 25 31.6 89
Points Per Game 36.0 26 28.3 79
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.42 6 1.44 121 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 44.2% 37 41.7% 68 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.7 72 28.6 44 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.98 50 4.91 90 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 4.55 26 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.37
ACTUAL 1 58
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 112.7 27 89.2 103 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 44.6% 42 41.8% 65 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.12 40 1.32 125 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 110.1 26 94 90 100.0
Opportunity Rate 40.7% 41 41.0% 96 38.9%
Power Success Rate 75.9% 16 59.4% 29 66.3%
Stuff Rate 16.4% 20 23.5% 21 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry		 Hlt Yds/
Opp.		 Opp.
Rate		 Fumbles
(Lost)
Jamauri Bogan RB 5'7, 174 FR 162 1051 16 6.5 9.4 34.6% 1 (1)
Jarvion Franklin RB 6'0, 220 SO 153 735 5 4.8 4.8 35.3% 4 (2)
LeVante Bellamy WR 5'11, 185 FR 77 493 2 6.4 5.6 48.1% 4 (1)
Zach Terrell QB 6'1, 204 JR 46 270 3 5.9 3.7 52.2% 2 (2)
Tom Flacco QB 6'1, 185 FR 28 266 2 9.5 6.8 67.9% 1 (0)
Fabian Johnson RB 5'7, 198 JR 9 34 0 3.8 3.1 22.2% 1 (1)
Daniel Braverman WR 5'10, 177 JR 2 13 0 6.5 1.3 100.0% 2 (0)
Corey Davis WR 6'3, 205 JR 1 11 0 11.0 3.5 100.0% 1 (0)
Donnie Ernsberger TE 6'2, 246 SO 1 2 0 2.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 122.3 16 96.4 76 100.0
Passing Success Rate 43.7% 39 41.6% 74 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.76 7 1.56 95 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 74.8 107 82.5 95 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate		 Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Zach Terrell 6'1, 204 JR 262 391 3526 29 9 67.0% 31 7.3% 8.0
Tom Flacco 6'1, 185 FR 10 12 188 1 0 83.3% 0 0.0% 15.7

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch		 Yds/
Target		 Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Daniel Braverman WR 5'10, 177 JR 142 109 1371 13 12.6 9.7 76.8% 57.0% 36.1%
Corey Davis WR 6'3, 205 JR 140 91 1446 12 15.9 10.3 65.0% 47.1% 35.6%
Michael Henry WR 5'11, 186 JR 27 18 247 1 13.7 9.2 66.7% 48.1% 6.9%
Jarvion Franklin RB 6'0, 220 SO 22 17 184 0 10.8 8.4 77.3% 50.0% 5.6%
Kendrick Roberts WR 6'3, 209 SR 20 13 205 0 15.8 10.3 65.0% 55.0% 5.1%
Carrington Thompson WR 6'2, 162 JR 14 8 89 2 11.1 6.4 57.1% 50.0% 3.6%
LeVante Bellamy WR 5'11, 185 FR 6 4 71 0 17.8 11.8 66.7% 50.0% 1.5%
Jamauri Bogan RB 5'7, 174 FR 5 3 15 0 5.0 3.0 60.0% 0.0% 1.3%
Fabian Johnson RB 5'7, 198 JR 5 3 14 0 4.7 2.8 60.0% 0.0% 1.3%
Jeremiah Mullinax TE 6'5, 245 SO 4 4 50 2 12.5 12.5 100.0% 100.0% 1.0%
Donnie Ernsberger TE 6'2, 246 SO 4 2 22 0 11.0 5.5 50.0% 50.0% 1.0%
Zach Terrell QB 6'1, 204 JR 1 1 22 0 22.0 22.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Jake Spinek WR 5'10, 180 SO 1 1 6 0 6.0 6.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Jamar Simpkins DL 6'2, 279 JR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Lucas Bezerra TE 6'4, 240 SO 1 1 0 0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 112.8 23 92.1 94 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 47.5% 56 45.3% 55 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.26 13 1.32 124 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.95 57 2.84 60 2.90
SD Sack Rate 7.9% 113 1.1% 127 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 128.4 12 95.4 84 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 35.9% 24 34.4% 107 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.99 16 1.75 67 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.96 6 3.77 120 3.20
PD Sack Rate 7.1% 59 7.1% 71 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 123.1 15 82.1 118
Q2 S&P+ 108.8 43 102.6 68
Q3 S&P+ 126.5 13 98.9 72
Q4 S&P+ 128.8 4 93.6 94
1st Down S&P+ 110.4 35 92.3 100
2nd Down S&P+ 124.9 12 94.3 90
3rd Down S&P+ 129.2 9 90.0 105
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 62.4% 47 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 26.9% 102 34.0%
Adj. Pace -0.1 61 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 74.1% 73 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.4% 51 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 31.7% 83 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 18.1% 30 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 4.4% 78 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 4.6% 59 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 8.8% 8 6.3%
PD to INC 40.4% 8 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Asantay Brown S 6'0, 198 SO 79.5 12.2% 3.0 1.0 2 5 2 0
Caleb Bailey LB 6'0, 236 SO 60.0 9.2% 12.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Rontavious Atkins SS 6'0, 207 SR 58.5 9.0% 2.0 0.0 1 9 0 0
Austin Lewis LB 6'3, 230 JR 49.5 7.6% 5.5 0.0 0 3 0 0
Ronald Zamort CB 5'10, 174 SR 48.5 7.4% 0.0 0.0 1 18 0 0
Darius Phillips CB 5'10, 184 SO 42.0 6.4% 4.5 0.5 5 16 2 1
Grant DePalma LB 5'9, 218 SR 35.0 5.4% 3.0 1.5 0 1 0 0
Keion Adams DE 6'2, 261 JR 33.5 5.1% 10.0 5.5 0 0 1 0
Robert Spillane LB 6'2, 235 SO 33.0 5.1% 5.5 1.5 0 2 1 0
Jarrell McKinney DE 6'4, 241 SR 26.5 4.1% 2.5 1.0 0 0 1 0
Cleveland Smith DL 6'1, 262 SR 22.0 3.4% 9.0 2.5 0 0 0 0
Jason Sylva LB 6'2, 230 JR 18.5 2.8% 1.0 0.0 0 1 1 0
Nathan Braster DL 6'5, 258 SO 16.0 2.5% 3.5 1.5 0 1 0 0
Sam Beal DB 6'2, 195 FR 13.5 2.1% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Andre Turner DE 6'4, 250 SO 12.5 1.9% 2.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
David Curle DL 6'2, 291 JR 12.5 1.9% 2.0 1.0 0 1 1 0
Eric Assuoa DL 6'2, 230 FR 10.0 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Trevor Sweeney RB 5'8, 175 JR 9.0 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 2 0
Jeremiah Mullinax TE 6'5, 245 SO 8.5 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Austin Guido RB 5'11, 202 JR 7.0 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Kasey Carson LB 5'11, 198 FR 6.5 1.0% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Michael Henry WR 5'11, 186 JR 6.5 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Edward Rolle LB 6'2, 204 JR 6.0 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jamar Simpkins DL 6'2, 279 JR 5.5 0.8% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Lucas Cherocci LB 5'11, 216 SO 5.0 0.8% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

 Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.2 59
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.08 55
Punt Success Rate 52.4% 83
Kickoff Success Rate 74.7% 52
Punt Return Success Rate 50.0% 58
Kick Return Success Rate 49.0% 49
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Andrew Haldeman 5'10, 180 SR 53-56 17-22 77.3%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
J. Schroeder 6'0, 203 SR 43 41.0 3 8 13 48.8%
Derrick Mitchell 6'2, 203 FR 1 39.0 0 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches		 Onside
Att		 Onside
Success
Derrick Mitchell 6'2, 203 FR 87 62.5 36 41.4% 0 0 0 0
Andrew Haldeman 5'10, 180 SR 2 62.5 1 50.0% 0 0 0 0
J. Schroeder 6'0, 203 SR 2 51.0 0 0.0% 1 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Daniel Braverman 5'10, 177 JR 10 8.8 0 8 1 (0)
Jonathan Russell 5'11, 217 SR 0 0.0 0 1 0 (0)
Cleveland Smith 6'1, 262 SR 0 0.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Darius Phillips 5'10, 184 SO 36 23.3 1 0 0 (0)
LeVante Bellamy 5'11, 185 FR 4 21.3 0 0 2 (1)
Fabian Johnson 5'7, 198 JR 4 17.0 0 0 1 (1)

Stats via SportSource Analytics