clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2015 Ohio advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

Ohio Bobcats (MAC East)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 8-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.6 (-0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 66
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy		 Adj. Scoring
Margin		 Percentile
Performance		 Off.
Percentile		 Def.
Percentile
3-Sep at Idaho 109 45-28 W 99% 17.7 87% 61% 76%
12-Sep Marshall 64 21-10 W 92% 11.2 93% 77% 90%
19-Sep Southeastern Louisiana N/A 35-14 W 99% 18.8 66% 70% 43%
26-Sep at Minnesota 37 24-27 L 35% -3.1 72% 73% 17%
3-Oct at Akron 80 14-12 W 65% 3.1 83% 38% 85%
10-Oct Miami-OH 117 34-3 W 100% 25.4 70% 68% 70%
17-Oct Western Michigan 53 14-49 L 0% -27.9 16% 13% 18%
24-Oct at Buffalo 96 17-41 L 4% -14.1 11% 18% 25%
4-Nov at Bowling Green 19 24-62 L 0% -25.9 17% 50% 5%
10-Nov Kent State 115 27-0 W 100% 26.9 70% 60% 72%
17-Nov Ball State 111 48-31 W 95% 12.8 40% 75% 29%
24-Nov at Northern Illinois 69 26-21 W 59% 1.9 44% 49% 55%
19-Dec vs. Appalachian State 43 29-31 L 10% -10.2 47% 39% 77%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 28.4 72 26.8 56
Points Per Game 27.5 74 25.3 46
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.24 75 1.31 91 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.1% 86 37.1% 23 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.6 49 26.9 11 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.59 83 4.98 97 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 5.31 21 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.12
ACTUAL 5 32
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 95.5 93 99.9 66 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 40.5% 88 35.3% 12 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.01 90 1.36 127 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 103.5 54 100.1 61 100.0
Opportunity Rate 40.0% 52 36.7% 48 38.9%
Power Success Rate 76.9% 8 66.7% 69 66.3%
Stuff Rate 16.4% 20 22.0% 40 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry		 Hlt Yds/
Opp.		 Opp.
Rate		 Fumbles
(Lost)
A.J. Ouellette RB 5'10, 195 SO 151 687 6 4.5 2.7 39.1% 0 (0)
Daz'mond Patterson RB 5'7, 177 SR 106 497 9 4.7 4.6 34.0% 2 (1)
Derrius Vick QB 6'1, 196 SR 72 315 1 4.4 4.7 34.7% 3 (1)
JD Sprague QB 6'1, 200 JR 46 261 0 5.7 3.2 54.3% 2 (0)
Dorian Brown RB 5'11, 196 SO 40 204 0 5.1 5.9 35.0% 0 (0)
Maleek Irons RB 6'0, 211 FR 32 194 4 6.1 5.9 40.6% 0 (0)
Papi White RB 5'9, 166 FR 31 171 2 5.5 6.6 45.2% 1 (1)
Greg Windham QB 6'1, 214 JR 26 118 0 4.5 2.1 53.8% 0 (0)
Bo Hardy RB 5'10, 195 JR 5 69 0 13.8 10.1 80.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 103.0 63 110.4 34 100.0
Passing Success Rate 39.6% 74 38.8% 47 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.52 50 1.28 9 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 84.8 87 114.7 40 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate		 Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Derrius Vick 6'1, 196 SR 158 247 1809 10 6 64.0% 21 7.8% 6.2
JD Sprague 6'1, 200 JR 63 114 912 7 3 55.3% 6 5.0% 7.3
Greg Windham 6'1, 214 JR 19 40 298 1 4 47.5% 1 2.4% 7.2

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch		 Yds/
Target		 Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Sebastian Smith WR 6'3, 183 JR 100 64 770 7 12.0 7.7 64.0% 50.0% 26.1%
Jordan Reid WR 6'3, 198 JR 67 45 625 5 13.9 9.3 67.2% 52.2% 17.5%
Brendan Cope WR 6'2, 189 SO 55 30 510 2 17.0 9.3 54.5% 41.8% 14.4%
Keith Heitzman TE 6'4, 255 SR 39 22 288 3 13.1 7.4 56.4% 33.3% 10.2%
Papi White RB 5'9, 166 FR 27 21 323 1 15.4 12.0 77.8% 51.9% 7.0%
Daz'mond Patterson RB 5'7, 177 SR 23 18 68 0 3.8 3.0 78.3% 26.1% 6.0%
A.J. Ouellette RB 5'10, 195 SO 16 12 74 0 6.2 4.6 75.0% 25.0% 4.2%
Robbie Walker WR 5'9, 180 SO 14 8 69 0 8.6 4.9 57.1% 35.7% 3.7%
Herman Brunis WR 6'0, 170 SO 11 7 69 0 9.9 6.3 63.6% 63.6% 2.9%
Kawmae Sawyer WR 6'0, 192 SR 10 5 83 0 16.6 8.3 50.0% 40.0% 2.6%
Jerrid Marhefka WR 5'11, 183 SO 5 2 78 0 39.0 15.6 40.0% 40.0% 1.3%
Maleek Irons RB 6'0, 211 FR 4 3 33 0 11.0 8.3 75.0% 75.0% 1.0%
Dorian Brown RB 5'11, 196 SO 3 2 21 0 10.5 7.0 66.7% 33.3% 0.8%
Ian Dixon WR 5'7, 167 SR 3 1 8 0 8.0 2.7 33.3% 33.3% 0.8%
Mason Morgan TE 6'6, 259 SO 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Cody Grilliot LB 6'0, 214 SO 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 98.1 81 106.0 43 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 44.9% 90 41.4% 17 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.07 83 1.17 95 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.00 47 2.69 36 2.90
SD Sack Rate 8.1% 115 4.3% 93 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 100.8 70 103.6 59 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 29.8% 73 28.9% 46 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.78 64 1.70 51 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.60 30 3.59 103 3.20
PD Sack Rate 4.7% 17 7.1% 71 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 98.6 82 120.2 23
Q2 S&P+ 103.1 66 106.9 56
Q3 S&P+ 85.8 108 97.0 80
Q4 S&P+ 116.3 20 80.6 123
1st Down S&P+ 97.4 85 100.0 67
2nd Down S&P+ 97.5 81 95.3 85
3rd Down S&P+ 110.0 45 106.2 48
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.0% 58 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 41.6% 23 34.0%
Adj. Pace +1.6 45 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 76.2% 50 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 55.8% 110 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 30.9% 90 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 16.2% 54 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 4.7% 66 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 5.6% 33 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 5.8% 80 6.3%
PD to INC 36.0% 34 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Quentin Poling LB 6'0, 219 SO 58.0 8.3% 10.5 4.0 4 2 2 0
Blair Brown LB 6'0, 230 JR 51.0 7.3% 4.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Devin Jones S 6'1, 202 SR 51.0 7.3% 3.0 0.0 0 9 1 0
Toran Davis S 6'0, 206 JR 45.5 6.5% 0.0 0.0 0 2 1 0
Kurt Laseak DL 6'4, 236 JR 44.0 6.3% 7.0 3.5 0 0 1 0
Chad Moore LB 6'0, 193 SO 43.5 6.3% 4.0 1.5 0 3 1 0
Brett Layton CB 5'11, 180 SR 35.0 5.0% 0.5 0.0 0 10 0 0
Jovon Johnson LB 6'0, 215 SR 33.0 4.7% 5.5 1.5 3 2 1 1
Tarell Basham DL 6'4, 250 JR 31.5 4.5% 10.0 5.5 0 1 2 0
Ian Wells CB 5'11, 202 SR 30.5 4.4% 1.0 0.0 2 9 0 0
Nathan Carpenter S 5'9, 201 SR 25.0 3.6% 0.5 0.0 2 1 0 1
Bryan DiCillo LB 6'2, 212 FR 24.5 3.5% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Devin Bass CB 5'9, 190 SR 22.0 3.2% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
Brandon Purdum DL 6'3, 270 SR 18.5 2.7% 1.5 1.5 0 1 0 0
Travis Daugherty LB 6'1, 202 SO 18.0 2.6% 2.0 1.0 0 1 1 0
Casey Sayles DL 6'3, 268 JR 17.5 2.5% 6.0 2.5 0 3 0 0
Trent Smart DL 6'3, 249 SO 12.0 1.7% 1.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
Watson Tautuiaki DL 6'2, 304 SR 10.0 1.4% 3.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Langston Provitt DB 5'11, 180 FR 10.0 1.4% 0.0 0.0 1 1 1 0
Tony Porter DL 6'1, 289 SO 10.0 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Aaron Macer S 6'0, 192 SR 8.5 1.2% 1.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
Cleon Aloese DL 6'0, 297 SO 8.5 1.2% 0.5 0.0 0 0 1 0
Marcus Collins LB 6'0, 222 SR 8.5 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Cody Grilliot LB 6'0, 214 SO 8.0 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Mike Terpin CB 5'10, 165 SR 6.5 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

 Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.4 82
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.10 54
Punt Success Rate 50.8% 94
Kickoff Success Rate 65.8% 87
Punt Return Success Rate 50.0% 58
Kick Return Success Rate 43.2% 72
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Josiah Yazdani 5'10, 216 SR 44-44 16-22 72.7%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Mitch Bonnstetter 5'11, 187 SR 70 38.7 4 29 24 75.7%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches		 Onside
Att		 Onside
Success
Josiah Yazdani 5'10, 216 SR 73 57.3 9 12.3% 1 1 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Papi White 5'9, 166 FR 13 7.5 0 13 1 (1)
Daz'mond Patterson 5'7, 177 SR 5 6.4 0 5 0 (0)
Kylan Nelson 5'10, 180 SO 1 3.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Daz'mond Patterson 5'7, 177 SR 15 24.2 0 0 1 (0)
Devin Bass 5'9, 190 SR 7 18.3 0 0 0 (0)
Langston Provitt 5'11, 180 FR 5 12.6 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics