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2015 Toledo advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/20/2016

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2015 | 2016

Toledo Rockets (MAC West)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 10-2 | Second-order wins (diff.): 9.2 (-0.8) | S&P+ Rk: 21
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
12-Sep vs. Arkansas 15 16-12 W 34% -3.3 81% 34% 85%
19-Sep Iowa State 70 30-23 W 57% 1.4 71% 31% 68%
26-Sep Arkansas State 79 37-7 W 100% 23.3 95% 46% 97%
3-Oct at Ball State 111 24-10 W 100% 21.7 89% 37% 90%
10-Oct Kent State 115 38-7 W 100% 34.2 78% 80% 58%
17-Oct Eastern Michigan 121 63-20 W 99% 19.6 62% 82% 55%
24-Oct at Massachusetts 97 51-35 W 87% 9.0 52% 65% 46%
3-Nov Northern Illinois 69 27-32 L 22% -6.2 28% 31% 47%
10-Nov at Central Michigan 78 28-23 W 95% 13.4 75% 85% 70%
17-Nov at Bowling Green 19 44-28 W 85% 8.4 77% 64% 98%
27-Nov Western Michigan 53 30-35 L 44% -1.3 46% 65% 48%
22-Dec vs. Temple 49 32-17 W 100% 20.9 90% 90% 91%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 33.3 39 20.4 21
Points Per Game 35.0 31 20.8 21
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.36 22 1.19 30 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 41.8% 66 37.8% 28 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 32.4 23 30.3 77 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.52 86 3.66 5 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 11.48 4 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.45
ACTUAL 8 22
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 105.3 57 121.6 8 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 41.8% 74 37.6% 24 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.19 20 0.92 9 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 96 91 129.6 3 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.9% 66 34.0% 23 38.9%
Power Success Rate 61.4% 95 71.8% 99 66.3%
Stuff Rate 17.9% 42 28.0% 4 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Kareem Hunt RB 6'0, 225 JR 178 973 12 5.5 5.8 39.3% 0 (0)
Terry Swanson RB 5'10, 202 SO 143 923 7 6.5 7.5 37.8% 0 (0)
Damion Jones-Moore RB 5'7, 190 JR 83 410 5 4.9 4.2 37.3% 0 (0)
Marc Remy RB 6'0, 195 JR 30 179 0 6.0 4.4 46.7% 0 (0)
Phillip Ely QB 6'1, 202 SR 23 35 1 1.5 2.3 21.7% 5 (0)
Michael Julian QB 6'5, 215 SO 6 64 0 10.7 3.9 100.0% 0 (0)
Corey Jones WR 5'9, 165 JR 4 27 0 6.8 8.5 50.0% 2 (1)
Brad Smith RB 5'8, 195 FR 4 14 0 3.5 0.5 50.0% 0 (0)
Nick Ellis P 5'11, 170 JR 2 8 0 4.0 12.5 50.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 104.9 56 112.0 30 100.0
Passing Success Rate 41.9% 50 38.0% 38 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.56 38 1.40 43 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 478.6 1 79.7 97 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Phillip Ely 6'1, 202 SR 226 403 2965 23 10 56.1% 4 1.0% 7.2
Michael Julian 6'5, 215 SO 5 7 71 1 0 71.4% 0 0.0% 10.1

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Corey Jones WR 5'9, 165 JR 86 55 577 5 10.5 6.7 64.0% 45.3% 21.8%
Alonzo Russell WR 6'4, 205 SR 75 36 618 5 17.2 8.2 48.0% 44.0% 19.0%
Cody Thompson WR 6'1, 202 SO 66 37 825 5 22.3 12.5 56.1% 51.5% 16.7%
Michael Roberts TE 6'4, 265 JR 38 21 234 4 11.1 6.2 55.3% 55.3% 9.6%
Diontae Johnson WR 5'11, 175 FR 26 14 237 3 16.9 9.1 53.8% 42.3% 6.6%
Kishon Wilcher WR 5'7, 180 SR 24 12 125 0 10.4 5.2 50.0% 41.7% 6.1%
Jon'Vea Johnson WR 6'0, 183 FR 17 8 101 0 12.6 5.9 47.1% 41.2% 4.3%
Terry Swanson RB 5'10, 202 SO 15 13 71 0 5.5 4.7 86.7% 53.3% 3.8%
Kareem Hunt RB 6'0, 225 JR 14 11 45 0 4.1 3.2 78.6% 7.1% 3.5%
Marc Remy RB 6'0, 195 JR 10 9 42 0 4.7 4.2 90.0% 30.0% 2.5%
Alex Zmolik TE 6'5, 252 SR 9 6 51 1 8.5 5.7 66.7% 66.7% 2.3%
Damion Jones-Moore RB 5'7, 190 JR 6 4 26 0 6.5 4.3 66.7% 16.7% 1.5%
Darryl Richards WR 6'3, 185 SO 3 2 40 0 20.0 13.3 66.7% 66.7% 0.8%
Delando Johnson DB 6'2, 200 JR 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Andrew Davis WR 6'4, 192 FR 1 1 25 0 25.0 25.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Zach Yousey WR 6'1, 190 JR 1 1 14 1 14.0 14.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 99.3 77 118.0 13 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 45.6% 80 42.4% 30 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.16 42 0.93 3 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.96 55 1.97 1 2.90
SD Sack Rate 0.5% 1 4.4% 89 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 116.4 32 110.0 37 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 34.0% 36 30.0% 58 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.93 29 1.80 75 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.38 118 3.13 57 3.20
PD Sack Rate 1.7% 2 4.3% 115 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 106.9 57 117.7 29
Q2 S&P+ 101.6 71 115.9 23
Q3 S&P+ 103.3 67 118.8 19
Q4 S&P+ 114.2 23 100.6 68
1st Down S&P+ 98.1 83 118.1 16
2nd Down S&P+ 112.4 38 115.9 24
3rd Down S&P+ 117.8 21 100.3 68
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 63.3% 42 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 31.7% 70 34.0%
Adj. Pace +4.1 27 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 66.9% 117 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 54.6% 113 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 28.0% 115 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 20.6% 7 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 7.6% 11 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 3.2% 99 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 9.6% 2 6.3%
PD to INC 42.1% 3 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Chase Murdock LB 6'0, 225 SR 69.5 9.9% 8.0 0.0 0 3 2 0
Cheatham Norrils CB 6'0, 195 SR 55.5 7.9% 3.5 0.0 3 13 0 0
DeJuan Rogers DB 6'1, 191 JR 54.5 7.8% 1.0 0.0 1 11 3 1
Trent Voss DE 6'3, 235 SR 50.5 7.2% 9.5 1.0 0 5 2 0
Rolan Milligan S 5'11, 198 SR 41.0 5.9% 4.0 0.0 2 3 3 0
Chaz Whittaker S 6'2, 212 SR 38.0 5.4% 0.0 0.0 2 3 1 0
Ja'Wuan Woodley LB 5'11, 230 SO 36.5 5.2% 6.5 2.0 1 0 2 0
Allen Covington DE 6'2, 275 SR 35.5 5.1% 12.0 4.5 0 2 1 0
Jaylen Coleman LB 6'0, 235 JR 34.5 4.9% 2.5 0.0 1 1 1 0
Orion Jones DT 6'2, 285 SR 32.5 4.6% 12.0 6.0 0 0 0 1
Treyvon Hester DT 6'4, 305 JR 25.5 3.6% 6.5 2.5 0 1 1 0
Christian Dukes CB 5'9, 185 SR 24.5 3.5% 0.0 0.0 0 4 0 0
Connery Swift DB 5'11, 195 JR 22.0 3.1% 0.5 0.0 0 3 0 0
Trevon Mathis CB 6'0, 175 SO 19.5 2.8% 1.0 0.0 1 8 0 0
Delando Johnson DB 6'2, 200 JR 18.5 2.6% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
John Stepec DE 6'3, 260 JR 18.0 2.6% 5.5 3.0 0 1 0 0
Juwan Haynes CB 6'0, 190 SR 15.5 2.2% 0.0 0.0 1 2 0 0
Keenen Gibbs DE 6'3, 265 SR 14.5 2.1% 3.5 3.0 0 1 1 0
Jack Linch LB 6'0, 218 SO 14.5 2.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Josh Teachey CB 5'11, 172 FR 13.0 1.9% 2.5 1.0 0 7 0 0
Richard Olekanma LB 6'2, 240 FR 9.0 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Tyler Taafe LB 6'1, 221 FR 7.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Marcus Whitfield WR 5'11, 178 FR 6.0 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Zach Quinn LB 6'3, 225 SO 5.5 0.8% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Tre James DE 6'1, 250 SR 4.5 0.6% 3.0 3.0 0 0 1 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.2 117
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.16 92
Punt Success Rate 48.9% 101
Kickoff Success Rate 50.6% 122
Punt Return Success Rate 69.6% 8
Kick Return Success Rate 48.8% 51
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Jameson Vest 5'9, 203 FR 49-50 19-27 70.4%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Nick Ellis 5'11, 170 JR 44 39.4 3 12 14 59.1%
Michael Julian 6'5, 215 SO 1 36.0 0 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Samuel Vucelich 5'11, 185 SO 44 57.0 5 11.4% 0 4 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Corey Jones 5'9, 165 JR 19 10.2 0 17 1 (1)
Kennedy Frazier 6'1, 185 SO 1 0.0 0 0 0 (0)
Zach Quinn 6'3, 225 SO 1 28.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Diontae Johnson 5'11, 175 FR 32 22.8 0 0 0 (0)
Kishon Wilcher 5'7, 180 SR 6 18.2 0 0 0 (0)
Richard Olekanma 6'2, 240 FR 1 10.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics