Updated on 8/20/2016
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2015 | 2016
Toledo Rockets (MAC West)
2015 Schedule & Results
| Record: 10-2 | Second-order wins (diff.): 9.2 (-0.8) | S&P+ Rk: 21 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 12-Sep | vs. Arkansas | 15 | 16-12 | W | 34% | -3.3 | 81% | 34% | 85% |
| 19-Sep | Iowa State | 70 | 30-23 | W | 57% | 1.4 | 71% | 31% | 68% |
| 26-Sep | Arkansas State | 79 | 37-7 | W | 100% | 23.3 | 95% | 46% | 97% |
| 3-Oct | at Ball State | 111 | 24-10 | W | 100% | 21.7 | 89% | 37% | 90% |
| 10-Oct | Kent State | 115 | 38-7 | W | 100% | 34.2 | 78% | 80% | 58% |
| 17-Oct | Eastern Michigan | 121 | 63-20 | W | 99% | 19.6 | 62% | 82% | 55% |
| 24-Oct | at Massachusetts | 97 | 51-35 | W | 87% | 9.0 | 52% | 65% | 46% |
| 3-Nov | Northern Illinois | 69 | 27-32 | L | 22% | -6.2 | 28% | 31% | 47% |
| 10-Nov | at Central Michigan | 78 | 28-23 | W | 95% | 13.4 | 75% | 85% | 70% |
| 17-Nov | at Bowling Green | 19 | 44-28 | W | 85% | 8.4 | 77% | 64% | 98% |
| 27-Nov | Western Michigan | 53 | 30-35 | L | 44% | -1.3 | 46% | 65% | 48% |
| 22-Dec | vs. Temple | 49 | 32-17 | W | 100% | 20.9 | 90% | 90% | 91% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 33.3 | 39 | 20.4 | 21 |
| Points Per Game | 35.0 | 31 | 20.8 | 21 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.36 | 22 | 1.19 | 30 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 41.8% | 66 | 37.8% | 28 | 40.3% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 32.4 | 23 | 30.3 | 77 | 29.9 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.52 | 86 | 3.66 | 5 | 4.67 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | 11.48 | 4 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -1.45 |
||
| ACTUAL | 8 | 22 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 105.3 | 57 | 121.6 | 8 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 41.8% | 74 | 37.6% | 24 | 42.3% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 1.19 | 20 | 0.92 | 9 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 96 | 91 | 129.6 | 3 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 38.9% | 66 | 34.0% | 23 | 38.9% |
| Power Success Rate | 61.4% | 95 | 71.8% | 99 | 66.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 17.9% | 42 | 28.0% | 4 | 19.6% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Kareem Hunt | RB | 6'0, 225 | JR | 178 | 973 | 12 | 5.5 | 5.8 | 39.3% | 0 (0) |
| Terry Swanson | RB | 5'10, 202 | SO | 143 | 923 | 7 | 6.5 | 7.5 | 37.8% | 0 (0) |
| Damion Jones-Moore | RB | 5'7, 190 | JR | 83 | 410 | 5 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 37.3% | 0 (0) |
| Marc Remy | RB | 6'0, 195 | JR | 30 | 179 | 0 | 6.0 | 4.4 | 46.7% | 0 (0) |
| Phillip Ely | QB | 6'1, 202 | SR | 23 | 35 | 1 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 21.7% | 5 (0) |
| Michael Julian | QB | 6'5, 215 | SO | 6 | 64 | 0 | 10.7 | 3.9 | 100.0% | 0 (0) |
| Corey Jones | WR | 5'9, 165 | JR | 4 | 27 | 0 | 6.8 | 8.5 | 50.0% | 2 (1) |
| Brad Smith | RB | 5'8, 195 | FR | 4 | 14 | 0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
| Nick Ellis | P | 5'11, 170 | JR | 2 | 8 | 0 | 4.0 | 12.5 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 104.9 | 56 | 112.0 | 30 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 41.9% | 50 | 38.0% | 38 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.56 | 38 | 1.40 | 43 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 478.6 | 1 | 79.7 | 97 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Phillip Ely | 6'1, 202 | SR | 226 | 403 | 2965 | 23 | 10 | 56.1% | 4 | 1.0% | 7.2 |
| Michael Julian | 6'5, 215 | SO | 5 | 7 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 71.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 10.1 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Corey Jones | WR | 5'9, 165 | JR | 86 | 55 | 577 | 5 | 10.5 | 6.7 | 64.0% | 45.3% | 21.8% |
| Alonzo Russell | WR | 6'4, 205 | SR | 75 | 36 | 618 | 5 | 17.2 | 8.2 | 48.0% | 44.0% | 19.0% |
| Cody Thompson | WR | 6'1, 202 | SO | 66 | 37 | 825 | 5 | 22.3 | 12.5 | 56.1% | 51.5% | 16.7% |
| Michael Roberts | TE | 6'4, 265 | JR | 38 | 21 | 234 | 4 | 11.1 | 6.2 | 55.3% | 55.3% | 9.6% |
| Diontae Johnson | WR | 5'11, 175 | FR | 26 | 14 | 237 | 3 | 16.9 | 9.1 | 53.8% | 42.3% | 6.6% |
| Kishon Wilcher | WR | 5'7, 180 | SR | 24 | 12 | 125 | 0 | 10.4 | 5.2 | 50.0% | 41.7% | 6.1% |
| Jon'Vea Johnson | WR | 6'0, 183 | FR | 17 | 8 | 101 | 0 | 12.6 | 5.9 | 47.1% | 41.2% | 4.3% |
| Terry Swanson | RB | 5'10, 202 | SO | 15 | 13 | 71 | 0 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 86.7% | 53.3% | 3.8% |
| Kareem Hunt | RB | 6'0, 225 | JR | 14 | 11 | 45 | 0 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 78.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Marc Remy | RB | 6'0, 195 | JR | 10 | 9 | 42 | 0 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 90.0% | 30.0% | 2.5% |
| Alex Zmolik | TE | 6'5, 252 | SR | 9 | 6 | 51 | 1 | 8.5 | 5.7 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 2.3% |
| Damion Jones-Moore | RB | 5'7, 190 | JR | 6 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 66.7% | 16.7% | 1.5% |
| Darryl Richards | WR | 6'3, 185 | SO | 3 | 2 | 40 | 0 | 20.0 | 13.3 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 0.8% |
| Delando Johnson | DB | 6'2, 200 | JR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Davis | WR | 6'4, 192 | FR | 1 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.3% |
| Zach Yousey | WR | 6'1, 190 | JR | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.3% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 99.3 | 77 | 118.0 | 13 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 45.6% | 80 | 42.4% | 30 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.16 | 42 | 0.93 | 3 | 1.11 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.96 | 55 | 1.97 | 1 | 2.90 |
| SD Sack Rate | 0.5% | 1 | 4.4% | 89 | 5.0% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 116.4 | 32 | 110.0 | 37 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 34.0% | 36 | 30.0% | 58 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.93 | 29 | 1.80 | 75 | 1.77 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 2.38 | 118 | 3.13 | 57 | 3.20 |
| PD Sack Rate | 1.7% | 2 | 4.3% | 115 | 7.5% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 106.9 | 57 | 117.7 | 29 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 101.6 | 71 | 115.9 | 23 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 103.3 | 67 | 118.8 | 19 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 114.2 | 23 | 100.6 | 68 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 98.1 | 83 | 118.1 | 16 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 112.4 | 38 | 115.9 | 24 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 117.8 | 21 | 100.3 | 68 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 63.3% | 42 | 60.4% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 31.7% | 70 | 34.0% |
| Adj. Pace | +4.1 | 27 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 66.9% | 117 | 74.9% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 54.6% | 113 | 60.3% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 28.0% | 115 | 33.9% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 20.6% | 7 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 7.6% | 11 | 5.1% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 3.2% | 99 | 4.5% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 9.6% | 2 | 6.3% |
| PD to INC | 42.1% | 3 | 32.8% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
| Chase Murdock | LB | 6'0, 225 | SR | 69.5 | 9.9% | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Cheatham Norrils | CB | 6'0, 195 | SR | 55.5 | 7.9% | 3.5 | 0.0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| DeJuan Rogers | DB | 6'1, 191 | JR | 54.5 | 7.8% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 1 |
| Trent Voss | DE | 6'3, 235 | SR | 50.5 | 7.2% | 9.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Rolan Milligan | S | 5'11, 198 | SR | 41.0 | 5.9% | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Chaz Whittaker | S | 6'2, 212 | SR | 38.0 | 5.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Ja'Wuan Woodley | LB | 5'11, 230 | SO | 36.5 | 5.2% | 6.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Allen Covington | DE | 6'2, 275 | SR | 35.5 | 5.1% | 12.0 | 4.5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Jaylen Coleman | LB | 6'0, 235 | JR | 34.5 | 4.9% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Orion Jones | DT | 6'2, 285 | SR | 32.5 | 4.6% | 12.0 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Treyvon Hester | DT | 6'4, 305 | JR | 25.5 | 3.6% | 6.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Christian Dukes | CB | 5'9, 185 | SR | 24.5 | 3.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Connery Swift | DB | 5'11, 195 | JR | 22.0 | 3.1% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Trevon Mathis | CB | 6'0, 175 | SO | 19.5 | 2.8% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Delando Johnson | DB | 6'2, 200 | JR | 18.5 | 2.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| John Stepec | DE | 6'3, 260 | JR | 18.0 | 2.6% | 5.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Juwan Haynes | CB | 6'0, 190 | SR | 15.5 | 2.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Keenen Gibbs | DE | 6'3, 265 | SR | 14.5 | 2.1% | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jack Linch | LB | 6'0, 218 | SO | 14.5 | 2.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Teachey | CB | 5'11, 172 | FR | 13.0 | 1.9% | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Richard Olekanma | LB | 6'2, 240 | FR | 9.0 | 1.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Taafe | LB | 6'1, 221 | FR | 7.5 | 1.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Whitfield | WR | 5'11, 178 | FR | 6.0 | 0.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zach Quinn | LB | 6'3, 225 | SO | 5.5 | 0.8% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tre James | DE | 6'1, 250 | SR | 4.5 | 0.6% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. | |||||||||||
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -1.2 | 117 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.16 | 92 |
| Punt Success Rate | 48.9% | 101 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 50.6% | 122 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 69.6% | 8 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 48.8% | 51 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Jameson Vest | 5'9, 203 | FR | 49-50 | 19-27 | 70.4% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Nick Ellis | 5'11, 170 | JR | 44 | 39.4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 59.1% |
| Michael Julian | 6'5, 215 | SO | 1 | 36.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Samuel Vucelich | 5'11, 185 | SO | 44 | 57.0 | 5 | 11.4% | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Corey Jones | 5'9, 165 | JR | 19 | 10.2 | 0 | 17 | 1 (1) |
| Kennedy Frazier | 6'1, 185 | SO | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Zach Quinn | 6'3, 225 | SO | 1 | 28.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Diontae Johnson | 5'11, 175 | FR | 32 | 22.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Kishon Wilcher | 5'7, 180 | SR | 6 | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Richard Olekanma | 6'2, 240 | FR | 1 | 10.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics