Updated on 8/21/2016
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
Got position corrections? Note them here.
Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.
2015 | 2016
UNLV Runnin' Rebels (MWC West)
2015 Schedule & Results
| Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.1 (0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 106 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 5-Sep | at Northern Illinois | 69 | 30-38 | L | 5% | -13.5 | 45% | 68% | 18% |
| 12-Sep | UCLA | 23 | 3-37 | L | 0% | -30.8 | 16% | 2% | 73% |
| 19-Sep | at Michigan | 6 | 7-28 | L | 0% | -33.5 | 31% | 29% | 30% |
| 26-Sep | Idaho State | N/A | 80-8 | W | 100% | 59.9 | 82% | 77% | 91% |
| 3-Oct | at Nevada | 99 | 23-17 | W | 60% | 2.1 | 79% | 29% | 77% |
| 10-Oct | San Jose State | 89 | 27-33 | L | 10% | -10.3 | 17% | 17% | 38% |
| 16-Oct | at Fresno State | 100 | 28-31 | L | 7% | -11.5 | 10% | 24% | 12% |
| 31-Oct | Boise State | 41 | 27-55 | L | 3% | -15.3 | 25% | 79% | 16% |
| 7-Nov | Hawaii | 118 | 41-21 | W | 85% | 8.4 | 32% | 70% | 19% |
| 14-Nov | at Colorado State | 81 | 35-49 | L | 2% | -16.8 | 16% | 65% | 10% |
| 21-Nov | San Diego State | 45 | 14-52 | L | 0% | -41.7 | 19% | 26% | 4% |
| 28-Nov | at Wyoming | 114 | 28-35 | L | 38% | -2.4 | 5% | 38% | 11% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 24.5 | 93 | 37.1 | 113 |
| Points Per Game | 28.6 | 66 | 33.7 | 100 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.24 | 76 | 1.29 | 80 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 40.2% | 85 | 47.0% | 115 | 40.3% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 30.6 | 50 | 29.6 | 62 | 29.9 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.70 | 74 | 5.11 | 106 | 4.67 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | 0.36 | 65 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +1.52 |
||
| ACTUAL | 4 | 37 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 97.7 | 84 | 78.8 | 127 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 43.3% | 56 | 51.1% | 122 | 42.3% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 1.00 | 94 | 1.10 | 78 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 95.1 | 96 | 88.1 | 116 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 40.3% | 47 | 42.8% | 114 | 38.9% |
| Power Success Rate | 58.7% | 110 | 63.3% | 47 | 66.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 19.1% | 59 | 19.3% | 77 | 19.6% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Keith Whitely | RB | 5'9, 195 | JR | 152 | 711 | 3 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 31.6% | 2 (0) |
| Xzaviar Campbell | RB | 5'11, 220 | FR | 89 | 469 | 5 | 5.3 | 7.4 | 32.6% | 1 (0) |
| Lexington Thomas | RB | 5'9, 165 | FR | 81 | 506 | 3 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 49.4% | 3 (1) |
| Kurt Palandech | QB | 6'2, 185 | SO | 59 | 401 | 4 | 6.8 | 4.6 | 59.3% | 4 (2) |
| Blake Decker | QB | 6'2, 215 | SR | 37 | 175 | 1 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 48.6% | 4 (1) |
| George Naufahu | RB | 6'0, 215 | SR | 28 | 170 | 3 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 39.3% | 0 (0) |
| David Greene | RB | 6'0, 210 | SR | 11 | 69 | 0 | 6.3 | 12.3 | 27.3% | 0 (0) |
| Aaron Criswell | WR | 5'10, 180 | SR | 2 | 22 | 0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 100.0% | 0 (0) |
| Eric Noone | OL | 6'2, 295 | SR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 94.2 | 85 | 85.1 | 114 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 36.6% | 99 | 42.8% | 90 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.57 | 36 | 1.52 | 82 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 73.3 | 109 | 32 | 128 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Blake Decker | 6'2, 215 | SR | 120 | 209 | 1713 | 12 | 8 | 57.4% | 10 | 4.6% | 7.6 |
| Kurt Palandech | 6'2, 185 | SO | 75 | 152 | 794 | 9 | 5 | 49.3% | 23 | 13.1% | 3.9 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Devonte Boyd | WR | 6'1, 175 | SO | 105 | 54 | 904 | 7 | 16.7 | 8.6 | 51.4% | 45.7% | 30.3% |
| Kendal Keys | WR | 6'4, 200 | SO | 73 | 43 | 515 | 6 | 12.0 | 7.1 | 58.9% | 43.8% | 21.0% |
| Aaron Criswell | WR | 5'10, 180 | SR | 41 | 22 | 416 | 3 | 18.9 | 10.2 | 53.7% | 36.6% | 11.8% |
| Andrew Price | TE | 6'6, 255 | JR | 29 | 17 | 173 | 1 | 10.2 | 6.0 | 58.6% | 44.8% | 8.4% |
| Anthony Williams | WR | 5'11, 195 | SR | 24 | 12 | 113 | 0 | 9.4 | 4.7 | 50.0% | 41.7% | 6.9% |
| Keith Whitely | RB | 5'9, 195 | JR | 21 | 17 | 154 | 1 | 9.1 | 7.3 | 81.0% | 38.1% | 6.1% |
| Jake Phillips | TE | 6'6, 250 | SR | 17 | 8 | 94 | 1 | 11.8 | 5.5 | 47.1% | 41.2% | 4.9% |
| Lexington Thomas | RB | 5'9, 165 | FR | 12 | 10 | 100 | 0 | 10.0 | 8.3 | 83.3% | 66.7% | 3.5% |
| George Naufahu | RB | 6'0, 215 | SR | 8 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 62.5% | 37.5% | 2.3% |
| Brandon Presley | WR | 6'0, 175 | FR | 8 | 3 | 28 | 1 | 9.3 | 3.5 | 37.5% | 25.0% | 2.3% |
| Xzaviar Campbell | RB | 5'11, 220 | FR | 7 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 71.4% | 14.3% | 2.0% |
| Antonio Zepeda | TE | 6'6, 265 | SO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| Kurt Palandech | QB | 6'2, 185 | SO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 94.2 | 97 | 80.3 | 127 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 44.2% | 101 | 53.2% | 119 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.09 | 72 | 1.15 | 87 | 1.11 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.68 | 102 | 3.17 | 105 | 2.90 |
| SD Sack Rate | 6.2% | 88 | 1.4% | 126 | 5.0% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 104.4 | 53 | 89.2 | 100 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 32.1% | 57 | 31.9% | 81 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.67 | 89 | 1.84 | 85 | 1.77 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.88 | 11 | 3.41 | 85 | 3.20 |
| PD Sack Rate | 10.7% | 113 | 2.8% | 126 | 7.5% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 116.2 | 27 | 98.6 | 66 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 88.2 | 109 | 81.5 | 120 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 102.2 | 73 | 89.1 | 106 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 103.9 | 64 | 77.3 | 127 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 102.8 | 63 | 79.4 | 127 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 100.8 | 73 | 91.7 | 99 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 105.3 | 61 | 91.5 | 102 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 62.7% | 45 | 60.4% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 35.9% | 46 | 34.0% |
| Adj. Pace | +0.9 | 52 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 75.6% | 55 | 74.9% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 58.7% | 79 | 60.3% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 31.9% | 82 | 33.9% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 13.2% | 112 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 3.2% | 110 | 5.1% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 2.9% | 103 | 4.5% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 6.8% | 47 | 6.3% |
| PD to INC | 32.0% | 71 | 32.8% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
| Blake Richmond | DB | 6'3, 205 | SR | 73.0 | 10.9% | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Ryan McAleenan | LB | 6'2, 220 | JR | 69.0 | 10.3% | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Peni Vea | DB | 6'1, 205 | SR | 65.0 | 9.7% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Tau Lotulelei | LB | 6'1, 230 | JR | 55.0 | 8.2% | 11.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Torry McTyer | DB | 6'0, 180 | JR | 46.5 | 6.9% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| Sonny Sanitoa | DL | 6'3, 270 | SR | 30.5 | 4.5% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Troy Hawthorne | DB | 6'3, 210 | JR | 29.0 | 4.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kenny Keys | DB | 6'4, 200 | SR | 28.5 | 4.2% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Tim Hough | DB | 5'11, 190 | FR | 28.5 | 4.2% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Kimble Jensen | DB | 6'0, 215 | SR | 27.0 | 4.0% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Hughes Jr. | DL | 6'2, 310 | SO | 19.0 | 2.8% | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jason Fao | DL | 6'0, 300 | SO | 18.0 | 2.7% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Lea | LB | 5'10, 215 | SO | 18.0 | 2.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darius Mouton | DB | 5'10, 165 | FR | 18.0 | 2.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Fred Wilson | DB | 6'0, 180 | SR | 16.5 | 2.5% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Dominic Baldwin | DL | 6'5, 265 | JR | 13.5 | 2.0% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Najee Johnson | LB | 6'4, 220 | SR | 13.5 | 2.0% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeremiah Valoaga | DL | 6'6, 260 | JR | 11.0 | 1.6% | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Tuli Fakauho | DL | 6'1, 330 | SR | 10.5 | 1.6% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Iggy Porchia | LB | 6'2, 245 | JR | 9.0 | 1.3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Finau | DL | 6'3, 230 | SO | 8.0 | 1.2% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jay'Onn Myles | DB | 5'8, 165 | JR | 7.0 | 1.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Antonio Zepeda | TE | 6'6, 265 | SO | 6.0 | 0.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trent Langham | LB | 6'2, 205 | JR | 5.5 | 0.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dalton Baker | DB | 5'11, 185 | FR | 5.0 | 0.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. | |||||||||||
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -0.2 | 77 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.01 | 73 |
| Punt Success Rate | 58.2% | 48 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 64.6% | 94 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 33.3% | 112 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 47.1% | 60 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Nicolai Bornand | 6'1, 225 | JR | 43-44 | 12-17 | 70.6% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Logan Yunker | 6'2, 200 | SR | 67 | 42.5 | 7 | 27 | 18 | 67.2% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Nicolai Bornand | 6'1, 225 | JR | 65 | 61.8 | 23 | 35.4% | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Jonathan Leiva | 5'11, 190 | SR | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Keith Whitely | 5'9, 195 | JR | 11 | 4.6 | 0 | 31 | 1 (0) |
| J.T. Nettleton | 6'3, 195 | FR | 1 | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Aaron Criswell | 5'10, 180 | SR | 20 | 21.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Lexington Thomas | 5'9, 165 | FR | 12 | 20.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) |
| Brandon Presley | 6'0, 175 | FR | 1 | 26.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics