clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

2016 Northern Illinois advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

NIU Huskies (MAC West)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 5-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.9 (0.9) | S&P+ Rk: 77
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep at Wyoming 61 34-40 L 49% -0.3 51% 43% 56%
10-Sep at South Florida 55 17-48 L 0% -27.3 12% 17% 12%
17-Sep San Diego State 33 28-42 L 18% -7.2 45% 69% 48%
24-Sep Western Illinois N/A 23-28 L 42% -1.6 39% 40% 24%
1-Oct at Ball State 84 31-24 W 84% 7.8 63% 69% 56%
8-Oct at Western Michigan 35 30-45 L 11% -9.5 43% 86% 30%
15-Oct Central Michigan 99 28-34 L 12% -9.2 25% 24% 37%
22-Oct Buffalo 127 44-7 W 99% 20.0 64% 81% 48%
1-Nov Bowling Green 111 45-20 W 100% 22.2 79% 65% 71%
9-Nov vs. Toledo 34 24-31 L 32% -3.6 58% 63% 81%
16-Nov at Eastern Michigan 82 31-24 W 87% 8.9 67% 54% 88%
25-Nov at Kent State 113 31-21 W 57% 1.3 37% 63% 18%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 32.1 50 33.1 94
Points Per Game 30.5 55 30.3 80
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.26 67 1.29 84 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 42.7% 57 43.4% 79 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.4 74 29.9 79 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.58 63 4.65 82 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 1.46 58 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.03
ACTUAL -1 71
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 102.9 63 100.7 60 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 44.0% 60 43.2% 73 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.12 45 1.12 86 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 104.5 53 103.4 51 100.0
Opportunity Rate 41.6% 43 41.6% 96 39.7%
Power Success Rate 73.1% 37 68.4% 75 67.9%
Stuff Rate 17.6% 47 17.6% 85 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Joel Bouagnon TB 6'2, 228 SR 182 885 8 4.9 4.3 37.4% 0 (0)
Jordan Huff TB 5'11, 218 JR 111 703 5 6.3 6.6 41.4% 0 (0)
Anthony Maddie WR 6'1, 203 SR 79 565 7 7.2 6.3 49.4% 2 (0)
Ryan Graham QB 6'1, 210 SO 43 197 0 4.6 4.5 34.9% 1 (0)
Aregeros Turner WR 5'11, 172 SR 25 167 2 6.7 6.0 60.0% 1 (0)
Daniel Santacaterina QB 6'1, 206 FR 25 123 1 4.9 2.8 44.0% 1 (0)
Kenny Golladay WR 6'4, 213 SR 20 192 2 9.6 10.2 55.0% 1 (1)
Drew Hare QB 6'1, 218 SR 13 3 1 0.2 0.0 0.0% 1 (1)
Christian Blake WR 6'1, 182 JR 10 31 1 3.1 2.3 40.0% 1 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 96.6 77 96.9 76 100.0
Passing Success Rate 41.1% 61 43.7% 93 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.45 71 1.49 78 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 257.9 2 90.5 84 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Anthony Maddie 6'1, 203 SR 105 175 1213 8 5 60.0% 3 1.7% 6.8
Ryan Graham 6'1, 210 SO 71 127 680 8 6 55.9% 1 0.8% 5.2
Drew Hare 6'1, 218 SR 37 59 425 3 0 62.7% 3 4.8% 6.5
Daniel Santacaterina 6'1, 206 FR 18 38 361 1 2 47.4% 1 2.6% 8.8

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Kenny Golladay WR 6'4, 213 SR 145 87 1156 8 13.3 8.0 60.0% 44.8% 37.8%
Christian Blake WR 6'1, 182 JR 69 34 457 2 13.4 6.6 49.3% 43.5% 18.0%
Aregeros Turner WR 5'11, 172 SR 59 40 415 3 10.4 7.0 67.8% 49.2% 15.4%
Shane Wimann TE 6'4, 252 JR 36 24 254 6 10.6 7.1 66.7% 50.0% 9.4%
Joel Bouagnon TB 6'2, 228 SR 22 17 157 1 9.2 7.1 77.3% 45.5% 5.7%
Jordan Huff TB 5'11, 218 JR 16 10 70 0 7.0 4.4 62.5% 31.2% 4.2%
D.J. Brown WR 5'9, 177 SO 13 9 91 0 10.1 7.0 69.2% 61.5% 3.4%
Ezra Saffold WR 5'7, 170 JR 8 5 43 0 8.6 5.4 62.5% 25.0% 2.1%
Spencer Tears WR 6'0, 185 FR 5 1 3 0 3.0 0.6 20.0% 0.0% 1.3%
Daniel Crawford TE 6'1, 244 FR 4 2 17 0 8.5 4.3 50.0% 50.0% 1.0%
Clayton Glasper WR 6'4, 230 SR 4 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 1.0%
Tommy Mister TB 6'0, 213 SO 1 1 13 0 13.0 13.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Anthony Maddie QB 6'1, 203 SR 1 1 9 0 9.0 9.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Mitchell Brinkman TE 6'2, 249 FR 1 1 3 0 3.0 3.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 96.2 90 100.2 59 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 48.2% 53 49.5% 87 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.11 66 1.13 81 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.13 46 3.03 74 2.98
SD Sack Rate 2.4% 11 3.1% 104 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 103.8 61 97.0 82 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 29.7% 80 30.3% 53 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.84 39 1.84 101 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.31 62 3.45 90 3.24
PD Sack Rate 1.9% 1 8.1% 52 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 102.0 65 91.8 97
Q2 S&P+ 104.1 63 101.1 63
Q3 S&P+ 96.2 83 107.2 39
Q4 S&P+ 97.9 81 116.2 21
1st Down S&P+ 100.2 67 107.7 41
2nd Down S&P+ 98.3 80 94.9 87
3rd Down S&P+ 104.7 66 112.8 36
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.8% 36 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 35.3% 46 34.6%
Adj. Pace +8.0 11 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 76.1% 47 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 60.5% 61 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 43.3% 8 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.6% 89 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 3.7% 90 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 4.5% 47 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 6.3% 59 6.4%
PD to INC 32.8% 67 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Jamaal Payton LB 6'0, 228 SR 65.0 9.0% 8.5 3.0 1 2 0
Sean Folliard LB 6'2, 226 SR 63.0 8.7% 6.0 2.0 0 3 0
Brandon Mayes S 5'11, 190 JR 55.0 7.6% 2.5 0.0 2 4 0
Mycial Allen S 5'11, 200 JR 49.5 6.9% 3.0 0.0 2 0 0
Bobby Jones IV LB 6'0, 218 JR 47.0 6.5% 4.5 1.0 0 0 0
Daniel Isom DB 5'10, 173 FR 34.5 4.8% 0.0 0.0 0 6 1
Shawun Lurry CB 5'8, 180 JR 32.0 4.4% 2.5 0.0 3 11 0
Ladell Fleming DE 6'0, 236 SR 31.5 4.4% 6.0 4.0 0 1 0
Mayomi Olootu, Jr. CB 5'9, 183 JR 26.5 3.7% 0.0 0.0 3 7 0
Corey Thomas DT 6'2, 304 SR 25.5 3.5% 2.0 0.0 0 1 0
Alex Schwab LB 6'1, 210 JR 22.5 3.1% 3.0 1.0 0 0 0
Renard Cheren LB 6'0, 214 SO 22.5 3.1% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0
Lance Deveaux Jr. LB 6'0, 190 FR 21.5 3.0% 1.0 0.0 0 2 0
Trequan Smith S 5'11, 187 FR 20.5 2.8% 2.5 0.0 2 4 0
Trayshon Foster S 5'11, 192 FR 20.5 2.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Josh Corcoran DE 6'3, 229 SO 19.5 2.7% 7.0 3.0 0 0 0
Austin Smaha DE 6'1, 227 SR 16.5 2.3% 5.5 5.0 0 0 3
Joe Sanders DE 6'4, 260 JR 13.5 1.9% 3.0 0.0 0 0 1
Mario Jones DT 6'0, 281 SR 12.5 1.7% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0
William Lee DT 6'2, 304 JR 12.0 1.7% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Damarius Brinson, Jr. CB 6'1, 193 JR 11.5 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Jawuan Johnson LB 5'11, 217 SO 11.0 1.5% 5.5 0.0 0 0 0
Sutton Smith LB 6'0, 208 FR 10.5 1.5% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0
Jackson Abresch S 6'1, 202 JR 9.0 1.2% 0.0 0.0 1 2 0
Clayton Glasper WR 6'4, 230 SR 8.5 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.3 115
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.36 112
Punt Success Rate 40.0% 117
Kickoff Success Rate 72.1% 72
Punt Return Success Rate 41.2% 103
Kick Return Success Rate 55.6% 18
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Christian Hagan 6'0, 185 JR 45-46 11-18 61.1%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Jacob Ambrose 5'10, 178 SR 70 39.1 5 22 21 61.4%
Ryan Graham 6'1, 210 SO 1 14.0 0 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Christian Hagan 6'0, 185 JR 68 61.8 20 29.4% 0 4 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Shawun Lurry 5'8, 180 JR 7 7.3 0 0 0 (0)
D.J. Brown 5'9, 177 SO 4 4.8 0 3 0 (0)
Ezra Saffold 5'7, 170 JR 4 -1.0 0 9 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Aregeros Turner 5'11, 172 SR 30 25.8 1 0 1 (0)
Jordan Huff 5'11, 218 JR 8 24.1 0 0 0 (0)
Josh Corcoran 6'3, 229 SO 3 7.3 0 1 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics