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2015 Bowling Green advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/20/2016

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2015 | 2016

Bowling Green Eagles (MAC East)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 10-4 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.2 (0.2) | S&P+ Rk: 19
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep vs. Tennessee 22 30-59 L 1% -18.5 50% 73% 6%
12-Sep at Maryland 65 48-27 W 93% 11.9 85% 76% 38%
19-Sep Memphis 55 41-44 L 67% 3.5 86% 80% 43%
26-Sep at Purdue 86 35-28 W 64% 2.8 65% 75% 16%
3-Oct at Buffalo 96 28-22 W 88% 9.3 85% 89% 24%
10-Oct Massachusetts 97 62-38 W 99% 18.9 79% 94% 22%
17-Oct Akron 80 59-10 W 100% 30.9 91% 95% 89%
24-Oct at Kent State 115 48-0 W 100% 41.4 82% 84% 66%
4-Nov Ohio 66 62-24 W 100% 25.9 91% 97% 58%
11-Nov at Western Michigan 53 41-27 W 89% 9.6 73% 76% 72%
17-Nov Toledo 21 28-44 L 15% -8.4 39% 59% 55%
24-Nov at Ball State 111 48-10 W 100% 32.9 83% 81% 92%
4-Dec vs. Northern Illinois 69 34-14 W 100% 34.1 90% 89% 87%
23-Dec vs. Georgia Southern 39 27-58 L 4% -13.7 30% 73% 31%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 41.0 11 26.8 55
Points Per Game 42.2 6 28.9 84
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.29 50 1.21 39 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 49.5% 7 42.2% 73 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.9 93 29.9 67 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.32 17 4.60 59 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -3.15 96 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+5.41
ACTUAL 12 8
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 127.7 3 99.9 67 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 50.9% 8 44.1% 83 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.01 89 1.03 47 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 123.9 4 96.3 80 100.0
Opportunity Rate 41.0% 36 38.9% 74 38.9%
Power Success Rate 66.2% 62 68.4% 83 66.3%
Stuff Rate 16.0% 15 20.2% 60 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Travis Greene RB 5'10, 189 SR 223 1299 15 5.8 5.3 43.0% 1 (0)
Fred Coppet RB 5'9, 205 JR 145 825 5 5.7 5.3 42.1% 1 (1)
Matt Johnson QB 6'0, 219 SR 77 380 4 4.9 3.2 45.5% 6 (4)
Donovan Wilson RB 6'0, 229 SO 36 78 7 2.2 1.3 13.9% 1 (0)
Ronnie Moore WR 5'9, 170 JR 9 55 1 6.1 8.1 44.4% 0 (0)
Matt Domer RB 5'11, 197 FR 8 117 1 14.6 30.3 37.5% 0 (0)
James Knapke QB 6'2, 237 JR 2 4 0 2.0 0.7 50.0% 0 (0)
Ryan Burbrink WR 5'8, 183 SR 1 7 1 7.0 1.5 100.0% 1 (0)
Gehrig Dieter WR 6'3, 207 JR 1 -2 0 -2.0 0.0 0.0% 1 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 120.6 20 99.7 62 100.0
Passing Success Rate 48.5% 10 40.3% 62 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.50 61 1.42 53 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 99.1 64 101.2 61 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Matt Johnson 6'0, 219 SR 383 569 4946 46 8 67.3% 36 6.0% 7.8
James Knapke 6'2, 237 JR 14 20 173 1 0 70.0% 0 0.0% 8.7

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Gehrig Dieter WR 6'3, 207 JR 141 94 1033 10 11.0 7.3 66.7% 56.7% 24.5%
Roger Lewis WR 6'0, 199 SO 130 85 1544 16 18.2 11.9 65.4% 52.3% 22.6%
Ronnie Moore WR 5'9, 170 JR 96 72 954 6 13.3 9.9 75.0% 59.4% 16.7%
Ryan Burbrink WR 5'8, 183 SR 79 56 627 4 11.2 7.9 70.9% 53.2% 13.7%
Travis Greene RB 5'10, 189 SR 33 28 264 2 9.4 8.0 84.8% 45.5% 5.7%
Teo Redding WR 6'1, 167 SO 24 13 222 3 17.1 9.3 54.2% 45.8% 4.2%
Derek Lee TE 6'4, 258 SR 22 18 108 3 6.0 4.9 81.8% 50.0% 3.8%
Robbie Rhodes WR 6'0, 190 SO 12 4 194 1 48.5 16.2 33.3% 33.3% 2.1%
Fred Coppet RB 5'9, 205 JR 11 9 75 0 8.3 6.8 81.8% 45.5% 1.9%
Scott Miller WR 5'10, 162 FR 11 7 29 0 4.1 2.6 63.6% 36.4% 1.9%
Chris Gallon WR 6'4, 246 SR 8 7 89 0 12.7 11.1 87.5% 75.0% 1.4%
Herve Coby WR 6'0, 185 SR 3 3 58 0 19.3 19.3 100.0% 100.0% 0.5%
Matt Johnson QB 6'0, 219 SR 2 1 16 0 16.0 8.0 50.0% 50.0% 0.3%
Hunter Folkertsma TE 6'5, 244 SO 2 2 14 2 7.0 7.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Donovan Wilson RB 6'0, 229 SO 1 1 2 0 2.0 2.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Deric Phouthavong WR 6'3, 202 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 114.8 20 108.3 36 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 53.1% 11 44.6% 51 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.06 85 1.02 28 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.29 15 2.81 53 2.90
SD Sack Rate 4.6% 59 5.7% 42 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 153.3 2 84.2 111 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 40.2% 4 37.6% 119 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 2.06 9 1.64 32 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.90 9 3.95 125 3.20
PD Sack Rate 7.5% 72 4.1% 117 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 125.9 10 97.5 73
Q2 S&P+ 135.0 6 108.8 48
Q3 S&P+ 123.9 19 101.1 64
Q4 S&P+ 110.2 33 92.0 101
1st Down S&P+ 111.9 28 108.5 36
2nd Down S&P+ 128.1 6 94.8 88
3rd Down S&P+ 145.7 2 93.4 97
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 47.6% 120 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 28.4% 90 34.0%
Adj. Pace +8.0 12 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 72.5% 85 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 58.7% 78 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 38.4% 26 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.6% 90 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 4.4% 79 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 4.6% 57 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 5.6% 85 6.3%
PD to INC 29.7% 87 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Austin Valdez LB 6'0, 225 SO 101.0 11.7% 11.0 1.0 2 5 0 0
Trenton Greene LB 5'9, 213 SR 96.0 11.1% 7.5 1.0 0 2 0 0
James Sanford LB 6'1, 196 JR 70.5 8.2% 5.5 3.0 1 8 2 0
Eilar Hardy DB 6'0, 188 SR 65.5 7.6% 2.0 0.0 2 2 0 0
Dernard Turner DB 6'0, 191 SR 56.0 6.5% 5.5 0.0 4 4 0 0
Clint Stephens DB 5'10, 182 SO 53.0 6.2% 0.5 0.0 2 7 1 0
Terrance Bush DL 6'2, 252 JR 50.5 5.9% 8.0 6.0 0 0 0 0
Alfonso Mack DB 5'11, 178 JR 49.0 5.7% 3.5 0.0 6 3 0 0
Taylor Royster DL 5'10, 260 SR 46.0 5.3% 11.0 6.0 0 0 1 0
Nilijah Ballew DB 6'0, 210 SO 29.0 3.4% 4.5 1.0 0 2 0 0
Nate Locke LB 6'0, 226 SO 24.5 2.8% 3.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Zach Colvin DL 6'3, 293 SR 23.5 2.7% 9.5 4.0 0 1 0 0
Ben Hale DB 6'2, 197 SO 22.0 2.6% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Shannon Smith DL 6'0, 281 SO 19.0 2.2% 6.0 3.0 0 0 0 0
Izaah Lunsford DL 6'3, 294 JR 17.0 2.0% 3.5 2.5 0 1 0 0
Brandon Harris ATH 6'3, 204 FR 16.0 1.9% 2.0 0.0 1 0 1 0
Jamari Bozeman DB 6'2, 192 FR 16.0 1.9% 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 0
Mike Minns DL 5'10, 327 JR 13.0 1.5% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Darrell Hunter II DB 5'9, 178 SR 10.5 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Trevor Roop WR 5'10, 199 SO 8.5 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Bryan Baird DL 6'4, 243 SR 8.0 0.9% 1.5 0.0 0 1 0 0
Malik Brown DL 6'4, 266 SO 7.5 0.9% 2.5 0.5 0 0 0 0
Zac Bartman LB 5'11, 214 JR 6.5 0.8% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Isaiah Gourdine DB 6'2, 196 JR 6.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
David Konowalski DL 6'3, 219 FR 5.0 0.6% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.6 131
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.60 123
Punt Success Rate 51.9% 89
Kickoff Success Rate 69.2% 74
Punt Return Success Rate 28.6% 122
Kick Return Success Rate 32.6% 109
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Tyler Tate 6'0, 181 SR 75-81 8-15 53.3%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Joseph Davidson 6'7, 222 SO 54 46.0 4 9 14 42.6%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Tyler Tate 6'0, 181 SR 91 61.9 44 48.4% 0 4 0 0
Nick Fields 5'11, 215 SO 13 44.8 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Ryan Burbrink 5'8, 183 SR 11 4.6 0 20 0 (0)
Ronnie Moore 5'9, 170 JR 2 9.0 0 0 0 (0)
Clint Stephens 5'10, 182 SO 1 21.0 0 2 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Scott Miller 5'10, 162 FR 24 19.0 0 0 0 (0)
Robbie Rhodes 6'0, 190 SO 7 16.1 0 0 0 (0)
Clint Stephens 5'10, 182 SO 5 18.2 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics