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2017 Duke advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/3/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Duke Blue Devils (ACC Coastal)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 6.9 (-0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 65
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep NC Central N/A 60-7 W 100% 40.2 92% 93% 95%
9-Sep Northwestern 46 41-17 W 99% 22.2 89% 84% 76%
16-Sep Baylor 106 34-20 W 93% 13.3 74% 62% 69%
23-Sep at North Carolina 94 27-17 W 51% 0.3 48% 29% 71%
29-Sep Miami-FL 17 6-31 L 0% -34.0 8% 7% 23%
7-Oct at Virginia 85 21-28 L 5% -15.5 19% 18% 59%
14-Oct Florida State 43 10-17 L 1% -21.1 14% 5% 64%
21-Oct Pittsburgh 82 17-24 L 40% -2.4 43% 36% 57%
28-Oct at Virginia Tech 29 3-24 L 0% -32.6 9% 4% 54%
11-Nov at Army 59 16-21 L 21% -7.3 35% 16% 70%
18-Nov Georgia Tech 73 43-20 W 100% 31.3 93% 91% 75%
25-Nov at Wake Forest 37 31-23 W 82% 8.3 68% 59% 65%
26-Dec vs. Northern Illinois 54 36-14 W 100% 23.8 91% 75% 85%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 25.8 90 24.5 40
Points Per Game 28.8 71 21.9 21
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.5% 82 36.2% 17 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.07 108 1.22 95 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.1 52 27.4 17 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.05 105 4.25 50 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -5.8 116 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+2.25
ACTUAL 0 64
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 110.2 39 111.6 34 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 45.5% 35 38.8% 35 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.87 77 0.86 47 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 109.9 29 104.6 48 100.0
Opportunity Rate 37.2% 78 34.8% 33 38.5%
Power Success Rate 78.0% 13 63.4% 38 67.7%
Stuff Rate 20.3% 82 21.8% 41 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Shaun Wilson RB 5'9, 185 SR 162 818 6 5.0 5.5 36.4% 2 (1)
Daniel Jones QB 6'5, 215 SO 134 715 7 5.3 4.2 45.5% 8 (4)
Brittain Brown RB 6'1, 200 FR 132 712 7 5.4 5.1 39.4% 1 (1)
Deon Jackson RB 6'0, 215 FR 32 97 0 3.0 1.0 31.3% 0 (0)
Quentin Harris QB 6'1, 195 SO 28 76 2 2.7 2.6 17.9% 0 (0)
Nicodem Pierre RB 6'2, 220 JR 11 26 0 2.4 3.6 9.1% 0 (0)
T.J. Rahming WR 5'10, 165 JR 4 3 0 0.8 0.0 0.0% 1 (1)
Parker Boehme QB 6'2, 220 SR 2 15 0 7.5 14.7 50.0% 1 (0)
Elijah Deveaux RB 6'0, 210 FR 2 4 0 2.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 90.4 97 113.0 22 100.0
Passing Success Rate 35.8% 106 32.7% 6 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.30 116 1.78 125 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 113.6 48 118.3 35 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Daniel Jones 6'5, 215 SO 257 453 2691 14 11 56.7% 28 5.8% 5.2
Quentin Harris 6'1, 195 SO 7 10 73 1 0 70.0% 1 9.1% 6.2
Parker Boehme 6'2, 220 SR 1 2 6 0 0 50.0% 0 0.0% 3.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
T.J. Rahming WR 5'10, 165 JR 113 65 795 2 12.2 7.0 57.5% 38.1% 26.7%
Johnathan Lloyd WR 6'0, 190 JR 57 39 367 1 9.4 6.4 68.4% 40.4% 13.4%
Chris Taylor WR 6'1, 185 JR 54 25 332 1 13.3 6.2 46.3% 40.7% 12.7%
Shaun Wilson RB 5'9, 185 SR 47 36 263 4 7.3 5.6 76.6% 38.3% 11.1%
Daniel Helm TE 6'4, 245 JR 31 22 261 2 11.9 8.4 71.0% 61.3% 7.3%
Aaron Young WR 6'2, 205 SO 28 16 219 1 13.7 7.8 57.1% 53.6% 6.6%
Davis Koppenhaver TE 6'4, 235 JR 27 17 154 3 9.1 5.7 63.0% 44.4% 6.4%
Brittain Brown RB 6'1, 200 FR 19 14 161 0 11.5 8.5 73.7% 42.1% 4.5%
Quay Chambers WR 6'3, 220 SR 16 9 87 0 9.7 5.4 56.2% 43.8% 3.8%
Scott Bracey WR 6'2, 210 FR 11 8 73 0 9.1 6.6 72.7% 45.5% 2.6%
Keyston Fuller WR 6'0, 190 SO 7 5 17 0 3.4 2.4 71.4% 28.6% 1.7%
Noah Gray TE 6'4, 235 FR 5 5 37 2 7.4 7.4 100.0% 60.0% 1.2%
Deon Jackson RB 6'0, 215 FR 5 4 4 0 1.0 0.8 80.0% 20.0% 1.2%
Trevon Lee WR 6'1, 185 JR 2 1 4 0 4.0 2.0 50.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Mark Birmingham TE 6'4, 240 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Joe Giles-Harris LB 6'2, 230 SO 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 96.3 84 113.6 23 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 44.2% 101 41.8% 23 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 0.95 112 1.02 51 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.92 63 2.82 50 2.92
SD Sack Rate 4.4% 54 7.9% 13 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 105.3 54 111.3 33 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 32.4% 44 25.6% 15 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.44 96 1.84 127 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.35 58 3.09 53 3.22
PD Sack Rate 7.2% 62 8.2% 49 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 100.3 70 104.5 51
Q2 S&P+ 101.5 72 103.7 58
Q3 S&P+ 97.7 78 111.0 36
Q4 S&P+ 78.3 125 113.9 17
1st Down S&P+ 89.2 112 110.5 32
2nd Down S&P+ 103.1 60 104.1 56
3rd Down S&P+ 95.3 86 100.3 71
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 54.7% 91 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 33.8% 71 35.3%
Adj. Pace -1.5 31 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 73.9% 69 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 66.4% 12 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 38.4% 33 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 19.3% 20 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 5.1% 53 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 4.8% 51 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 9.3% 6 6.5%
PD to INC 41.1% 9 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Joe Giles-Harris LB 6'2, 230 SO 89.5 16 (4.5) 24 1 (4) 1 24.8%
Alonzo Saxton II S 5'11, 180 SR 69.5 5.5 (1) 10 0 (2) 1 51.8%
Ben Humphreys LB 6'2, 225 JR 51.5 9 (2.5) 12 1 (3) 0 27.1%
Jeremy McDuffie S 5'11, 175 JR 46.0 0.5 (0) 3 3 (9) 0 63.0%
Koby Quansah LB 6'1, 225 SO 40.0 4 (1) 5 0 (0) 1 50.0%
Jordan Hayes S 6'0, 180 SO 38.0 3 (1) 2 0 (7) 0 59.2%
Dylan Singleton S 5'11, 185 SO 38.0 2 (0) 5 0 (2) 1 55.3%
Tre Hornbuckle DE 6'4, 255 SO 34.5 9.5 (1) 15 0 (0) 1 26.0%
Bryon Fields Jr. CB 5'11, 185 SR 33.0 1 (0) 1 3 (7) 0 76.9%
Mike Ramsay DT 6'2, 290 SR 32.5 9.5 (5.5) 11 0 (0) 0 20.9%
Victor Dimukeje DE 6'2, 260 FR 29.5 7.5 (2) 10 1 (1) 0 15.0%
Mark Gilbert CB 6'1, 175 SO 27.0 3 (0) 3 6 (14) 0 67.6%
Edgar Cerenord DT 6'1, 300 JR 23.5 3 (2) 7 0 (0) 0 23.5%
Marquis Waters S 6'0, 200 FR 18.5 1 (0) 4 0 (0) 0 38.5%
Trevon McSwain DT 6'6, 275 SO 15.0 3 (2.5) 6 0 (0) 1 30.4%
Michael Carter II S 5'10, 190 FR 15.0 2.5 (1) 1 0 (2) 1 33.3%
Drew Jordan DE 6'2, 255 FR 11.5 3 (3) 2 0 (0) 0 31.3%
Brandon Feamster CB 6'3, 210 SO 8.5 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 0 100.0%
Brandon Hill LB 6'3, 230 FR 6.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 100.0%
Chris Taylor WR 6'1, 185 JR 6.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Derrick Tangelo DT 6'2, 305 FR 5.0 2 (1) 2 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Terrell Lucas DE 6'3, 235 SO 3.0 1 (1) 0 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Zavier Carmichael LB 6'0, 220 SR 3.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Jack Driggers K 5'11, 170 FR 3.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Nicodem Pierre RB 6'2, 220 JR 3.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.1 74
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.08 57
Punt Success Rate 44.1% 119
Kickoff Success Rate 79.5% 41
Punt Return Success Rate 26.3% 121
Kick Return Success Rate 50.0% 35
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Austin Parker 6'1, 190 SO 33-35 17-21 81.0%
William Holmquist 6'1, 190 SR 4-5 1-1 100.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Austin Parker 6'1, 190 SO 61 42.0 9 16 7 37.7%
William Holmquist 6'1, 190 SR 5 35.4 0 1 2 60.0%
Daniel Jones 6'5, 215 SO 1 45.0 1 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Jack Driggers 5'11, 170 FR 64 61.8 17 26.6% 1 1 0 0
Austin Parker 6'1, 190 SO 9 62.6 2 22.2% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
T.J. Rahming 5'10, 165 JR 13 7.0 0 12 0 (0)
Shaun Wilson 5'9, 185 SR 5 1.4 0 7 0 (0)
Myles Hudzick 5'10, 170 FR 1 9.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Shaun Wilson 5'9, 185 SR 26 23.4 0 0 0 (0)
Deon Jackson 6'0, 215 FR 2 19.5 0 0 0 (0)
Brittain Brown 6'1, 200 FR 1 38.0 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Koby Quansah LB 6'1, 225 SO 10.0 7.1 16.2
Michael Carter II S 5'10, 190 FR 8.0 0.0 20.6
Marquis Waters S 6'0, 200 FR 8.0 8.5 14.6
Brandon Feamster CB 6'3, 210 SO 7.5 5.5 22.3
Dylan Singleton S 5'11, 185 SO 6.0 20.1

Stats via SportSource Analytics