Updated on 1/3/18
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North Carolina Tar Heels (ACC Coastal)
2017 Schedule & Results
| Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.5 (0.5) | S&P+ Rk: 94 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 2-Sep | California | 87 | 30-35 | L | 40% | -2.3 | 44% | 68% | 28% |
| 9-Sep | Louisville | 16 | 35-47 | L | 7% | -13.9 | 24% | 65% | 20% |
| 16-Sep | at Old Dominion | 115 | 53-23 | W | 100% | 34.1 | 91% | 95% | 84% |
| 23-Sep | Duke | 65 | 17-27 | L | 49% | -0.3 | 50% | 29% | 71% |
| 30-Sep | at Georgia Tech | 73 | 7-33 | L | 0% | -34.8 | 6% | 8% | 18% |
| 7-Oct | Notre Dame | 13 | 10-33 | L | 0% | -28.9 | 10% | 8% | 30% |
| 14-Oct | Virginia | 85 | 14-20 | L | 6% | -14.4 | 20% | 14% | 56% |
| 21-Oct | at Virginia Tech | 29 | 7-59 | L | 0% | -26.6 | 12% | 9% | 42% |
| 28-Oct | Miami-FL | 17 | 19-24 | L | 40% | -2.4 | 46% | 38% | 54% |
| 9-Nov | at Pittsburgh | 82 | 34-31 | W | 1% | -20.1 | 14% | 38% | 23% |
| 18-Nov | Western Carolina | N/A | 65-10 | W | 100% | 37.5 | 92% | 97% | 73% |
| 25-Nov | at NC State | 38 | 21-33 | L | 2% | -18.5 | 18% | 33% | 18% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 26.7 | 83 | 30.7 | 91 |
| Points Per Game | 26.0 | 93 | 31.3 | 84 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 39.5% | 96 | 43.5% | 89 | 40.3% |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.15 | 70 | 1.18 | 69 | 1.17 |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 28.6 | 93 | 29.8 | 71 | 29.6 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.44 | 70 | 4.34 | 56 | 4.42 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | 2.0 | 46 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -3.35 |
||
| ACTUAL | -6 | 102 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 98.9 | 74 | 96.7 | 75 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 40.8% | 85 | 47.1% | 106 | 42.2% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 0.91 | 61 | 0.95 | 84 | 0.92 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 94 | 101 | 99 | 64 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 38.6% | 66 | 39.9% | 89 | 38.5% |
| Power Success Rate | 75.0% | 23 | 73.5% | 102 | 67.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 19.6% | 67 | 19.1% | 67 | 19.3% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Jordon Brown | TB | 5'10, 195 | SO | 138 | 613 | 4 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 35.5% | 1 (1) |
| Michael Carter | TB | 5'9, 195 | FR | 97 | 558 | 8 | 5.8 | 6.5 | 36.1% | 1 (1) |
| Chazz Surratt | QB | 6'3, 215 | FR | 71 | 328 | 5 | 4.6 | 7.2 | 38.0% | 7 (2) |
| Nathan Elliott | QB | 6'1, 215 | SO | 38 | 193 | 0 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 44.7% | 0 (0) |
| Brandon Harris | QB | 6'3, 220 | SR | 27 | 153 | 0 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 48.1% | 2 (0) |
| Johnathon Sutton | TB | 6'0, 230 | SO | 14 | 81 | 0 | 5.8 | 3.6 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
| Dazz Newsome | WR | 5'11, 175 | FR | 8 | 52 | 0 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 62.5% | 0 (0) |
| Manny Miles | QB | 6'0, 215 | JR | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
| Anthony Ratliff-Williams | WR | 6'1, 205 | SO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 99.0 | 70 | 95.6 | 84 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 38.5% | 91 | 39.0% | 52 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.38 | 89 | 1.52 | 87 | 1.48 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 100.6 | 70 | 100.7 | 69 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Chazz Surratt | 6'3, 215 | FR | 107 | 183 | 1342 | 8 | 3 | 58.5% | 14 | 7.1% | 6.2 |
| Nathan Elliott | 6'1, 215 | SO | 75 | 146 | 926 | 10 | 5 | 51.4% | 9 | 5.8% | 5.6 |
| Brandon Harris | 6'3, 220 | SR | 35 | 71 | 346 | 1 | 8 | 49.3% | 7 | 9.0% | 3.6 |
| Manny Miles | 6'0, 215 | JR | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 5.0 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Anthony Ratliff-Williams | WR | 6'1, 205 | SO | 64 | 35 | 630 | 6 | 18.0 | 9.8 | 54.7% | 48.4% | 16.9% |
| Jordan Cunningham | WR | 6'2, 190 | SR | 43 | 26 | 308 | 1 | 11.9 | 7.2 | 60.5% | 48.8% | 11.3% |
| Brandon Fritts | TE | 6'4, 250 | JR | 41 | 25 | 177 | 4 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 61.0% | 41.5% | 10.8% |
| Jordon Brown | TB | 5'10, 195 | SO | 37 | 29 | 237 | 0 | 8.2 | 6.4 | 78.4% | 51.4% | 9.8% |
| Austin Proehl | WR | 5'10, 185 | SR | 32 | 21 | 337 | 1 | 16.1 | 10.5 | 65.6% | 62.5% | 8.4% |
| Dazz Newsome | WR | 5'11, 175 | FR | 31 | 18 | 227 | 0 | 12.6 | 7.3 | 58.1% | 45.2% | 8.2% |
| Josh Cabrera | WR | 6'3, 205 | JR | 20 | 11 | 113 | 3 | 10.3 | 5.7 | 55.0% | 20.0% | 5.3% |
| Beau Corrales | WR | 6'4, 205 | FR | 19 | 9 | 143 | 3 | 15.9 | 7.5 | 47.4% | 42.1% | 5.0% |
| Roscoe Johnson | WR | 6'1, 190 | FR | 18 | 9 | 90 | 0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 50.0% | 27.8% | 4.7% |
| Michael Carter | TB | 5'9, 195 | FR | 17 | 11 | 100 | 1 | 9.1 | 5.9 | 64.7% | 41.2% | 4.5% |
| Thomas Jackson | WR | 5'11, 200 | JR | 13 | 7 | 97 | 2 | 13.9 | 7.5 | 53.8% | 53.8% | 3.4% |
| Juval Mollette | WR | 6'4, 200 | SO | 12 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 9.5 | 1.6 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 3.2% |
| Jake Bargas | TE | 6'4, 245 | SO | 11 | 8 | 72 | 0 | 9.0 | 6.6 | 72.7% | 36.4% | 2.9% |
| Carl Tucker | TE | 6'2, 255 | SO | 7 | 6 | 100 | 0 | 16.7 | 14.3 | 85.7% | 85.7% | 1.8% |
| Devin Perry | WR | 6'2, 200 | JR | 4 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 1.1% |
| Rontavius Groves | WR | 5'11, 175 | FR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 98.8 | 73 | 96.8 | 80 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 44.1% | 102 | 47.9% | 85 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.09 | 49 | 1.07 | 75 | 1.07 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.53 | 118 | 3.00 | 76 | 2.92 |
| SD Sack Rate | 3.4% | 27 | 4.9% | 71 | 5.3% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 100.3 | 70 | 97.8 | 77 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 30.3% | 72 | 33.8% | 103 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.34 | 113 | 1.53 | 75 | 1.53 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.76 | 13 | 3.62 | 101 | 3.22 |
| PD Sack Rate | 10.6% | 109 | 7.7% | 63 | 7.8% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 88.5 | 103 | 103.4 | 54 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 105.6 | 57 | 97.4 | 77 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 87.7 | 112 | 88.1 | 106 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 113.4 | 23 | 94.7 | 92 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 105.3 | 48 | 91.6 | 101 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 98.9 | 77 | 101.9 | 63 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 79.8 | 125 | 97.3 | 79 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 54.8% | 88 | 60.0% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 29.4% | 97 | 35.3% |
| Adj. Pace | -2.1 | 24 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 71.9% | 85 | 73.8% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 63.8% | 27 | 59.9% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 38.1% | 37 | 35.0% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 15.9% | 62 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 6.8% | 25 | 4.9% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 2.4% | 114 | 4.4% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 6.7% | 61 | 6.5% |
| PD to INC | 36.4% | 39 | 33.9% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | TFL (Sacks) | Run Stuffs* | Int (PBU) | FF | Succ. Rate** |
| Cayson Collins | LB | 6'1, 230 | SR | 67.5 | 4.5 (2) | 8 | 0 (1) | 2 | 43.6% |
| Cole Holcomb | LB | 6'1, 225 | JR | 67.0 | 2.5 (0.5) | 5 | 0 (3) | 0 | 45.2% |
| Myles Dorn | S | 6'2, 210 | SO | 52.5 | 2.5 (0) | 7 | 2 (5) | 1 | 62.0% |
| J.K. Britt | S | 6'0, 200 | JR | 43.5 | 1.5 (0) | 2 | 1 (1) | 1 | 68.1% |
| Malik Carney | DE | 6'3, 235 | JR | 41.5 | 12 (5.5) | 12 | 0 (2) | 2 | 26.3% |
| M.J. Stewart | CB | 6'0, 205 | SR | 39.0 | 5 (2) | 2 | 0 (12) | 0 | 55.8% |
| Donnie Miles | S | 5'11, 210 | SR | 30.5 | 0.5 (0) | 5 | 1 (1) | 1 | 66.7% |
| Jonathan Smith | LB | 6'1, 230 | SO | 29.5 | 4 (0) | 5 | 0 (1) | 0 | 41.0% |
| Myles Wolfolk | S | 6'0, 200 | FR | 28.0 | 1 (0) | 2 | 2 (2) | 1 | 51.9% |
| Dajaun Drennon | DE | 6'4, 245 | SR | 27.5 | 4 (0.5) | 11 | 0 (0) | 0 | 27.3% |
| K.J. Sails | CB | 5'11, 175 | SO | 26.0 | 1 (0) | 1 | 0 (13) | 0 | 83.3% |
| Jeremiah Clarke | DT | 6'5, 315 | JR | 23.5 | 4.5 (0.5) | 8 | 0 (1) | 0 | 31.3% |
| Jason Strowbridge | DL | 6'4, 270 | SO | 23.0 | 5.5 (1) | 5 | 0 (1) | 1 | 20.6% |
| Jalen Dalton | DT | 6'6, 295 | JR | 21.5 | 8 (3) | 9 | 0 (3) | 0 | 32.1% |
| Aaron Crawford | DT | 6'1, 310 | SO | 20.5 | 5 (3) | 4 | 0 (0) | 0 | 17.2% |
| Ayden Bonilla | LB | 6'2, 225 | JR | 20.5 | 0.5 (0) | 2 | 0 (0) | 0 | 56.0% |
| Patrice Rene | CB | 6'2, 205 | SO | 19.0 | 2 (0) | 3 | 0 (1) | 0 | 68.2% |
| Tomon Fox | DE | 6'3, 245 | FR | 18.0 | 4 (4) | 2 | 0 (1) | 1 | 20.0% |
| Andre Smith | LB | 6'0, 240 | JR | 15.5 | 0.5 (0) | 3 | 1 (1) | 0 | 57.1% |
| Allen Artis | S | 6'1, 215 | SR | 9.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 80.0% |
| Allen Cater | DE | 6'4, 250 | SO | 7.5 | 1 (0) | 2 | 0 (1) | 1 | 18.2% |
| Hunter Crafford | LB | 6'2, 230 | SR | 7.5 | 0.5 (0) | 2 | 0 (0) | 0 | 20.0% |
| Tre Shaw | CB | 6'0, 190 | FR | 7.5 | 0 (0) | 1 | 0 (0) | 0 | 66.7% |
| Tyrone Hopper | DL | 6'4, 235 | FR | 6.5 | 1 (1) | 1 | 0 (1) | 1 | 25.0% |
| Dominique Ross | LB | 6'3, 210 | SO | 6.0 | 0.5 (0) | 1 | 0 (0) | 0 | 33.3% |
* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.
** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | 0.4 | 33 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.04 | 77 |
| Punt Success Rate | 69.0% | 21 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 88.1% | 13 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 57.1% | 36 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 39.5% | 89 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Freeman Jones | 6'0, 210 | JR | 37-38 | 9-14 | 64.3% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Tom Sheldon | 6'3, 205 | SO | 45 | 45.8 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 68.9% |
| Hunter Lent | 6'5, 230 | JR | 25 | 44.9 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 60.0% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Freeman Jones | 6'0, 210 | JR | 59 | 63.9 | 30 | 50.8% | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| M.J. Stewart | 6'0, 205 | SR | 15 | 11.3 | 0 | 11 | 0 (0) |
| Austin Proehl | 5'10, 185 | SR | 5 | 9.8 | 0 | 8 | 1 (1) |
| Rontavius Groves | 5'11, 175 | FR | 1 | 7.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Anthony Ratliff-Williams | 6'1, 205 | SO | 34 | 26.3 | 2 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Allen Cater | 6'4, 250 | SO | 3 | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| M.J. Stewart | 6'0, 205 | SR | 2 | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Tackler | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | ST Tackles | PR Avg | KR Avg |
| J.K. Britt | S | 6'0, 200 | JR | 5.5 | 7.0 | 15.8 |
| Cayson Collins | LB | 6'1, 230 | SR | 5.0 | 15.8 | |
| Tre Shaw | CB | 6'0, 190 | FR | 4.5 | 1.5 | 21.0 |
| Allen Artis | S | 6'1, 215 | SR | 4.5 | 14.5 | 19.0 |
| Hunter Crafford | LB | 6'2, 230 | SR | 4.0 | 12.7 | 12.0 |
Stats via SportSource Analytics