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2017 Florida State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/4/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Florida State Seminoles (ACC Atlantic)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.3 (0.3) | S&P+ Rk: 43
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep vs. Alabama 1 7-24 L 3% -17.1 19% 4% 79%
23-Sep NC State 38 21-27 L 68% 4.2 61% 45% 65%
30-Sep at Wake Forest 37 26-19 W 57% 1.7 54% 43% 59%
7-Oct Miami-FL 17 20-24 L 77% 6.8 66% 46% 70%
14-Oct at Duke 65 17-10 W 99% 21.1 87% 36% 95%
21-Oct Louisville 16 28-31 L 12% -11.0 29% 40% 35%
27-Oct at Boston College 66 3-35 L 0% -29.3 8% 3% 51%
4-Nov Syracuse 88 27-24 W 81% 8.2 65% 59% 65%
11-Nov at Clemson 8 14-31 L 0% -24.4 13% 14% 29%
18-Nov Delaware State N/A 77-6 W 100% 47.6 93% 98% 96%
25-Nov at Florida 86 38-22 W 34% -3.9 39% 37% 67%
2-Dec UL-Monroe 105 42-10 W 100% 36.9 93% 91% 92%
27-Dec vs. Southern Miss 40 42-13 W 99% 23.5 91% 89% 79%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 27.4 75 23.2 33
Points Per Game 30.2 64 23.0 30
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 42.0% 60 38.8% 40 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.18 54 1.09 29 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.9 60 30.5 93 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.54 59 3.89 22 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 0.9 55 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-2.66
ACTUAL -6 102
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 112.0 29 115.3 26 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 42.9% 63 39.7% 44 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.95 43 0.89 56 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 108.4 35 121 9 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.9% 62 35.6% 47 38.5%
Power Success Rate 65.9% 80 61.5% 28 67.7%
Stuff Rate 23.5% 121 24.3% 12 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Cam Akers RB 5'11, 213 FR 194 1025 7 5.3 5.4 42.3% 2 (1)
Jacques Patrick RB 6'3, 234 JR 133 735 7 5.5 7.0 36.1% 1 (0)
James Blackman QB 6'5, 169 FR 37 169 0 4.6 4.6 35.1% 7 (3)
Amir Rasul RB 5'11, 206 SO 33 152 0 4.6 4.3 36.4% 2 (0)
Ryan Green RB 5'10, 204 SR 13 126 3 9.7 8.7 61.5% 0 (0)
Deondre Francois QB 6'1, 199 SO 6 11 0 1.8 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
Nyqwan Murray WR 5'11, 183 JR 5 22 1 4.4 3.6 40.0% 0 (0)
Josh Sweat DE 6'5, 253 JR 2 13 0 6.5 2.5 50.0% 0 (0)
J.J. Cosentino QB 6'5, 247 JR 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 0.0% 1 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 111.9 30 111.6 25 100.0
Passing Success Rate 41.0% 62 37.8% 41 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.45 61 1.28 15 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 74.9 108 93.4 81 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
James Blackman 6'5, 169 FR 173 297 2230 19 11 58.2% 29 8.9% 6.2
Deondre Francois 6'1, 199 SO 19 33 210 1 2 57.6% 3 8.3% 5.3
J.J. Cosentino 6'5, 247 JR 8 11 58 1 0 72.7% 0 0.0% 5.3
Jake Rizzo 6'0, 214 FR 1 2 6 0 0 50.0% 0 0.0% 3.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Nyqwan Murray WR 5'11, 183 JR 73 40 604 4 15.1 8.3 54.8% 41.1% 22.6%
Auden Tate WR 6'5, 225 JR 63 40 548 10 13.7 8.7 63.5% 60.3% 19.5%
Keith Gavin WR 6'3, 221 SO 49 28 289 0 10.3 5.9 57.1% 44.9% 15.2%
Ryan Izzo TE 6'5, 250 JR 34 19 306 3 16.1 9.0 55.9% 55.9% 10.5%
Jacques Patrick RB 6'3, 234 JR 26 21 171 0 8.1 6.6 80.8% 50.0% 8.0%
Cam Akers RB 5'11, 213 FR 18 16 116 1 7.3 6.4 88.9% 55.6% 5.6%
Ermon Lane DB 6'3, 215 SR 13 8 169 0 21.1 13.0 61.5% 53.8% 4.0%
George Campbell WR 6'4, 207 SO 11 6 122 0 20.3 11.1 54.5% 45.5% 3.4%
D.J. Matthews WR 5'10, 151 FR 8 6 72 1 12.0 9.0 75.0% 62.5% 2.5%
Amir Rasul RB 5'11, 206 SO 6 4 28 0 7.0 4.7 66.7% 50.0% 1.9%
Justin Motlow WR 5'11, 189 JR 6 4 27 1 6.8 4.5 66.7% 33.3% 1.9%
Johnathan Vickers RB 6'1, 239 JR 5 4 50 0 12.5 10.0 80.0% 40.0% 1.5%
Mavin Saunders TE 6'5, 256 JR 3 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.9%
Jared Jackson WR 6'2, 200 SR 2 2 13 0 6.5 6.5 100.0% 50.0% 0.6%
Gabe Nabers FB 6'3, 248 SO 2 1 2 1 2.0 1.0 50.0% 50.0% 0.6%
TreΓÇÖ McKitty TE 6'5, 237 FR 1 1 23 0 23.0 23.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 112.1 23 114.1 22 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 48.4% 44 43.1% 35 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.08 51 0.96 22 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.77 87 2.58 28 2.92
SD Sack Rate 7.4% 109 6.9% 27 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 104.0 59 109.1 45 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 28.0% 94 30.0% 71 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.58 44 1.45 44 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.16 76 3.09 53 3.22
PD Sack Rate 11.5% 116 3.8% 122 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 109.1 46 130.0 13
Q2 S&P+ 113.1 36 125.0 17
Q3 S&P+ 108.8 48 117.5 19
Q4 S&P+ 112.2 30 99.0 68
1st Down S&P+ 114.7 28 115.5 18
2nd Down S&P+ 117.1 25 125.6 10
3rd Down S&P+ 89.8 102 110.6 37
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.7% 45 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 30.2% 90 35.3%
Adj. Pace +3.6 127 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 66.9% 110 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.0% 77 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 28.5% 119 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 19.1% 22 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 8.7% 5 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 2.5% 113 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 7.6% 26 6.5%
PD to INC 37.1% 32 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Derwin James DB 6'3, 215 SO 66.5 5.5 (1) 2 2 (11) 0 59.5%
Matthew Thomas LB 6'4, 219 SR 64.0 10 (2) 13 1 (2) 0 37.8%
Josh Sweat DE 6'5, 253 JR 43.5 12.5 (5.5) 11 0 (3) 0 33.9%
Derrick Nnadi DT 6'1, 310 SR 37.5 10 (3.5) 12 0 (1) 1 15.1%
Brian Burns DE 6'5, 227 SO 37.0 13.5 (4.5) 13 0 (4) 3 33.3%
A.J. Westbrook DB 6'0, 192 JR 36.5 0 (0) 4 0 (7) 0 56.4%
RoΓÇÖderrick Hoskins LB 6'3, 245 SR 32.5 1.5 (0) 8 0 (1) 1 24.4%
Trey Marshall DB 6'0, 217 SR 32.5 1.5 (0) 4 0 (1) 0 68.2%
Demarcus Christmas DT 6'4, 309 JR 27.5 4.5 (1) 15 0 (4) 0 11.1%
Hamsah Nasirildeen DB 6'4, 219 FR 26.0 0 (0) 0 0 (3) 0 72.7%
Tarvarus McFadden DB 6'2, 205 JR 25.5 0 (0) 0 0 (10) 0 60.0%
Kyle Meyers DB 6'0, 174 SO 25.0 1 (0) 0 1 (3) 1 76.0%
Stanford Samuels III DB 6'2, 169 FR 23.5 3 (1) 2 2 (5) 1 69.2%
Jacob Pugh LB 6'4, 240 SR 16.0 1 (0) 3 0 (2) 0 40.0%
Nate Andrews DB 6'0, 206 SR 15.5 0 (0) 1 0 (1) 0 70.6%
Jalen Wilkerson DE 6'5, 283 SO 14.5 6 (0.5) 8 0 (0) 0 21.1%
Fredrick Jones DT 6'2, 299 JR 14.5 2 (0.5) 2 0 (0) 0 29.4%
Levonta Taylor DB 5'10, 180 SO 14.5 1 (0) 2 2 (3) 0 66.7%
Joshua Kaindoh DE 6'7, 252 FR 14.0 6.5 (4) 4 0 (0) 1 23.5%
Dontavious Jackson LB 6'3, 232 SO 13.5 1 (1) 4 0 (0) 0 18.2%
Walvenski Aimé DT 6'5, 300 JR 13.0 2 (0) 3 0 (0) 0 38.9%
Emmett Rice LB 6'2, 213 SO 10.0 0.5 (0) 5 1 (0) 0 20.0%
Ermon Lane DB 6'3, 215 SR 9.5 0 (0) 1 0 (2) 0 41.7%
Adonis Thomas LB 6'4, 229 SO 9.0 1 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 27.3%
Jared Jackson WR 6'2, 200 SR 6.5 0 (0) 0 (0) 0

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.7 7
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.42 8
Punt Success Rate 55.2% 78
Kickoff Success Rate 86.7% 16
Punt Return Success Rate 54.8% 44
Kick Return Success Rate 63.0% 8
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Ricky Aguayo 6'2, 219 SO 42-44 18-21 85.7%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Logan Tyler 6'0, 194 SO 66 43.2 6 19 20 59.1%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Logan Tyler 6'0, 194 SO 75 63.8 40 53.3% 0 2 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
D.J. Matthews 5'10, 151 FR 18 11.1 0 11 1 (1)
Tarvarus McFadden 6'2, 205 JR 12 3.5 0 8 2 (1)
Brian Burns 6'5, 227 SO 1 13.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Amir Rasul 5'11, 206 SO 9 22.8 0 0 0 (0)
Keith Gavin 6'3, 221 SO 7 25.4 0 0 1 (1)
Derwin James 6'3, 215 SO 6 28.3 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Hamsah Nasirildeen DB 6'4, 219 FR 7.0 2.7 18.0
Jared Jackson WR 6'2, 200 SR 5.5 4.4 23.0
Dontavious Jackson LB 6'3, 232 SO 4.5 17.0 17.8
Emmett Rice LB 6'2, 213 SO 4.0 21.5
Logan Tyler K 6'0, 194 SO 4.0 29.0 32.7

Stats via SportSource Analytics