2017 Florida State advanced statistical profile

_{Updated on
1/4/18}

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_{Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.}

_{2015 | 2016 | 2017}

Florida State Seminoles (ACC Atlantic)

2017 Schedule & Results

Record: 7-6 \| Second-order wins (diff.): 7.3 (0.3) \| S&P+ Rk: 43
Date	Opponent	Opp. S&P+ Rk	Score	W-L	Win Expectancy	Adj. Scoring Margin	Percentile Performance	Off. Percentile	Def. Percentile
2-Sep	vs. Alabama	1	7-24	L	3%	-17.1	19%	4%	79%
23-Sep	NC State	38	21-27	L	68%	4.2	61%	45%	65%
30-Sep	at Wake Forest	37	26-19	W	57%	1.7	54%	43%	59%
7-Oct	Miami-FL	17	20-24	L	77%	6.8	66%	46%	70%
14-Oct	at Duke	65	17-10	W	99%	21.1	87%	36%	95%
21-Oct	Louisville	16	28-31	L	12%	-11.0	29%	40%	35%
27-Oct	at Boston College	66	3-35	L	0%	-29.3	8%	3%	51%
4-Nov	Syracuse	88	27-24	W	81%	8.2	65%	59%	65%
11-Nov	at Clemson	8	14-31	L	0%	-24.4	13%	14%	29%
18-Nov	Delaware State	N/A	77-6	W	100%	47.6	93%	98%	96%
25-Nov	at Florida	86	38-22	W	34%	-3.9	39%	37%	67%
2-Dec	UL-Monroe	105	42-10	W	100%	36.9	93%	91%	92%
27-Dec	vs. Southern Miss	40	42-13	W	99%	23.5	91%	89%	79%

Category	Offense	Rk	Defense	Rk
S&P+	27.4	75	23.2	33
Points Per Game	30.2	64	23.0	30

Five Factors

		Offense		Defense
	Category	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY	Success Rate	42.0%	60	38.8%	40	40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS	IsoPPP	1.18	54	1.09	29	1.17
FIELD POSITION	Avg. FP	29.9	60	30.5	93	29.6
FINISHING DRIVES	Pts. Per Trip in 40	4.54	59	3.89	22	4.42

TURNOVER MARGIN	EXPECTED	0.9	55	Turnover Luck (PPG): -2.66
	ACTUAL	-6	102	Turnover Luck (PPG): -2.66

Rushing

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+	112.0	29	115.3	26	100.0
Rushing Success Rate	42.9%	63	39.7%	44	42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP	0.95	43	0.89	56	0.92
Adj. Line Yards	108.4	35	121	9	100.0
Opportunity Rate	38.9%	62	35.6%	47	38.5%
Power Success Rate	65.9%	80	61.5%	28	67.7%
Stuff Rate	23.5%	121	24.3%	12	19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player	Pos.	Ht, Wt	Year	Rushes	Yards	TD	Yards/ Carry	Hlt Yds/ Opp.	Opp. Rate	Fumbles (Lost)
Cam Akers	RB	5'11, 213	FR	194	1025	7	5.3	5.4	42.3%	2 (1)
Jacques Patrick	RB	6'3, 234	JR	133	735	7	5.5	7.0	36.1%	1 (0)
James Blackman	QB	6'5, 169	FR	37	169	0	4.6	4.6	35.1%	7 (3)
Amir Rasul	RB	5'11, 206	SO	33	152	0	4.6	4.3	36.4%	2 (0)
Ryan Green	RB	5'10, 204	SR	13	126	3	9.7	8.7	61.5%	0 (0)
Deondre Francois	QB	6'1, 199	SO	6	11	0	1.8	0.0	0.0%	0 (0)
Nyqwan Murray	WR	5'11, 183	JR	5	22	1	4.4	3.6	40.0%	0 (0)
Josh Sweat	DE	6'5, 253	JR	2	13	0	6.5	2.5	50.0%	0 (0)
J.J. Cosentino	QB	6'5, 247	JR	2	2	0	1.0	0.0	0.0%	1 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.

Passing

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+	111.9	30	111.6	25	100.0
Passing Success Rate	41.0%	62	37.8%	41	40.3%
Passing IsoPPP	1.45	61	1.28	15	1.48
Adj. Sack Rate	74.9	108	93.4	81	100

Individual Passing Stats

Player	Ht, Wt	Year	Comp	Att	Yards	TD	INT	Comp Rate	Sacks	Sack Rate	Yards/ Att.
James Blackman	6'5, 169	FR	173	297	2230	19	11	58.2%	29	8.9%	6.2
Deondre Francois	6'1, 199	SO	19	33	210	1	2	57.6%	3	8.3%	5.3
J.J. Cosentino	6'5, 247	JR	8	11	58	1	0	72.7%	0	0.0%	5.3
Jake Rizzo	6'0, 214	FR	1	2	6	0	0	50.0%	0	0.0%	3.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player	Pos.	Ht, Wt	Year	Targets	Catches	Yards	TD	Yds/ Catch	Yds/ Target	Catch Rate	Success Rate	Target Rate
Nyqwan Murray	WR	5'11, 183	JR	73	40	604	4	15.1	8.3	54.8%	41.1%	22.6%
Auden Tate	WR	6'5, 225	JR	63	40	548	10	13.7	8.7	63.5%	60.3%	19.5%
Keith Gavin	WR	6'3, 221	SO	49	28	289	0	10.3	5.9	57.1%	44.9%	15.2%
Ryan Izzo	TE	6'5, 250	JR	34	19	306	3	16.1	9.0	55.9%	55.9%	10.5%
Jacques Patrick	RB	6'3, 234	JR	26	21	171	0	8.1	6.6	80.8%	50.0%	8.0%
Cam Akers	RB	5'11, 213	FR	18	16	116	1	7.3	6.4	88.9%	55.6%	5.6%
Ermon Lane	DB	6'3, 215	SR	13	8	169	0	21.1	13.0	61.5%	53.8%	4.0%
George Campbell	WR	6'4, 207	SO	11	6	122	0	20.3	11.1	54.5%	45.5%	3.4%
D.J. Matthews	WR	5'10, 151	FR	8	6	72	1	12.0	9.0	75.0%	62.5%	2.5%
Amir Rasul	RB	5'11, 206	SO	6	4	28	0	7.0	4.7	66.7%	50.0%	1.9%
Justin Motlow	WR	5'11, 189	JR	6	4	27	1	6.8	4.5	66.7%	33.3%	1.9%
Johnathan Vickers	RB	6'1, 239	JR	5	4	50	0	12.5	10.0	80.0%	40.0%	1.5%
Mavin Saunders	TE	6'5, 256	JR	3	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.9%
Jared Jackson	WR	6'2, 200	SR	2	2	13	0	6.5	6.5	100.0%	50.0%	0.6%
Gabe Nabers	FB	6'3, 248	SO	2	1	2	1	2.0	1.0	50.0%	50.0%	0.6%
TreΓÇÖ McKitty	TE	6'5, 237	FR	1	1	23	0	23.0	23.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.3%

Standard Downs

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+	112.1	23	114.1	22	100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate	48.4%	44	43.1%	35	46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP	1.08	51	0.96	22	1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry	2.77	87	2.58	28	2.92
SD Sack Rate	7.4%	109	6.9%	27	5.3%

Passing Downs

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+	104.0	59	109.1	45	100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate	28.0%	94	30.0%	71	30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP	1.58	44	1.45	44	1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry	3.16	76	3.09	53	3.22
PD Sack Rate	11.5%	116	3.8%	122	7.8%

Situational

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk
Q1 S&P+	109.1	46	130.0	13
Q2 S&P+	113.1	36	125.0	17
Q3 S&P+	108.8	48	117.5	19
Q4 S&P+	112.2	30	99.0	68
1st Down S&P+	114.7	28	115.5	18
2nd Down S&P+	117.1	25	125.6	10
3rd Down S&P+	89.8	102	110.6	37

Offensive Footprint

	Team	Rk	Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate	61.7%	45	60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate	30.2%	90	35.3%
Adj. Pace	+3.6	127	+0.0
% of Solo Tackles	66.9%	110	73.8%

Defensive Footprint

	Team	Rk	Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate	59.0%	77	59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate	28.5%	119	35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate	19.1%	22	16.0%
DL Havoc Rate	8.7%	5	4.9%
LB Havoc Rate	2.5%	113	4.4%
DB Havoc Rate	7.6%	26	6.5%
PD to INC	37.1%	32	33.9%

Individual Defensive Stats

Name	Pos	Ht, Wt	Year	Tackles	TFL (Sacks)	Run Stuffs*	Int (PBU)	FF	Succ. Rate**
Derwin James	DB	6'3, 215	SO	66.5	5.5 (1)	2	2 (11)	0	59.5%
Matthew Thomas	LB	6'4, 219	SR	64.0	10 (2)	13	1 (2)	0	37.8%
Josh Sweat	DE	6'5, 253	JR	43.5	12.5 (5.5)	11	0 (3)	0	33.9%
Derrick Nnadi	DT	6'1, 310	SR	37.5	10 (3.5)	12	0 (1)	1	15.1%
Brian Burns	DE	6'5, 227	SO	37.0	13.5 (4.5)	13	0 (4)	3	33.3%
A.J. Westbrook	DB	6'0, 192	JR	36.5	0 (0)	4	0 (7)	0	56.4%
RoΓÇÖderrick Hoskins	LB	6'3, 245	SR	32.5	1.5 (0)	8	0 (1)	1	24.4%
Trey Marshall	DB	6'0, 217	SR	32.5	1.5 (0)	4	0 (1)	0	68.2%
Demarcus Christmas	DT	6'4, 309	JR	27.5	4.5 (1)	15	0 (4)	0	11.1%
Hamsah Nasirildeen	DB	6'4, 219	FR	26.0	0 (0)	0	0 (3)	0	72.7%
Tarvarus McFadden	DB	6'2, 205	JR	25.5	0 (0)	0	0 (10)	0	60.0%
Kyle Meyers	DB	6'0, 174	SO	25.0	1 (0)	0	1 (3)	1	76.0%
Stanford Samuels III	DB	6'2, 169	FR	23.5	3 (1)	2	2 (5)	1	69.2%
Jacob Pugh	LB	6'4, 240	SR	16.0	1 (0)	3	0 (2)	0	40.0%
Nate Andrews	DB	6'0, 206	SR	15.5	0 (0)	1	0 (1)	0	70.6%
Jalen Wilkerson	DE	6'5, 283	SO	14.5	6 (0.5)	8	0 (0)	0	21.1%
Fredrick Jones	DT	6'2, 299	JR	14.5	2 (0.5)	2	0 (0)	0	29.4%
Levonta Taylor	DB	5'10, 180	SO	14.5	1 (0)	2	2 (3)	0	66.7%
Joshua Kaindoh	DE	6'7, 252	FR	14.0	6.5 (4)	4	0 (0)	1	23.5%
Dontavious Jackson	LB	6'3, 232	SO	13.5	1 (1)	4	0 (0)	0	18.2%
Walvenski Aim├⌐	DT	6'5, 300	JR	13.0	2 (0)	3	0 (0)	0	38.9%
Emmett Rice	LB	6'2, 213	SO	10.0	0.5 (0)	5	1 (0)	0	20.0%
Ermon Lane	DB	6'3, 215	SR	9.5	0 (0)	1	0 (2)	0	41.7%
Adonis Thomas	LB	6'4, 229	SO	9.0	1 (0)	2	0 (0)	0	27.3%
Jared Jackson	WR	6'2, 200	SR	6.5	0 (0)		0 (0)	0

_{* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.}

_{** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.}

Special Teams

	Rating	Rank
Special Teams S&P+	0.7	7

Category	Rate	Rank
FG Value (per kick)	0.42	8
Punt Success Rate	55.2%	78
Kickoff Success Rate	86.7%	16
Punt Return Success Rate	54.8%	44
Kick Return Success Rate	63.0%	8

Place-Kicker	Ht, Wt	Year	PAT	FG	Pct
Ricky Aguayo	6'2, 219	SO	42-44	18-21	85.7%

Punter	Ht, Wt	Year	Punts	Avg	TB	FC	I20	FC/I20 Ratio
Logan Tyler	6'0, 194	SO	66	43.2	6	19	20	59.1%

Kicker	Ht, Wt	Year	Kickoffs	Avg	TB	TB%	OOB	Fair Catches	Onside Att	Onside Success
Logan Tyler	6'0, 194	SO	75	63.8	40	53.3%	0	2	0	0

Punt Returner	Ht, Wt	Year	Returns	Avg.	TD	Fair Catch	Fumbles (Lost)
D.J. Matthews	5'10, 151	FR	18	11.1	0	11	1 (1)
Tarvarus McFadden	6'2, 205	JR	12	3.5	0	8	2 (1)
Brian Burns	6'5, 227	SO	1	13.0	0	0	0 (0)

Kick Returner	Ht, Wt	Year	Returns	Avg.	TD	Fair Catch	Fumbles (Lost)
Amir Rasul	5'11, 206	SO	9	22.8	0	0	0 (0)
Keith Gavin	6'3, 221	SO	7	25.4	0	0	1 (1)
Derwin James	6'3, 215	SO	6	28.3	0	0	0 (0)

Tackler	Pos	Ht, Wt	Year	ST Tackles	PR Avg	KR Avg
Hamsah Nasirildeen	DB	6'4, 219	FR	7.0	2.7	18.0
Jared Jackson	WR	6'2, 200	SR	5.5	4.4	23.0
Dontavious Jackson	LB	6'3, 232	SO	4.5	17.0	17.8
Emmett Rice	LB	6'2, 213	SO	4.0		21.5
Logan Tyler	K	6'0, 194	SO	4.0	29.0	32.7

_{Stats via SportSource Analytics}