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2017 Baylor advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/3/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Baylor Bears (Big 12)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 1-11 | Second-order wins (diff.): 2.8 (1.8) | S&P+ Rk: 106
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep Liberty N/A 45-48 L 73% 5.7 61% 85% 21%
9-Sep UTSA 55 10-17 L 9% -12.2 28% 8% 78%
16-Sep at Duke 65 20-34 L 7% -13.3 23% 31% 38%
23-Sep Oklahoma 9 41-49 L 0% -24.0 14% 74% 3%
30-Sep at Kansas State 64 20-33 L 2% -19.5 16% 23% 29%
14-Oct at Oklahoma State 12 16-59 L 0% -38.1 8% 23% 4%
21-Oct West Virginia 63 36-38 L 7% -13.7 23% 54% 14%
28-Oct Texas 50 7-38 L 0% -29.2 9% 6% 33%
4-Nov at Kansas 125 38-9 W 100% 35.1 91% 74% 96%
11-Nov vs. Texas Tech 58 24-38 L 52% 0.5 51% 59% 40%
18-Nov Iowa State 44 13-23 L 23% -6.8 35% 20% 70%
24-Nov at TCU 14 22-45 L 2% -19.6 17% 35% 16%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 26.4 85 33.2 111
Points Per Game 24.3 101 35.9 112
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 34.3% 127 44.2% 94 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.36 12 1.27 108 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 27.2 116 32.3 121 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.99 109 4.49 74 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -6.7 119 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-3.03
ACTUAL -14 124
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 95.4 87 94.5 88 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 34.4% 126 43.5% 83 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.91 63 1.01 103 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 94.1 100 97.6 72 100.0
Opportunity Rate 34.2% 109 39.1% 77 38.5%
Power Success Rate 50.0% 130 65.7% 53 67.7%
Stuff Rate 25.3% 127 23.1% 25 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
John Lovett RB 6'2, 195 FR 98 445 5 4.5 6.5 30.6% 2 (2)
JaMycal Hasty RB 5'8, 200 SO 76 314 1 4.1 4.6 31.6% 0 (0)
Terence Williams RB 6'2, 222 JR 73 255 1 3.5 4.4 21.9% 2 (1)
Charlie Brewer QB 6'1, 190 FR 50 273 0 5.5 4.0 54.0% 4 (3)
Trestan Ebner RB 6'0, 205 FR 25 125 2 5.0 6.1 36.0% 0 (0)
Anu Solomon QB 6'1, 212 SR 12 129 0 10.8 9.7 66.7% 3 (0)
Zach Smith QB 6'3, 225 SO 12 63 0 5.3 5.3 33.3% 5 (3)
Dru Dixon RB 6'1, 230 FR 10 29 0 2.9 9.9 10.0% 0 (0)
Tony Nicholson WR 5'10, 185 SO 4 41 0 10.3 12.6 50.0% 2 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 88.0 107 93.2 93 100.0
Passing Success Rate 34.3% 112 44.9% 105 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.73 11 1.55 93 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 74.7 109 104.5 55 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Charlie Brewer 6'1, 190 FR 139 204 1562 11 4 68.1% 15 6.8% 6.6
Zach Smith 6'3, 225 SO 105 201 1471 8 8 52.2% 19 8.6% 6.0
Anu Solomon 6'1, 212 SR 24 55 399 4 2 43.6% 4 6.8% 6.4

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Denzel Mims WR 6'3, 197 SO 116 61 1087 8 17.8 9.4 52.6% 42.2% 26.4%
Tony Nicholson WR 5'10, 185 SO 62 41 344 0 8.4 5.6 66.1% 43.5% 14.1%
Pooh Stricklin WR 6'2, 185 SO 50 32 414 1 12.9 8.3 64.0% 48.0% 11.4%
Chris Platt WR 5'11, 173 JR 34 16 401 5 25.1 11.8 47.1% 26.5% 7.7%
Blake Lynch WR 6'3, 205 SO 27 17 269 1 15.8 10.0 63.0% 44.4% 6.1%
JaMycal Hasty RB 5'8, 200 SO 27 25 105 0 4.2 3.9 92.6% 29.6% 6.1%
Trestan Ebner RB 6'0, 205 FR 26 20 267 3 13.4 10.3 76.9% 42.3% 5.9%
Gavin Holmes WR 5'11, 195 FR 23 13 166 2 12.8 7.2 56.5% 39.1% 5.2%
Jared Atkinson WR 6'3, 210 SO 14 5 73 0 14.6 5.2 35.7% 28.6% 3.2%
Jordan Feuerbacher TE 6'4, 271 SR 10 7 73 1 10.4 7.3 70.0% 50.0% 2.3%
R.J. Sneed WR 6'2, 190 FR 10 5 53 0 10.6 5.3 50.0% 40.0% 2.3%
John Lovett RB 6'2, 195 FR 10 7 20 0 2.9 2.0 70.0% 30.0% 2.3%
Terence Williams RB 6'2, 222 JR 7 6 40 0 6.7 5.7 85.7% 28.6% 1.6%
Ishmail Wainright TE 6'5, 260 SR 7 4 34 2 8.5 4.9 57.1% 42.9% 1.6%
Trevor White WR 5'7, 165 JR 6 4 28 0 7.0 4.7 66.7% 16.7% 1.4%
Marques Jones WR 6'2, 200 SO 4 3 35 0 11.7 8.8 75.0% 75.0% 0.9%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 85.7 126 95.1 92 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 37.3% 129 48.9% 94 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.17 25 1.18 111 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.21 128 2.73 46 2.92
SD Sack Rate 8.2% 115 5.5% 57 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 110.3 42 91.6 100 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 29.1% 86 34.4% 107 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.79 10 1.55 83 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.38 52 3.44 88 3.22
PD Sack Rate 8.0% 75 6.5% 87 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 77.8 122 96.4 79
Q2 S&P+ 98.1 84 92.2 98
Q3 S&P+ 104.1 62 82.4 118
Q4 S&P+ 104.3 54 107.6 32
1st Down S&P+ 87.6 119 91.1 103
2nd Down S&P+ 113.9 34 90.7 103
3rd Down S&P+ 84.2 116 103.3 59
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 55.9% 80 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 24.5% 122 35.3%
Adj. Pace -0.1 63 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 85.2% 5 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 57.7% 91 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 38.8% 30 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 15.8% 63 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 5.8% 42 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 4.5% 58 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 4.8% 118 6.5%
PD to INC 32.8% 75 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Taylor Young LB 5'9, 225 SR 49.5 8 (3) 12 0 (1) 0 35.6%
Clay Johnston LB 6'1, 220 SO 44.0 9 (1) 9 0 (0) 1 38.9%
Verkedric Vaughns S 5'9, 190 JR 36.5 2 (1) 3 0 (2) 0 75.0%
Harrison Hand CB 6'0, 190 FR 36.5 0.5 (0) 2 1 (8) 0 59.5%
Davion Hall S 6'1, 210 SR 34.5 0 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 70.6%
Jalen Pitre LB 6'0, 200 FR 33.0 3 (1) 4 0 (1) 0 44.1%
Jordan Williams LB 5'11, 220 SO 31.0 3 (1) 4 0 (0) 1 60.0%
Grayland Arnold CB 5'9, 190 SO 30.5 3 (0) 1 1 (7) 1 70.6%
Brian Nance DE 6'3, 250 SR 27.5 8.5 (2.5) 8 0 (2) 1 30.3%
Ira Lewis DT 6'3, 290 JR 27.0 11.5 (5.5) 10 0 (0) 0 14.7%
Bravvion Roy DT 6'1, 320 SO 23.5 3 (0.5) 9 0 (0) 0 19.4%
Taion Sells S 5'8, 185 SR 23.5 1 (0) 1 0 (2) 1 74.1%
Eric Ogor LB 5'11, 205 SO 23.0 6.5 (2) 4 0 (1) 0 40.7%
Lenoy Jones Jr. LB 5'11, 220 SO 21.5 2 (1) 6 0 (0) 1 31.0%
Chris Miller S 6'0, 185 SO 21.5 0 (0) 1 0 (2) 0 66.7%
Henry Black LB 6'0, 200 SO 19.0 0 (0) 1 1 (0) 0 59.1%
James Lynch DT 6'4, 285 FR 17.5 5 (3) 4 0 (0) 0 30.0%
Jameson Houston CB 5'11, 190 SO 17.0 1 (0) 1 0 (1) 0 66.7%
Greg Roberts DE 6'5, 260 JR 16.5 4 (0) 6 0 (4) 0 26.3%
Tyrone Hunt DE 6'4, 285 SO 15.5 3.5 (0) 6 0 (0) 0 38.9%
Blake Lynch WR 6'3, 205 SO 15.5 0 (0) 0 0 (6) 0 82.4%
Jairon McVea S 5'11, 175 FR 13.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 80.0%
Deonte Williams DL 6'1, 225 FR 12.5 1.5 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 26.7%
Chance Waz S 5'11, 180 SR 12.0 1 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 64.3%
Rajah Preciado S 5'10, 185 SO 11.5 1 (0) 1 0 (1) 1 66.7%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.3 46
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.32 19
Punt Success Rate 64.4% 33
Kickoff Success Rate 49.2% 128
Punt Return Success Rate 42.9% 78
Kick Return Success Rate 32.4% 113
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Connor Martin 5'9, 180 SO 29-30 20-24 83.3%
Peter Webster 5'9, 160 SO 1-1 0-0 #DIV/0!
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Connor Martin 5'9, 180 SO 39 40.3 1 10 8 46.2%
Drew Galitz 5'11, 205 JR 21 45.2 0 9 6 71.4%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Jay Sedwick 6'1, 180 FR 26 62.0 4 15.4% 0 1 4 2
Drew Galitz 5'11, 205 JR 24 59.5 8 33.3% 1 2 1 1
Connor Martin 5'9, 180 SO 9 60.9 1 11.1% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Tony Nicholson 5'10, 185 SO 6 11.7 0 24 0 (0)
R.J. Sneed 6'2, 190 FR 1 -10.0 0 0 1 (0)
Gavin Holmes 5'11, 195 FR 0 0.0 0 2 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Trevor White 5'7, 165 JR 14 20.8 0 0 0 (0)
John Lovett 6'2, 195 FR 7 17.9 0 0 0 (0)
Trestan Ebner 6'0, 205 FR 4 13.0 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Jairon McVea S 5'11, 175 FR 8.5 2.0 17.0
Timarcus Davis CB 5'11, 175 FR 6.0 -1.0 26.7
Chris Miller S 6'0, 185 SO 5.5 -4.5 21.6
Davion Hall S 6'1, 210 SR 5.5 4.0 24.0
Ross Matiscik LS 6'0, 230 SO 3.5 1.5

Stats via SportSource Analytics