Updated on 1/13/2017
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2015 | 2016
Duke Blue Devils (ACC Coastal)
2016 Schedule & Results
| Record: 4-8 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.6 (-0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 72 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 3-Sep | NC Central | N/A | 49-6 | W | 100% | 60.4 | 94% | 70% | 93% |
| 10-Sep | Wake Forest | 60 | 14-24 | L | 16% | -7.8 | 37% | 36% | 20% |
| 17-Sep | at Northwestern | 49 | 13-24 | L | 24% | -5.6 | 49% | 14% | 60% |
| 24-Sep | at Notre Dame | 26 | 38-35 | W | 38% | -2.4 | 65% | 80% | 31% |
| 1-Oct | Virginia | 88 | 20-34 | L | 21% | -6.5 | 31% | 18% | 29% |
| 8-Oct | Army | 101 | 13-6 | W | 40% | -1.9 | 49% | 17% | 90% |
| 14-Oct | at Louisville | 12 | 14-24 | L | 2% | -16.0 | 47% | 47% | 62% |
| 29-Oct | at Georgia Tech | 45 | 35-38 | L | 22% | -6.0 | 49% | 86% | 11% |
| 5-Nov | Virginia Tech | 17 | 21-24 | L | 61% | 2.3 | 76% | 66% | 83% |
| 10-Nov | North Carolina | 21 | 28-27 | W | 39% | -2.1 | 65% | 60% | 54% |
| 19-Nov | at Pittsburgh | 20 | 14-56 | L | 0% | -36.9 | 11% | 8% | 16% |
| 26-Nov | at Miami-FL | 14 | 21-40 | L | 1% | -19.7 | 35% | 66% | 17% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 27.6 | 77 | 27.2 | 48 |
| Points Per Game | 23.3 | 109 | 28.2 | 66 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.14 | 120 | 1.41 | 120 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 41.9% | 73 | 41.5% | 54 | 40.9% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 29.0 | 81 | 29.3 | 68 | 29.7 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 3.72 | 122 | 4.43 | 62 | 4.47 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -5.49 | 110 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +0.62 |
||
| ACTUAL | -4 | 90 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 98.3 | 84 | 103.2 | 52 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 40.7% | 97 | 43.2% | 71 | 43.1% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 0.98 | 106 | 1.07 | 59 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 109.8 | 31 | 109.9 | 31 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 38.0% | 91 | 39.4% | 66 | 39.7% |
| Power Success Rate | 62.2% | 101 | 72.5% | 93 | 67.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 16.9% | 35 | 23.9% | 17 | 18.9% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Shaun Wilson | RB | 5'9, 180 | JR | 151 | 623 | 4 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 29.1% | 4 (3) |
| Daniel Jones | QB | 6'5, 210 | FR | 112 | 637 | 7 | 5.7 | 3.6 | 57.1% | 6 (5) |
| Jela Duncan | RB | 5'10, 215 | SR | 88 | 450 | 6 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 37.5% | 2 (1) |
| Joseph Ajeigbe | RB | 5'9, 215 | JR | 42 | 161 | 1 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 26.2% | 1 (1) |
| Zach Boden | RB | 5'10, 200 | SR | 12 | 37 | 0 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 33.3% | 1 (1) |
| Parker Boehme | QB | 6'2, 220 | JR | 10 | 76 | 1 | 7.6 | 8.7 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
| Nicodem Pierre | RB | 6'2, 220 | SO | 7 | 22 | 0 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 28.6% | 0 (0) |
| Quay Mann | RB | 5'9, 200 | JR | 7 | 13 | 0 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 28.6% | 1 (1) |
| Quentin Harris | QB | 6'1, 190 | FR | 3 | 9 | 0 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 33.3% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 98.1 | 72 | 91.8 | 97 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 43.0% | 42 | 39.4% | 52 | 40.9% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.27 | 120 | 1.87 | 126 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 98.7 | 68 | 121.8 | 32 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Daniel Jones | 6'5, 210 | FR | 270 | 430 | 2836 | 16 | 9 | 62.8% | 29 | 6.3% | 5.8 |
| Parker Boehme | 6'2, 220 | JR | 7 | 9 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 77.8% | 2 | 18.2% | 2.6 |
| Quentin Harris | 6'1, 190 | FR | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| T.J. Rahming | WR | 5'10, 165 | SO | 103 | 70 | 742 | 1 | 10.6 | 7.2 | 68.0% | 49.5% | 24.2% |
| Chris Taylor | WR | 6'1, 180 | SO | 56 | 29 | 315 | 1 | 10.9 | 5.6 | 51.8% | 37.5% | 13.1% |
| Erich Schneider | TE | 6'7, 240 | SR | 50 | 30 | 269 | 3 | 9.0 | 5.4 | 60.0% | 46.0% | 11.7% |
| Anthony Nash | WR | 6'5, 200 | SR | 45 | 29 | 398 | 2 | 13.7 | 8.8 | 64.4% | 55.6% | 10.6% |
| Johnathan Lloyd | WR | 6'0, 190 | SO | 44 | 34 | 301 | 3 | 8.9 | 6.8 | 77.3% | 52.3% | 10.3% |
| Daniel Helm | TE | 6'4, 240 | SO | 33 | 21 | 235 | 2 | 11.2 | 7.1 | 63.6% | 42.4% | 7.7% |
| Davis Koppenhaver | TE | 6'4, 230 | SO | 28 | 17 | 157 | 2 | 9.2 | 5.6 | 60.7% | 50.0% | 6.6% |
| Quay Chambers | WR | 6'3, 220 | JR | 21 | 15 | 187 | 2 | 12.5 | 8.9 | 71.4% | 52.4% | 4.9% |
| Shaun Wilson | RB | 5'9, 180 | JR | 15 | 8 | 76 | 0 | 9.5 | 5.1 | 53.3% | 26.7% | 3.5% |
| Aaron Young | WR | 6'2, 200 | FR | 14 | 11 | 124 | 2 | 11.3 | 8.9 | 78.6% | 50.0% | 3.3% |
| Joseph Ajeigbe | RB | 5'9, 215 | JR | 7 | 6 | 42 | 0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 85.7% | 57.1% | 1.6% |
| Jela Duncan | RB | 5'10, 215 | SR | 6 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 6.6 | 5.5 | 83.3% | 66.7% | 1.4% |
| Quay Mann | RB | 5'9, 200 | JR | 2 | 1 | -2 | 0 | -2.0 | -1.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Jones | QB | 6'5, 210 | FR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Smith | WR | 5'7, 170 | SR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 97.0 | 87 | 99.8 | 60 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 47.1% | 73 | 47.0% | 58 | 47.3% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 0.99 | 117 | 1.19 | 101 | 1.12 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.97 | 68 | 2.85 | 50 | 2.98 |
| SD Sack Rate | 5.4% | 74 | 7.5% | 13 | 5.1% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 102.6 | 67 | 90.6 | 98 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 30.8% | 68 | 30.4% | 55 | 31.1% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.60 | 110 | 2.09 | 124 | 1.76 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.27 | 69 | 2.31 | 7 | 3.24 |
| PD Sack Rate | 8.6% | 78 | 9.4% | 25 | 7.9% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 118.6 | 29 | 99.1 | 71 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 101.1 | 70 | 105.8 | 50 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 77.8 | 125 | 93.4 | 91 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 100.3 | 70 | 100.6 | 65 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 89.0 | 115 | 109.0 | 36 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 110.0 | 36 | 96.6 | 77 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 109.5 | 46 | 84.6 | 115 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 52.0% | 104 | 60.2% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 39.9% | 24 | 34.6% |
| Adj. Pace | +3.9 | 24 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 72.6% | 82 | 74.2% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 64.0% | 28 | 60.2% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 37.1% | 41 | 34.5% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 16.3% | 47 | 15.8% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 3.7% | 93 | 5.0% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 3.4% | 95 | 4.3% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 9.2% | 2 | 6.4% |
| PD to INC | 28.3% | 111 | 33.1% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF |
| Joe Giles-Harris | LB | 6'2, 220 | FR | 81.0 | 13.1% | 9.5 | 4.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Ben Humphreys | LB | 6'2, 215 | SO | 78.5 | 12.7% | 11.0 | 4.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Deondre Singleton | S | 5'11, 180 | SR | 49.5 | 8.0% | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Corbin McCarthy | S | 5'10, 200 | SR | 43.5 | 7.1% | 12.0 | 3.5 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Alonzo Saxton II | S | 5'11, 180 | JR | 42.5 | 6.9% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| A.J. Wolf | DT | 6'4, 280 | SR | 36.5 | 5.9% | 8.5 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bryon Fields | CB | 5'11, 180 | JR | 27.0 | 4.4% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| DeVon Edwards | S | 5'9, 180 | SR | 23.5 | 3.8% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Breon Borders | CB | 6'0, 180 | SR | 23.5 | 3.8% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| Mike Ramsay | DT | 6'2, 295 | JR | 20.0 | 3.2% | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Hayes | S | 6'0, 180 | FR | 19.0 | 3.1% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marquies Price | DE | 6'6, 245 | SO | 18.5 | 3.0% | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dominic McDonald | DE | 6'2, 240 | JR | 17.5 | 2.8% | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Gilbert | CB | 6'1, 175 | FR | 16.0 | 2.6% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jeremy McDuffie | CB | 5'11, 170 | SO | 15.0 | 2.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terrell Lucas | DE | 6'3, 230 | FR | 11.0 | 1.8% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Tinashe Bere | LB | 6'1, 230 | SO | 10.0 | 1.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| James Hornbuckle | DE | 6'4, 235 | FR | 9.5 | 1.5% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan Singleton | S | 5'11, 190 | FR | 9.5 | 1.5% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Koby Quansah | LB | 6'1, 220 | FR | 9.0 | 1.5% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Boyce | DT | 6'0, 255 | SO | 6.5 | 1.1% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Feamster | S | 6'3, 210 | FR | 6.5 | 1.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Danny Doyle | DE | 6'1, 215 | SO | 6.0 | 1.0% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zach Boden | RB | 5'10, 200 | SR | 5.5 | 0.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Taylor | WR | 6'1, 180 | SO | 4.0 | 0.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -1.4 | 119 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -1.44 | 128 |
| Punt Success Rate | 48.5% | 97 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 68.0% | 83 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 66.7% | 22 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 50.0% | 34 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| AJ Reed | 5'11, 175 | FR | 37-38 | 3-10 | 30.0% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Austin Parker | 6'1, 180 | FR | 38 | 40.9 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 73.7% |
| Danny Stirt | 5'10, 180 | SR | 25 | 36.5 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 72.0% |
| Parker Boehme | 6'2, 220 | JR | 2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 100.0% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Austin Parker | 6'1, 180 | FR | 28 | 61.5 | 4 | 14.3% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Will Kline | 6'1, 190 | JR | 21 | 61.7 | 2 | 9.5% | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Danny Stirt | 5'10, 180 | SR | 1 | 77.0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Ryan Smith | 5'7, 170 | SR | 20 | 8.9 | 0 | 17 | 1 (1) |
| Shaun Wilson | 5'9, 180 | JR | 1 | -3.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Shaun Wilson | 5'9, 180 | JR | 37 | 25.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 (1) |
| DeVon Edwards | 5'9, 180 | SR | 2 | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Joseph Ajeigbe | 5'9, 215 | JR | 1 | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics