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2016 Duke advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Duke Blue Devils (ACC Coastal)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 4-8 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.6 (-0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 72
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep NC Central N/A 49-6 W 100% 60.4 94% 70% 93%
10-Sep Wake Forest 60 14-24 L 16% -7.8 37% 36% 20%
17-Sep at Northwestern 49 13-24 L 24% -5.6 49% 14% 60%
24-Sep at Notre Dame 26 38-35 W 38% -2.4 65% 80% 31%
1-Oct Virginia 88 20-34 L 21% -6.5 31% 18% 29%
8-Oct Army 101 13-6 W 40% -1.9 49% 17% 90%
14-Oct at Louisville 12 14-24 L 2% -16.0 47% 47% 62%
29-Oct at Georgia Tech 45 35-38 L 22% -6.0 49% 86% 11%
5-Nov Virginia Tech 17 21-24 L 61% 2.3 76% 66% 83%
10-Nov North Carolina 21 28-27 W 39% -2.1 65% 60% 54%
19-Nov at Pittsburgh 20 14-56 L 0% -36.9 11% 8% 16%
26-Nov at Miami-FL 14 21-40 L 1% -19.7 35% 66% 17%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 27.6 77 27.2 48
Points Per Game 23.3 109 28.2 66
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.14 120 1.41 120 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 41.9% 73 41.5% 54 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.0 81 29.3 68 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.72 122 4.43 62 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -5.49 110 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.62
ACTUAL -4 90
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 98.3 84 103.2 52 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 40.7% 97 43.2% 71 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.98 106 1.07 59 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 109.8 31 109.9 31 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.0% 91 39.4% 66 39.7%
Power Success Rate 62.2% 101 72.5% 93 67.9%
Stuff Rate 16.9% 35 23.9% 17 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Shaun Wilson RB 5'9, 180 JR 151 623 4 4.1 4.0 29.1% 4 (3)
Daniel Jones QB 6'5, 210 FR 112 637 7 5.7 3.6 57.1% 6 (5)
Jela Duncan RB 5'10, 215 SR 88 450 6 5.1 4.9 37.5% 2 (1)
Joseph Ajeigbe RB 5'9, 215 JR 42 161 1 3.8 3.8 26.2% 1 (1)
Zach Boden RB 5'10, 200 SR 12 37 0 3.1 1.1 33.3% 1 (1)
Parker Boehme QB 6'2, 220 JR 10 76 1 7.6 8.7 50.0% 0 (0)
Nicodem Pierre RB 6'2, 220 SO 7 22 0 3.1 1.8 28.6% 0 (0)
Quay Mann RB 5'9, 200 JR 7 13 0 1.9 2.7 28.6% 1 (1)
Quentin Harris QB 6'1, 190 FR 3 9 0 3.0 1.2 33.3% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 98.1 72 91.8 97 100.0
Passing Success Rate 43.0% 42 39.4% 52 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.27 120 1.87 126 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 98.7 68 121.8 32 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Daniel Jones 6'5, 210 FR 270 430 2836 16 9 62.8% 29 6.3% 5.8
Parker Boehme 6'2, 220 JR 7 9 41 2 0 77.8% 2 18.2% 2.6
Quentin Harris 6'1, 190 FR 0 3 0 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
T.J. Rahming WR 5'10, 165 SO 103 70 742 1 10.6 7.2 68.0% 49.5% 24.2%
Chris Taylor WR 6'1, 180 SO 56 29 315 1 10.9 5.6 51.8% 37.5% 13.1%
Erich Schneider TE 6'7, 240 SR 50 30 269 3 9.0 5.4 60.0% 46.0% 11.7%
Anthony Nash WR 6'5, 200 SR 45 29 398 2 13.7 8.8 64.4% 55.6% 10.6%
Johnathan Lloyd WR 6'0, 190 SO 44 34 301 3 8.9 6.8 77.3% 52.3% 10.3%
Daniel Helm TE 6'4, 240 SO 33 21 235 2 11.2 7.1 63.6% 42.4% 7.7%
Davis Koppenhaver TE 6'4, 230 SO 28 17 157 2 9.2 5.6 60.7% 50.0% 6.6%
Quay Chambers WR 6'3, 220 JR 21 15 187 2 12.5 8.9 71.4% 52.4% 4.9%
Shaun Wilson RB 5'9, 180 JR 15 8 76 0 9.5 5.1 53.3% 26.7% 3.5%
Aaron Young WR 6'2, 200 FR 14 11 124 2 11.3 8.9 78.6% 50.0% 3.3%
Joseph Ajeigbe RB 5'9, 215 JR 7 6 42 0 7.0 6.0 85.7% 57.1% 1.6%
Jela Duncan RB 5'10, 215 SR 6 5 33 0 6.6 5.5 83.3% 66.7% 1.4%
Quay Mann RB 5'9, 200 JR 2 1 -2 0 -2.0 -1.0 50.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Daniel Jones QB 6'5, 210 FR 1 1 0 0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Ryan Smith WR 5'7, 170 SR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 97.0 87 99.8 60 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 47.1% 73 47.0% 58 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 0.99 117 1.19 101 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.97 68 2.85 50 2.98
SD Sack Rate 5.4% 74 7.5% 13 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 102.6 67 90.6 98 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 30.8% 68 30.4% 55 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.60 110 2.09 124 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.27 69 2.31 7 3.24
PD Sack Rate 8.6% 78 9.4% 25 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 118.6 29 99.1 71
Q2 S&P+ 101.1 70 105.8 50
Q3 S&P+ 77.8 125 93.4 91
Q4 S&P+ 100.3 70 100.6 65
1st Down S&P+ 89.0 115 109.0 36
2nd Down S&P+ 110.0 36 96.6 77
3rd Down S&P+ 109.5 46 84.6 115
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 52.0% 104 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 39.9% 24 34.6%
Adj. Pace +3.9 24 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 72.6% 82 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.0% 28 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 37.1% 41 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 16.3% 47 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 3.7% 93 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 3.4% 95 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 9.2% 2 6.4%
PD to INC 28.3% 111 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Joe Giles-Harris LB 6'2, 220 FR 81.0 13.1% 9.5 4.0 1 2 0
Ben Humphreys LB 6'2, 215 SO 78.5 12.7% 11.0 4.5 1 1 0
Deondre Singleton S 5'11, 180 SR 49.5 8.0% 3.0 0.0 3 2 2
Corbin McCarthy S 5'10, 200 SR 43.5 7.1% 12.0 3.5 0 2 1
Alonzo Saxton II S 5'11, 180 JR 42.5 6.9% 3.0 1.0 1 3 1
A.J. Wolf DT 6'4, 280 SR 36.5 5.9% 8.5 5.5 0 0 1
Bryon Fields CB 5'11, 180 JR 27.0 4.4% 0.5 0.0 2 6 2
DeVon Edwards S 5'9, 180 SR 23.5 3.8% 3.0 3.0 0 1 1
Breon Borders CB 6'0, 180 SR 23.5 3.8% 2.5 0.0 2 11 1
Mike Ramsay DT 6'2, 295 JR 20.0 3.2% 2.5 0.5 0 0 0
Jordan Hayes S 6'0, 180 FR 19.0 3.1% 1.5 0.5 0 0 0
Marquies Price DE 6'6, 245 SO 18.5 3.0% 3.5 2.0 0 0 0
Dominic McDonald DE 6'2, 240 JR 17.5 2.8% 3.5 1.5 0 0 0
Mark Gilbert CB 6'1, 175 FR 16.0 2.6% 2.0 0.0 0 2 0
Jeremy McDuffie CB 5'11, 170 SO 15.0 2.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Terrell Lucas DE 6'3, 230 FR 11.0 1.8% 2.5 0.0 0 1 0
Tinashe Bere LB 6'1, 230 SO 10.0 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
James Hornbuckle DE 6'4, 235 FR 9.5 1.5% 2.5 0.0 0 0 0
Dylan Singleton S 5'11, 190 FR 9.5 1.5% 2.5 0.0 0 0 0
Koby Quansah LB 6'1, 220 FR 9.0 1.5% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Brandon Boyce DT 6'0, 255 SO 6.5 1.1% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0
Brandon Feamster S 6'3, 210 FR 6.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Danny Doyle DE 6'1, 215 SO 6.0 1.0% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0
Zach Boden RB 5'10, 200 SR 5.5 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Chris Taylor WR 6'1, 180 SO 4.0 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.4 119
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -1.44 128
Punt Success Rate 48.5% 97
Kickoff Success Rate 68.0% 83
Punt Return Success Rate 66.7% 22
Kick Return Success Rate 50.0% 34
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
AJ Reed 5'11, 175 FR 37-38 3-10 30.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Austin Parker 6'1, 180 FR 38 40.9 2 14 14 73.7%
Danny Stirt 5'10, 180 SR 25 36.5 2 12 6 72.0%
Parker Boehme 6'2, 220 JR 2 50.0 0 0 2 100.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Austin Parker 6'1, 180 FR 28 61.5 4 14.3% 0 0 1 1
Will Kline 6'1, 190 JR 21 61.7 2 9.5% 0 2 1 0
Danny Stirt 5'10, 180 SR 1 77.0 0 0.0% 0 0 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Ryan Smith 5'7, 170 SR 20 8.9 0 17 1 (1)
Shaun Wilson 5'9, 180 JR 1 -3.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Shaun Wilson 5'9, 180 JR 37 25.0 1 0 1 (1)
DeVon Edwards 5'9, 180 SR 2 20.5 0 0 0 (0)
Joseph Ajeigbe 5'9, 215 JR 1 17.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics