clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2017 Virginia Tech advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/4/18

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016 | 2017

Virginia Tech Hokies (ACC Coastal)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 9-4 | Second-order wins (diff.): 8.5 (-0.5) | S&P+ Rk: 29
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep vs. West Virginia 63 31-24 W 80% 7.8 68% 76% 50%
9-Sep Delaware N/A 27-0 W 100% 28.3 89% 24% 97%
16-Sep at East Carolina 123 64-17 W 100% 35.7 91% 95% 87%
23-Sep Old Dominion 115 38-0 W 100% 35.9 92% 85% NULL
30-Sep Clemson 8 17-31 L 12% -10.9 28% 19% 55%
7-Oct at Boston College 66 23-10 W 99% 21.5 87% 45% 92%
21-Oct North Carolina 94 59-7 W 100% 26.6 88% 58% 91%
28-Oct Duke 65 24-3 W 100% 32.6 94% 46% 96%
4-Nov at Miami-FL 17 10-28 L 2% -19.5 17% 23% 25%
11-Nov at Georgia Tech 73 22-28 L 1% -20.1 15% 20% 35%
18-Nov Pittsburgh 82 20-14 W 30% -4.8 38% 21% 69%
24-Nov at Virginia 85 10-0 W 100% 31.0 92% 23% 99%
28-Dec vs. Oklahoma State 12 21-30 L 30% -4.9 41% 48% 40%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 25.6 96 18.4 9
Points Per Game 30.5 63 16.0 4
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 42.1% 57 34.3% 9 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.07 107 1.35 122 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 32.7 12 25.2 3 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.80 120 3.43 5 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 4.7 30 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.13
ACTUAL 5 30
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 100.3 68 122.1 15 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 44.6% 45 35.1% 14 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.71 128 0.94 76 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 102.4 59 124.1 6 100.0
Opportunity Rate 40.7% 42 32.9% 13 38.5%
Power Success Rate 67.4% 66 44.8% 1 67.7%
Stuff Rate 17.8% 40 27.2% 3 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Deshawn McClease RB 5'9, 190 SO 108 530 3 4.9 3.2 41.7% 0 (0)
Travon McMillian RB 6'0, 210 JR 104 439 2 4.2 2.6 38.5% 1 (1)
Josh Jackson QB 6'1, 215 FR 102 466 6 4.6 3.1 48.0% 3 (2)
Steven Peoples RB 5'9, 220 JR 70 267 2 3.8 1.9 34.3% 0 (0)
Jalen Holston RB 5'11, 219 FR 70 226 3 3.2 2.0 28.6% 1 (0)
Coleman Fox RB 5'11, 200 SO 39 223 1 5.7 4.5 46.2% 0 (0)
Sean Savoy WR 5'9, 188 FR 24 116 2 4.8 2.9 58.3% 2 (1)
AJ Bush QB 6'4, 225 JR 19 129 0 6.8 6.1 52.6% 0 (0)
C.J. Carroll WR 5'8, 173 JR 4 7 0 1.8 0.7 25.0% 1 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 105.7 45 112.7 24 100.0
Passing Success Rate 39.2% 81 33.4% 10 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.55 38 1.80 126 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 128.6 32 127.2 25 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Josh Jackson 6'1, 215 FR 236 396 2991 20 9 59.6% 22 5.3% 6.8
AJ Bush 6'4, 225 JR 7 11 99 1 0 63.6% 0 0.0% 9.0
Chase Mummau 6'2, 192 FR 1 1 22 0 0 100.0% 0 0.0% 22.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Cam Phillips WR 6'0, 202 SR 107 71 964 7 13.6 9.0 66.4% 50.5% 27.6%
Sean Savoy WR 5'9, 188 FR 62 39 454 4 11.6 7.3 62.9% 35.5% 16.0%
Eric Kumah WR 6'2, 220 SO 53 28 324 2 11.6 6.1 52.8% 45.3% 13.7%
Henri Murphy WR 5'10, 190 JR 23 10 153 0 15.3 6.7 43.5% 39.1% 5.9%
Hezekiah Grimsley WR 6'0, 172 FR 20 12 139 0 11.6 7.0 60.0% 45.0% 5.2%
Travon McMillian RB 6'0, 210 JR 19 12 173 3 14.4 9.1 63.2% 36.8% 4.9%
C.J. Carroll WR 5'8, 173 JR 18 15 157 1 10.5 8.7 83.3% 55.6% 4.7%
James Clark WR 5'10, 185 SR 17 8 92 0 11.5 5.4 47.1% 41.2% 4.4%
Dalton Keene TE 6'4, 240 FR 15 10 167 0 16.7 11.1 66.7% 46.7% 3.9%
Chris Cunningham TE 6'2, 241 SO 13 9 175 1 19.4 13.5 69.2% 61.5% 3.4%
Phil Patterson WR 6'2, 193 FR 12 9 88 0 9.8 7.3 75.0% 58.3% 3.1%
Deshawn McClease RB 5'9, 190 SO 11 9 66 0 7.3 6.0 81.8% 36.4% 2.8%
Coleman Fox RB 5'11, 200 SO 5 5 33 0 6.6 6.6 100.0% 40.0% 1.3%
Steven Peoples RB 5'9, 220 JR 4 4 79 2 19.8 19.8 100.0% 100.0% 1.0%
Samuel Denmark WR 6'0, 187 FR 3 2 28 1 14.0 9.3 66.7% 66.7% 0.8%
Jalen Holston RB 5'11, 219 FR 3 1 -1 0 -1.0 -0.3 33.3% 0.0% 0.8%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 107.9 40 118.6 12 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 49.0% 38 38.9% 6 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.02 83 1.17 108 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.24 22 2.21 5 2.92
SD Sack Rate 2.8% 17 7.9% 13 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 87.6 109 109.3 43 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 26.9% 108 26.6% 24 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.28 119 1.80 123 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.83 105 2.86 32 3.22
PD Sack Rate 8.4% 79 6.6% 84 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 96.4 80 138.4 8
Q2 S&P+ 95.5 90 108.3 48
Q3 S&P+ 115.3 33 112.2 32
Q4 S&P+ 86.8 113 106.9 37
1st Down S&P+ 102.5 57 117.5 17
2nd Down S&P+ 90.6 104 113.7 30
3rd Down S&P+ 100.6 70 115.0 26
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.5% 48 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 37.8% 47 35.3%
Adj. Pace -0.6 51 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 66.1% 117 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.3% 75 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 36.9% 46 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 20.9% 6 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 6.6% 28 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 5.4% 34 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 8.8% 9 6.5%
PD to INC 32.1% 90 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Tremaine Edmunds LB 6'5, 250 JR 84.5 14 (5.5) 23 0 (2) 3 24.8%
Andrew Motuapuaka LB 6'0, 236 SR 69.0 11.5 (3.5) 17 1 (7) 1 36.7%
Reggie Floyd S 6'0, 218 SO 58.0 3 (0) 12 3 (1) 2 47.2%
Mook Reynolds DB 6'0, 191 JR 57.0 9 (1.5) 11 0 (1) 1 44.3%
Terrell Edmunds S 6'2, 220 JR 44.0 2.5 (1.5) 6 2 (4) 0 45.6%
Trevon Hill DE 6'3, 245 SO 35.0 9.5 (5.5) 9 1 (0) 1 19.6%
Ricky Walker DT 6'2, 300 JR 30.0 12.5 (4.5) 10 0 (1) 0 12.2%
Tim Settle DT 6'3, 335 SO 28.5 12.5 (4) 14 0 (1) 0 22.2%
Adonis Alexander CB 6'3, 197 JR 25.0 2 (1) 0 1 (4) 1 70.0%
Houshun Gaines DE 6'3, 245 SO 20.5 7 (3) 6 0 (1) 0 20.8%
Anthony Shegog LB 6'2, 230 SR 20.5 3 (0) 4 0 (1) 1 44.4%
Vinny Mihota DE 6'5, 270 JR 17.0 3.5 (1.5) 3 0 (0) 0 25.0%
Greg Stroman CB 6'0, 181 SR 17.0 0 (0) 0 4 (11) 0 70.0%
Brandon Facyson CB 6'2, 197 SR 16.5 2 (0) 4 0 (5) 0 66.7%
Deon Newsome S 5'11, 200 SR 12.5 1 (0) 2 0 (1) 0 50.0%
Jarrod Hewitt DT 6'1, 285 FR 9.5 2 (0) 4 0 (0) 0 38.5%
Khalil Ladler DB 5'11, 180 FR 7.5 2 (0) 5 0 (1) 1 45.5%
Divine Deablo DB 6'3, 210 SO 7.0 1.5 (0.5) 1 1 (3) 0 14.3%
Sean Huelskamp LB 6'1, 225 SR 7.0 0 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 66.7%
Bryce Watts DB 6'0, 167 FR 4.5 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 0 0.0%
Jovonn Quillen DB 6'0, 187 SO 4.0 0 (0) 0 (1) 0
Emmanuel Belmar DE 6'2, 240 FR 3.0 1 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 25.0%
Joey Slye K 5'11, 213 SR 2.5 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Dylan Rivers LB 6'1, 233 FR 2.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 50.0%
Travon McMillian RB 6'0, 210 JR 2.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.4 32
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.09 89
Punt Success Rate 64.6% 32
Kickoff Success Rate 96.0% 1
Punt Return Success Rate 46.2% 67
Kick Return Success Rate 50.0% 35
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Joey Slye 5'11, 213 SR 37-37 15-22 68.2%
Brian Johnson 6'1, 180 FR 5-5 3-4 75.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Oscar Bradburn 6'1, 202 FR 66 42.4 6 32 24 84.8%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Joey Slye 5'11, 213 SR 63 64.4 53 84.1% 0 0 1 0
Brian Johnson 6'1, 180 FR 12 63.2 6 50.0% 0 1 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Greg Stroman 6'0, 181 SR 35 11.3 2 30 2 (0)
C.J. Carroll 5'8, 173 JR 2 2.0 0 2 1 (0)
Bryce Watts 6'0, 167 FR 1 5.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Travon McMillian 6'0, 210 JR 9 26.7 0 0 0 (0)
Henri Murphy 5'10, 190 JR 7 21.6 0 0 0 (0)
James Clark 5'10, 185 SR 7 24.7 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Anthony Shegog LB 6'2, 230 SR 4.5 4.8 25.0
Sean Huelskamp LB 6'1, 225 SR 4.0 1.3 18.5
Jovonn Quillen DB 6'0, 187 SO 4.0 2.5 17.7
Deon Newsome S 5'11, 200 SR 3.5 -1.0 22.0
Joey Slye K 5'11, 213 SR 2.5 21.3

Stats via SportSource Analytics