2017 Army advanced statistical profile

_{Updated on
1/4/18}

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_{2015 | 2016 | 2017}

Army West Point Black Knights (Independents)

2017 Schedule & Results

Record: 10-3 \| Second-order wins (diff.): 7.4 (-2.6) \| S&P+ Rk: 59
Date	Opponent	Opp. S&P+ Rk	Score	W-L	Win Expectancy	Adj. Scoring Margin	Percentile Performance	Off. Percentile	Def. Percentile
1-Sep	Fordham	N/A	64-6	W	100%	54.3	93%	NULL	97%
9-Sep	Buffalo	75	21-17	W	63%	2.9	57%	40%	64%
16-Sep	at Ohio State	2	7-38	L	0%	-40.9	7%	3%	17%
23-Sep	at Tulane	89	17-21	L	11%	-11.1	26%	24%	50%
30-Sep	UTEP	130	35-21	W	100%	30.6	90%	83%	84%
7-Oct	at Rice	128	49-12	W	82%	8.5	67%	84%	37%
14-Oct	Eastern Michigan	70	28-27	W	17%	-8.6	32%	55%	35%
21-Oct	Temple	78	31-28	W	29%	-5.2	39%	55%	32%
4-Nov	at Air Force	100	21-0	W	100%	30.9	92%	NULL	97%
11-Nov	Duke	65	21-16	W	79%	7.3	67%	30%	84%
18-Nov	at North Texas	62	49-52	L	72%	5.5	63%	89%	9%
9-Dec	vs. Navy	69	14-13	W	58%	1.9	54%	19%	86%
23-Dec	vs. San Diego State	34	42-35	W	26%	-5.8	39%	60%	25%

Category	Offense	Rk	Defense	Rk
S&P+	32.4	31	29.5	80
Points Per Game	36.3	27	26.0	46

Five Factors

		Offense		Defense
	Category	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY	Success Rate	50.5%	2	46.8%	117	40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS	IsoPPP	0.95	129	1.19	79	1.17
FIELD POSITION	Avg. FP	29.6	71	28.4	39	29.6
FINISHING DRIVES	Pts. Per Trip in 40	5.18	9	4.40	65	4.42

TURNOVER MARGIN	EXPECTED	9.1	8	Turnover Luck (PPG): -1.59
	ACTUAL	5	30	Turnover Luck (PPG): -1.59

Rushing

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+	123.4	11	87.7	112	100.0
Rushing Success Rate	52.4%	2	46.7%	102	42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP	0.91	63	1.08	122	0.92
Adj. Line Yards	119.6	9	90.6	102	100.0
Opportunity Rate	42.5%	19	39.3%	80	38.5%
Power Success Rate	87.2%	1	77.1%	113	67.7%
Stuff Rate	9.4%	1	14.3%	124	19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player	Pos.	Ht, Wt	Year	Rushes	Yards	TD	Yards/ Carry	Hlt Yds/ Opp.	Opp. Rate	Fumbles (Lost)
Ahmad Bradshaw	QB	5'11, 205	SR	242	1746	14	7.2	7.0	49.2%	3 (1)
Darnell Woolfolk	RB	5'9, 235	JR	157	812	14	5.2	3.4	40.1%	0 (0)
Andy Davidson	RB	6'2, 235	JR	116	627	5	5.4	4.9	34.5%	0 (0)
Kell Walker	RB	5'9, 195	SO	86	629	6	7.3	8.0	45.3%	1 (1)
Connor Slomka	RB	6'0, 240	SO	49	216	4	4.4	3.2	26.5%	0 (0)
Calen Holt	RB	6'0, 230	JR	42	214	1	5.1	4.3	38.1%	1 (1)
Jordan Asberry	RB	5'9, 195	JR	18	115	0	6.4	4.3	55.6%	0 (0)
John Trainor	RB	5'11, 195	SR	18	66	1	3.7	6.6	22.2%	0 (0)
Fred Cooper Jr.	RB	5'11, 225	FR	13	72	2	5.5	2.5	61.5%	0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.

Passing

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+	75.6	127	83.4	122	100.0
Passing Success Rate	28.8%	127	47.0%	120	40.3%
Passing IsoPPP	1.91	5	1.33	27	1.48
Adj. Sack Rate	379.4	1	104.1	58	100

Individual Passing Stats

Player	Ht, Wt	Year	Comp	Att	Yards	TD	INT	Comp Rate	Sacks	Sack Rate	Yards/ Att.
Ahmad Bradshaw	5'11, 205	SR	14	43	285	1	2	32.6%	0	0.0%	6.6
Kelvin Hopkins Jr.	5'10, 205	SO	6	18	76	1	1	33.3%	1	5.3%	3.7
Luke Langdon	5'10, 195	JR	0	2	0	0	2	0.0%	0	0.0%	0.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player	Pos.	Ht, Wt	Year	Targets	Catches	Yards	TD	Yds/ Catch	Yds/ Target	Catch Rate	Success Rate	Target Rate
Kell Walker	RB	5'9, 195	SO	11	5	111	0	22.2	10.1	45.5%	36.4%	20.0%
Jermaine Adams	WR	6'1, 215	SR	9	3	39	1	13.0	4.3	33.3%	33.3%	16.4%
Jeff Ejekam	WR	6'2, 205	SR	8	2	48	0	24.0	6.0	25.0%	25.0%	14.5%
John Trainor	RB	5'11, 195	SR	8	2	42	0	21.0	5.3	25.0%	25.0%	14.5%
Jordan Asberry	RB	5'9, 195	JR	7	3	78	1	26.0	11.1	42.9%	42.9%	12.7%
Kjetil Cline	WR	6'0, 205	SO	4	1	9	0	9.0	2.3	25.0%	25.0%	7.3%
Calen Holt	RB	6'0, 230	JR	2	2	19	0	9.5	9.5	100.0%	50.0%	3.6%
Zach Saum	TE	6'5, 250	JR	2	1	9	0	9.0	4.5	50.0%	50.0%	3.6%
Camden Harrison	WR	6'2, 195	FR	2	1	6	0	6.0	3.0	50.0%	50.0%	3.6%
Glen Coates	WR	6'0, 195	SO	1	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	1.8%
Justin Thomas Jr.	DB	6'2, 200	FR	1	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	1.8%

Standard Downs

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+	112.9	20	85.4	122	100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate	55.1%	2	52.8%	123	46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP	0.84	129	1.10	84	1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry	3.60	1	3.37	121	2.92
SD Sack Rate	0.0%	1	4.3%	81	5.3%

Passing Downs

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+	115.1	31	93.5	91	100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate	35.1%	19	31.6%	86	30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP	1.57	47	1.58	90	1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry	4.05	4	3.13	60	3.22
PD Sack Rate	2.9%	4	10.9%	11	7.8%

Situational

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk
Q1 S&P+	113.4	38	86.9	106
Q2 S&P+	105.1	61	79.7	120
Q3 S&P+	95.0	86	86.1	110
Q4 S&P+	118.4	13	90.3	109
1st Down S&P+	96.7	76	80.6	126
2nd Down S&P+	116.7	27	92.3	97
3rd Down S&P+	117.4	27	86.2	112

Offensive Footprint

	Team	Rk	Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate	95.6%	1	60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate	79.8%	1	35.3%
Adj. Pace	+0.9	80	+0.0
% of Solo Tackles	64.8%	122	73.8%

Defensive Footprint

	Team	Rk	Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate	62.6%	34	59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate	40.9%	17	35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate	13.2%	108	16.0%
DL Havoc Rate	1.9%	123	4.9%
LB Havoc Rate	6.6%	12	4.4%
DB Havoc Rate	4.7%	120	6.5%
PD to INC	34.2%	63	33.9%

Individual Defensive Stats

Name	Pos	Ht, Wt	Year	Tackles	TFL (Sacks)	Run Stuffs*	Int (PBU)	FF	Succ. Rate**
James Nachtigal	LB	6'0, 235	JR	78.0	8 (5)	6	0 (3)	0	46.5%
Cole Christiansen	LB	6'2, 225	SO	66.0	5 (0)	10	1 (1)	0	47.6%
Alex Aukerman	LB	6'1, 260	SR	58.0	15.5 (7)	16	1 (1)	1	28.4%
James Gibson	DB	6'1, 220	JR	39.5	0.5 (0)	2	0 (5)	0	68.9%
Jaylon McClinton	DB	5'10, 200	SO	37.0	1.5 (1)	2	1 (0)	2	70.5%
Kenneth Brinson	LB	6'2, 245	JR	30.5	4.5 (4)	2	0 (4)	1	36.8%
Max Regan	DB	6'2, 200	JR	27.0	0.5 (0)	2	2 (3)	1	68.8%
Rhyan England	DB	5'10, 200	SR	27.0	0 (0)	0	0 (3)	0	81.8%
John Voit	DL	6'3, 265	SR	26.0	7.5 (5.5)	3	0 (2)	0	29.0%
Cameron Jones	DB	6'0, 200	SO	24.0	1 (0)	0	0 (1)	0	72.4%
Wunmi Oyetuga	DL	6'4, 275	JR	21.5	3 (0)	7	0 (0)	0	21.4%
Mike Reynolds	DB	5'10, 185	JR	20.0	0 (0)	1	0 (7)	0	86.4%
Elijah Riley	DB	6'0, 205	SO	16.5	1.5 (1.5)	0	1 (2)	0	57.9%
Scott Washle	LB	6'1, 245	SR	16.5	1 (0)	1	0 (0)	0	52.4%
Raymond Wright	DL	6'3, 285	JR	16.0	1 (1)	2	0 (0)	0	45.5%
Javhari Bourdeau	DB	5'8, 180	FR	9.5	0 (0)	0	0 (0)	1	85.7%
Chandler Ramirez	LB	6'0, 225	JR	9.0	0 (0)	0	0 (0)	0	66.7%
Jalen Sharp	DB	6'1, 190	JR	9.0	0 (0)	0	0 (0)	0	100.0%
Jarrod Jones	LB	5'10, 210	JR	7.0	0 (0)		0 (0)	0
Justin Thomas Jr.	DB	6'2, 200	FR	6.0	0 (0)	0	0 (0)	0	75.0%
Nick Schrage	K	6'0, 185	JR	5.5	0 (0)		0 (0)	0
Andrew McLean	DL	6'4, 285	SR	5.0	0 (0)	1	0 (0)	0	50.0%
Donavan Lynch	LB	6'0, 215	SO	4.5	0 (0)		0 (0)	0
Bayle Wolf	LB	6'0, 230	SR	4.0	0 (0)	0	0 (0)	0	66.7%
Glen Coates	WR	6'0, 195	SO	3.5	0 (0)		0 (0)	0

_{* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.}

_{** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.}

Special Teams

	Rating	Rank
Special Teams S&P+	-0.8	127

Category	Rate	Rank
FG Value (per kick)	-0.98	129
Punt Success Rate	37.0%	127
Kickoff Success Rate	73.9%	64
Punt Return Success Rate	58.3%	31
Kick Return Success Rate	50.0%	35

Place-Kicker	Ht, Wt	Year	PAT	FG	Pct
Blake Wilson	5'9, 150	SR	47-48	3-8	37.5%
John Abercrombie	6'0, 170	JR	2-2	0-0	#DIV/0!
David Cooper	6'2, 185	SO	0-1	0-0	#DIV/0!

Punter	Ht, Wt	Year	Punts	Avg	TB	FC	I20	FC/I20 Ratio
Nick Schrage	6'0, 185	JR	25	42.9	1	3	5	32.0%
Zach Potter	5'10, 200	SO	2	34.5	0	1	2	150.0%

Kicker	Ht, Wt	Year	Kickoffs	Avg	TB	TB%	OOB	Fair Catches	Onside Att	Onside Success
Nick Schrage	6'0, 185	JR	64	60.7	19	29.7%	0	1	1	1
Blake Wilson	5'9, 150	SR	4	55.8	1	25.0%	0	0	0	0
Landon Salyers	6'1, 190	FR	1	60.0	0	0.0%	0	0	0	0

Punt Returner	Ht, Wt	Year	Returns	Avg.	TD	Fair Catch	Fumbles (Lost)
Mike Reynolds	5'10, 185	JR	9	6.9	0	2	1 (1)
John Trainor	5'11, 195	SR	1	-1.0	0	6	0 (0)
Javhari Bourdeau	5'8, 180	FR	1	25.0	1	0	0 (0)

Kick Returner	Ht, Wt	Year	Returns	Avg.	TD	Fair Catch	Fumbles (Lost)
Kell Walker	5'9, 195	SO	26	20.9	0	0	0 (0)
Glen Coates	6'0, 195	SO	3	10.7	0	0	0 (0)
John Trainor	5'11, 195	SR	2	12.0	0	0	0 (0)

Tackler	Pos	Ht, Wt	Year	ST Tackles	PR Avg	KR Avg
Jarrod Jones	LB	5'10, 210	JR	7.0		13.6
Nick Schrage	K	6'0, 185	JR	5.5	35.0	41.0
Donavan Lynch	LB	6'0, 215	SO	4.5	4.5	5.0
James Nachtigal	LB	6'0, 235	JR	4.0		13.3
Chandler Ramirez	LB	6'0, 225	JR	4.0		16.4

_{Stats via SportSource Analytics}