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2017 Northern Illinois advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/4/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

NIU Huskies (MAC West)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 8-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 8.3 (0.3) | S&P+ Rk: 54
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
1-Sep Boston College 66 20-23 L 68% 4.3 59% 25% 81%
9-Sep Eastern Illinois N/A 38-10 W 100% 46.9 93% 89% 97%
16-Sep at Nebraska 103 21-17 W 20% -7.8 30% 13% 79%
30-Sep at San Diego State 34 28-34 L 96% 16.2 83% 59% 74%
7-Oct Kent State 126 24-3 W 100% 26.2 87% 20% 96%
14-Oct at Buffalo 75 14-13 W 81% 8.1 69% 35% 85%
21-Oct at Bowling Green 109 48-17 W 99% 21.1 84% 88% 59%
26-Oct Eastern Michigan 70 30-27 W 93% 13.7 79% 63% 77%
2-Nov at Toledo 30 17-27 L 7% -13.4 26% 28% 39%
9-Nov Ball State 122 63-17 W 100% 35.4 92% 87% 90%
15-Nov Western Michigan 74 35-31 W 59% 2.0 55% 46% 65%
24-Nov at Central Michigan 79 24-31 L 10% -12.0 25% 20% 49%
26-Dec vs. Duke 65 14-36 L 0% -23.8 11% 15% 25%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 24.4 104 20.4 14
Points Per Game 31.3 58 23.8 34
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 39.6% 95 33.1% 4 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.09 102 1.25 101 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 32.1 17 30.0 78 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.26 85 3.66 13 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 0.5 59 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.95
ACTUAL -2 80
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 85.8 115 117.8 21 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 40.8% 84 33.1% 3 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.82 97 0.87 53 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 91.9 110 120.6 12 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.8% 64 30.0% 4 38.5%
Power Success Rate 78.8% 10 64.1% 45 67.7%
Stuff Rate 18.6% 51 25.3% 9 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Jordan Huff TB 5'10, 218 SR 127 740 4 5.8 4.7 45.7% 0 (0)
Marcus Childers QB 6'0, 216 FR 125 602 5 4.8 3.9 37.6% 4 (3)
Marcus Jones TB 5'8, 204 SO 83 350 3 4.2 3.9 34.9% 2 (2)
Tre Harbison TB 5'11, 220 FR 55 290 3 5.3 4.2 36.4% 1 (0)
Tommy Mister TB 6'0, 212 JR 35 167 1 4.8 3.5 42.9% 3 (1)
D.J. Brown WR 5'9, 188 JR 22 108 1 4.9 1.8 45.5% 0 (0)
Christian Blake WR 6'1, 180 SR 16 58 0 3.6 3.7 37.5% 2 (1)
Ryan Graham QB 6'2, 210 JR 14 122 0 8.7 12.8 35.7% 0 (0)
Daniel Santacaterina QB 6'2, 205 SO 13 28 0 2.2 1.0 30.8% 1 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 96.5 81 113.3 20 100.0
Passing Success Rate 38.2% 93 33.1% 8 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.42 74 1.62 108 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 98.8 72 133.7 20 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Marcus Childers 6'0, 216 FR 152 265 1674 16 5 57.4% 18 6.4% 5.5
Daniel Santacaterina 6'2, 205 SO 62 97 712 7 5 63.9% 9 8.5% 6.2
Ryan Graham 6'2, 210 JR 15 38 190 2 1 39.5% 0 0.0% 5.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Christian Blake WR 6'1, 180 SR 88 41 442 4 10.8 5.0 46.6% 34.1% 22.8%
Spencer Tears WR 6'0, 191 SO 77 43 528 4 12.3 6.9 55.8% 40.3% 19.9%
D.J. Brown WR 5'9, 188 JR 65 42 365 3 8.7 5.6 64.6% 36.9% 16.8%
Chad Beebe WR 5'10, 185 SR 45 28 417 1 14.9 9.3 62.2% 53.3% 11.7%
Shane Wimann TE 6'4, 250 SR 41 30 283 7 9.4 6.9 73.2% 51.2% 10.6%
Jauan Wesley WR 5'11, 182 JR 15 10 250 2 25.0 16.7 66.7% 53.3% 3.9%
Marcus Jones TB 5'8, 204 SO 15 12 78 0 6.5 5.2 80.0% 40.0% 3.9%
Daniel Crawford TE 6'1, 245 SO 10 6 61 0 10.2 6.1 60.0% 40.0% 2.6%
Jordan Huff TB 5'10, 218 SR 9 7 43 2 6.1 4.8 77.8% 55.6% 2.3%
Mitchell Brinkman TE 6'3, 250 SO 5 4 48 2 12.0 9.6 80.0% 80.0% 1.3%
Tre Harbison TB 5'11, 220 FR 3 3 57 0 19.0 19.0 100.0% 66.7% 0.8%
Tommy Mister TB 6'0, 212 JR 3 3 11 0 3.7 3.7 100.0% 0.0% 0.8%
Andrew Parchment WR 6'2, 175 FR 3 1 6 0 6.0 2.0 33.3% 0.0% 0.8%
Marcus Childers QB 6'0, 216 FR 2 1 10 0 10.0 5.0 50.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Jonathan Parker CB 5'8, 185 SR 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Ryan Graham QB 6'2, 210 JR 1 1 13 0 13.0 13.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 91.4 109 114.2 21 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 44.8% 90 37.6% 3 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.00 92 1.12 93 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.96 59 2.15 2 2.92
SD Sack Rate 4.4% 54 6.3% 38 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 92.6 90 115.3 27 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 28.5% 90 25.1% 10 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.37 105 1.59 93 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.05 89 2.85 31 3.22
PD Sack Rate 8.7% 82 8.5% 38 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 88.9 102 123.2 19
Q2 S&P+ 94.4 97 109.8 44
Q3 S&P+ 87.9 111 112.6 30
Q4 S&P+ 83.7 119 124.2 6
1st Down S&P+ 92.1 102 113.2 23
2nd Down S&P+ 86.1 114 123.4 13
3rd Down S&P+ 88.3 103 118.3 18
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.1% 62 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 43.8% 17 35.3%
Adj. Pace -2.9 15 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 73.5% 77 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 58.8% 78 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 32.6% 90 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 19.0% 23 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 7.5% 12 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 5.7% 29 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 5.8% 91 6.5%
PD to INC 31.9% 91 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Bobby Jones IV LB 5'11, 220 SR 83.0 12.5 (5) 11 1 (0) 0 28.0%
Jawuan Johnson LB 6'0, 218 JR 78.5 18 (4) 24 5 (3) 5 20.8%
Mykelti Williams S 5'11, 205 SO 66.0 1 (0) 2 1 (6) 0 68.1%
Sutton Smith DE 6'0, 225 SO 53.0 29.5 (14) 23 0 (3) 3 12.7%
Mycial Allen S 5'11, 203 SR 48.5 3 (0) 5 2 (6) 0 59.6%
Albert Smalls CB 6'0, 200 JR 41.5 1 (0) 4 0 (6) 0 68.2%
Antonio Jones-Davis LB 5'11, 218 SO 38.5 2 (1) 4 0 (0) 0 28.9%
Alex Schwab LB 6'1, 230 SR 35.5 2.5 (1) 4 0 (1) 0 35.7%
Jalen Embry CB 5'11, 194 JR 29.5 2 (0) 1 0 (3) 0 57.6%
Ben LeRoy DT 6'2, 280 SO 26.5 7.5 (3) 8 0 (0) 0 16.2%
Josh Corcoran DE 6'3, 250 JR 26.0 8.5 (3.5) 8 1 (1) 0 11.8%
Kyle Pugh LB 6'0, 230 SO 25.0 1 (0) 4 1 (1) 0 31.3%
Trayshon Foster S 5'11, 202 SO 22.5 2 (2) 0 1 (1) 1 66.7%
Jackson Abresch S 6'1, 205 SR 21.0 0.5 (0) 1 1 (1) 0 50.0%
Shawun Lurry CB 5'8, 170 SR 17.0 4.5 (0) 3 2 (6) 0 47.6%
Joe Sanders DE 6'3, 248 SR 15.5 1.5 (1) 5 0 (3) 0 20.0%
Mayomi Olootu, Jr. CB 5'8, 183 SR 15.0 2 (0) 2 0 (1) 0 40.0%
William Lee DT 6'0, 300 SR 13.5 3.5 (2.5) 5 0 (0) 0 15.8%
Weston Kramer DT 6'1, 285 FR 13.5 2.5 (1) 8 0 (0) 0 21.1%
Adam Buirge S 6'0, 205 SO 11.0 1.5 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 14.3%
Devin Webster DT 6'2, 286 JR 8.0 1 (1) 1 0 (0) 0 20.0%
Jack Heflin DT 6'3, 298 FR 7.0 1 (0) 4 0 (0) 0 37.5%
Lance Deveaux Jr. LB 5'10, 205 SO 7.0 0 (0) 1 0 (1) 0 37.5%
Drequan Brown DE 6'1, 225 JR 6.0 3 (2) 3 0 (0) 0 28.6%
Herlandez Corley DT 6'3, 285 JR 5.5 2 (1) 3 0 (0) 0 16.7%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.7 119
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.58 119
Punt Success Rate 51.8% 100
Kickoff Success Rate 72.9% 71
Punt Return Success Rate 58.1% 32
Kick Return Success Rate 47.5% 49
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Christian Hagan 6'1, 193 SR 49-49 9-16 56.3%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Matt Ference 5'11, 187 FR 83 41.2 8 23 27 60.2%
Josh Orne 6'0, 230 SR 2 27.0 0 0 1 50.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Josh Orne 6'0, 230 SR 38 59.3 13 34.2% 0 2 0 0
Christian Hagan 6'1, 193 SR 32 61.4 7 21.9% 0 2 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Chad Beebe 5'10, 185 SR 16 3.9 0 14 2 (2)
Jalen Embry 5'11, 194 JR 6 1.8 0 6 1 (1)
Shawun Lurry 5'8, 170 SR 4 5.5 0 7 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Chad Beebe 5'10, 185 SR 12 24.8 0 0 0 (0)
D.J. Brown 5'9, 188 JR 10 19.6 0 0 0 (0)
Christian Blake 6'1, 180 SR 9 19.3 0 0 1 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Trayshon Foster S 5'11, 202 SO 7.5 0.0 19.6
Jackson Abresch S 6'1, 205 SR 7.5 6.3 24.5
Antonio Jones-Davis LB 5'11, 218 SO 6.5 11.0
Tommy Mister TB 6'0, 212 JR 5.5 15.0 18.5
Adam Buirge S 6'0, 205 SO 4.5 3.0 16.3

Stats via SportSource Analytics