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2015 Duke advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

Duke Blue Devils (ACC Coastal)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 8-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.0 (-1.0) | S&P+ Rk: 75
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep at Tulane 120 37-7 W 100% 29.5 89% 62% 85%
12-Sep NC Central N/A 55-0 W 100% 50.1 76% 51% 89%
19-Sep Northwestern 56 10-19 L 70% 4.2 79% 44% 73%
26-Sep Georgia Tech 68 34-20 W 94% 12.7 83% 39% 85%
3-Oct Boston College 67 9-7 W 28% -4.7 54% 49% 59%
10-Oct at Army 123 44-3 W 100% 54.8 95% 94% 99%
24-Oct at Virginia Tech 59 45-43 W 82% 7.4 50% 70% 63%
31-Oct Miami-FL 51 27-30 L 36% -2.9 23% 47% 48%
7-Nov at North Carolina 29 31-66 L 0% -24.6 10% 72% 1%
14-Nov Pittsburgh 40 13-31 L 11% -9.8 6% 43% 24%
21-Nov at Virginia 73 34-42 L 3% -14.6 4% 14% 2%
28-Nov at Wake Forest 92 27-21 W 45% -1.0 8% 54% 16%
26-Dec vs. Indiana 60 44-41 W 29% -4.5 9% 27% 51%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 25.4 90 26.0 52
Points Per Game 31.5 48 25.4 47
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.22 85 1.22 48 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.1% 86 39.6% 52 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 32.8 15 26.9 13 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.36 93 4.58 58 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -2.08 88 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.42
ACTUAL -1 74
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 101.1 71 105.7 45 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 41.6% 76 40.1% 50 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.14 36 0.88 2 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 110.1 26 102 49 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.6% 73 33.7% 21 38.9%
Power Success Rate 72.0% 32 57.6% 23 66.3%
Stuff Rate 13.9% 3 19.7% 68 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Thomas Sirk QB 6'4, 220 JR 152 860 8 5.7 4.6 45.4% 2 (1)
Shaquille Powell RB 5'10, 205 SR 125 542 3 4.3 3.5 32.0% 0 (0)
Shaun Wilson RB 5'9, 180 SO 84 424 3 5.0 8.8 26.2% 2 (2)
Jela Duncan RB 5'10, 210 JR 69 479 4 6.9 6.7 47.8% 1 (1)
Parker Boehme QB 6'2, 220 SO 40 207 5 5.2 6.1 40.0% 2 (2)
Nicodem Pierre QB 6'2, 210 FR 15 76 0 5.1 1.6 60.0% 0 (0)
Zach Boden RB 5'10, 200 JR 9 34 2 3.8 1.8 33.3% 0 (0)
Joseph Ajeigbe RB 5'9, 215 SO 4 8 0 2.0 1.1 25.0% 1 (1)
Will Monday P 6'4, 210 SR 1 3 0 3.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 90.2 94 89.7 99 100.0
Passing Success Rate 38.7% 81 38.8% 48 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.30 111 1.67 116 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 260 4 60.9 121 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Thomas Sirk 6'4, 220 JR 251 427 2625 16 8 58.8% 12 2.7% 5.8
Parker Boehme 6'2, 220 SO 43 78 579 2 1 55.1% 5 6.0% 6.7
Nicodem Pierre 6'2, 210 FR 0 1 0 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Max McCaffrey WR 6'2, 200 SR 82 52 643 5 12.4 7.8 63.4% 47.6% 16.9%
T.J. Rahming WR 5'10, 165 FR 79 43 571 2 13.3 7.2 54.4% 41.8% 16.3%
Johnell Barnes WR 6'0, 170 JR 62 34 411 2 12.1 6.6 54.8% 45.2% 12.8%
Anthony Nash WR 6'5, 200 JR 59 32 475 1 14.8 8.1 54.2% 42.4% 12.2%
Shaquille Powell RB 5'10, 205 SR 44 35 212 2 6.1 4.8 79.5% 34.1% 9.1%
Braxton Deaver TE 6'5, 245 SR 40 21 183 2 8.7 4.6 52.5% 42.5% 8.2%
Shaun Wilson RB 5'9, 180 SO 25 19 207 1 10.9 8.3 76.0% 48.0% 5.2%
Erich Schneider TE 6'7, 240 JR 25 15 123 3 8.2 4.9 60.0% 40.0% 5.2%
David Reeves TE 6'5, 255 SR 20 13 104 0 8.0 5.2 65.0% 50.0% 4.1%
Jela Duncan RB 5'10, 210 JR 15 11 89 0 8.1 5.9 73.3% 46.7% 3.1%
Chris Taylor WR 6'1, 180 FR 12 5 36 0 7.2 3.0 41.7% 25.0% 2.5%
Terrence Alls WR 6'1, 190 SO 10 6 56 0 9.3 5.6 60.0% 50.0% 2.1%
Ryan Smith WR 5'7, 165 JR 9 6 85 0 14.2 9.4 66.7% 55.6% 1.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe RB 5'9, 215 SO 1 1 11 0 11.0 11.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Quay Chambers WR 6'3, 220 SO 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Nicodem Pierre QB 6'2, 210 FR 1 1 -2 0 -2.0 -2.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 89.4 110 97.9 72 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 43.4% 106 44.1% 44 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.04 96 1.07 51 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.07 36 2.84 60 2.90
SD Sack Rate 1.2% 5 4.0% 98 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 110.4 41 95.1 86 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 32.5% 49 29.4% 53 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.76 69 1.71 53 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.24 67 1.97 1 3.20
PD Sack Rate 4.1% 12 3.7% 119 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 95.7 92 103.3 47
Q2 S&P+ 99.4 75 106.9 57
Q3 S&P+ 106.5 53 87.3 110
Q4 S&P+ 103.9 63 103.8 54
1st Down S&P+ 100.6 68 103.2 52
2nd Down S&P+ 94.2 91 100.3 70
3rd Down S&P+ 109.1 48 86.3 115
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 56.8% 82 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 26.9% 103 34.0%
Adj. Pace +7.4 14 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 73.6% 79 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.7% 24 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 36.5% 43 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 15.2% 77 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.7% 97 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 3.3% 94 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 8.1% 15 6.3%
PD to INC 27.2% 114 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Dwayne Norman LB 6'1, 215 SR 88.5 11.8% 8.5 1.0 1 4 2 0
Jeremy Cash S 6'2, 210 SR 79.0 10.5% 18.0 2.5 0 4 3 0
DeVon Edwards S 5'9, 180 JR 75.5 10.1% 2.0 1.0 1 6 0 0
Deondre Singleton S 5'11, 180 JR 61.5 8.2% 6.0 0.0 0 4 2 0
Breon Borders CB 6'0, 175 JR 47.5 6.3% 4.0 1.0 3 9 0 0
Tinashe Bere LB 6'1, 230 FR 41.5 5.5% 4.5 1.5 0 0 1 0
A.J. Wolf DT 6'4, 270 JR 37.5 5.0% 4.0 0.5 0 0 0 0
Carlos Wray DT 6'2, 290 SR 33.0 4.4% 4.5 2.0 0 2 0 0
Alonzo Saxton II CB 5'11, 180 SO 31.0 4.1% 2.0 0.0 1 2 1 0
Deion Williams DE 6'0, 230 SR 27.0 3.6% 3.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
Kyler Brown DE 6'4, 235 SR 25.5 3.4% 2.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Zavier Carmichael LB 6'0, 220 SO 24.0 3.2% 2.5 1.0 1 2 1 0
Ben Humphreys LB 6'2, 210 FR 21.0 2.8% 2.0 1.0 0 0 1 0
Mike Ramsay DT 6'2, 295 SO 20.0 2.7% 4.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
Brandon Boyce DT 6'0, 255 FR 17.5 2.3% 4.0 1.0 0 0 1 0
Phillip Carter S 6'1, 195 SO 15.0 2.0% 2.0 0.0 1 1 0 0
Jeremy McDuffie CB 5'11, 170 FR 14.5 1.9% 0.0 0.0 1 0 0 0
Quaven Ferguson DT 6'2, 305 FR 13.0 1.7% 2.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Corbin McCarthy S 5'10, 200 JR 11.5 1.5% 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 0
Britton Grier DE 6'1, 245 SR 10.0 1.3% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Marquies Price DE 6'6, 240 FR 9.0 1.2% 3.5 1.5 0 0 0 0
Shaquille Powell RB 5'10, 205 SR 5.5 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Zach Boden RB 5'10, 200 JR 5.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Edgar Cerenord DT 6'1, 300 FR 4.5 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Evrett Edwards S 5'11, 190 SO 4.5 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 1.5 2
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.47 5
Punt Success Rate 68.8% 13
Kickoff Success Rate 72.8% 59
Punt Return Success Rate 46.7% 73
Kick Return Success Rate 52.6% 34
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Ross Martin 5'10, 185 SR 42-42 26-30 86.7%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Will Monday 6'4, 210 SR 65 43.5 13 20 23 66.2%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Ross Martin 5'10, 185 SR 75 59.8 22 29.3% 2 1 2 0
Will Kline 6'1, 190 SO 2 40.0 1 50.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Ryan Smith 5'7, 165 JR 29 7.1 0 22 3 (2)
Johnell Barnes 6'0, 170 JR 1 5.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
DeVon Edwards 5'9, 180 JR 24 29.4 3 0 1 (0)
Shaun Wilson 5'9, 180 SO 4 41.0 1 0 0 (0)
Erich Schneider 6'7, 240 JR 3 7.3 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics