clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

2016 Wake Forest advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (ACC Atlantic)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.8 (-1.2) | S&P+ Rk: 60
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
1-Sep Tulane 106 7-3 W 95% 13.3 74% 32% 84%
10-Sep at Duke 72 24-14 W 84% 7.8 68% 47% 67%
17-Sep Delaware N/A 38-21 W 100% 22.4 72% 32% 42%
24-Sep at Indiana 53 33-28 W 8% -11.2 36% 53% 21%
1-Oct at NC State 25 16-33 L 0% -20.3 26% 46% 16%
8-Oct Syracuse 76 28-9 W 99% 18.0 82% 32% 88%
15-Oct at Florida State 6 6-17 L 2% -16.9 44% 17% 83%
29-Oct Army 101 13-21 L 41% -1.8 48% 48% 69%
5-Nov Virginia 88 27-20 W 27% -4.9 33% 8% 50%
12-Nov at Louisville 12 12-44 L 0% -29.3 24% 20% 59%
19-Nov Clemson 2 13-35 L 0% -24.9 36% 50% 38%
26-Nov Boston College 86 14-17 L 66% 3.2 56% 38% 65%
27-Dec vs. Temple 32 34-26 W 60% 2.0 75% 74% 84%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 22.9 110 22.0 22
Points Per Game 20.4 117 22.2 23
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.21 93 1.22 40 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 35.4% 123 40.4% 44 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 31.2 32 29.5 71 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.83 119 3.81 18 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 4.51 31 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+1.34
ACTUAL 8 18
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 93.7 94 99.9 64 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 35.9% 120 40.6% 42 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.15 34 1.07 61 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 102.1 65 104.2 49 100.0
Opportunity Rate 34.7% 114 38.2% 50 39.7%
Power Success Rate 68.1% 64 64.3% 37 67.9%
Stuff Rate 20.3% 92 21.5% 37 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Cade Carney RB 5'11, 215 FR 156 589 6 3.8 3.5 28.8% 1 (1)
Matt Colburn RB 5'10, 200 SO 151 626 2 4.1 4.2 29.8% 0 (0)
John Wolford QB 6'1, 200 JR 97 721 6 7.4 6.2 54.6% 4 (2)
Kendall Hinton QB 6'0, 200 SO 23 140 2 6.1 7.9 34.8% 0 (0)
Rocky Reid RB 6'0, 220 FR 22 54 0 2.5 2.2 9.1% 0 (0)
Tyler Bell RB 5'11, 215 SO 20 97 1 4.9 1.8 55.0% 1 (1)
Chuck Wade WR 6'0, 195 SO 5 6 0 1.2 3.6 20.0% 0 (0)
Tabari Hines WR 5'10, 175 SO 3 -4 0 -1.3 2.5 33.3% 0 (0)
Dom Maggio P 6'3, 185 FR 2 -45 0 -22.5 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 82.3 118 107.0 41 100.0
Passing Success Rate 34.9% 119 40.1% 58 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.28 117 1.36 16 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 79.6 105 138.3 16 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
John Wolford 6'1, 200 JR 166 299 1774 9 10 55.5% 33 9.9% 4.7
Kyle Kearns 6'2, 195 FR 13 35 206 0 2 37.1% 4 10.3% 4.5
Kendall Hinton 6'0, 200 SO 11 19 174 0 1 57.9% 2 9.5% 7.6

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Tabari Hines WR 5'10, 175 SO 58 38 447 3 11.8 7.7 65.5% 48.3% 17.4%
Cortez Lewis WR 6'1, 210 SO 56 32 415 1 13.0 7.4 57.1% 46.4% 16.8%
Alex Bachman WR 6'0, 185 SO 53 23 248 1 10.8 4.7 43.4% 32.1% 15.9%
Cam Serigne TE 6'3, 250 JR 47 30 426 3 14.2 9.1 63.8% 53.2% 14.1%
Chuck Wade WR 6'0, 195 SO 40 24 245 1 10.2 6.1 60.0% 37.5% 12.0%
Scotty Washington WR 6'5, 220 FR 29 10 115 0 11.5 4.0 34.5% 20.7% 8.7%
Matt Colburn RB 5'10, 200 SO 16 13 143 0 11.0 8.9 81.2% 62.5% 4.8%
Cade Carney RB 5'11, 215 FR 15 12 74 0 6.2 4.9 80.0% 33.3% 4.5%
Steven Claude WR 6'2, 195 FR 10 2 27 0 13.5 2.7 20.0% 20.0% 3.0%
Devin Pike TE 6'6, 260 JR 5 2 9 0 4.5 1.8 40.0% 0.0% 1.5%
Tyler Bell RB 5'11, 215 SO 2 2 15 0 7.5 7.5 100.0% 50.0% 0.6%
Jack Freudenthal TE 6'3, 220 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Tyler Hayworth OL 6'4, 325 SR 1 1 -4 0 -4.0 -4.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
John Wolford QB 6'1, 200 JR 1 1 -6 0 -6.0 -6.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 88.4 110 97.8 72 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 41.2% 121 46.7% 53 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.05 98 1.11 61 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.45 121 2.72 35 2.98
SD Sack Rate 7.8% 115 7.8% 12 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 85.1 111 115.9 21 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 24.7% 124 28.1% 29 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.69 86 1.57 10 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.32 61 3.33 73 3.24
PD Sack Rate 13.1% 122 10.6% 13 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 80.4 119 116.6 24
Q2 S&P+ 107.9 53 109.2 38
Q3 S&P+ 89.1 107 93.9 90
Q4 S&P+ 70.1 128 92.6 86
1st Down S&P+ 92.0 101 95.5 85
2nd Down S&P+ 81.6 124 111.4 36
3rd Down S&P+ 90.6 104 107.1 51
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 62.0% 57 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 42.3% 18 34.6%
Adj. Pace -2.8 88 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 75.1% 52 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 55.1% 108 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 35.3% 59 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 18.1% 28 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 6.7% 22 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 5.9% 19 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 5.5% 94 6.4%
PD to INC 31.1% 88 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Jessie Bates III DB 6'2, 200 FR 85.0 12.0% 3.5 0.0 5 4 1
Marquel Lee LB 6'3, 240 SR 84.0 11.9% 20.0 7.5 0 0 3
Brad Watson DB 6'0, 200 SR 56.0 7.9% 1.0 0.0 2 6 2
Thomas Brown LB 6'3, 225 SR 52.5 7.4% 8.5 4.0 0 4 2
Duke Ejiofor DL 6'4, 270 JR 40.0 5.7% 17.0 10.5 1 4 2
Ryan Janvion DB 5'11, 200 SR 39.0 5.5% 1.5 0.0 1 1 0
Cameron Glenn DB 6'1, 200 SO 30.5 4.3% 1.0 0.0 1 0 1
Jaboree Williams LB 6'0, 235 JR 28.5 4.0% 5.5 2.0 0 0 0
Josh Okonye DB 6'0, 200 JR 28.5 4.0% 0.5 0.0 0 3 0
Grant Dawson LB 6'1, 230 JR 28.0 4.0% 2.5 0.0 1 1 0
Wendell Dunn DL 6'3, 250 JR 27.5 3.9% 6.0 2.5 0 0 0
Josh Banks DL 6'4, 290 SR 26.5 3.8% 8.0 4.5 0 0 1
Demetrius Kemp LB 6'1, 215 SO 25.5 3.6% 4.0 1.0 0 1 1
Essang Bassey DB 5'10, 180 FR 17.5 2.5% 1.5 0.0 0 3 1
Willie Yarbary DL 6'2, 280 SO 17.0 2.4% 2.5 2.5 0 1 0
Amari Henderson DB 6'1, 175 FR 16.5 2.3% 0.0 0.0 1 9 0
Chris Stewart DL 6'3, 290 SO 16.0 2.3% 4.0 2.5 0 3 0
Justin Strnad LB 6'2, 220 FR 15.5 2.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Julian Jackson DL 6'4, 240 JR 9.0 1.3% 3.0 3.0 0 1 1
Chris Calhoun DL 6'4, 245 SO 9.0 1.3% 1.0 1.0 0 1 0
Traveon Redd DB 6'0, 195 FR 9.0 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Shelldon Lewinson DL 6'2, 275 SR 7.0 1.0% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Dionte Austin DB 6'0, 175 SO 7.0 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Paris Black DL 6'3, 255 FR 5.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Nate Mays LB 6'1, 225 FR 4.0 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.8 33
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.23 37
Punt Success Rate 55.4% 69
Kickoff Success Rate 82.5% 23
Punt Return Success Rate 45.5% 84
Kick Return Success Rate 44.1% 62
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Mike Weaver 6'1, 195 JR 28-28 21-27 77.8%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Dom Maggio 6'3, 185 FR 72 42.0 7 12 18 41.7%
Mike Weaver 6'1, 195 JR 10 41.2 0 3 4 70.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Mike Weaver 6'1, 195 JR 63 64.2 32 50.8% 0 2 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jessie Bates III 6'2, 200 FR 18 4.1 0 27 3 (1)
Tabari Hines 5'10, 175 SO 4 -0.8 0 4 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
John Armstrong 5'9, 165 SR 22 22.2 0 0 0 (0)
Steven Claude 6'2, 195 FR 9 15.7 0 0 2 (0)
Jack Freudenthal 6'3, 220 FR 1 1.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics